Kindly do a check on the facts.
Fact 1 – Pakistan used U.S supplied C-130s for picking up Ghauris from North Korea
Fact 2 – Your claim that the “pro-Indian lobby” has had “no success” in passing legislations is also false.
Fact 3 – The F-16s are considered nuclear weapons delivery platforms and will come under the purview of the above legislation, which has equal number of Republicans and Democrats supporting it. Hint – look up the word “bipartisan.”
Fact 4 – MNNA and sanctions don’t come into picture here. Sanctions are used AFTER a sale is made. The key here is the blocking of a sale itself 😉
Is that enough?
Fact – 1 – yes, but teh PAF C-130s have no “self destruct” button
Fact – 2 – no weapons sales have been blocked so far by any ammendment
Fact – 3 I am well aware of the meaning of bipartisan, it may shock you to discover that even democrats put US National interests above supporting teh Indian lobby, although this may not be to your liking
Fact -4 What sale has India blocked!? None, dude, AH-1s, P-3CS and TPS-77s are already in the pipeline and are more advanced then any similar systems in Indian service, why have these not been blocked!?
Do try and take it easy on the foul language you use on teh forum and stcik tio debating, insulkting others really does not help your cause…
Arthur
I apologize for anything bad in my post earlier today (#60)
I based my claim on the C-130s being possibly bugged on an offline conversation with someone in the know. The others, I’m not sure as to what I wrote but I’ll try to be restrained.
Thanks
First of all Pakistan has 12 other C-130s in addition to teh 6 being newly delivered
The less Tom Clancy you read the better, thye US has several bases in Pakistan and the most extensive global and sateilliet and radar moitering network in the world, dude, if that wanted to rack any PAF C-130 flight they could, they dont need to put bugs in planes,
Moderated.
To all: don’t try how little is needed to have this thread deleted…
Did you READ what I wrote?
I said aircrafts can be given as per this legislation if directly related to the war on terror. I said HELOS. Now do you know what HELO means?
XXX
As to F-16s, you want to bet that Congress would not fight tooth and nail to block it? 😀
moderated
Yes, the pro – Indian lobby will try and block the F-16s but they have hard no sucess in passing any Pak8istani legislation for years now, they have also not stopped the vast amounts of economic and military aid, if Dubya asks the republicans and some democrats that F-16s deliveries are imporant to enhence US interests, then I expect the majority to vote for US interests, not Indian ones…..
Also, the awarding of Major Non NATO ally status means (until this status is revoked) Pakistan will not face any weapons sanctions…
As someone with firsthand knowledge of U.S Congressional matters, I’m sure that something big will have to happen before Congress clears the F-16s.
There is pending legislation within Congress, sponsored by Congressman Tom Lantos and supported by top Republicans and Democrats. This bill is titled “Nuclear Black-Market Elimination Act” of 2004. Those interested in the full text can look up http://thomas.loc.gov (Bill# – HR 1965 IH). It has 5 sections that deal specifically with Pakistan. Two of which say:
This is likely to be passed unanimously, with bipartisan support. So unless Pakistan gives IAEA and U.S direct access to A.Q.Khan, chances of offensive military material going to Pak look bleak. In addition, the lawmakers have clearly targeted Aircrafts (hint F-16s 😉 ) in this bill.
In other words – Pakistan can surely get materials that are clearly directly related to the war on terror – Helos, Kevlar helmets, flak jackets etc. But as to offensive equipment or big ticket items. Not so fast…
I guess C-130s, T-37s, AH-1s, Bell 412s and UH-1s, all of which the US is in the prcoess of transferring dont actually count as aircraft then!?
possible
well i dont really see it happening..although anything is possible but i really dont see the PAF getting aim-120’s because of obvious reasons…the PAF also doesnt have the option of the derby 9 combo..i guess if the deal for the vipers is approved then the big question would be the BVR missile because it would really be a big dissapointment to spend that much money and still not get an ABVRM…
Thats my point! Paying through the nose for Block 50s without any AMRAAM…
AMRAAM will most likely be a strict no as far as pakistan is concerned..even the f16’s look sort of tricky as the congress and the senate seems pretty satisfied with status quo however it could be allowed if a reasonable lobbying is done.
Well, lets wait and see, Ratheyon was showing it alot at IDEAS and doubt they would have bothered turining up if it AMRAAM was a complet no no and doubt PAF would ask for Block 50s without asking for AMRAAM too….
