Croatia is practically bankrupt, so they will not buy any planes for now, they don’t have money to support their Migs. Most probably Italy or Hungary will provide air patrols over both, Slovenia and Croatia.
Here’s another question: How will current and future derivatives of active radar guided missiles perform versus current and future LO planes? Basically, how will meteors, aim120d, rvv-sd, pl-15 etc perform against f-22, f-35, j-20 etc.
A decade or two ago publications were usually saying how tracking VLO planes with small wavelengths would be terribly inefficient and how even if VLO planes would be detected, they wouldnt be tracked and they surely wouldnt be able to be fired upon as there’d be no way to target them.
But since then we’ve actually seen not a decline but a proliferation of active radar guidance on missiles. now it’s not just pure bvr class missiles getting ARH, but also shorter ranged, smaller missiles. Also for SAMs, where before command guidance or IR guidance was the main choice, now we have the likes of CAMM, VL mica or VL Iris-T SL, all with ARH guidance.
Would all that point to a certain portions of VLO planes that are very hard to hide in that sub X band spectrum? Stuff like tiny antennas and gaps between control surfaces, doors etc? Stuff that is usually considered too tiny to be picked up by tracking radars in fighters/awacs/land based SAMs (and at the same time too hard to change in shape or coat with RAM due to their design and mission), but is actually just of right size to be picked up by even smaller wavelengths used in missile radars?
Logic would suggest that we would not see such a proliferation of ARH seekers if such method would be useless against VLO planes.
In my opinion ARH missiles will have quite a hard work in modern environment will all different jammers around. At the end new 5th gen fighters will be equipped witj all ESM equipment, including jammers, DIRCM and smaller AAMs to shot down incoming AAMs or SAMs, so at the end PAK FA, Su-35, F-22 and F-35 will fight with each other with gun fire, where agility of fighter will become important (F-35???).
Not all SAMs are getting ARH. Russian SHORADs Pantsir-S1 and Tor-M2 keep radio guidance and medium range Pantsir-SM will also have radio guidance. They also keep IR guidance for VSHORAD and introduce laser guidance with Sosna missile. Russians will use ARH homing for bigger medium and long range missiles, where radar are bigger and more powerful and still combine with other types of guidance for any case. Small ARH missiles are good against civil planes, drones, rockets or third world countries, where is no danger of ECM from the target. In opposite I doubt small ARH missiles will be able to lock on anything in heavy ECM environment.
Don’t forget that the F-117 was shot down from less than 20km and no credible source claims that it should be undetectable at those kinds of ranges.
It was shot down by S-125, not by S-300, so it is normal range for S-125 as its max. range is around 30 km, depend on version. It was also done in heavy ECM as well as SEAD/DEAD environment.
For 4,8 billion $ Iraq should buy a lot of additional Mi-28NE (50+) with all weapons, trainings, etc and they are no worse than Apaches they will buy for so much money. With money for leasing 6 AH-64D, they could as well buy a squadron of Ka-52, not only lease.
Vhf-uhf radar complicates the game for sure. IADS ( like Nebo-m with 40r6, etc)all have one huge inherent weakness, even mobile radars take time to set up, move about. Stay in one place and radiate for too long and you become the hunted not the hunter. U.S. studied the issue of vhf radars on stealth in the 1980’s. They are still building LO assets. To my knowledge, they never really released any recommendations or findings, I looked. The DRFM countermeasures of new intergated defensive avionics suites are an interesting possibility.
http://ftp.rta.nato.int/public//PubFullText/RTO/MP/RTO-MP-SET-080///MP-SET-080-P07.pdf
I would also make a guess that there are still issues with long wavelength radar being susceptible to false returns and jamming as in the past. As I stated before, i dont think simply having a low radar sig is enough. Jamming, decoys, probably UCAVs are going to be critical to penetrating defended airspace.
Mix of different radars inside IADS will complicate it even more like big OTH radar behind, mobile EW radars with different wave lenghts and bistatic radars as Barrier.
New radars like Nebo-SVU, Nebo-M, Gamma-s, etc are highly mobile with quick deployment time, but in modern IADS, they could easily stay longer on the position. They have protecting equipment as Gazetchik MAWS with chaffs and flares complex, ELINT complexes as Avtobaza, Kolchuga, Orion, … with jammers and at the end they will be protected with Tor-M2, Pantsir-S1 or in future with Morphei SHORADs, to shot down any incoming treat to EW radars or bigger SAMs.
If stealth planes really want to be stealth for modern last generation IADS, then they have to turn off all radars, communications, radio navigation and altimeters, data links, etc, what could IADS ELINT complexes detect and triangulate and they could still be detected through visual observation posts.
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Don’t underesimate your missiles. Here Tochka-U achieve direct hit on Georgian military police Lada Niva.
Don’t forget on Kh-58UShKE anti-radar missile.
Yes Su-30 is a excellent type but how much will 24 air-frames cost plus how much will they cost to run for 30 year remember Argentina has no money and Su-30 burns a lot of fuel
Kfir is old plane using Phantom engine. Where will Argentina find spare parts for them after 10 years? How expensive will they be? What about structure of those planes? How tired materials are? Kfirs for sure see the war in ME and Israelis didn’t spare them.
Why should Argentina spend so much money on old planes? They should buy 24 Su-30MK from Irkut with Bars-M radar, TVC and Democles targeting pod and will have excellent twin engine multirole fighter for next 30-40 years.
Venezuelan AF also have behind very strong IADS with S-300V, Buk, Pechora-2M, Tor, etc. They don’t have AWACS, but good IADS could still give to fighters excellent air target delivery.
On another note, something that i just realized recently. The Su-34 does not appear to have a MAWS, even if the much older Su-24M does. Have i missed seeing it, or what’s the story there ? Thanks.
Honestly, I don’t know. Su-34 equipment is still kept in secret and it also doesn’t have visible RWR sensors. Could be, that a lot of stuff is hiden inside its body, not to be seen. Considering it is fighter-bomber designed to work in heavy IADS environment, I doubt it is without ESM equipment as well as MAWS and LWR sensors. Could be, that they are just hiden somewhere in its body.
I think combination of Su-30 and J-10 could work well for Iraq as both types use same engines.
An interesting photo report from KnAAZ showing Su-35S and Su-30 under construction:
http://foto.rg.ru/photos/6c39137d/index.html#10Polygon episode on Yak-130:
http://russia2.tv/video/show/brand_id/23245/video_id/311176
The last picture of cockpit looks like from Su-33. Are they modernizing them or build additional ones?
Russia was out in this competition because of some reasons:
– S-300PMU versions are no more in production.
– S-400 will not be available for export for some time
– Russia is not willing to give technology transfer for S-300VM or S-400.
S-300VM is different than Greek S-300PMU-1 and more capable.
I’m really more surprised, that Turkey didn’t choose Patriot or SAMP/T.
NATO attack on Syria will be good test of newer Chinese early warning radars and electronic warfare equipment.
Another interesting article.
It seems Saudi Arabia is behind Syrian chemical attacks, so maybe NATO should bomb Saudi Arabia.