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OldNotBold

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  • in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2390859
    OldNotBold
    Participant

    “Unfortunately this is just when the Royal Navy will need jets: although it has been delayed, the first of the two new carriers will be delivered in 2014 under current plans. It is widely acknowledged that the MoD, now in the middle of a massive budget-cutting exercise, cannot afford enough jets for the two ships at early-production prices: perhaps not any point in the manufacturing run, the F-35B being one of the most complicated aircraft in the world.

    This has led to speculation that the new British carriers may be fitted with catapults so as to allow the purchase of cheaper aircraft. Such speculation has been lent some weight by reports of RN pilots training in catapult launch and arrested recovery landings, and of ongoing electromagnetic catapult work by British firms.

    Last week’s SRVL announcement would seem to suggest that the original jumpjet plan remains on track: but in fact the length of time it typically takes to organise such a deal and get it approved by the US government is such that it may reflect the thinking of some months ago

    http://www.theregister.co.uk/2010/10/11/f35b_srvl_deal/

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2390955
    OldNotBold
    Participant

    There is, so far, no official order from Spain. None. And the UK order stands at… Three.

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2391003
    OldNotBold
    Participant

    No way will Italy now buy “nearly one hundred” F35 B, nor anything close to it. Officially Spain has said nothing about buying any varient of F35.

    Every single leak coming out of the UK SDSR is that UK is now much more likely to buy 50-80 CATOBAR F35 C than anything else. With far fewer aircraft the much more capable (range, payload, survivability) yet slightly less expensive, F35 C makes much more sense for UK, especially since STOVL F35 B offers, at best, very dubious austere basing abilities, even if, after Afghanistan, UK was going to be too keen on foreign overseas bases, which is highly unlikely to say the very least. .

    I strongly suspect F35 B is, now, a dead duck so far as UK is concerned.

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2391856
    OldNotBold
    Participant

    The leaks and rumours coming out of the SDR have all, without exception, been in favour of a cheaper Aircraft than STOVL F35 B and in favour of CATOBAR.

    If I was a betting man I would say 50-80 F35 C is what UK will end up with.

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2392110
    OldNotBold
    Participant

    So you would rather believe the Evening Standard than the US DoD website official news release?
    http://www.defense.gov/contracts/contract.aspx?contractid=4382

    Look i’d love F35C too ahead of the B version, but you need to look at facts when they hit you in the face er, Ironduke 😉

    When the British PM has just made the choice yep I do. You need to A) read about the ‘Defence Review’ and B) recall UK is not, so far, committed to any more than 3 (three) much inferior, yet more expensive, STOVL F35 B.

    You know the Pro STOVL F35 B people from UK remind me as nothing so much as the Hitler is not a threat to world peace people prior to WWII, in their almost totally one eyed view of the real world.

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2392114
    OldNotBold
    Participant

    See above. STOVL F35 B is in no way a ‘Harrier replacement’ Totally different aircraft, and, if you are only buying a few, not 130 + it makes good sense to buy the more capable, yet slightly cheaper, option of F35 C.

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2392118
    OldNotBold
    Participant

    Not at all sure UK paid that money. But wait and see. UK STOVL is dead and good too

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2392127
    OldNotBold
    Participant

    I really have no idea why various ‘Aircraft Spoters’ here do not get that UK is, very rapidly, deciding that STOVL F35 B is both too expensive and much less capable than, for example CATOBAR F35 C.

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2392227
    OldNotBold
    Participant

    David Cameron ‘rules out slash and burn defence cuts’
    Robert Fox and Martin Bentham
    08.10.10

    David Cameron has intervened to prevent “slash and burn” cuts to the Armed Forces after holding a private meeting with defence chiefs

    “…Plans to use vertical take-off aircraft on the carriers have been abandoned, however, and cheaper jets that take off and land by using a catapult and wire will be used instead. The second carrier might also be converted from its conventional use to operate as a “floating platform” for commandos.

    The Navy is also expected to be allowed to buy new frigates for 2020, and the Royal Marines will be retained instead of being merged with the Army’s Paratroop Regiment, as some reports had suggested. However, the helicopter budget is expected to be reduced by as much as £1 billion. Ministers are expected to insist that this will not affect operations in Afghanistan.

