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Ship 741

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Viewing 15 posts - 61 through 75 (of 737 total)
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  • in reply to: United Airlines orders 150 737NG/MAX #537139
    Ship 741
    Participant

    kinda surprising, one would think that with 150ish A319/320’s already in the fleet AND a need to continue to play the manufacturers against each other that UAL would have ordered some more ‘busses. Big win for Boeing IMO.

    in reply to: Airbus to assemble A320 in USA #537164
    Ship 741
    Participant

    Hey Merlin….hate to bust your bubble but the CF6-80C2 beats the crappy PW4000 in both fuel consumption AND reliability…..these are well known facts in the industry.

    in reply to: 777 and the Folding Wings #537191
    Ship 741
    Participant

    I never understood at all why this concept was so controversial to some. It seemed like a good idea to me at the time, and still does. I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw it at some time in the future. If they A380 had it, perhaps LAX wouldn’t have to shut down half the airport whenever one was taxiing.

    in reply to: Airbus to assemble A320 in USA #537196
    Ship 741
    Participant

    However, limited delivery slots will force airlines to take the MAX (and maybe more importantly for the longer term future; the CSeries).

    Thus, the new factory. I’m thinking that the time needed to build the factory dovetails nicely with the time required to design and certify the NEO……the factory and the plane should both be coming on line at the same time.

    in reply to: Airbus to assemble A320 in USA #537325
    Ship 741
    Participant

    I wonder if the Alabama plant will increase the standing of Airbus at Delta? American has already ponied up to the NEO, but Delta will need a large order in the next few years to replace ancient MD-88, used MD-90s, and old A320’s. I could see Delta ordering 2-300 airplanes in a two or three years (assuming they continue to reduce debt in the meantime). By the time Delta needs large numbers of narrowbodies, the NEO should be up an running, or just about so.

    Delta has always been a lukewarm Airbus customer, only ordering 9 A310’s themselves, all the other 310’s, 320’s and 330’s were inherited from the mergers/acquisitions with Pan Am an Northwest, perhaps this Ala. factory tips the balance to Airbus for future Delta orders.

    in reply to: Airbus to assemble A320 in USA #537341
    Ship 741
    Participant

    The A330 was TOO BIG for the USAF. The USAF needed a large number of frames, for the same amount of money they could buy proportionally more 767s than A330’s. The 330 delivered more fuel per pound of fuel consumed, because it is bigger, the way that a bigger airplane has an advantage on low seat miles costs because of the the larger number of seats to spread the cost around on. IMHO, the big mistake the USAF made on the tanker decision was buying crap-tastic PW4000 engines. They bought the engine that had higher fuel consumption AND less reliability…..politics.

    IMHO Airbus assembling in Alabama is a win-win for everyone, though I assume some politicians and trade unionists in Europe will have a little heartburn….as should be expected. But, hey, they’ve got to compete in a worldwide market for labor just like everyone else. I believe Boeing is slowly moving out of Washington state, it’ll take 50 years, but they began by moving the HQ to Chicago, the next step was building the factory in Charleston. The next big hurdle is increasing the production rate at CHS while maintaining quality. The Democrat unionists in Washington have had some very harsh words for the people in South Carolina.

    in reply to: Airbus to assemble A320 in USA #537606
    Ship 741
    Participant

    A Boeing plant in Europe, why not?

    WRT Western Europe, the “why not” would be the massive taxation on persons and corporations to support a social welfare system that is clearly unsustainable and might even be said to be on the verge of collapse.

    If Boeing were ever to assemble in Europe, my guess is that the plant would be somewhere in Eastern Europe. Even that is a long shot IMHO.

    in reply to: Next leap in airliner safety? #537951
    Ship 741
    Participant

    To me, the interesting thing about 447 is that the airplane had AOA information from the AOA vanes, and also a relatively accurate velocity readout from the IRU section of the ADIRU’s. But system architecture is such that those weren’t shown to the pilots or used by the computers as backups in the event the pitot static system failed/froze.

