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  • in reply to: J-10 and the Israeli Connection (once more!) #2607203
    Flogger
    Participant

    There are so many visual differences, that would offcourse lead to differences in the components inside the plane. You dont have same components for different sizes.

    The differences are greater than the similarities between Lavi and J-10, so the people should first consider posting the similarities rather than just saying oh its similar koz I say so or posting a political story which includes several conspiracy theories.

    Lets hear the similarities rather than oh it somewhat looks similar,there are so many Warfare toys which look similar, but interestingly the logic that its similar becuase it was copied only applies to J-10..why? 😀 I am sure Israel would have been severely penalised if something like that did occur..but I dont see anything happened..Israel is getting all it wants and even what money cannot buy.

    Israel has been penalized by the US after her past behavior and deals with China according to the current US administration.

    In the J-10 you have two design teams helping China, one is the Israeli and the other was the Russian, the end Product bears the Chengdu label.

    You have two systems acknowledged by the Israeli and Chinese. radar and missile, and one unacknowledged the Airframe, the Lavi is to the J-10 as the Have Blue is to the F-117, a base, but of of course in the F-117, Have blue, you know it was a technology demostrator.
    Because it is unconfirmed reports since the official Israeli position is the Lavi technology that was offered to China was only avionics and radar well the US intelligence services can only accuse Israel of transfering US technologies, something that is partially true becuase the Lavi had some US suppliers and some US assistance.

    The Idea that Israel did not transfer the technology lies among the indigenous theorists in the fact the Lavi is not cloned in the J-10 so it implies is a pure Chinese design.

    Aircraft like the IDF Ching Kuo is based in the F-16 and compared to it it has more differences just judging by it`s airframe than the IAI Lavi and the J-10.

    They claimed size matters really? MiG-25/31 different size same origin.

    There is Israeli involvemnet in the J-10, that is a fact however how much well difficult to know but for the current US administration it seems that Israel has dealed more than it has acknowledged.

    Why the Russian involvement is important? the reason the J-10 differs so much is by the fact the Russians took the Place that the Americans played in the Lavi and it was for the Chinese quit important to be able to build the J-10 in China as was for Israel because a direct Israeli involvement in the J-10 manufacture was something that Israel was unwilling to accept.

    in reply to: J-10 and the Israeli Connection (once more!) #2607350
    Flogger
    Participant

    There is no problem about technical help. Except some license fees, which someone way avoid, when not give-in. The Russian examples from 1945+ and Indias present problems showed, that it takes decades to close technical gaps in development work. Someone who does not believe in superhuman capabilities and miracles has no problem about that. Pics do not proof something.
    Ford for examples has 4 common platforms to built ~50 “different” cars and not all of that labled Ford even.
    We had that problem before Ye152/J-8. Q-5/MiG-19 share still the same technical platform, when the external similarity is no longer given.
    When someone denies heritage or external help, he has to give the reasons for that.
    Israeli (USA) help ‘no’, but Russian help ‘yes’ for the “indigenous” J-10 shows some sort of political twisting. Such people are in hope of our short memory. They claim an indigenous J-8 without Russian help, but have no ‘problem’ to give-in the same for the J-10, just to counter the ‘Lavi’ related help.
    Politics aside or political related claims gives much more credibility. China has to bridge a gap of over 30 years in aeronautical engineering and development at least. The developments are moving on at a slower pace now, but do so in all fields with the USA in the lead. I exspect from the Chinese, that they will use every technical help, they can get from someone to close in. The JH-7 looks a bit outdated now, but it allows the Chinese to close-in in other technical fields and gain practical experiences by that.
    Nothing less and nothing more.

    Sens judging by pictures you can not know if the J-10 is based on the IAI Lavi as the Mirage III is related to the SAAB Viggen;

    The theorists of the Indigenous design aways deny any russian or israeli involment, always claim China has very smart people who developed the J-10 by themselves and China can develope every thing by it self.

    It is impossible to reason with the J-10 indigenists because they always point out the differences as an example of the J-10 uniqueness.

    While Israel denies any link with the J-10 project it is very difficult to see a direct link between both projects.

    The americans claimed Israel helped China in the J-10 project. logic dictates that if Israel offered weapons and radar they have might offered the fuselage, under the current indigenous theory, China developed the J-10 by it self and Israel`s help was only very limited.

