Well here we go again. Lets face facts folks. We have the folks on this forum who realize what kind of threat the West is facing and know that the bad guys do not want to talk because they see the West is weak and they smell blood when they strap bombs to their kids. Then we have the folks on this forum who are “whistling past the graveyard” who want to appease, back down and sellout Israel so they can go back to their Ipods, Blackberrys, MySpace, Playstations and Plasma TVs with 400 channels of s%^t and escape from reality because its too tough for them to face.
SO CAN WE GET BACK TO THE TOPIC PLEASE.
Dear Member,
You are correct. The subject was military issues and not world politics. I have deleted my message. Nexts to religious discussions politics is #2 when it comes to killing forums that deal with military issues. Again, my apologizes.
Jack E. Hammond
As opposed to a C-802 that failed to detonate.
Daniel
Dear Member,
Could be. But a lot of Chinese source on the internet are saying it was a C-701 which would be far easier to hide and fire. But having said that the Israelis reported a second missile sunk a Cambodian freighter. I am still betting on the C-701 as it is with its TV guidance system a lot harder to detect coming and jam or decoy. Plus just the shear size of the C-802.
Jack E. Hammond
The Matador-link shows the following link-location:
Please edit it 🙂
Sorry! Done.
Jack E. Hammond
Folks,
Please click the following link and look at the photos closely.
http://84.95.240.242/~hnn/index.php?module=albums;task=view;id=1046
I had heard the average Israeli soldier was not as professional as in the past (1/3 now try to get out of the draft now). But the above link explains the story. The Russians are not lying about the supply of the Metis-M AT-7 Saxhorn. What Hezbollah has obtained besides the older SAGGER (which everyone knew they had for a long time) but also replacement for the AT-3 Sagger, the 2000 meter range AT-4 and 4000 meter range AT-5, which is similar in size and ability to the French/German MILAN. Both missiles use the same launcher and the bottom photo of the containers with the one with the wider base are AT-5 missiles. A lot of other nations produce the laucher and the missiles for the AT-4 and AT-5. Some of these arms manufactures secretly on the blackmarket. The AT-4 lacks the penetration to take on a Merkeva (but plenty for a building) but the AT-5 could easily take on any armored vehicle if it can get any shot, but a frontal shot. So now the mystery maybe is solved.
Just as everyone in Israel should have figured out that it could not have been the Chinese C-802 that hit that Israeli warship (its warhead would have blown a missile corvette that size out of the water) but instead the C-701 which Iran also has and is far simpler to use but has a warhead only half the size.
Jack E. Hammond
PS> Click the nexts link and look at the 9th or 10th photo. Interesting.
http://84.95.240.242/~hnn/index.php?module=albums;task=view;id=1037
Folks,
A high Russian defense official has stated that Russia has not supplied any modern antitank weapons which were supplied to Hezbollah as the Israeli Army is claiming. Especially the RPG-29. Some of Israelis supporters are stating that 1000s of RPG-29s were captured in Afghanistan when the Russians were there and supplied to Hezbollah.
I hate to be the one defending the Russians but it may be they are telling the true. While this is not popular to say, the Russians never supplied their most modern weapon to the Arabs. And Russia could not have lost thousands of the two man RPG-29s launchers in Afghanistan as that weapon did not enter service till 1998. Nor one man RPG-26/27 for the same reason (although it was operational in 1995). The major infantry unguided (the Russians did not bring guided antitank weapons to Afghanistan)the Russians used was the RPG-7 and the RPG-18 (the first everyone knows about the second one is a Russian copy of the US M72 LAW).
But these weapons don’t really interest me and most likely don’t interest the IDF. You have to get close to use those weapons. And the IDF is good at countering close in infantry antitank teams. The weapon that the IDF has brought up that is of concern is the Russian Metis-M what NATO calls the AT-7 Saxhorn. It is an advanced (but relatively cheap and easy to use) wire guided antitank weapon. It has a warhead that can defeat any main battle tank from the sides, rear and top. This is the weapon that the IDF claims that Hezbollah is using to hit its tanks and other armored vehicles with, plus hitting buildings in south Lebanon villages that IDF forces look into to clear. BUT why has the IDF not shown a captured laucher and container? After all this time you would think they would have one.
