The nuclear deterrence is the only one thing we can expect to reasonably receive from NATO: while NATO would likely leave the UK alone once more in a Falklands-like conventional scenario, a nuclear war would certainly force France and US to employ their own nukes. No stands idle in front of nuclear attacks, because if someone is mad enough to launch one, then everyone is at risk.
I would liek to think so…
However i recall seeing a map (cannot find it for the life of me at the moment however) detailing a realeased pre-emptive Soviet strategic strike plan on western europe.
And what I noticed was the Germans, Danes, Norwegians, Dutch, Belgians and Italians all had major cities targetted; no surprise there; however there was no targets over France or the UK… the theory being that the UK and French would think “we’ve just dodged a bullet here” and not risk a counter-strike knowing what would to happen London and Paris in retaliation…
now would the French or Americans be able to justify the death of millions of their own to protect Britain? would we accept the destruction of the UK to help Belgium?
i agree, in limited nuclear wars we probably could rely on NATO umbrellas but in WW3? im not so sure?
Even 20 years from now, a UCAV going canopy to canopy, er, canopy to antenna with a Su-50 in WVR, and win? How is that possible with time delay?
isn’t is possible that with some clever programming that an aircraft could be made to fight autonomously… all the controller will do is confirm the aircraft is indeed the enemy then let the computer do the rest…
I wonder if is time to think in 5th generation interceptors rather than in 6th generation fighters. I always ear statements like “interceptors are beast of the past” but is a fact that
5th generation fighters (F-22, F-35, T-50, J-XX) have an “offensive bias” since are designed to penetrate on enemy airspaces to hit hard and fast.
How should be a 5th generation interceptor able to deal with the above mentioned fighters? I just imagine some specifications:
– Mach 2+ supercruise w/o after-burners.
– Mach 3+ top speed.
– 25.000+ m ceil.
– VLO in the A-A aspect.
– Long-range ultra-manœuvrable missiles (multiple seekers on missiles ?).
– Very high power-aperture X-band AESA radar and a L-band tracking capable radar (?).
– Long range IRST
never really thought of that and it is a very interesting point you raise…
however is there much demand (with a few possible exceptions) in the western world at least for “Pure” interceptors… look at the criticism of the EF for example amongst UK press at least, saying it is optimised for A2A when most of the current requirements call for CAS… People (more importantly politicians) want multi-role capabilities…
Their is only so much you can do with low cost alternatives, I for one do not believe that the RAF should be replacing Harrier, which is a CAS bird, with F35, it’s overkill, Jaguar and Harrier replacement would be better served with a non LO manned platform (something like the A10 without that idiot gun) ,however with ever tighter budgets and fewer squadrons every aircraft has to wear many hats, and that means we get stuck using a penetrating 0-day strike aircraft to provide CAS in low threat environments.
As for Gen 6, for it to happen in the near future it’s going to have to be brought to market by private money, as the US government busy funding F-35, the europe has it’s canards and everyone else still want Gen 5.
Of course if one or more F35 variants get binned it’s a whole new ball game, especially if it’s the C, boing will dive in for the diverted cash and we could see and Gen 5.5/6 sooner than anybody ever thought possible.
for the CAS role all you need is a solid stable airframe and the rest is avionics suite, though the harrier fleet must be getting a bit creaky and the arthiritis is stepping in so its kinda like the Nimrod issue, upgrading old airframes…
i am all for the multirole aircraft as ultimately, what it suffers from in development costs it makes up for in reduced through service life costs… as any defence accountant will tell you you make your money through life service rather than initial purchase (why are LM so keen for BAE not to get the source code and make their own lovely upgrades?)
Unfortunately, I don’t think Europe is capable of making a unified effort that would result in a 5th generation fighter coming on stream in the next 15 years.
Too much pride would need to be swallowed and too many compromises made.
But I guess the pride comes from the major players believing (I think rightly) that given the funding, the UK, France, Sweden, Germany, could probably produce indigenous 5th generation fighters, fit for their own purposes, in a shorter timescale.
Honestly, I think if you handed Saab two billion euros today, they could come up with a nippy little stealth Air Defence fighter that would fly in 3 years and be in service in 5-6 years. Repeat that for BAE, Dassault, etc.
Hence my earlier thread were I suggested a unified airframe, with open system architecture – where each nation could decide on powerplant and avionics. Just get the nations to agree on a basic airframe. But hey, good luck with that.
Would it be an F-22 challenger? No – but in concert with existing 4.5 fleets… it would be interesting.
agreed… look at the typhoon predecessor, the EAP… BAe built that for next to nothing over the course of a long weekend…
correct me if i’m wrong guys but isn’t talk about 6th gen more like “wouldn’t it be great if we could” rather than what “will” actually be seen in 6th gen. I think public opinion with regards to defence, in particular big ticket projects iis rather negative at the moment (in the UK at least) and a bigger focus is on kit for the boots on the ground…
unfortunately i believe 6th gen if political circumstances remain the same will be more focussed on achieving similar capabilities at a significantly lower cost….
i know that in my particular sector of the defence industry we are already looking at replacements in the future for kit that has literally only just began to come into service in the last few months; at there is a much bigger emphasis on cutting cost rather than significant furthering of capability…
more bang for buck rather than just bang im afraid 🙁
stating the obvious here but this merely boils down to money…
the UK fear that they will not be able to develop their own upgrade packages in the future, therefore fear that companies like BAE will lose both expertise and money…
and the US fear that the UK will develop then sell these upgrade packages, in direct competition with US companies…
both sides trying to protect their own aerospace industry…