It is indeed good news that US LRIP contracts have been BELOW projections but LRIP contract prices have very little to do with the price of mass production F-35’s.
First of all, LRIP contracts being LESS than projected shows exactly that. The F-35 ACTUAL production/procurement cost is LESS than projected, NOT higher than projected as all the BS doom & gloom indicates.
LRIP contracts being LESS than projected shows that production/procurement costs are in fact under control & is a VERY CLEAR sign that full rate production/procurement costs are likely to close to projections.
If JET’s 2008 report saw the possibility of a further $7 billion overrun then I assume that will happen unless action is taken to avoid it. Since the current study by JET reportedly sees the possibility of that figure being doubled, I assume that steps have not been taken to avoid the possibility of a $7 billion overrun and that the situation looks like it will possibly get worse still ($7 billion overrun doubling to $14 billion) unless action is taken to avoid that happening.
Quite the opposite. The JET estimates ASSUME FURTHER delays & cost increases that ARE NOT HAPPENING.
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I found that quite confusing. What where the very first LRIP-2 projections by the program office and did those include the engine? And how much is a F135 unit expected to cost?
It isn’t confusing at all. There are TWO engines for the F-35 (the F135 & the F136) & there is difference in cost between the two engines.
I think this is muddled dangerously enough that I am tempted to suspect them of dropping the engine from the budget sheet (“Hey, that’s not the plane per se, right? The engine is an option, right?”) and magically coming in under budget per LRIP-2 plane.
Anyone have all the numbers to contrast them?
The engine hasn’t been ‘dropped from the budget sheet’. The engine is ONE OF MANY separate items which make up the flyaway cost.
I don’t buy the doom & gloom cost increase BS either. US LRIP contracts have been BELOW projections. That simply is NOT possible if in fact the program is in shambles & on the verge of ANOTHER two years of delay & BILLIONS more in cost overruns.
Every time I see some BS about more delays & more cost increases (contradictory to actual facts) the more I think people are simple taking the existing delays & cost increases AND assuming they will continue. ESPECIALLY when people quote JET estimates of POSSIBLE delays & cost increases as actual delays & cost increases.
There are basically three classes of UAVs (not any real official classification just the way I am presenting it).
Class 1: Unarmed Reconnaissance/Surveillance Drones
Essentially replacing manned Reconnaissance/Surveillance ‘feeding’ modern militaries’ hunger for Reconnaissance/Surveillance.
Class 2: Armed Reconnaissance/Surveillance Drones
Essentially the same as Unarmed Reconnaissance/Surveillance Drones but with light armament (most typically Hellfire but more recently adding ‘500 lb’ LGBs) so as to be able to ‘execute’ targets of opportunity.
Class 3: Strike Drones
Planned for IOC ~2025 as a SUPPLIMENT/COMPLIMENT to manned strike aircraft. Much like manned strike aircraft with ~double the range BUT not as adaptable/flexible.
Poor Bill Sweetman…
Pretty soon he is going to have to come around to just how GOOD the F-35 is & how well the F-35 program (as a whole) is actually doing or he won’t have anything to write about.
You have to be drinking some really nasty Rafale Kool-Aid or smoking something realy nasty to think that the Rafale can carry a maximum “external ordinance, equal to the much larger F-15E“.
F-15E
MTOW: 81,000 lbs (36,741 kg)
OEW: 31,700 lbs (14,379 kg)
=
MTOW – OEW: 49,300 lbs (22,362 kg) [max load capacity]
max external weapons load said to be 24,500 lbs (11,113 kg)
Rafale C
MTOW: 54,013 lbs (24,500 kg)
OEW: 20,944+ lbs (9,500+ kg)
=
MTOW – OEW: 33,069 lbs (15,000 kg) [max load capacity]
max external weapons load said to be 20,944 lbs (9,500 kg)
F-15E MTOW – OEW = 91.3% of Rafale C MTOW…
Obviously the F-15E uses a significant amount of load capacity for fuel (2070 gal internal + 1500 gal CFT + up to 1800 gal in three 600 gal drop tanks) but no matter how you try to spin it the F-15E can carry a greater weapons load farther than the Rafale could ever dream to without tanker support.
Wing loading is a useful measure of the general manoeuvring performance of an aircraft.
Nor for quite some time now.
Defined ‘wing area’ (used in wing loading calculations) DOES NOT accurately represent lifting area. Not only does it not accurately represent the ACTUAL area of the ‘wing’ but also ignors a quite significant amount of lift provided by things other than the ‘wing’.
It’s the other way around, i am consistent with my argument that faster=better, regardless of nationality. I praise performance.