Personally, I think in the shock of the early killing of its tanks and deaths of its soldiers which was totally unexpected the IDF made a mistake that the Arabs have done since 1947 and jumped to a conclusion as a fact. For example in the 1967 War the Arabs swore up and down that the USN was helping the IDF air force and that the IDF-AF had super secrete weapons that homed in on aircraft on the ground. In reality after the war the Israelis admitted their #1 weapon was the internal 30mm cannons on their fighters.
Last, when this all started up I stated that many defense experts had stated that Hezbollah was sending some its fighters to Iran where they could train over and over and over for months on the 3000 meter AT-3 SAGGER (which Iran produces under license from China of an advance warhead version that can do the deed against even the Merkeva if it can get a side, top or rear hit). Yes it is a very old antitank missile (used in the 1973 Arab-Israeli War) and is very inaccurate under 500 meters, unlike the Metis-M which is a lot simpler to use and requires only 1/10 the training, but if you have the time to train your gunners and more important stocks of practice missiles to fire, they can get extremely good. Just as Israeli pilots became snipers with the 30mm cannons on their French fighters. And more important if Iran is producing them, they can easily “sanitize” the parts of their AT-3 SAGGERs so they can not be traced back to Iran.
Jack E. Hammond
Nice post, but the above caption is wrong. As later mentioned the 9M113 is Konkurs. The launcher is unified for the two missiles which equate to Milan and HOT respectively.
The list doesn’t seem to include Tank gun launched missiles nor other ground launched systems like Krisanthema or AT-6/-9 SHTURM/ATAKA.
BTW the comments about the panzerfaust being the first in the RPG series is a little flippant. The panzerfausts were more like recoiless rifles in that they were blasted out of their tubes but they didn’t have sustainer rocket motors and so lacked the range of the Russian systems we know as the RPG series that have two methods of propulsion.
Dear Garry,
The first Russian RPG weapon was based on the Panzerfaust 150 (the 150 means its effective range) which went into production in the very last days of the war and it is not known if it saw combat. The first widely used RPG was the RPG-2 which did not have a rocket motor which kicked in after it had cleared the tube a safe distance. While the RPG-2 did not have the effetive range or armor penetration of the famous RPG-7 the Chinese version of the RPG-2 the B-40 had a shallower cone in its HEAT warhead and had a much better blast effect against fortifications and lightly armored vehicles like armored trucks in convoys. Some NVA units kept their RPG-2 even when the RPG-7 became available for assaults on artillery fire based in South Vietnam.
Jack E. Hammond
st
Dear Sean,
Thank you. I can’t understand why that other person (he is with the US Navy Public Affairs Office I think) can not.
Jack E. Hammond
american advice on civilian casualties and HR is strictly reserved for others like russia. the true extent of civilian casualties & suffering in Fallujah before the US govt called that off can only be known in fragments…..but nyet you “cant” do it in grozny. :p
imagine if a pliant drunkard like yeltsin had been in charge, russia would be 5 extra countries by now.
Dear Member,
Actually the civilian causaulties in Fallujah were light. Almost the whole civilian population (and some of the insurgents) had left the city under the window given by the US Army/Marines. Not to say the US was pandering to Moslem nations and condemning Russia about Grozny for what the US would have done if it was their turn. The bad guys use the built up urban areas and try to keep the civilian from leaving for one reason only. And it is not a tactical military reason (although there are tactical military reasons to use ubran areas, but you get the civilian population clear unless you fear the enemy will abuse them) but for what is called THE CNN EFFECT.
Jack E. Hammond
seem ironic,John McCain ( and other neo con)denounced Russian tactic during the battle for Grozny,(satelite photo show before and after) same tactic later use by US army during the battle for Fullujah and israel invasion of lebanon.
Dear Member,
The US government made a “very serious” error in condemning Russia over Grozny. Just as warned when many in the US condemned Russia over the accidental shoot down of the KAL airliner and then the chickens came home to roost when the USS Vinncennes shot down the Iranian Airbus. To give the Russians credit they did not award medals to all concerned when they shot down the KAL but the US Navy did over the Airbus.
The ONLY ubran areas that should be immune from military strikes are those declared “Open Cities” which means except for lightly armed police all military assets and persons have vacated the urban area.