    The posibility that China was helped by Israel and Russia is too high, is very likely that the J-10 is a modified, improved, enhanced IAI Lavi and that the Lavi was the base for the J-10.

    why? becuase China has too much foreign components in all it`s aircraft even the J-8II has MiG-23 influences and technologies but the current indigenist theorists always deny any foreign involvement.

    Can China build aircraft by it`s own? the answer is not, China has copied any russian development and is uncapable of designing aircraft without russian help or westen help, the only aircraft that seems far from russian or western influences is the JH-7 even it has westen engines and it is an obsolete design, China designing by it self a J-10 is simply a fantasy because China used Russian and Israeli inputs.
    However the Chinese in order to build and do not pay royalties always deny copying as in the MiG-21 and MiG-19 case but the reality China to do it`s leap frogs in aircraft technology has used Russian and Israeli inputs.

    The problem is that China despite being uncapable of designing entirely 100% indigenous aircraft they have adquired the technology to build fighters and bombers sophisticated enough even if China is uncapable of design them by it self thanks to Russia they have the technology to build them.

    in reply to: J-10 and the Israeli Connection (once more!) #2607774
    Flogger
    Participant

    its funny how some people try to make the discussion seem personal instead of focusing on the facts and arguments already given.

    you say there is a lavi connection? prove it.

    not a great deal to ask is it? :rolleyes:

    no-one could proved any sort of concrete evidence to support the Lavi-J10 link, if we were talking about any other subject, the dispute would have been dead and burried long ago. but doubt somehow seems to linger because of whatever reasons.

    so, i lowered the bar and only ask that someone provides a solid chain of reasoning based on logic and other relevent data.

    still no-one can manage it. what theories that pop up are easily disspelled as gaping holes appear in them as soon as they are examined in any sort of detail.

    so, either come up with a decent, believable argument, or kindly refrain from making baseless statements. because you probably wouldnt like it if someone keeps starting ‘F4s are unless piles of crap’ threads without providing anything to back it up, and saying that they have a right to say such things merely because they ‘personally believe it is true’.

    there has been a great number of reports, even the weaponry carried by the J-10 is basicly an Israeli Missile, you also can not prove that the J-10 is 100% a Chinese indigenous design simply because it is not, what we can not be sure is how much Israeli involvement there was the US intelligence services claimed that the IAI Lavi was used by China and Israel to build the J-10 there is involment simply because the Israeli were willing and provided the J-10 with weapons and radar.
    Russia was a member from the begining as Israel the question is what elements are in the J-10 that we can trace Israeli involvement beyond what Israel or China have acknowledged to please the US and decieved the US american intelligence services?

    in reply to: J-10 and the Israeli Connection (once more!) #2607935
    Flogger
    Participant

    well, i ‘hate’ to throw a spaner in that ‘well worked’ chain of thought of yours, but aside from the obvious verhement denals of both governments (which in good old conspiracy theory fashion, seems to be taken as yet more proof of a conspiracy), there are a number of other issues that simply cannot be explained by that theory.

    1) why would CAC need israeli engineers for help in such superficial configuerational aspects? if they merely needed insparation as to what a modern high performance ac should look like, there are plenty of pictures and scale models they can have a look at for free (not that it would ever come to that of course).

    the theoretical work is often the easy bit. for example, continuous curviture stealth was theoretically proven for decades before the technology arived to tranform it into reality. there were tons of paper airplanes in china that while looked very promising (and some were even fairly advanced for their time), fail in the end. and it was always china’s inability to manufacture them that proved their downfall as opposed to the designs themselves. so what was the use of the Lavi design without the material and machine tooling technology to go along with it?

    more importantly, if you studied chinese aviation history, you would know that engines have been the key bottleneck until quite recently. the Lavi is just a paperweight without its american engine (and the AL31 was never an option in 85, since, ironically, the J10 was concieved to fight Mig29s and Su27s).

    it is just laughable to assume that CAC would invest half an billion dollars in a design only to sit twiddling its thumbs waiting for a suitable engine to materialise (since israel couldnt share the engine tech even if it wanted to, and the WS10 – the chinese engine origally planed to power it, was nothing like the F100 engine of the Lavi).