You OTOH consistently insist that faster=better if talking about (US) F-22,
while simultaneously insisting that quote:
“speed [DOES NOT] mean disadvantage” (US) F-35.
see above quote from yourself ……..:rolleyes:
No, it is NOT the other way around. The TRUTH is that even ‘Mach 2 class’ fighters (dedicated interceptors like the Mig-25 & Mig-31 are a different story) RARELY, if ever, exceed Mach 1.5. The F-35 will do > Mach 1.5 with a ‘full internal load’ (thats two ‘2,000 lb’ JDAM [or eight ‘250 lb’ SDB] + two AMRAAM + > 18,000 lbs of fuel at take-off). And just as a pair of WVR missiles on the outer wing pylons have little effect of the flight performance of 4th generation fighters, the same is true of the F-35 (& even with a pair of WVR missiles on the outer wing pylons the F-35’s RCS & IR signatures are SIGNIFICANTLY lower than any 4th generation fighter).
I am consistent that only a F-22 SUPERCRUISING at Mach 1.78 (or a dedicated interceptor like the Mig-25 & Mig-31 with next to zero agility) will have a REAL speed advantage.
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Really, than is the official design limit of Mach 1,6 sufficiant for you. :Dl
Mach 1.6 IS NOT a F-35 design limit.
See the constant rise in weight of the F-35 prototypes, when they were forced for drastic measure. The computer-design did not show that, when the real thing got heavier than planned over the years. Just the gap between virtual reality and something real, when a stop of two years and the related cost rise were forced by that. The reduction in the weapons-bay size and in related capability is still in force for the F-35B. Blame the idiots of LM and not the ones pointing to that shortcomings. 😎
No, blame the bean counters that kept chanting KEEP COSTS DOWN, ABOVE ALL ELSE KEEP COSTS DOWN! It was design changes due to substituting lower cost (but higher weight) materials which was THE biggest factor in the weight growth. And, again, PRE WEIGHT REDUCTION AA-1 came in slightly UNDER projected weight.
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For some reason, the inability of previous a/c to keep it supersonic has led quite a few gents here to the conclusion that speed is not desirable,
No, it has lead well informed & intellectually honest people to recognize that just because the F-35 won’t be a ‘Mach 2 class’ aircraft DOES NOT mean that it will be at a speed disadvantage vs even ‘Mach 2 class’ previous generation aircraft in REAL combat situations.
The only reason older a/c didn’t stay supersonic in fight was they couldn’t do it long.
The latest incarnations of fighters can.
F-22 can make it due to it’s revolutionary engines.
Euro canards can make it due to their unrivaled supersonic optimized airframes.
Sorry but the F-35 could very well turn out to be capable of SUPERSONIC CRUISE (> Mach 1.0 without afterburner) at speeds similar to the Eurocanards. It is the F-22 & ONLY the F-22 which is thus far a true SUPERCRUISE (> Mach 1.5 without afterburner) aircraft with the truly game-changing benefits of CRUISING at such high speed. Don’t get me wrong, being able to SUPERSONIC CRUISE (> Mach 1.0 without afterburner) at ~Mach 1.2 certainly is a good thing but don’t a fool & fall for the Eurocanard PR BS that their SUPERSONIC CRUISE (> Mach 1.0 without afterburner) is anything compared to the F-22’s Mach 1.78 SUPERCRUISE.
Here’s some arguments of which i would like to stress two:
A fast target is both harder to reach and harder to actually kill even IF you reach it.
Secondly the faster a/c will always be one step ahead.Re. the last quote: “We don’t expect to get slow with the F/A-22.
We will be flying at high speeds and high altitudes,
taking long-range shots”
-Just don’t get slow if it can be avoided, and today that is feasible.
Again, the F-22 is in a league of its own as a true SUPERCRUISE (> Mach 1.5 without afterburner) aircraft and LM & the USG have been very clear in separating the F-35’s speed (& other related air superiority characteristics) with those of the F-22. But remove the F-22 from the equation & the F-35 is NOT at a significant disadvantage in REAL combat situations.
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Funny thing is, if you point out to them the reality that they will never get F-22s and that Australia cancelling F-35s would only mean Australia being stuck with Super Hornets for decades they shut right the hell up. Kopp and ELP (Jensen) are convinced that if they can somehow get Australia to not buy F-35s they’ll somehow magically end up with F-22s. 😀
And because of the F-22’s comparatively limited AtG capabilities that Australia will then ALSO somehow magically end up with their pet project (an upgraded F-111)…
I have no idea what you want to tell me with that:confused:
That the people who have been quoted as saying that the F-22’s fuel capacity is 18,000+/18,488 lbs are likely confusing the F-22’s fuel capacity (which is in fact 3082 gal = 20,649.4 lbs of JP-8) with the 18,480 lbs of the PRE WEIGHT REDUCTION F-35A.
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Wrong, the actual weight is quoted ~29300 lb, when testing will not demand further weight gains. The F-35 AF-1 has just started the test program in earnest.
BS. POST WEIGHT REDUCTION F-35A is LIGHTER than PRE WEIGHT REDUCTION 29,036 lbs F-35A, not heavier. And POST WEIGHT REDUCTION F-35A is LIGHTER than AA-1 (which is slightly less than 29,000 lbs).
On 19 December 2008, Lockheed Martin rolled out the first weight-optimized F-35A (designated AF-1). It is the first F-35 to be produced at a full-rate production speed – the assembly line moves at 50 inches (127 centimeters) per hour – and is structurally identical to final production F-35As that will be delivered starting in 2010
On 19 February 2006, the first F-35A (designated AA-1) was rolled out in Fort Worth, Texas.