    No one mentions this because its still the case on thousands of airliners, and after all, it’s always easiest to just blame crashes on pilots.

    in reply to: 747 prices tumble #539822
    Ship 741
    Participant

    Ok….lets consider, for example, your argument using SFO. Hasn’t JAL already said they’re going to start 787 service from Japan to SJC? They’re using a smaller, long range airplane to avoid SFO and deliver the business pax nearer to where they want to go, the silicon valley.

    I see this happening over and over. Only a few airports (LHR for example) are resisting the urge to expand, and in some of those cases, alternatives exist.

    in reply to: Interesting VLA delivery factoid…. #539826
    Ship 741
    Participant

    Agreed that they wanted to break Boeing’s dominance, but that market was disappearing anyway……..they (A and B, A380/B748) have been competing for a shrinking market……the VLA demand is not sufficient to support one VLA, let along two.

    in reply to: 747 prices tumble #539860
    Ship 741
    Participant

    I see that market starting to rebound over the next 15-20 years.

    The driver will be lack of runway slots. The airlines will be forced to carry 500 passengers in one slot than 550 in 2.

    I don’t buy that argument.

    What do ORD, ATL, HND, FRA, CDG, SEA, and HKG all have in common? They’ve all added runways in the last 10-15 years. In HKG, of course, they built a whole new airport that doubled runway capacity, and they are now talking about building a third. Then consider that China has more than 60 airport construction projects going right now…..there was an article in Aviation Week last year, the amount of airport construction in China right now is mind boggling. They have at least 6 airports under construction right now that will copy the 4 parallel runway layout of ATL/CDG/LAX. Imagine building 6 CDG’s in one country! And I haven’t even mentioned KIX, which is now talking about a third runway!

    The “old gateways” of JFK, SFO, and LHR, will continue to be marginalized by long range twins overflying them and lack of political will to expand.

    in reply to: 747 prices tumble #539866
    Ship 741
    Participant

    BA have recently been bugging Boeing to provide details of the next iteration of the 777 series, as they want to examine whether to wait for it to come into service to replace their 747-400s, or to order something else in the meantime.

    http://www.bizjournals.com/seattle/morning_call/2012/04/emirates-british-airways-want-new.html

    I don’t believe Boeing will upgrade the 777 until they are forced to by the arrival of the A350. I know they have been studying various 777X options, but believe they will only pull the trigger when they are forced to, until then they will build and sell as many 773ERs as they can.

    in reply to: 747 prices tumble #539869
    Ship 741
    Participant

    Quite…I wonder what the per seat cost differences are for a BA 747-400 and 777 on the same route?

    When I fly to the UK its on a BA 747-400, I assume they’re still using them because they have them and are probably paid for.
    Or it because it’s usually full and the 777 doesn’t have enough seats?

    Boeing has said in marketing campaigns that the 777-300ER carries 90% of the payload but only burns 70% of the fuel. Many factors go into total cost/seat, but it is possible to “guesstimate” fuel/seat. Fuel always varies based on a lot of factors, but a “ballpark” burn for a 772 is about 17,000 lb/hr (7.7 tonnes), the 773ER is about 20,000 (9 t). A 744 burns about 25,000 (11.4), GE’s a little less. Not sure about RR on the 744, once again these burns vary based upon many factors but I believe they are reasonably accurate. If you know the seating capacity, you can use the numbers above to get a rough estimate of fuel burn per seat. Near as I can tell, a nice ballpark number for the A380 is about 32,000 or 14.5 t.

    in reply to: 747 prices tumble #540026
    Ship 741
    Participant

    Not a new trend…….the industry has been moving away from large airplanes for years, thus Boeing’s forecast that investment in an all-new large plane was not justified by return on investment, and this also explains why the A380 will never obtain a positive ROI, and why 748 sales are so slow.

    ETOPS created market fragmentation and the trend continues.

    In the inevitable A vs B argument, the part that gets over looked is that the 748 and A380 sales combined are paltry.

    in reply to: A380 having a cracking time #544563
    Ship 741
    Participant

    If you want to see how much an aircraft can be patched up, you only have to
    look at one of the USAF’s KC-135s.

    If I had just spent 200 million Euros on my new “state of the art” 500 seater, I really wouldn’t want to be comparing it to a 55 year old military tanker.

Viewing 15 posts - 61 through 75 (of 737 total)