    CAC might as well have gone to paramount and bought the blueprints for the enterprise for all the good the Lavi blueprints would have been on their own.

    2) if china needed help with modern ac design, why would they turn to israel – who has even less experience at it then china did?

    if you are to use the argument that it was extremely unlikely for china to make something like the J10 with only experience ‘copying and modifying’ existing planes before (which anyone who knows much about the early chinese aviation industry will know to be planly wrong). then the same argument will apply to israel, even more so in fact.

    this means that if we were to follow your logic about the J10, it would mean that the Lavi is in fact just an israeli modified F16 at best, and an american modified one at worst.

    this is not an attemp to try and change the subject or merely trying to discredit israeli work out of spite before anyone starts. just saying that for the argument that the J10 cant be all chinese (in the airframe design at least) to stand, the same must be true of the Lavi.

    the point in this being that if the Lavi was not design by israel from scratch, israel has no indigious design knowledge (of the kind that china might be interested in anyways) to share to start off with, hence no secret deal.

    3) why would israel ever go along with such a deal?

    the Lavi was clearly stated as a none-export plane, and that was part of the reason for its demise. its not like the python or harpy which israel can sell without too much consequence (the phalcon and harpy deals shows even such wholely israeli systems are not risk/hassle free to sell). so what in the world would convince israel to risk loosing the countless billions of american aid, and more importantly, american protection just for ‘$500m’?

    doesnt really fot with common sense does it?

    so, in the end, china has little reason to be interested in the limited help israel has to offer (especially not for half a billion, in yesterday’s dollars i might add), and israel has no reason to offer it in the first place.

    for people to suggest that israel has helped in the J10 project is totally believable, but this help would only be likely in the feilds of radars/avionics and composite materials, not aircraft design.

    the redesign of the J10 might have been as a result of a number of factors. but the most likely ones would have been the aquisition of the Su27. not only is this one of the planes the J10 was originally designed to counter (hence a plane design with fighting it in mind might not be such a good idea now), it also represented a qantum leap in capacity over anything else the PLAAF has ever had, and naturally, they would not want their future indiginous fighter (ie what well make up the bulk of their uture fleet) to be too far behind it. the aquisition of the flanker would have also have bought the PLAAF extra time to work on the J10, since their immediate need to counter taiwan’s F16s and M2ks have been met to a certain degree already.

    i want to point out thet this debate is based on opinions, the Chinese members always try to hide the foreign inputs seen, heard, reported for chinese aircraft etc etc etc…while western members or even Israeli members might try tro prove that the J-10 basicly owes more than what it is acknowledged by the Chinese members.

    Let`s face it, China has designers can design their aircraft but no single aircraft built by China is entirely Chinese i mean avionics weaponry, engine or even airframe.
    Known license built aircrat are of course no chinese in origin such as the MiG-19 or MiG-21 derivatives.

    China invited Israel and Russia to help them in the J-10, the first Chinese models of J-10 have nothing to do with the Lavi, the later and final configuration was a Lavi adapted with a larger russian engine, has israeli missiles (built in china under license) and as the IDF Ching Kuo Israel help has been disguided under political pressure, the J-10 radar some reported was based on Lavi technology but since Russia offered other radars and the Chinese have a tendency of calling license built with local denomination is hard to know up to what degree the Israeli influence is present in the whole project.

    But since Israel and Russia were the foreign partners well Russia Improved the Israeli technology that was transfered to China and as the MiG-31 was a derivative of the MiG-25, the Israeli Lavi can be modified in the same way even if it means modify almost everything it would be still based upon the IAI Lavi that has been done with other fighters in the past such as the basic Mirage III was the base for al the Mirage Family and Kfirs or the earlier Kestrels were the Modern Harriers GR7.

