As a short-term measure I think that SCG has no other choice but to go with MiG-29. Originally those MiG-29 where purchased as stopgap measure until domestic multirole fighter becomes available .War came and with it multirole fighter project despaired. Personally I think that SCG wants those Mig-29 just as, again, stopgap measure until something new becomes available.
In the mean time J-22 and MiG-21bis will be decommissioned (approximately 2010) By then SCG is hoping that production of Lasta basic trainer will start and that G-4 will be upgraded to more potent G-4M standard that will be armed with R-60 self defence missiles, LGB-250 laser guided bombs, FLIR, multiple MFD and so on. Evidence for this can be found on the following web site http://www.mod.gov.yu/oteh/indexc578.html?rbs=10&uid=5#sesija_2 and especially this document that has some 3D renderings of proposed upgrades http://www.mod.gov.yu/oteh/dokumenta/radovi/95.pdf . At the same time it is evident t that SCG RVIPVO is working hard on extending resources for those G-4. Anyway that page is summary of SCG Air Force hopes wishes and future plans .As far as MiG-29 replacement is concerned it is safe to say that aircraft will be in the same class as Gripen but it will not come until 2012 – 2015. So in light of it modernising MiG-29 will be contra productive and waist of money.

There was Yugoslav Ikarus 452-3 experimental light interceptor. One model (452-2) was powered by 2 x Turbomeca Palas turbojets (150 Kg of thrust) and 452-3 with 3 x Turbomeca Palas .It was only armed with cannons (or even maybe with heavy machine guns) but I am not sure about calibre. Aircraft was tested during 1953 http://www.vj.yu/VOC/Grafika/Galerija/Avioni/452_1-znak.jpg

I found it on a Chinese forum but with all the Photoshopping that seems to be going on these days one has to be careful so when somebody set up an ID-LGB thread I thought I’d use the chance to get some opinions. I think this is a Paveway II inspired kit made by NORINCO (scroll dow the page) fitted to a Chinese Type 500-2 bomb. At least the warhead looks alot like a that of a Type-2 series bomb but minus the removable low drag/retarded tail and nose mounted fuse unit you see on the unguided Type-2 munitions (the sides of the warhead are to flat for it to be an Mk.80 series). I’ve since seen what looks like some of these bombs fitted to an F-7M prototype and the Pakistane F-7PG’s also carry LGBs but those are real 250kg GBU-12 Paveway II bombs but it still makes me wonder what sort of spot tracking system they are using. They must be if they want to have hope of using these things effectively.

PS. I thought the Kab-500Kr-UPK/UNU was a training round?

That Chinese LGB looks exactly like Yugoslav developed LGB

As far as I know Yugoslav started working on LGB at the end of eighties so it looks that there was technology transfer between two countries.

Strategic value of SCG (and Croatia) in current geopolitical situation is in fact that they are bordering with territories that could, potentially be source of Islamic Radicalism and terrorism. In light of current long term USA engagements in Iraq, Afghanistan and many other areas around middle east and north Africa, they most likely have /will come to conclusion that they will keep token force in the areas while bulk of the forces that will keep eye on those territories will come from SCG and Croatia. (Balkan Core M21 ) That way USA and UK will be able to redeploys its troops to other areas of operation. SCG (and other countries) will also participate in other “peace keeping / enforcing operations” again replacing US forces so that they can be moved to other areas (e.g. Tahiti) In line with this thinking SCG and Croatia are adopting new defence strategies that will focus on anti terrorist operations and to support them they will develop e.g. transport and CAS capabilities.

Again, you are all misreading current political situation in SCG. SCG is no longer close Russian allays. Current political establishment, even if T. Nikolic wins Serbian presidential election (anyway that post is largely ceremonial) SCG will not make shift towards Russia. Main political goal is becoming member of Partnership For Peace, than NATO and than EU. So all speculation about what sort of hardware will be purchased must take in to account those political realities and that is telling us that SCG will not purchase Russian equipment .For example that radar station in Novi Banovci has Marconi Elliot S-600 radar complex and rest of the network is based on S-600, AN-TPS-63 and AN/TPS-70. Of them all the only Russian long rage search radar is P-14. Rest of the Russian equipment like P-35, PRV-11 , P-12 , P-18 , PRV-16 , P-15 are going out of the service . For further information radio relay network (microwave communications) are based on Swedish systems so are many Ground to Air radio systems. Main VOJIN OC is staffed not with equipment form Russian sources but everything is of Western origin (again Swedish equipment) There where attempts to equip some Russian radars with DMTI (coherent-on-receive system) but entire system was not very usable so VOJIN was unable to make those radars part of ASS-84 system. After Milsoevic was removed from power decision was made that all Russian equipment is going out of service and will be replaced by equipment of Western origin. That decision was largely influenced by unacceptably low performance of Russian weapon systems during 1999 conflict. SA-3 and SA-6 are only used because there is noting better in the SCG inventory but given chance they will be replaced with something more modern .Let me say that thinking is going in direction of missiles with active homing warheads because during 1999 it was proved in field conditions that it is very hard to destroy mobile 2d/3d search radar and very easy to destroy targeting / missile guidance radars so to bypass that problem solution is 3D search radar ( with TWS capability ) coupled with active homing missiles ( IR and Radar )

Hmm, MAKO, now that is something that I never considered. It looks like very interesting project .It will, most likely, posses excellent price / performance ratio, with low maintenance cost. It does fly only M1.5 (probably because of fixed air inlets) but that is more than enough for interceptor role. Maximum weapon load out 4500 Kg is more than enough for all sorts of tasks. So, 2010, Lasta 3 for basic training, G-4M2 for advance training / ground support, Mako two seat for advance training and Mako single seat as main multirole aircrafts. And at the same time Orao 2 and MiG-21 to scrap yard.
2020 – 2025 –G-4M2 goes to retirement.
Training – Lasta 3, PC-21 and Mako 2 seat
Combat aircrafts – Mako single seat with Typhoon? Rafale ?
Mi-8/17 goes to retirement and is replaced with NH-90 and Gazelle is replaced with Tiger
An-26 replaced by Airbus A400M