    …The plan now is to have a rolling review looking at all aspects of defence management, the armed forces, and equipment procurement, over the next two years or so. There will have to be some cuts, though nothing on the scale previously suggested. One of the target areas is the helicopter budget. The number of machines will be reduced. The Trident replacement will be delayed by a year or two, but will go ahead in one form or another — as will the aircraft carrier programme, though with a different variant of the Lockheed Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter….”

    http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/standard/article-23886028-david-cameron-rules-out-slash-and-burn-defence-cuts.do

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2393946
    OldNotBold
    Participant

    “It’s impossible to imagine a better fit to the Secretary of State’s vision than the Royal Navy’s Carrier Strike and Amphibious Task Groups. But cancellation of the new Queen Elizabeth-class future aircraft carriers (CVF) has for a decade been offered as the ‘silver bullet’ solution to the MoD’s funding crisis, and it is yet again being promoted with amazing success (at least in terms of column inches) by a segment of the media and defence establishment who seem to have a pathological hatred of any large grey warships that are able to carry aircraft. In practice – with over £1.2 billion in contracts already placed and the UK shipbuilding industry now totally dependent on the project – construction of the new carriers has almost certainly passed the point at which cancellation is viable under any rational criteria, however significant changes to the CVF programme are still quite possible. The most obvious problem is finding aircraft and helicopters to form air groups for the new carriers. The UK has theoretically committed to buying up 138 of the Lockheed Martin Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) to meet its Joint Combat Aircraft (JCA) requirement; indeed it has already ordered three of the Short Take Off and Vertical Landing (STOVL) JSF variant (designated F-35B). However there seems to be little chance that more than 50 JCA’s (costing nearly £100 million each) will be affordable. One of the surprises of SDSR might be a decision to abandon the F-35B version for the F-35C which can carry a higher payload over a longer range. The F-35C is also slightly cheaper, but this will be negated by the cost of fitting at least one of the new carriers with two catapults and arresting gear. Adoption of the F-35C will avoid the dangerous looking ‘rolling landing’ technique that the UK has been studying for the F-35B in order to overcome its payload ‘bring back’ weight restrictions. Another potential advantage with the F-35C is that the Royal Navy would be able to cross deck aircraft with United States and French Navy aircraft carriers for the first time since 1978.

    If SDSR did decide to go for the F-35C over the F-35B, it’s the second CVF – HMS Prince of Wales – that would be adopted to the operate the aircraft. HMS Queen Elizabeth will be completed largely as planned, including a bow ski-jump. She would initially operate Harrier’s (assuming that they stay in service as currently planned until 2019). Thereafter she would operate as a super-sized helicopter carrier (LPH), effectively replacing HMS Ocean, with the possibility that funding priorities might eventually permit her to be upgraded to the same standard as Prince of Wales.”

    http://navy-matters.beedall.com/

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2393963
    OldNotBold
    Participant
    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2397360
    OldNotBold
    Participant

    Anyone who believes LM figures, might well believe just about anything

    “.Actually, the JPO hasn’t had a PAO since the new Admiral (actually prior to this event) took over program management, which has resulted in a dearth of information coming out of the program office. LM has been left to say whatever, with little or no substantiation, rebuttal, or confirmation from independent sources. The good news is that the JPO has hired a new PAO – hopefully he will bring another viewpoint.”

    I am looking forward to that myself.

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2397653
    OldNotBold
    Participant

    “There are videos on youtube of F-35B’s doing vertical takeoffs – not one of them shows a smoking crater blasted into the ground left behind afterwards.”

    No doubt they were film of a STOVL F35B landing on something like a 100 x 100 foot VL pad made of heat-resistant, continuously reinforced concrete.

    Most people expect F35C to be about $25 million each less than STOVL F35B.
    F35C will be considerably cheaper to operate than STOVL F35B.
    F35C has a much longer range and the ability to carry a much heavier payload than STOVL F35B (saving on tankering, etc).

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2397920
    OldNotBold
    Participant

    Thanks.

    in reply to: UK to ditch F-35B for F-35C? #2397991
    OldNotBold
    Participant

    So called ‘flyaway’ costs on STOVL F35B are largely meaningless the aircraft is not operational at that ‘cost’. Only unit costs give some idea of real -upfront- costs. And the USN predicts that STOVL F35B unit costs will start out at $157 million and will never fall below $111 million. F35B will be significantly more expensive to buy than, more capable, F35C, and will probably, even allowing for the costs of EMALS, have higher through life maintenance costs, etc.

    You are certainly only looking at one QE possibly going CATOBAR to start with. EMALS should most certainly be available by the time it is needed for, the second Carrier, PoW. Cost of one set of two EMALS Catapults, plus arrester gear, is about $385 million (that is, at best, three-four STOVL F35B).

    http://www.defense.gov/co…act.aspx?contractid=4061

    http://www.defense.gov/co…act.aspx?contractid=4158

    And, just to repeat on supposed ‘austere’ land basing of STOVL F35B: USN construction guidance still calls for a 100 x 100 foot VL pad made of heat-resistant, continuously reinforced concrete, ie, nothing like a Harrier, in that respect, at all.

Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 80 total)