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Beermat

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  • in reply to: General Discussion #269564
    Beermat
    Participant

    Here’s the ‘Bungling’ IMF spokesman in full: “The first half of 2016 revealed some promising signs – stronger than expected growth in the euro area and Japan, as well as a partial recovery in commodity prices. As of 22nd June we were therefore prepared to upgrade our 2016-17 global growth projections slightly. But Brexit has thrown a spanner in the works. The vote in favour of leaving the EU adds significant uncertainty”

    Due to Brexit the IMF has trimmed back the expected UK 2016 growth figure from 1.9% down to 1.7%, and the 2017 figure from 2.2% to 1.3%

    Got to hand it to whatever organ you have been studying – that’s some spin!

    in reply to: General Discussion #269599
    Beermat
    Participant

    JB, a lot of people were not joking about Thatcher. Is it bad taste to say how you feel?

    in reply to: General Discussion #269677
    Beermat
    Participant

    What’s the source? I am guessing it must be quite a learned economist, to accuse the IMF of being bungling.

    Especially when these are pre-exit figures, and on the face of it they show a deceleration in growth from current figures, leading up to it. It must be one hell of an expert writing to understand from this that exit will be a good thing.

    To take the current growth figure and call it a forecast of what will happen after exit – and further to point to a predicted downward trend and call it upward.. that takes some skill. He or she should work for the PLP.

    in reply to: General Discussion #269810
    Beermat
    Participant

    It’s about the brand as much as the engineering. Arguably somebody else picking up on an iconic brand and saying ‘by the way, I’ve sorted out the engineering because I am not ‘Jaguar Land Rover’ might be successful because they have the best of both worlds, while JLR saying ‘OK, it’s called a Defender but we promise it’s not as ****ty as the last one.. er.. that we.. er.. made’ are on a sticky wicket from the off. At least its a scenario JLR would rather avoid seeing played out.

    in reply to: General Discussion #269847
    Beermat
    Participant

    Does that attitude from the JLR spokesman come from a fear that they might get shown up by this chap’s success? They could have re-used the enormously strong original Defender ‘brand’ forever more, but instead made a questionable call not to. Shareholders might notice if somebody else makes a profit from it.

    in reply to: General Discussion #269907
    Beermat
    Participant

    Your point is also ‘academic’ (if by ‘academy’ you mean failing school)..

    Turkey could not join the EU for this and many other reasons. It was never going to unless things changed radically for the better – there were rules to the club – the one we have just left. We are now back out in the street, with Turkey.

    in reply to: General Discussion #269917
    Beermat
    Participant

    Locally here no-one believes a word of the promises made to ‘double the workforce’ -that is a nonsensical proposition to those who know ARM’s business – what would the suddenly-employed extra staff do? ARM may or may not enjoy continued steady growth, but promises of exact numbers of extra staff are laughable.

    That has lead to suspicion. However you dress it up, ultimately what the Japanese are buying are brains, and the knowledge of chip design and manufacture that they contain.

    They were going to do this before Brexit, its just cheaper for them now.

    in reply to: General Discussion #269969
    Beermat
    Participant

    You haven’t had the weekend I’ve had! 😉

    in reply to: General Discussion #269984
    Beermat
    Participant

    But then, Canada Australia et al would, because they are seeking to replace something that already exists in our relationships but which Brexit will at some point terminate.. Doesn’t show Brexit as a good thing, unless you spin beyond all reference to the real situation we are now in.

    in reply to: General Discussion #270207
    Beermat
    Participant

    My fear now is that May will have picked up on the current malaise among the public which means you can say any old cr*p and secure a popular vote, then enact whatever the hell you want.

    As a Right-of-Tory-Centre politician who has started to come out with New Labour vagaries about Social Justice it strikes me we might be in for more dumping on the workers (that means you and me right now, not flat-capped folk from a 1930’s documentary as Tories would have us believe) from a great height, all of which can be blamed once again on foreigners when the time comes.

    in reply to: General Discussion #270212
    Beermat
    Participant

    If you used that analogy – but it’s only a limited analogy, as the systems are different – Corbyn was placed on a ballot through those nominations, then secured the vote he did from the membership. I admit I was a bit naughty using the direct analogy in the first place – I was highlighting that at the point where she was put in charge of the party and thus became Prime Minister she had 199 votes, as it never got to the stage where the wider party could demonstrate her ‘mandate’. It could never match Corbyn’s relative ‘mandate’ as there are fewer members of the Conservative Party in total (150,000) than there are Labour Members who voted for Corbyn.

    I agree none of this demonstrates an actual democratic mandate.

    in reply to: General Discussion #270221
    Beermat
    Participant

    True enough!

    in reply to: General Discussion #270226
    Beermat
    Participant

    All parties have leaders that are voted for by a tiny fraction of the electorate. Much tinier in the case of the Conservatives, who have more General election voters.

    Theresa May, 199 votes.
    Jeremy Corbyn, 251,417votes.

    in reply to: General Discussion #270228
    Beermat
    Participant

    Re. ‘Middle of the road’ voters.. yes, if a party dared call itself the ‘Middle if the Road’ party it would do very well.

    There are false assumptions at the heart of the current failures of democracy in the UK. One is that the moderation of extremes should come from the politicians themselves, that it us their job to be bland, to be the opposite of radical. That makes them safe.

    In fact the people who’s job it is to be bland and a safe pair of hands are the civil service.

    We need more Radicals in politics. More Thatchers, more Corbyns, more Farages. They shake it up. When they do gain power they shift the centre ground, as Thatcher did to the right. But that’s not the reason we need radicals.

    Leadership. You can only lead people who wish to be led by you, yes.

    But there are many reasons a bunch of people might refuse to be led, regardless of how good a leader was put in charge.

    Example, would the German National Socialist ministers of the 1930’s want to be led by an actual Socialist, say Ramsay MacDonald? Would they not spin all they could about how he is not a leader, unlike that great leadery kinda guy, Adolf?

    OK, unsubtle and extreme, but… what do you or I know about his actual leadership abilities apart from what disaffected MPs tell the press to tell us?

    People who have worked under him and with him over the previous 40 years tell a different story, but we should ignore that for the voices of a few who loath all that he represents?

    in reply to: General Discussion #270283
    Beermat
    Participant

    Tony, I take your second point, and agree with it.

    Your first… you know it’s highly unlikely that thousands of people would join a left wing party just to oust its leader for being in line with the party’s left-wing principles.

Viewing 15 posts - 1,366 through 1,380 (of 3,326 total)