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Rii

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  • in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2184647
    Rii
    Participant

    LCH undergoes testing at Forward Landing Base at Siachen, highest for any attack helicopter. IOC is close now.

    LCH looks much better with different paintjob!

    I am unclear on the relationship between LCH and the “Rudra” variant of Dhruv. Are they intended to serve different roles? Was Rudra a backup in case LCH was delayed or otherwise didn’t work out?

    in reply to: PLA video shows China defeating the US #2184683
    Rii
    Participant

    So how do we know this is a PLA sponsored or produced video?

    Not that it’s a terribly big deal in any case. Just because America has so many enemies they can pretend like their latest war fantasy doesn’t represent any particular one of them doesn’t mean all nations have that luxury. And of course as the video clearly indicates, the Chinese are merely responding to a first strike against them, and therefore embody the forces of righteousness and liberty.

    in reply to: RuAF News and development Thread part 14 #2184691
    Rii
    Participant

    NK-32 production would have restarted regardless of PAK-DA and Tu-160M2, the primary reason for restart is because new engines are needed for the current Tu-160’s.

    Yes, NK-32 is needed to re-engine existing Tu-160s. So, given that you are already committed to production and update of NK-32, why would you not also employ a non-afterburning derivative of this engine on PAK DA, thereby saving on development costs and leveraging economies of scale?

    Of course the same question can be asked of PD-14. And my answer to that is that Russian MoD has shown a marked indifference to incorporating the latest engine technologies in its fielded platforms, from AL-31F equipping the bulk of even new-build Flankers in 2015 to PS-90 for MTA, and even the reported conservatism of various upcoming engine programs themselves.

    The circumstances under which a PD-14 derivative for PAK DA would be most compelling is if the PAK DA program is going to be so delayed that there will be ample time to develop any and all desired variants of PD-14, and that the revived NK-32 line will be shut down again before it could be utilised for PAK DA. Needless to say, this is a depressing prospect.

    in reply to: RuAF News and development Thread part 14 #2185185
    Rii
    Participant

    Russia is not interested in PD-14 for Il-214/MTA, why would they suddenly buy into it for PAK DA? It makes little sense to do things piecemeal.

    NK-32 equipping both PAK DA and Tu-160 is surely part of the economic rationale for resuming NK-32 production, as is planned. The airflow requirements for an engine like NK-32 also help to make sense of the in-wing intakes long rumoured for PAK DA: B-2 arrangement would not offer sufficient airflow.

    in reply to: Is the J-20 the least maneuverable 5th gen? #2185467
    Rii
    Participant

    Since the original question was “Is the J-20 the least maneuverable 5th gen?”

    J-20 has the longest road compared to the others.

    Only because there is no “road” when it comes to addressing the fundamental shortcomings of an airframe design.

    in reply to: RuAF News and development Thread part 14 #2185471
    Rii
    Participant

    Theory on rumoured revival of Tu-160 production: PAK DA has been downsized to a design powered by 2x NK-32M.

    I’ve long been sceptical of both the necessity and affordability of a PAK DA powered by 4x NK-32M when an aircraft powered by three or even two such engines would seem capable of fulfilling strategic requirements, whilst being easier on the pocketbook and serving as a more practical replacement for Tu-22 and Tu-95. Note that even without thrust upgrade, 2x NK-32 still generates 90% as much dry thrust as the B-2’s 4x F118s, and probably has better fuel efficiency too given NK-32’s much greater bypass ratio. A downsizing of PAK DA not only makes considerable sense of its own accord, but also makes sense of recent rumours surrounding the program, and as a response to recent economic circumstances. Most significantly, it would also make help to make some sense of the rumour of revived Tu-160 production.

    in reply to: Is the J-20 the least maneuverable 5th gen? #2185492
    Rii
    Participant

    Personally, i expect a 20-24 ship peak production rate for j20 and its subsequent variants, achieved perhaps by as early as 2020, then going on for some 15-20 years before it starts dwindling and a new plane takes it place by 2040 or so. So overall maybe 500-ish or so airframes…

    I think 20-24 airframes/yr is what we’ll see in the 2020-2025 era, ramping to 60+ airframes/yr thereafter as both Flanker and J-10 lines are shut down by 2025 and are replaced with at most one, and quite possibly no new clean-sheet designs, with further diversification of J-20 by late 2020s in the form of carrier-based and strike-oriented variants to replace JH-7.

    in reply to: Is the J-20 the least maneuverable 5th gen? #2186275
    Rii
    Participant

    20yrs from now J-20 will be the second-most numerous fifth gen design in existence (behind F-35*) with all niggling issues (propulsion, systems maturity, etc.) long since resolved whilst maintaining the advantages associated with a large airframe.