Finally, I know this is going to raise some eyebrows. But the UN, NATO, US were all wrong in condemning Serbia (in this instance) for shelling Sarajevo. The Bosnian government did have military persons in that city. And it was the seat of the Bosnian government. It was fair game. Just as NATO and the US could make Serbia fair game in support of Bosnia.
Jack E. Hammond
Young… as far as im concerned your last 3 points pretty much amount to ethnic cleansing in a foreign country. You simply cannot march into a neighbouring country, expell the population, destroy their homes and replace it with a minefield. Any attempt at winning a hearts and mind campaign has been totally thrown out the window and to top it off you have basically handed the entire lebanese populace over to Hezbollah in a way that they could never have done on their own. Apart from that you would destroy any little peice of international support Israel has remaining and you would also do a damned good job of putting the support of the entire Arab world behind the Lebanese. The Syrians and Iranians dream that Israel would do something so politically stupid. This isnt a computer game.. you dont just kill all the enemies on a screen and the level is over. There are 4 million or so Lebanese and what you just mentioned would be the best way to turn the vast vast majority of them the enemy. I know if someone ordered me out of my home and turned my neighborhood into a flattened minefield i would make sure that i would return the favor or die trying.
Dear Member,
Wrong! The Geneva Convention even allows it. It is when you flat a village without warning, etc it is wrong. But after the warning if the protected persons stay they are on their own. During WW2 in Italy and France (or ally) it was the only way to do it unless you wanted to take massive causalties and in the Korean War it was also a standard tactic when the North Korean Army would use an urban area as a shield. In fact the US/UN would have lost the Korean War if they had not followed he policy you disagree with. North Korea would have located their artillery inside cities and forced the population to stay in the cities.
As to the 4 million Lebanese. It does not matter. The south part is all Shiaa. The nonShiaa parts have pretty well be left alone (Hezbollah has even started using some Christian villages in south Lebanon for rocket launchs know Israel does not really want to damage them as they are not actively supporting Hezbolllah.
As to the so called “hearts and minds”. A US Army colonel retired who was an FAO (foreign affairs officer) in the Middle East for 15 years wrote in ARMY (the largest association for the US Army) that it was a waste of time. Nothing that the West can do is going to change their mind about the West and Israel in particular. It is a lot like with the war with Japan and German. The American Civil War actually dragged out for about two more years with a massive lost of life than it should have over what we today called “hearts and minds”. After 1863 the Union realized it was a waste of time and got down to business.
And a good example of why groups like Hezbollah will not hug their civilian population and urban centers to reduce the effectiveness of modern state armies is in 1998 Turkey and Syria. Syria was giving training camps, weapons and safe haven to the Kurdish PKK group. AFter one horrible strike by the Pkk against a village and school in Turkey, Turkey moved it is reported 15 divisions to the Syrian border and ordered all 8 inch self propelled cannons (they are one of the few to still have the) to the border and told Syria to totally shut down and stop supporting PKK. Syria knew that with Turkey it would be a waste of time to use a city like the PLO did in Beirut. And they complied. Also Iran kept their mouths shut about the subject.
The US made two huge mistakes on this subject. The first time was when the Israelis made up their minds they weren’t going to take massive losses and use infantry to clean the PLO out of the edge of Beirut in 1982 (the civilian population had already left) and started with artillery and bombing big time. Reagan unfortunately who had never seen war watched the shelling and thought civilians were dying in large number (they weren’t, the biggest civilian deaths was when the Syrians took over about 1985 and finished off the Christian, Druze and Sunni militias pretty well leveling Beirut). He forced Begin to call it off. That set a bad precedent that a lot of Arabs and Moslems noticed. Then came Chechnya and Grozny. The US made another huge error again in condemning Russia (Russia had tried once without artillery and we know the results). Since then the Moslem world has claimed a Kings-X in warfare.
Finally, it is not a matter of “if” but “when” about the Geneva Convention of 1949. There is no way the US and other nations can combat a military force like Hezbollah unless it is willing to take massive causaulties. The subject of the Geneva Convention 1949 will have to be revisited. In fact I predict that some nations will withdraw from the GC 1949 and revert back to the pre-1954 (when it went into effect) laws of warfare.