I dont see any congressional problems, just as long as Dubya does well, they have already approved 80 AH-1s/UH1s, Aerostates, TPS-77s and C-130s, admittedly AMRAAM may be a problem, but Pakistan can point to the fact that by gaining AMRAAM, Pakistan will not be the first nationa to be introducing advanced BVR missiles into the region!
Who knows what we can get if we can deliver OBL to Dubya in November!
JANE’S DEFENCE WEEKLY – SEPTEMBER 22, 2004
——————————————————————————–
IDEAS exhibition: US offers to sell F-16s to Pakistan
JOSHUA KUCERA JDW Staff Reporter
Karachi, Pakistan
Additional reporting by Michael Sirak JDW Staff Reporter
Washington, DC
The US is offering to sell 18 F-16 fighter aircraft to the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) pending Congressional approval: one of several such deals in the works after years of US-led defence sanctions against Pakistan, the PAF Chief of Staff has disclosed.
“[The Americans] have indicated that they are ready to give us F-16s,” said Air Chief Marshal (ACM) Kaleem Saadat. “This is not a rumour; it is from the American government.”
Pakistan said it hopes the deal is the beginning of greater US co-operation. “Eighteen I consider to be the first instalment of what would follow,” ACM Saadat told JDW. Approval from Congress, however, is not likely to come until after the US elections in November, he said.
Pakistan is asking that the F-16s be equipped with Advanced Medium-Range Air-to-Air Missiles (AMRAAMs). Along with additional fighter aircraft, Pakistan has also outlined a requirement for a beyond-visual-range missile, which the AMRAAM would meet.
Sanctions
In 1988-89, Pakistan arranged to supplement its stock of 40 F-16A/Bs – about 32 of which remained in service as of 2003 – by ordering an additional 71 aircraft. Lockheed Martin began producing them, but then the US Congress imposed sanctions in 1995 that barred military sales to the country unless the US President could certify that Pakistan was not pursuing nuclear weapons.
As a result, only 28 of the 71 were ever built and none of them were delivered to Pakistan. Instead they were kept in storage in the US until the Bush administration reimbursed the Pakistanis financially and assigned 14 aircraft each to the US Air Force and Navy in June 2002 for training and testing purposes.
The episode still rankles in Pakistan and the renewed possibility of acquiring F-16s is seen partly as making amends in thanks for Pakistan’s efforts as an ally of the US in the wake of 9/11.
“Right from day one, we have been impressing upon the US government what symbolic value the F-16 has for the Pakistani people and the Pakistani nation,” ACM Saadat said. “So it’s not as if 10, 15, 20 aircraft would make a world of difference in our operational capability, but it’s a symbol in the sense that the people of Pakistan think that if they give us this then they are really sincere in helping us.”
In addition, the US thinks that the F-16s could help Pakistan in its fight against Islamist insurgents in the country’s northwest, ACM Saadat said. “So I guess the US government and [US] Central Command believes it would be helpful to their cause also,” he said. The AMRAAMs, however, would be more useful against India than against ground targets in the northwest.
Lockheed Martin officials also said Pakistan’s key role as a US ally appeared to be paying dividends. “If you read what you see in the papers in the last two or three weeks, I would say there’s probably more opportunity than there was [for the F-16 deal],” said James Jamerson, Lockheed’s president for the Middle East and Africa. “The 9/11 commission singled out Pakistan and said it was an important ally and that we need to do it right. Secretary [Colin] Powell made some comments, Senator [John] Kerry made some comments that were positive.”
Jamerson said it was not yet decided what type of F-16s they would be, but said Pakistan has requested new aircraft, which would most likely be Block 50 variants. ACM Sadaat said he was also “open to excess defence articles”.
Lockheed Martin is currently producing only advanced Block 50/52 aircraft and the newer Block 60 configuration. However, the US Air Force has several hundred F-16A/B aircraft remaining in ‘mothballs’. The US government has already sold approximately 150 F-16A/Bs to six nations and modified them via the Mid-Life Update programme that brings their avionics and weapons capabilities near to that of earlier model Block50/52 aircraft.
Pakistan has also sought second-hand F-16A/Bs from countries like Belgium. Such transactions would require US government approval.