    * Indeed, given that F-35 production will likely cease as soon as US 6th gen gets off the ground in early 2030s, whilst J-20 has the basic characteristics required to allow it to evolve to meet emerging threats and requirements, by the 2040s J-20 could well become the most produced 5th gen aircraft in history.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2187557
    Rii
    Participant

    I don’t see the F-35 a viable alternative to T-50, or an effective counter-measure to J-20. Nowadays, F-35s winning against ex-Kiwi Skyhawks is already considered a success.

    I agree that F-35 would not be a good substitute for FGFA, I merely assume that most scenarios that would see India abandon FGFA (leaving aside the question of why on earth one would do this…) involve acquiring F-35 in its place.

    The other alternative is for India to put all its faith in AMCA meeting or exceeding all timeline and performance goals. Given the track record to date, this would be wildly optimistic.

    PAK-FA would still be an alternative for FGFA if the cost is too high. Not everything needs to be MKI-ized at all cost, although I understand it’s a viable opportunity for Indian industry to develop itself further.

    If there is local production, then there will be some form of indigenisation. And it is local production that offers the best prospects for an order book stretching into the 2030s. As such, Russia should be doing everything possible to facilitate such arrangements and satisfy Indian stakeholders, including such indigenisation measures as are practical.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2187707
    Rii
    Participant

    If PAK-FA is not inducted in IAF before 2025 then what is the point of having it at the first place.

    What else would you buy to replace FGFA in the IAF orbat? There is nothing out till >2035 and even that is entirely speculative. It is FGFA or surrender aerial superiority to China, with the optional bonus (through F-35) of loss of operational sovereignty to the US.

    There is no alternative to FGFA for India, and once in production/service the orders will continue to flow, as they have for Su-30MKI.

    in reply to: Horrible aircraft deals in the past 30 years #2187752
    Rii
    Participant

    Indonesia and Hawk

    Australia and SH-2G(A)

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2187766
    Rii
    Participant

    Only a fool would imagine that the political maneuvers and machinations of 2015 have any bearing on the number of FGFAs India will ultimately acquire.

    But then I guess that would be the same kind of fool that considers USAFs plans for 20,000 F-35s to be even vaguely credible and offers as evidence the fact that the number has remained unchanged since 1976 despite all other relevant factors having changed beyond recognition.

    The precise number of T-50s India will ultimately acquire will be decided no earlier than the late 2020s, and probably some way into the 2030s.

    in reply to: RuAF News and development Thread part 14 #2188301
    Rii
    Participant

    The drive towards the small precision weapons is directly due to the kind of combat conditions Western armies have had in their….”adventures” off-shore. Don’t think the Russian military sees that as a priority as much as larger, more traditionally-purposed munitions. The rest of the advances you mentioned are just the state of the art for the past ~two decades so it is not surprising the latest Russian offerings are similar to the post Cold War American+ Euro munitions.

    Undoubtedly that is part of it, but then most of the munitions Russia is introducing now or in the near future are (greatly) enhanced versions of existing Cold War-era designs. Under the circumstances this is entirely sensible, but a decade from now when Russia is well stocked with modern munitions I would not be at all surprised if we start seeing analogues to SDB et al. emerge.

    in reply to: RuAF News and development Thread part 14 #2188548
    Rii
    Participant

    What is indicated by the MiG-29KR designation? How does it differ from MiG-29K for Indian Navy?

    in reply to: The best and worst looking 5th gen fighter thread #2188755
    Rii
    Participant

    Do you believe that countries have their own specific artistic style, when it comes to planes?

    Yes, with aircraft as with all other things, but the golden age has already been and gone. The development of distinctive cultural forms requires constant reinforcement and evolution in the form of new ideas from fresh minds given the freedom and material resources to realise their visions, preferably in at least partial isolation from outside influences. The complexity, timelines, and budgets of modern aircraft programs all but preclude the healthy development of a distinctive culture.

    In this respect China is probably the only nation with a brighter future ahead of it than behind, with the predominantly foreign influences of the past being gradually supplanted by indigenous efforts fueled by the nation’s broader development. China’s recent twin-Predator UAV (and the unique objectives of the Divine Eagle project that it serves) is an example of the ongoing emergence of a distinctively Chinese aerospace and broader martial and technological culture. Conversely, with the exception of post-WW2 Japan and Germany, the UK provides the clearest example of the slow demise of a once distinctive aerospace culture.

Viewing 15 posts - 421 through 435 (of 3,311 total)