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Ship 741

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  • in reply to: QANTAS delays A380 deliveries #544821
    Ship 741
    Participant

    27vet, I can appreciate that argument, without agreeing or disagreeing, simply because so many people feel that way.

    Having said that, I don’t think any large airline is ordering or not ordering the A380 because of the design of the Flight Control System. IMHO, the lack of orders is due more to the fact that the airplane that is too big for a market that is fragmenting, and this fragmentation trend which began well before the A380, has now been exacerbated by a contracting world economy. IMHO, election of enviro-nazi leftist politicians like Obama, and soon Hollande, will only exacerbate the economic malaise, as only economic growth will cure it.

    And keep in mind also that this is the small A380, the airplane was clearly built to be stretched and the still-born 900 continues to languish. If the small 380 is too big……well, what does that say about the stretch version?

    in reply to: QANTAS delays A380 deliveries #544834
    Ship 741
    Participant

    i believe the deferral of these few airplanes at this time is fairly significant. definitely not a “mountain” but in light of the very few orders for the airplane (only about half way to break even) and in light of the rumored 10 A380 cancellations from the Chinese, well, it seems significant to me.

    in reply to: QANTAS delays A380 deliveries #545072
    Ship 741
    Participant

    The Delta service is a 777, a 767 can’t fly that far, at least not without aux tanks!

    I believe the UAL service that has competed head to head with Q for many years is a PW powered 744.

    in reply to: QANTAS delays A380 deliveries #545078
    Ship 741
    Participant

    I’m thinking that the seat mile costs vary widely dependent upon seating configuration, route length, etc. KAL is, I believe, only seating 407 peeps on their A380’s, whereby most other airlines seem to be in the 510-530 seat range. The same holds true for competitors: For example Air France has a seating configuration on the 777-300 of 472 seats (!). I would wager that a 472 seat 777 has a huge seat mile cost advantage over a 407 seat A380.

    Having said all that, I don’t have direct/insider knowledge but believe that an 525 seat A380 has very competitive seat mile costs on most 4-5000 nm routes. The bigger question is can you fill those 525 seats at an acceptable price/yield day after day after day?

    I’m one who believes the industry has been moving towards smaller airplanes and twins for 20 years now and that the A380 was a tremendous mistake. Imagine how prettily Airbus would be sitting if they had developed a bigger twin (bigger than the A330) instead of the A380. IMHO by the time the market recovers and sufficient demand develops for a 500 seater, the A380 will be obsolete, overtaken by more advanced designs. Perhaps there won’t be any significant market for such a large plane for 20 years? Let alone a stretch/-900. Where would the A380 program be without Emirates? Where are the large Asian orders?

    With QANTAS specifically, they seem to have had really bad timing with regard to LAX-SYD-LAX. They upgauged service, replacing their 747 with an A380 (roughly 100 seats larger) into service about the same time that a new competitor (Delta) started up on that route with a 269 seat airplane. If Delta stole 100 pax a day, and QANTAS put a plane 100 seats larger into service at the same time, I’d say that would depress yields and loads.

    in reply to: Airbus A380 At 50 #547959
    Ship 741
    Participant

    Generic message, fill in the day

    The other day, Emirates XX A380 performed its first lavatory flush.

    in reply to: China bars its airlines from paying EU carbon tax #554309
    Ship 741
    Participant

    I agree with the Chinese and Bemused.

    in reply to: Cracks Discovered in the wings of A380 #557026
    Ship 741
    Participant

    All aluminum airplanes crack. And I’m pretty sure all the primary wing structure on the A380 is aluminum. The report doesn’t give a good indication where the cracks are located, if they are propogating, and at what rate. Airbus saying they are secondary is good enough for me.

    A report of this type might be alarming to the layman, but reeks of sensationalism to those experienced in the industry.

    in reply to: Delta's Last DC-9's #557477
    Ship 741
    Participant

    It seems somewhat ironic to me that the company that produced such a superior product didn’t survive. The marketplace really isn’t fair sometimes.

    No one has even mentioned how revoluntionary the DC-9 was in 1965 with the two pilot cockpit. Two engines, two pilots, and beat the 737 into service by several years!