Arrangement
If approved, the Pakistani F-16s, would still not fill Pakistan’s requirement for a high-tech fighter, ACM Saadat said, adding that the country is still looking at the Gripen, J-10, Mirage 2000 and additional F-16s. Sweden had been under pressure from the US not to allow the sale of the Gripen, but if the F-16 deal goes through, that may be resolved, ACM Saadat said. “What I am told is that they have an arrangement with Saab that whatever they supply to any country, they can’t prevent Sweden from doing it. That is to say, if the F-16 and AMRAAM was to come to Pakistan, the Americans will not be able to object to Sweden doing the same thing,” he said.
Pakistan is now waiting for Sweden to decide whether it will allow the sale and is also conducting testing of the J-10.
That high-tech aircraft will supplement the larger numbers of more modest JF-17 fighters that Pakistan is developing with China. The first prototype flew last September and since then two new ones have been built and are being flown in China, ACM Saadat said. After the fourth prototype is produced, development will be frozen for the first small-batch production, starting in 2006. The Pakistan Air Force and the the Chinese People’s Liberation Army Air Force will each get eight of those. Then full production should go on for 10-15 years.
In early September, the US also concluded a deal to sell six C-130Es to Pakistan. Two will be delivered by the end of 2004 and all will get wing, engine and avionics upgrades. One avionics kit will be installed in the US and then Lockheed Martin will send a team to Pakistan to help local industry install the rest.
The US has also agreed to help the Pakistan Navy refurbish its two P-3C Orion maritime patrol aircraft, said Chief of Navy Staff Adm Shahid Karimullah. The work will start in November, he said, and will restore them to an operational state.
Pakistan is also negotiating with the US for eight additional Orions to replace its Breguet Atlantic maritime patrol aircraft: a deal that would also require Congressional approval. “The number has not been finalised – certainly enough to replace our ageing Atlantics,” said Adm Karimullah. Those would probablybe used aircraft, Lockheed Martin officials said.
From what I hear, nothing came of those negotiations……
PAF also tested J-10 last year in the 3rd quarter and was really impressed by it specially by the avionics. Chinese avionics have come a long way. PAF is looking into inducting J-10s and they won’t be a replacement rather an addition. PAF has never looked into inducting something in small numbers and the reason is to keep the operating cost lower. F-16 was supposed to be in big numbers also but the whole plan was effected due to sanctions as we all know it.
I believe the minimum number would be 4 to 6 squadrons of J-10. If you guys remember PAF’s last Chief who died in an accident also mentioned that PAF was looking into some more advanced Chinese aircraft, it could have been JXX but I doubt that since that project has some ways to go.
There is now a real danger of far too many aircraf types entering PAF inventory….
In 5 years we may be looking at
FC-1
J-10
F-16
Mirage ROSE
F-7PG
A-5C
Gripen?
Well those Agosta 70’s will be retiring soon. Will the US sell the Orions to the PN? Last I heard they were actually with holding on the deal, as for the Atlantiques, those four were going to be retired once the other 8 Orions came on line
Yes, Pakistan will standardize on the P-3C and use 10 of them plus the 4 Maritime F-27s for shorter range work
Agosta 70s are “only” 20 years old, not very new, but not ancient, and they can fire sub launched Harpoon, the following news may also be of interest to you….
JANE’S DEFENCE WEEKLY – SEPTEMBER 22, 2004
——————————————————————————–
IDEAS: Pakistan plans to buy more ships and boats
JOSHUA KUCERA JDW Staff Reporter
Washington, DC
Additional reporting by Farhan Bokhari JDW Special Correspondent
Islamabad, Pakistan
The Pakistan Navy is seeking to acquire four frigates and four submarines in addition to the four Type F-22P frigates (Jaingwei-II class), currently being negotiated with China, and the three Agosta 90-B submarines being built by France.
“The four ships from the Chinese and the three submarines are not enough to maintain a minimum deterrence,” Chief of Navy Staff Adm Shahid Karimullah said. “We need more. The money is being arranged for us to acquire more submarines and more ships.”
While acquisition plans are still in the early stages, they depend on uncertain funding sources, the Commander, Pakistan Fleet, Vice Adm Mohammad Faroon, told JDW. However, for now the navy is looking at “roughly four” additional new submarines, he said. “More or fewer are possible, if more or less money becomes available,” he said. “You have to look in your pocket and then decide what you can buy.”
The navy is still considering a variety of options for the submarines, but is primarily focusing on a single-hull design and air independent propulsion. “These will be the primary things that guide us,” Adm Faroon said. The design should be finalised by 2005, with work starting in late 2005 or early 2006 allowing the four boats to be completed by 2011-12, he added.
