http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/rwb.nsf/db900SID/KHII-7HH4ER?OpenDocument
The U.S. humanitarian aid airlift to Georgia is a brilliant policy, much like the Berlin Airlift, although much smaller in scope – so far, at least. The act itself is uncontroversial, nonconfrontational, but a strong statement of support and resolve to the civilians effected by the current crisis. Stalin was caught off guard by the Berlin Airlift, an act which simultaneous demonstrated the humanitarian concern of the United States for the innocent citizens of West Berlin and the capacity of even the then limited USAF air transport fleet – while demonstrating to Congress the need to fund a new generation of transport aircraft. The Berlin Airlift was a real and tangible victory, won without blood being shed.
Hopefully, the delivery of humanitarian aid to Georgia will demonstrate the positive, supportive and universally beneficial nature of U.S. involvement in the Caucasus, while placing current Russian actions within the correct context.
From the aviation standpoint, it serves as another demonstration of the value of keeping the C-17 production line open. Humanitarian aid delivered by a strategic ranged, but tactical field capable C-17 shows national resolve, and represents an attainable but substantial capability that can be used to aid civilians against violence and coercion.
India might gain a bargaining advantage from tensions between Russian and the West, with more leverage to enforce the terms of existing contracts with Russia.
Nobody right in this conflict. Georgia started a military operation after 15 years of Russian “peacekeeping” in the area – both in Abkhazia and South Ossetia. All 15 years Russia took side of separatists and encouraged anti-Georgian hysteria at home. An independence referendum in South Ossetia took place after killing thousands Georgians and after tens of thousands of Georgians refugees flew from there. It is right that Soviets divided the Ossetian nation, but the reason was not political, but economical – there is a mountain ridge between North and South Ossetia, and nobody was against it till Georgia declared its independence. The declaration that South Ossetia region is historically Ossetian also wrong – in 1878 there was no Ossetians in Tshinvali, in 1920 – about 6% of the population. I’d like to avoid “genocide” terminology, but both Ossetians and Georgians killed enough people to hate each other. The only difference between them that Saakashvili was first and only politician that tried to reach peace, unfortunately Mr Putin personally don’t like him at all and peace had no chance there.
Thank you for offering a fair and balanced synopsis of the background of the current conflict. I think that you summarized the conflict best with your first sentence:
Nobody right in this conflict.
Nobody right in this conflict. Georgia started a military operation after 15 years of Russian “peacekeeping” in the area – both in Abkhazia and South Ossetia. All 15 years Russia took side of separatists and encouraged anti-Georgian hysteria at home. An independence referendum in South Ossetia took place after killing thousands Georgians and after tens of thousands of Georgians refugees flew from there. It is right that Soviets divided the Ossetian nation, but the reason was not political, but economical – there is a mountain ridge between North and South Ossetia, and nobody was against it till Georgia declared its independence. The declaration that South Ossetia region is historically Ossetian also wrong – in 1878 there was no Ossetians in Tshinvali, in 1920 – about 6% of the population. I’d like to avoid “genocide” terminology, but both Ossetians and Georgians killed enough people to hate each other. The only difference between them that Saakashvili was first and only politician that tried to reach peace, unfortunately Mr Putin personally don’t like him at all and peace had no chance there.
Thank you for offering a fair and balanced synopsis of the background of the current conflict. I think that you summarized the conflict best with your first sentence:
Nobody right in this conflict.
BAMSE and Aster would be an interesting solution if they could afford it. Either one will kill an aircraft just as well as an S-400. (an S-400 ain’t gonna make it deader 😉 ) Other than that, like you pointed out, a cheap 2nd-hand jet with decent performance and some good AAMs.
I think that degree of ABM capability might be useful consider that 15 SS-21 missiles were fired at Georgia – enough to be a threat but not enough to saturate a couple of PAC-2/3 batteries.
I don’t think China would care one iota about annoying the Russians, who they sell to is their concern.
I think its far too early to wonder too much about re-equipment for Georgia, what I can say is they will have been entirely pushed into the Western sphere when it comes to arms procurement.
Actually, it would interesting to see if China would be willing to market the Chinese built J-11/Su27 to either Georgia or Ukraine?
Taking into consideration the current situation, it’s hard to see any nation willing to provide Georgia any jet fighters for many years to come, even if funds were available.
Why? I think that only Russia has been eliminated as a potential supplier?
If you ask me, Saakashvili decided to be a badass with Putin on the other side of the world, and figured that with everyone at the games nobody would care or notice if he tried to evict the Russians from Ossetia and retake the province.
I think that the situation was altogether more complex, and it has more to do with a background of rising tensions – and deteriorating relationships. There is pattern of mutual antagonism between the both the global, and regional, powers.
In this case, every side is in the wrong. Miscalculations have been made on all sides. The important thing is that someone backs down before there is a major escalation, and putting aside the issue of super power involvement, it should be understood that ongoing, unilateral action are impacting the long term interests of a regional power. It should be clear that in the last 5 years that one regional power has frequently acted on the basis of its own concerns, which are frequently at odds with those the super power. Moreover, the region power in question has perhaps the strongest military in the Middle East and immediate geographic proximity to the ongoing conflict.
There are dangers in this crisis above and beyond returning to the bilateral tensions of the Cold War.
Georgia claims Russians have cut country in half
http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D92G8QE81&show_article=1
Russia advanced into Georgia beyond the disputed regions:
Does anybody have any information about the airlift from Iraq?
http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5jsG34CupjldAADG5IyIjZKHfoxZQ
Georgia: Russia targets key oil pipeline with over 50 missiles
The pipeline is south of Tbilisi, no where near South Ossetia, and is in no way a military target. It is far more important to the economies of Turkey and Azerbaijan than to Georgia.
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jiafUbbRzef5Bap4RvqbtLjfj_vgD92FC68O0
Ukraine may block return of Russian warships in operations off the coast of Georgia from returning to the Crimea.
What Russian naval aviation remains in Crimea?
Latest news: Russian Air Assault of Georgian city of Gori Followed By Ground Assault
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/08/11/world/europe/11georgia.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin
Heads up – Footage of SU-25 attack on BBC TV Crew – now!!!
Here’s the link:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7552958.stm
The Su-25 is Russian, the location is Gori, Georgia, outside South Ossettia, and the incident has happened after the Georgians had withdrawn from South Ossettia. It appears that the BBC crew was in a civilian SUV.