    But let`s remember i am not a member of the J-10 design team as no one is here so all are speculations and that includes everybody here posting.

    in reply to: Tu-22M Backfire a fighter or a Bomber? #2608300
    Flogger
    Participant

    In this early configuration we see the Tu-22M had very early but very early beginings in the Tu-22 however it seems that the MiG-23 design configuration was applied by the Russian aerodynamists to several aircrafta mong them the MiG-23, Su-24 and the Tu22Mhttp://www.military.cz/russia/air/tupolev/Tu22M/images/145.jpg

    in reply to: J-10 and the Israeli Connection (once more!) #2608358
    Flogger
    Participant

    denial cow

    http://www.strangezoo.com/images/content/14332.JPG

    Man this time you are really cool i like it

    in reply to: J-10 and the Israeli Connection (once more!) #2608487
    Flogger
    Participant

    Because that would imply that the extent of indigenous jet-powered combat aircraft in China consists of the K-8 and JJ-1? 😀

    if you consider indigenous only the airframe or the designation well they are but if you start taking the engines avionics and weaponry you start to see indigenous becomes foreign as in the Lavi/J-10, MiG-21/J-7, MiG-19/J-6, Tu-16/X-6, J-5/MiG-17, MiG-33/klimov/FC-1, SD-10/AA-14 Adder, WS-9/Rolls-royce spey, WP-13/R-13, Z-9/Eurocopter Dauphin, J-11/Su-27, WP-11/R-11, and the list is even more longer

    in reply to: Tu-22M Backfire a fighter or a Bomber? #2608493
    Flogger
    Participant

    What about weapons loadout? Could the Tu-22M/Tu-26 carry long range A-A weapons (AA-9)? IIRC, Backfires could carry a long range anti-radar weapon (AS-17 perhaps) that could home in on AWACS radar?

    And one thing that always bothered me was the designation of Tu-22M and Tu-26. Was the 26 desginated for the strategic bomber version and the 22M the naval long ranger bomber?

    I was always fascinated by this aircraft.

    The engine configuration in all the vast majority of Bombers since WWII has being podded engines separated from the fuselage or in fuselage flanking very small nacelles that still can be told apart and are a different part of the main fuselage body in fact the fuselage is just a big bomb bay such as in the B-47, B-52, Tu-22, Tu-16, M-4, Valliant, Camberra, Il-28, Victor, B-1B, Tu-160 and many others only exceptions are the Mirage IV, B-2, F-111 and Su-24.

    However in the Tu-22M we have an aircraft that carries it`s main armament on hard points and the engine nacelles are part of the fuselage as in the F-111 or Mirage IV

    The Mirage IV, F-111 and Su-24 are basicly overgrown multirole fighters that weight restricted their fighting abilities but in the Tu-22M was even take much further and it seems more an offspring of the Tu-28 rather than of the Tu-22
    http://www.airshots.com/images/yourshots/backfire2800.jpg

    in reply to: J-10 and the Israeli Connection (once more!) #2608509
    Flogger
    Participant

    I posted this image before but without the information, and Crobato in particular refused to believe it was a US Intelligence CGI image. This article proves that I was right about that.

    Its alleged timing (1994) makes it too early to be the final J-10 design, but some Chinese reports suggest there was an initial mockup made in 1993 which differed in many respects from the final J-10.

    Other aspects of the article chime well with information from other sources. The report says IAI involvement was “late 1980s”, and had been scaled down in the last three years. From 1995 (article date), that takes us back to 1992 or thereabouts. Given that the US knew about the China-Israel Lavi / J-10 connection several years before 1994, it could well be US pressure on Israel had already been applied.

    The J-10 is said to have been started in 1984 or 1988 depending on source. Perhaps initial work started in 1984, but 1988 clearly marked a watershed of some kind. Is it too much to wonder if it was the injection of certain Israeli assistance, after the 1987 cancellation of the Lavi?

    Several articles have mentioned a redesign around the AL-31 engine sometime after 1992, possibly with Russian assistance.

    The Flight Intl. article mentions IAI engineers actually working at Chengdu, but only 20 out of 1500 who worked on Lavi (and many of whom tried to emigrate!). It doesn’t mention transfer of one of the Lavi’s, for example. It is possible that those 20 engineers were all associated with the FBW system, for example. It doesn’t mean that the J-10 is the Lavi. It clearly isn’t.

    I’m just presenting an article I find interesting. You don’t have to agree with the article, but you can’t deny it has specific claims which haven’t been aired here before.

    The US have claimed that, even some Israeli souces confirmed, China is a nation that uses piracy as an Industrial strategy, they do that in almost everything from cars to DVDs why not the Lavi?

    in reply to: Invasion of Venezuela? #2609151
    Flogger
    Participant

    [QUOTE=Spurg002]

    Thanks flogger, for showing how to put an argument across in a civil manner.
    Its a pity others on here cant do the same 😎

    There is good and bad on all sides through history. We are all human, and as humans we all have the capacity to destroy.

