Not a fan of free enterprise, then John? I’d be interested in how the Glorious People’s Free Republic of Britannia is going to get by without it.
Essentially the logic of that statement is that the net return on entering business in the UK is, on average, negative – like gambling at a bookies. So are you suggesting we all give up and go spoon whittling in the woods?
Can’t have it both ways.
I imagine the principle is one of scale – a spread bet – so an investor who might baulk at putting a lot of cash into one start-up with a chance of failure might be happier backing 1,000, a proportion of which net a return. As long as the rates reflect the correct proportion of successes (and I would vet where the money goes very carefully indeed – fewer clueless tossers with ‘entrepreneur’ on their CV as if it was a job, more people making and doing useful stuff).
You are right, I hadn’t read the ‘filling the gap’ bit properly. It might be the ‘patient, longer term’ bit that’s different, rather than anything being riskier?
I don’t know whether the plan is to have a high-street arm? That would be interesting too.
Thing is, CD, I don’t think the idea was to do anything different or have a different investment policy from existing privately owned banks, it’s more about where the returns on investment go – straight into treasury coffers. Kind of a near-guaranteed-profit nationalised industry making money for the treasury. Or like a turned-around bank the city won’t be demanding back when it becomes a cash cow. So why not?
I am not going pretend it’s ‘magic moolah’. If it’s spend beyond ‘tax take+nationalised industry profits’ then it’s borrowed! I agree that’s not a good thing, but it ain’t the end of the world either – if there’s a plan.
To answer an earlier swipe about the nationalisation of British Rail – there was no real plan of what to do with the Marshall money, unlike Germany.
People start banks. Why not?
If you mean money – it comes from the Royal Mint. If you mean the value behind the money, it comes from what we produce.
The rest is an elaborate construct. It’s real and it works, but I wanted to answer the question as straightforwardly as possible.
John makes a very good point. Two sides of the same coin – it may just be a case of who gets the use of said coin.
Where do you think the German economic miracle came from? American money, yes. But not just thrown in – given to manufacturers and innovators schooled, trained and given experience of achieving extreme productivity all at state ‘expense’. Think Volkswagen, and the people who worked there. It was a different state that benefitted, and got the credit, and there’s a funny sort of justice in that – but it’s worth bearing in mind. Those people did not come from nowhere, they were Germans who had been invested in heavily by the state.
I am not advocating fascism – I shouldn’t have to say that but I do. Just introducing an interesting example of one longer-term benefit of heavy state investment – probably the only one to survive the destruction of the state. And by the way, the state has carried on spending ever since, and they are doing pretty well, thank you very much. It helps that they are a net exporter.
Of course I can see that it’s two sides of the same coin! That’s what I have been saying all along. Why not build some council houses in the meantime?
Lebensraum was a ‘racial destiny’ thing to the Nazis. Maybe it was seen as a convenient economic solution, but if so that was never expressed by any of its architechts, who instead referred to older principles of human geography and ‘natural competition’. It certainly was never really going to work as an economic solution to the immediate woes of the German treasury unless equally technologically advanced nations accepted it without an expensive war, and Hitler must have known that would happen. He was more of the Gotterdamerung school than any kind of economist – and he did rather dictate policy.
In what I hope is the right order:
Example: Australia -. There are many others – though a Google search produces a lot of right wing think-tanks and fake universities saying there are none. Even better are the claims that the effect is negative through ‘inefficient use of money’ (in the case of most of these think tanks, that means not giving it to the particular corporation sponsoring it).
Of course, the thing about a fiscal stimulus is even if the result is neutral (and it may well be unless the investment is in technology and innovation – a better axe, see my earlier rantings) we get new infrastructure out of it.
It’s the Government – well the treasury – who owes money, not us. We don’t owe a penny. We have already paid our taxes (well, I have) so nothing is owed. That this is the case is demonstrated by the fact that one of the entities the treasury owes is us. Yes, I get the argument that it would be good if the treasury got back from the taxpayer what it needs to pay back, as it has interest to cover – but we don’t actually owe £70,000 each. We can go for the rest of our lives or until the earth falls into the sun before we are confronted with a bloke with a baseball bat and an unmarked van. The tax take will be whatever it is, and if we manage to survive the break with Europe as an industrial nation then it will be more in the good times than it is now.
Oh, and those institutions the government is paying interest to? The same ones that the capitalist argument says should be making lots of money in interest, as a sign of a healthy economy!
I would be interested in your evidence that Hitler woke up one morning and said in his best Spike Milligan German “Ach, I have zer answer to zer debtungspiralen! I vill invade zer Poland! Zat will pay zer taxes unt das costs gercutten!”
I am not using Nazi Germany as a model. Please stop saying I am, it could get annoying.
The invasion of Poland was not for economic reasons. This has been discussd by historians, and it might be worth looking at the work of Richard Overy on this. He does summarise the various analyses quite well. The argument that public spending leads to war is a political one, and ignores the fact that a) governments borrow, governments go to war and b) there is no real pattern apart from a raiding of the coffers to pay for arms.
This idea of taking a Government debt figure and dividing it by the population to say what ‘we owe’ is a canard of the first order. Please read http://www.edmundconway.com/2013/10/heres-who-the-uk-government-owes-money-to
..and this guy, by the way, does not share my political views.
Meanwhile our glorious leader is keeping the NHS defecit a state secret until after the election.
Strong and stable.
Fair enough, CD. Of course, if you take out the cost of re-armorment the sums look different.
I am not saying it’s preferable. Infrastructure projects and state investment in car factories and roads did not bankrupt Germany, that was my point. It was an extreme version of the New Deal in the USA or the mildly Keynsian policies of the UK, with the addition of some selection of whom it favoured.
Economically, it might not have been the best time to build a war machine as well, granted.
This was also a populist move. As was conviscation of Jewish assets. “A mainstream government for a mainstream people”.
CD, who said I was advocating any of that list, or Hitler. Read what I wrote. Just that however it was done, his populist government had a functioning, if nasty, model. It happened. Isn’t the onus on you to demonstrate that it would have gone
bankrupt?
I have a sort of theory that the web is an artificial environment much like a school playground, where anti-social behaviour, bullying and name calling are sort of expected and excused. It makes some people regress to that stage of development, perhaps.
Have you ever noticed the odd tension between Laura K and Jeremy C when they are in a room together? It’s very visible. If I didn’t know better…
Now I’m being childish!
Hitler was indeed a populist. He managed to make the long view a popular thing, thousand year reich, monumental architecture, autobahns and what-have-you. The surprising thing to many (it has not been a popular field of study) is that he did NOT bankrupt Germany doing it. Quite the opposite.
Other ‘popular’ waves that he worked up and then rode included xenophobia, book burning and ultimately genocide. This is why comparing this to the agenda of the Labour party is a bit off. The cons have embraced the first bit nicely, though. Some, like John, would be keen to see the second.
What is more, if JC were a populist he would now be saying very different things about Europe and Immigration to his natural constituencies – and would aleady have risen and fallen with Mr. Blair.