    Plusses: “built like a tank,” reliable/simple flight controls, small enough to get in and out of many smaller cities’ airports, efficient (at the time it was built), an aft airstair, an APU (rarity in 1965).

    Minuses: Poor “hot and high” performance, aft engines prone to picking up FOD, noisy cockpit with windows prone to squealing, poor air conditioning during high ambient temps on the ground, relatively high cockpit workload compared to today’s aircraft (especially for the right seater).

    There is really no reason why Delta or any other airline couldn’t operate the type indefinitely. Like the 757, there isn’t today a real replacement for this aircraft….though the latest round of Embraers are approaching it. Hopefully the 717’s and MD-90’s will remain operational for some time.

    in reply to: Breakthrough in AF 447 search #558283
    Ship 741
    Participant

    QF 72 final report published:

    http://www.atsb.gov.au/media/3532398/ao2008070.pdf

    And then there is NWA 8 and TAM 8091:

    http://www.ntsb.gov/aviationquery/brief.aspx?ev_id=20090706X72654&key=1

    I was unaware of the NWA and TAM events until this weekend. The 330 certainly seems to be developing a history of these types of events.

    Ship 741
    Participant

    Fact is, no one knows the commercial arrangements made on the 764 or the A342, thus no one here can say whether they were “successful” (ie., profitable) or not.

    If they had “made money” the next layer of critiques would be did they make enough to obtain an “adequate” ROI? Who knows? The bottom line is that we are enthusiasts and speculators and it’s kind of supposed to be fun, isn’t it?

    The fact is that the 767 line has had a pretty good run, and it is going to continue on awhile longer. IMHO, if more efficient engines were available for upgrade, it would run an quite a while longer. The airplane that ushered in ETOPS lives on!

    in reply to: Breakthrough in AF 447 search #558691
    Ship 741
    Participant

    27vet, I agree with you. I, too, continue to wonder why the pitot tube manufacturer, and the safety regulator escape scrutiny for this crash. The problem with the pitot tubes was well known, why was it not mandatory to replace them, instead of optional?

    Its well documentated that most current airline pilots are not trained in the scenario this crew encountered.

    in reply to: Ultra long-haul flights #562332
    Ship 741
    Participant

    Imho these ULH flights are one of the reasons why the 787 has a lower cabin altitude and humidity control.

    On the one hand, it’s easy to see that ULH flying will continue to grow as the 787 rolls out……it is smaller, thus more suitable for long, thin routes. It is also extremely efficient, which might make those routes profitable.

    On the other hand, how much demand is there between relatively few city pairs? For those few city pairs, one can generally find a hub to connect in, and many people prefer to break up the flight anyway. Also, with the state of the world economy, one wonders how much demand will exist for these flights. I suppose, once the economy gets rolling again, India and China will be the main destinations, from all over the world.

    One also wonders about the sociological aspects of making all these cultures so much closer together…how will people who want to live under sharia law cohabitate with those who do not…..not to mention the medical factors, drug-resistant TB for example. Pretty scary stuff really.

    in reply to: 787 news thread #562559
    Ship 741
    Participant

    Now there is a place that I normally look to for answers to technical questions: The U.S. GAO.

    Sarcasm intended.

    in reply to: All Qantas flights grounded. #562567
    Ship 741
    Participant

    Now whilst I am a firm believer in workers rights this is a situation that has been building for a while in the old large airlines. They are no longer state sponsered monopolies that were also in a price fixing cabal with each other. They now have to compete with younger airlines who charge much less and don’t give the kind of perks and pay conditions of the old airlines. Certainly a sad situation especially for the workers but the other option is the airline going belly up!

    Agree completely. Why is it that so many established workers in the “first world” seem to think that their employers are the enemy, and that they are owed a living just by the fact that they are breathing the air?

    in reply to: 787 news thread #564259
    Ship 741
    Participant

    The actual empty weight must be a closely guarded secret…though I would think it will be leaking out shortly. I would think a lot of people at ANA would have the appropriate level of computer access to find out what that number is.

    6/219=2.7% That doesn’t seem like a huge amount to me, not sure how much other programs have been overweight at first delivery.

Viewing 15 posts - 76 through 90 (of 737 total)