Jack E. Hammond
* “Those in control of territory must endeavor to remove the civilian
population, individual civilians and civilian objects under their control from
the vicinity of military objects; Avoid locating military objectives within or
near densely populated areas; Take the other necessary precautions to protect civilian population, individual civilians and civilian objects under their
control against the dangers resulting from military operations.” (Article 58
of the Protocal Relating to the Protection of Victims of International Armed
Conflicts, Geneva Convention on Warfare 1949)
* The 1949 Geneva Convention convicts Hamas and Hezbollah both and would defend IDF actions in one sentence. That sentence makes up the entirety of Part 3, Article 1, Section 28. It reads: “The presence of a protected persons may not be used to render certain points or areas immune from military operations.”
* “While there are many things we can do in the field of information warfare
and cultural diplomacy, our main task is to contain the expansionist drive
within the Islamist movement. As history has shown again and again, when
totalitarian movements are contained they tend to implode. The radical
Islamist worldview can offer nothing to fellow Moslims except promises of
renewed glory. Its decline and ultimate demise will not be the result of
some hearts and minds campagin or a more balanced policy in the Middle East.
It will be brought about by a steadfast United States with a tough policy
that does not bend to intimidation, or allow the facilitators of violence in
the Western intelligentsia to minimize the Islamist outrages and and endemic
brutality.” (by Colonel Norvell B. DeAtkine in ARMY/January 2006 in an
article titled `Islam, Islamism and Terrorism”. Colonel DeAtkine-retired is a US
Army Foreign Area Specialists in Moslem nations and has lived in the Middle
East for 8 years and toured and study the Middle East for 15 years after)
http://www.israeli-weapons.com/weapons/missile_systems/anti-armor/gill_spike/Spike_MR-LR.html
Dear Doug,
It is more than just penetration (to be honest with top attack penetration is not that important). The JAVELIN has a soft launch which means it can be launched from enclosed spaces (TI spent a fortune developing that feature). Also it has a much more expensive seeker which is harder to jam and stays locked better.
Finally, check the link above.
Jack E. Hammond
Good info!
Can you tell us the relative merits of the Javelin system vs. Spike-MR?
Dear Doug,
I don’t have any connections with the defense industry since the early 1990s when I got out of the defense reporting business, I can only report what is publicly known. Basically the JAVELIN is the ultimate antiarmor weapon. The US Army insisted on a weapon that many considered gold plated in range, accuracy and penetration ability. It is a heavy missile compared to the Spike-MR/LR (sometimes the MR/LR version is called GILL). It is also extremely expensive. The Israelis believe that JAVELIN is over kill. For example a soldier with the JAVELIN can only carry one where with the Spike-MR/LR you can carry two. The big advantage of the SPIKE-MR/LR is its price which most reports state is 1/3 of the JAVELIN missile. Also, with the SPIKE-LR with the addition of the fiber optic cable module you have an increase of range to 4Km. I have been told by one of the few sources I have in Raytheon that their has been a new motor developed for the JAVELIN that drastically increases it range way beyond the reported 2200 meters. But with the fire and forget seeker you have problems when fired out to higher ranges. At those ranges the target can move suddenly and break the lock or fire off smoke grenades that blank out IR waves. With the fiber optic you have the ability to fire in the approximate location of your target and then lock on a lot closer.
Finally, check the following link out. It has the most photos of any place I have ever seen on the SPIKE MR/LR.
Jack E. Hammond
Dear Vaiar,
My most respectful apologizes. I had totally misunderstood your message at the end of your messages.
Btw, lovely people at that link. I mean lovely.
Jack E. Hammond
currently on of the hotly debated topic is hizb. actually manufacturing these missiles in lebanon as the confict is ongoing? There already reports of missiles evolving in terms of range and warhead supporting this claim. Just a few mins ago afula was hit by new type of katyusha strengthening this theory.
Dear Member,
Maybe Hezbollah is manufacturing those missiles. But I find it very hard to believe. “It isn’t rocket science.” is used to mean something is not the complex because rockets are. especially the rocket motors. Most reports state that the FAJR-3/5 are Iranian manufactured version of this Chinese (mainland) rocket. Only they are fired from single tube launchers.
Jack E. Hammond
http://www.scaic.com.cn/indexE.asp?modelname=e_cpzxin00_nr_ws1