I just can’t resist any more (tough it’s been like 3 years since I’ve taken part of these kind of “discussions”)
To counter the orginal assumptions and assertions, has anyone given tought how well USA and it’s “allies” perform themselves in fight/conflict which they would be dragged in if fighting china despite what the performance of PLA is? I mean even if all the mentioned factors of Chinese performing poorly on the “human factor” point of view, none can claim them being so demoralized and unwilling to fight for their own country that they would simply just thrown down the sword after few days of USA aircampaign?
What happens when USA is forced to bring all it’s might into question? I mean you can’t beat up present-day PRC with force and invested capabilities which USA has done is all it’s 1900’s wars. The sheer size of China as nation and land and the sheer numbers of their military is way out of the scale even of Iraq in 1991. Remember this time there wouldn’t be no Soviet Union actually doing the job like it was in WWII. In this scenario USA would have to do the work which it hasn’t done ever. Or when has USA invaded and actually brought down a country of Chinese caliber? (With nukes it can do it, but with nukes the whole scenario or judging the chinese performance is pointless as USA has more nukes than China.)
So how would USA perform themselves if they actually would have to fight a real country with big army (despite how modern or capable the army is)? How would they perform if they realise that they can’t bomb the enemy to surrender but they would actually have to go down and engage the enemy in land? Enemy who outnumbers them in 10:1?
Thobbels did quite simplistic generalisations of the “human factor” of non-USA/west nations so if we follow that logic, look what happened in WWII. Germany had pretty much the same type of situation with the Soviets. Everyone assumed that Soviets were a papertiger, big in numbers but so paralysed with their outdated doctrines and a far greater turmoil with the office purges and atmoshphere of terror than China could be counted for today. And Germany had the balls to try out how their superior military machine worked. And it did…for a while. Then the human factore kicked in, persistent and toughness of Soviet people. And rest is history.
the US Army did an analysis of the PLA’s Human Resources not too long ago which confirmed many other civilian analysis.. basically it argued
Chinese military technology catching up with the US
Chinese command and control organization far behind.
These things take a lot of time to build in no matter how much money the PRC throws at them. The thing is fanboys are over optimistic thinking that the great leap seen in the technology side is applied everywhere and are using that as a standard of measurement for growth. But like China’s cities, while its becoming modern with many skyscrapers, mentalities can still be quite third world, which would take another generation at least to change as old habits die hard.
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