    Greed being the guiding light that drives powerful nations, means that these nations will always find it nescersaary to interfere in others affairs…

    Intervention in wars is, on the most part a strategic or economical decision. It is rare, when nations intervene solely for humanitarian matters.

    Only when public outrage starts to filter through, do countrys find the courage to intervene. Nato and the EU just sat and watched the horrors of the balkans unfold in front of them.

    Belgium troops in rwanda watched and did nothing to stop the genocide happen there.

    In darfur, it is only now filtering through to goverments in the west, the scale of whats happening there..and some might point to the length of time intervention is taking…

    There is only a few countrys in the world, that has the military and economic capacity to put things right, but all too often we only see it being used in a strategic way…i.e Iraq, and afghanistan….

    Whatever the rights or wrongs of the above examples, it does so the seeds of discontent, and the bitterness shown towards the states only grows..

    Only when, a truely ethical foriegn policy is implemented by the west, can this be rolled back, and its vital if. there is to be a positive outcome in the war on terror.

    A good start on this would be to wipe out third world dept. But we all know how far that will go, since it comes back to greed. :diablo:

    The US is a great Nation in fact i would say it has been the trend setter in the modern life, of amost all the modern aspects of modern life were borned in the US, Aviation, Computers, PCs, Cars, internet, elevators etc etc it has been the US lead in technology that has kept the US as the most advanced nation, this has been achieved by the US through the development of Democratic institutions, the Problem with the US in modern times is they need to have stability because the US has become like any great power an International Dictartorship of the Strongest and we need to face that to stay in power you need to bring Progress and the current US model is starting to become obsolete in the era of Globalization because now more than one nation can develop technology and the US needs to adapt it self to that reality.

    It is true the US has fought Fascism, Communism Imperialism, and modern extremism saving humanity many times of more inhumane dictatorships but also has commited great mistakes against democracy particularly in Latin America and now the US needs to face the reality that for South America the American Model is not bringing too much development and that is what Venezuela and Brazil are complaigning as Cuba has done it in the Past.

    The modern reality is that if the US wants to lead Latin America needs to become a benign nation not a reactionary Empire, Now Brazil represents more a young model for the Latin American development; as as Spain and Portugal lost their empires due to the Napoleonic wars in Europe and their stagnant economies, the US is becoming the same with it`s petrowars and commercial deficits, Europe and China have profited from that but the Nation that wants to emerge as the true leader of South America and even the whole Latin America is Brazil.

    The Brazilian model is based in technology transfers and diversification of commercial partners , and exchange of technology with other local powers such as China, Russia and Europe, that has been followed by Venezuela and the vast of South America.

    I am sure that Brazil wants to mediate between Venezuela and the US to bring the venezuelan crisis to a peaceful settlement, howevert the Brazilian wanted to sell AMX to Venezuela, offered their ALXs and Tucano and now are offering follow their example by buying Russian military hard ware or trade with China or India.

    Venezuela has accepted to license built Tucanos in Venezuela and joint oil projects with Brazil and Argentina, that has infurated the US but Brazil is a very pragmatic nation that knows the US is needed in Latin America but new ways of commerce and development have to be develop to allow latin America to depart from Poverty.

    in reply to: Invasion of Venezuela? #2609246
    Flogger
    Participant

    Quote removed by moderator

    Man the US is not a bad country niether a good country, is like any country has good things and also has bad things we do not need to be so extremist.

    If i would mention what i like about the US besides the US women i would say it`s amazing degree of knowledge in the area of technology and science, it`s idea of democracy and in General some aspects of the american culture such as cartoons or the internet.

    However the US is no Paradise and has commited mistakes and has violated human rights or the international law like almost all the countries in the world, no nation is Holy.

    The Question is the following, the US has no right to dictate to any nation the political system they should follow, the esence of a nation is to have the political system that that nation deems is the one they want to follow.

