Well, they had license to produce 200, which was paid in full already. As of now, they still haven’t hit that 200 yet. And even as recently as early 2010, the Russians were still delivering parts for su-27 as part of the original contract. So China has obviously paid for whatever the contract called for. They have not exported any J-11s, which would have competed against Russia in the export market.
And they were allow to indigenize the aircraft under the original agreement, so that’s what China did. The problem is that China didn’t go through the Russians with the upgrade packages. Those upgrades that Russia proposed simply didn’t fit the PLAAF requirements. That’s where Sukhoi lost out big time. But even now, Russia still gets quite a bit of money for after sales support and such.
Now by my calculation, they will hit the 200 mark for all J-11 series aircraft in the next year or so. I hope at that time they do agree on something where China pays a certain fee to be able to produce their own version of flankers for the future. China probably would not want Russia to know the exact number of flankers they produce, so it would not be a per aircraft fee.
As for consequences, they are already not supplying China with any AL-31F for the J-11 series aircraft.
I think PLAAF passed 200 number quite a time ago. I believe you are excluding at least J-11B. J-11B does not use Al-31F anyway so it is more like Chinese are not buying AL-31F engines rather than Russia’s not selling. Moreover, they have been delivering tons of engines to China, I don’t see much logic in not selling a specific type. J-15, J-20, J-10, H-6, F-17…. I cannot see any type of sanctions on China regarding any military equipment by Russia.
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