After production of the F-22Ps is started, Pakistan will again evaluate its needs with an eye to acquiring an additional four frigates, Adm Faroon said. “If our experience with the F-22Ps is good, we may go in for another four, with better sensors, better machinery,” he added. The navy is now considering a larger ship – more than 3,000 tons as compared to the 2,400-ton ships under consideration now – with greater endurance, he noted.
Pakistan and China are close to signing a deal for the four F-22P frigates for which they have already been negotiating and only need to work out the details of a loan that China is offering Pakistan, Adm Karimullah said.
“We hope that this loan will be finalised and soon after that we’ll be able to sign a contract,” he said. China was offering a commercial loan and Pakistan was looking for “friendship” terms, he added.
The ships will be equipped with “at least one” each of the naval version of the Hafei Aviation Industry Z-9C helicopter, Adm Faroon said. However, the rest of the weapons and systems were still under negotiation, he said.
The Pakistan Navy also took delivery earlier this month of two additional Jalalal-class fast attack craft-missile boats. “These are the improved version of the ones we had made about four to five years ago. These are faster, with a more attractive weapon load,” Adm Karimullah said.
The procurement plans come amid increasing US-Pakistani naval co-operation (see page 4). Adm Karimullah said one Pakistan Navy destroyer will be patrolling international waters near Pakistan trying to interdict potential insurgent operations. Senior Pakistani government officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Pakistan is offering to support the US naval presence in the northern Arabian Sea, close to the Persian Gulf.
Pakistan has offered to extend unspecified support services to the US Navy if Washington gives consideration to supplying Pakistan with new equipment, such as maritime reconnaissance aircraft, the officials said. “The Pakistan Navy is in the ideal position of being able to be of assistance to the US Navy in such a crucial part of the world,” said one government official.
“Our navy can perform a range of functions from assistance in patrolling the waters of the northern Arabian Sea to providing logistical support wherever possible.”
Am I?
Who said anything about that? I was merarly stating that most of the PN equipment was old and out dated. If had had any influence in the military sector over there I’d be spending a little bit more on establishing a naval force that would have a chance at fulfilling the stated objective, that of Keeoing the IN away from the shore. The PN doesn’t really stand a chance in terms of numbers.
I find this to be grossly optimistic, 5+ Modern Subs, 5 would be believeable. 10 Firgates, they wouldn’t need that many, Four would be better. 10 MPA’s, which type? Russia won’t seel them any nor will any western company and China doesn’t really have any, unless you are talking about those old badgers! The helos are more believeable, at least China has those to sell. No 10+ Patrol/missile boats, this is so under-rated it’s not funny, this area should be built up on a big scale. FAC’s, FAM’s, FF’sand FFL’s are relatively cheap. There are a lot of good designs out there and some builders will sell their designs to Pakistan.
That’s well and good, but what’s going to happen when these old planes run up against planes of a more modern age? Or even still when these planes fall out of the skies before they even get to their target because they’ve been picked off by BVR missiles that they didn’t even see coming?
Given what India is buying in terms of defence, Pakistan is being out stripped in a very big way, but that’s ok because India has already stated that Pakistan isn’t a threat to them now. It’s hard to have a threat if it’s only one sided.
3rd Agosta 90 building, these will be with MESMA and as such have a longer submerged duration then anything else in the region…
2 Agosta 70s and 2 Agosta 90s already in service, pakistan may or may not place a follow on order for another 2 Agosta 90s
2 P-3Cs with Harpoon in service and another 8 on order
4 Atlantics (upgraded) with Exocet in service
4 Jiangwei frigates with European systems on order
I would say the MPAs and Subs are modern……
In a few years, those Mirages will become anti-ship FC-1s, with BVR, which are also on order
hence why I said that in 10 years the current PN will be transformed….
Ja
Your missing the point
PN does not want, “power projection”, “blue water navy” or “diplomatic tools”
all that is required is to keep the IN away from the coast for 3 weeks (the maximum time Pakistan expects to fight a war)
An Indo-Pak war will be decided in the land and air
PN should have around the following in 10 years
5+ modern subs
10 frigates
10 MPA
12 Choppers
10+ patrol/missile boats
in addition it can call upon a dedicated anti-ship PAF mirage 5 sqd
Now this may not be enough to defeat the IN, but it should be enough to keep them off the coast for enough time to allow the Army to do its stuff…
when we get Thunder and a new high tech fighter I suppose we can dedicate all our F-16s to strike/attack, they are equipped with the Atlis 2/Paveway combo…