    Cuba is a communist nation, Venezuela deems that the US represent a threat to the Venezuelan independence, we know that Cuba is a nation that has good as bad aspects, for a communist nation that suffers an Embargo has living standards comparable to Mexico and Better than Colombia or even Brazil, China, India.
    Venezuela is a free nation that has the right to sell it`s oil to who ever deems to be the right customer to sell it, however the US uses the DEMOCRATIC IMPERIALISM to sack freely elected Government under the excuse that a nation that is leaving the US sphere of influence is Violating the US DEMOCRATIC IMPERIALISM that consider any nation that is against US policies is a threat to Democracy what ever the type of Govermentit is and even dictatorships should be supported to bring back a nation to the US Economic finacial and Commercial neocolonialism.

    All nations are the same what is happening now is that Venezuela is following to new Latin American Models of Development; the Brazilian and the Cuban.

    The Cuban is an idealistic and ideological approach to face the US and the Brazilian, that is based upon technology Transfers and support to the local industry ; one is communist the other is Democratic and capitalist, Brazil`s aspirations is to become a commercial, democratic power in south america that can challenge the US and the only way Brazil will adquire the degree of development that South America needs to become technologically and economically independent of the US is creating technology and a commercial base and that means get out of the US economic imperialism. .

    Brazil has consider that a nation needs to have several commercial partners and that is applied to weapons.

    Peru broke with the US arms Embargo and followed Cuba buying MiGs and Sukhois Fighters, Mil helicopters and Antonov transports.

    Venezuela`s oil will be protected according to the new latino American thinking by selling oil to China and buying MiGs to Russia, in the capitalist Society when demand is greater for the goods sold the productors can raise prices, If the US invades Venezuela is like a guy who robbs a Gas Station simply because the owner of the Gas station is selling to more customers and wants the profit of it sales and since niether Venezuela or Cuba have Nuclear weapons they do not represent threats to the US because no nation in the western Hemisphere can invaded or militarly defeat the US as Russia, the EU, India, China, Pakistan, can do specially Russia so any attack of the US to Venezuela is an imperial attack to democracy in Latin America to quench a local rebelion by a latin American rebel.

    in reply to: Invasion of Venezuela? #2609565
    Flogger
    Participant

    Flogger,
    Many nations would most certainly disagree that Brazil is the true leader of S. A., though it may be the largest, and would very much disagree about the notion of Brazil’s leadership role. There are bitter political disputes and rivalries among the leading Latin American powers, and this prevents L. A. in acting in a unified manner. I more see the rise of these economic blocs as South America as an example of globalization of the economy, and not a ‘rejection’ of the idea of the Monroe Doctrine, it may be formed to undercut American economic influence in the region.

    I don’t see a unified South American nation in the near future. As Brazil continues to grow in power, and neighboring nations as well, there will be natural increase in rivalries, though their economic ties will be more facilitaed. There was too much cultural and ideological differences for Latin American countries to stay together following Gran Colombia and RFC, and after nearly a 100 years of nationalism, rivalry and wars, I am not optimisitc in seeing that within my lifetime.

    Baron David,
    Name one country that hasn’t acted in the fullest possible matter (strategically speaking) to secure its own interests, and I’ll show you a hypocrite. One can gush and grin in rhetoric about imperialism, but the fact of the matter is all countries force their presence outward to the best of their ability. If you don’t understand the definition of ‘imperialism’, ‘democracy’ and whatever self-redefined buzzwards you wish to throw out at me, than it really is not my bloody problem.

    Now what country is it that you hail from?

    I disagree in Latin America Brazil and all the latin American nations are very similar, all nations have these three ethnic groups however in different degree or the mixture of them:Blacks. white and Indians
    The langague is the same Portuguese and spanish are basicly dialects of the same language there is no need for formal education to learn spanish from portuguese or viceversa since they are so close both languages are easy to understand to any of the speakers of one of each other without any formal training same religion and economically that is the most important is moving all the nations towards an economic union in South America that is the reason of the RIO latin American leaders meetings.

    Brazil is an Emergening Power and as such needs to protect it`s natural resources and their supply also Brazil economy amounts for 50% of the South American GDP or more and the only way they will protec their economy against the US is a common economy in South America.

