Taiwan is like 0.3% the size of China. How is it going to launch any attack on China? :stupid:

yes because an attack by China on Taiwan will be with out any casualties or economic reprecussion..

Also, many chinese have internalized issues of sovereignty as something that is a life/death issue, in part to the whole chinese-civilisation/exceptionalism ideology (not saying whether it’s right or wrong, merely pointing it out), and taiwanese independence is certainly something which I feel many in the country would be willing to go to war and somewhat bleed for.

But I wonder how the populace would see notions of taiwanese independence in 2025, 2035, 2050? That may effect how much suffering they may be willing to endure if the US gets drawn into the fight and decides to enact ASB on the mainland and its cities (and we can be pretty sure that civilian infrastructure won’t be off limits).

Contingent on continued chinese economic growth and social stability along with some degree of more political openness.

because only the Taiwanese are going to suffer during a prolonged conflict and the population in the PRC is totally fine with the its effects on their own economy and are willing to see their only child rushed off to war. yeah sure.

Australia offered T-6 for PC-9 replacement

Russian Air Force Su-25SM crashes, pilot killed

how old are Australia’s PC-9?

Harrier was out of production by the time the decision to buy was made, & there weren’t enough SHARs to maintain an air group for many years.

Yak-141 would have needed a lot of Indian money to revive & develop before it could enter service, & India would have been investing in an orphan capability. That money would probably have been needed some years before the decision to buy Gorshkov was made, i.e. at a time when India was poorer than now, & needing a relatively quick decision. Buying more new Harriers would have been possible then (a production line still existed), & much cheaper. If Blue Vixen wasn’t available, they could have been fitted with EL/M-2032.

so in other words, had the Indians bought more Harriers back then or even the production line, you would’ve preferred a Harrier + TAKVAR layout over the STOBAR MiG-29K one?

And they’re also in every city in the West. In France they’re 10% of the population. Yet they’re not starting revolts and they have far greater reason to.

Getting people to raise arms is a difficult prospect.

are you sure about that?

Actually I agree with Goldust here. The Muslims in the Western provinces are not really much of a threat.

Remember the Chinese could easily annihilate them via means the West would find unsavoury.

Also:

– Much of China’s land army would be held in reserve as war is mainly air-sea dominated. Some of these units (and especially lower tier divisions) would be available for internal policing/COIN

– There’s also a large number of internal security units. This includes the People’s Armed Police which includes division sized units transferred from PLA in the past.

thats why Goldust is not Chinese or hasnt been to China. There’s only one kind of muslim in the west, but there are tons of other muslims every where else in China. they are in every city

I think you also forgot, muslims led much of Chinas revolts historically and we’re not talking about the ones next to the stans.

Losses in Grozny were due to pure incompetence. Same would’ve happened to battalions of M1 Abrams or Leo 2s too.

Black Eagle was roughly same weight range as T-72/-90 and T-80 (mid-40 tons).

T-95 was no where near as heavy (up to 55 tons – similar to Leclerc) as the 60+ ton M1, Leopard 2 and Challenger.

And both Black Eagle and T-95 have been cancelled and more T-90s procured (itself a modified T-72).

No weight has been published for T-99 as far as I am aware.

I’m not sure what Leclerc would bring to Russians in terms of extra capability.

Black Eagle is closer to 50 tons not mid 40s
Leclerc is 54 tons

T-95 was also going to be large and heavy but the Russians cancelled it

also you didn’t really explain how the Challenger or Leopard is superior to the LeClerc at all.