    Thinking that Brazil or Argentina just because they buy different aircraft are in an arms race is like saying Germany and France are planning war against each other because Germany buys Eurofighters and France Rafales, already almost all South American nations are buying Embraer Aircraft and Venezuela will license build Embraer Tucano, Enaer of Chile is included in many Embraer aircraft and the economic cooperation in many areas will be increased until they form a common South American Union a la European Union Style

    in reply to: Invasion of Venezuela? #2609613
    Flogger
    Participant

    I wouldn’t completely discount American military involvement if things get real hot, or if China continues to escalate military relations with Latin America.

    The Monroe doctrine, basically saying that L.Am. is America’s back yard — stay out of it, has been a cornerstone of foreign policy for almost 200 ys. Keeping Latin America friendly to the US is a fundamental policy, and just like it was an important instrument to keep the Europeans out, and I suspect in the future, it will be referred to to keep the Chinese or whoever out as well, when push comes to shove.

    What is Happening in Latin America is not that India or China are the new US or the new colonial power even the New Soviet Union as the cuban missile crises for the Latin American Countries since almost all the latin Americans countries have higher standards of living than China or India and some even than Russia, what is reality happening is that a new regional power is challenging the other regional power, in especific Brazil has Challenged the leadership of the US in South America, and the Brazilian strategy is based in a multipolar and in a new economic South American block that should challenged the Dominace of the US therefore is a rejectiopn of the Monroe doctrine, Chavez is using the ideological Bolivarian Revolution, but Brazil the true leader of south America uses the idelogical and economical reality forced by the formation of economic trading blocks in the world, the Globalization that has prompted a diversification of the economic trading partners for MERCOSUR and the Argentina and Brazilian truce shows that.
    The main idea is that only Mexico and central america are part of the US area of Influence and South America should be fred by Brazil to create a common South American nation

    Military excersices like the Crucex are part of a plan to create a common South american nation with a common military and the plans is the creation of a South American nation with a common Goverment, Passport and currency(economy) a la European Union.

    in reply to: The Italian Apache, Augusta the A-129 Mangusta #2609924
    Flogger
    Participant

    The name Mongoose is interesting because they kill Cobras.I doubt that they thought of this when they names it though.Although it seems like a good marketing name to have when going against the AH-1 Cobra for orders.I heard several people say it was a mistake for France and Germany to develop the Tigre,which bares a resemblance to the Mongoose,when they could have saved all the R&D,time and money and bought a version of the A-129.The proposed naval ship killing model was nice too,too bad it never got an order.The International model,with the 20mm gun and Hellfire missile capability is a fine gunship.

    I think depending in the variant we can stablish different analogies, early variants are simililar to the japanese OH-1 and late variants a light weight AH-64 Apache

    in reply to: Invasion of Venezuela? #2609985
    Flogger
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    what happened to the view of non-involvement that is a conservative philosophy..or was it a paleo-conservative philosophy.

    Anyways option A seems to be more likely. The US could always strongly back an opposition candidate and force down a candidate they don’t like during an election (ala Ukraine). But it would be wiser if the US backed a candidate that wasn’t such an authoritative dictator like in the past..many Latin Americans are still bitter about that.

    To SOC.. I don’t think ignoring Venezuela will be possible, especially since they’re now dealing their oil to US rivals in their respective regions.

    Chavez is not foolish as Castro he is forging alliances in fact the Chinese are helping them, the MiG-29s are to defend Venezuela from a US invasion so the Russian are more reliable as weapons suppliers and at the Moment the only ally that the US can have to support a US lead Invasion to Venezuela is Colombia, a nation that has guerilla and hardly can support a war with a neighboring nation , Brazil is a pragmatic Nation and could deal a mediation between the US and Venezuela but there is a Cuba-Brazil- Venezuela Axis and Brazil has already set it`s eyes in the Venezuelan oil and as such in Brazilian and Venezuelan eyes from a Bolivarian point of view (lets remember Lula and Chavez are bolivarian in philosophy) that is MERCOSUR`s oil the US has now to deal with Brazil for any thing in South America and the Brazilian leadership is now stronger than the US one.

    The most pragmatic US approach to Venezuela will be forge an alliance with Chavez through a less imperialistic and a more friendly stance allowing Venezuela to keep it`s oil as it`s own since they have the right and that will make democratic forces in Venezuela and the Mercosur block topple Chavez and who knows perhaps Chavez would become an US ally

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