Not fully equipped it does show that the series example will be overweight really. No radar and some other equipment fitted, when the few sensor did not counter that anticipated weight. See the pre weight reduction data of the preproduction prototypes about that. Just from the AF-1 they were built to post reduction standard really and the AF-1 showed ~29300 lb as quoted by LM in 2009.
AA-1 is a PRE WEIGHT REDUCTION airframe yet even it weighs less than 29,000 lbs (although not by much). It is fitted with flight test equipment which weigh as much if not more than the ‘radar and some other equipment’ that will be fitted service F-35s. The GREAT thing about AA-1 is that it came so close to its projected weight & verified that the computer models used to estimate F-35 weight were VERY accurate.
Nice photoshop job. 😉
It isn’t photoshop you troll. It is a page directly from the JSF Program Overview given by Maj “Digger” Davis HQ ACC/ A8F 30 Oct 2007!
Note how that is All PRE WEIGHT REDUCTION where as the 30 Oct 2007 data is POST WEIGHT REDUCTION. :p
Lets’ compare weights.
Lets see…
Length 51.5 ft : Don’t know why but some sources say 50.5′ (or 50.4′) while others say 51.5′ (or 51.4′).
Weight empty 29,300 lb : PRE WEIGHT REDUCTION was 29,036 lbs, POST WEIGHT REDUCTION is 26,664 lbs.
Internal fuel 18,000 + lbs : 18,307 lbs as per official program documents.
Speed Mach 1.6 (~1,200 mph) : Actual top speed is classified but it is > Mach 1.6.
Range ~1.200 n. mi : No way that a > 600nm COMBAT RADIUS results in ~1200nm RANGE.
Combat radius 610 n. mi : 625nm as per official program documents.
Engine thrust 40,000 lb (with after burner) : Official thrust rating is 43,000 lbs.
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Fuel load has been slightly decreased either by the SWAT measures if we take this for granted.
That IS the slightly decreased fuel load.
F-35A PRE WEIGHT REDUCTION
empty weight: 29,036 lbs
internal fuel: 18,480 lbs (look familiar *)
F-35A POST WEIGHT REDUCTION
empty weight: 26,664 lbs
internal fuel: 18,307 lbs
F-35B PRE WEIGHT REDUCTION
empty weight: 32,161 lbs
internal fuel: 14,003 lbs
F-35B POST WEIGHT REDUCTION
empty weight: 29,695 lbs
internal fuel: 13,400 lbs
F-35C PRE WEIGHT REDUCTION
empty weight: 32,072 lbs
internal fuel: 20,085 lbs
F-35C POST WEIGHT REDUCTION
empty weight: 29,996 lbs
internal fuel: 19,145 lbs
* It SHOULD. I DO NOT believe it is a coincidence how close it is to the
18,000+/18,488 lbs F-22 capacity some want you to believe.
JSF Program Overview
30 Oct 2007
And the F135 has been PUBLICLY known to be 43,000 lbs afterburing thrust since AT LEAST Dec 2005.
Please stop feeding the trolls.
Here’s an article that needs to be red to understand F35’s construction and aerodynamics.
Interesting part:
LOL, what more needs to be said???
F16 accelarates M.8-M1.2 in 44 sec. and sustains, at least, 7g at the same altitude at which F35 sustains 5g.
So, how is F35 more maneuverable than F16 in any regime???
LOL, it’s so plain obvious…
Sorry but I just HAVE to respond to this troll…
That is the worst kind of trash journalism.
“The exact performance of the current F-35A configuration—also known as the 240-4—are classified.” Providing co called data on a STRIKE MISSION LOADED (two ‘2,000 lb’ JDAM + two AMRAAM + >18,000 lbs of internal fuel) 240-3 design is BS. If an F-35A is carrying only two AMRAAMs then it is carrying air-to-ground weapons…
The author can’t even get the thrust of the F135 correct. The F135 is rated at 28,000 lbs dry (military) & 43,000 lbs wet (afterburner) thrust.
The F-35’s frontal area is similar to that of the Rafale (as is it total surface area) yet I have heared no complaints of the Rafale’s acceleration with LESS thrust than the F-35 (no I am NOT saying that the F-35 is a ‘aerodynamic’ as a Rafale, I AM saying that is is about the SIZE of a Rafale).
The F-35A in a STRIKE MISSION (two ‘2,000 lb’ JDAM + two AMRAAM + 18,307 lbs of internal fuel) weighs 49,671 lbs! To get an air-to-air mission takeoff weight of 49,540 lbs would require an F-35A with 14 AMRAAM (that would be 4 internal + 10 external) + 18,186 lbs of fuel. And an F-35A 40% (7,323 lbs) of internal fuel with a thrust-to-weight ratio of 1.09 (39,450 lbs) would need to have an air-to-air weapons load of 5,462 lbs – that’s 14 AMRAAM + 4 AIM-9X. Lets see any remotely comparable fighter ‘dogfight’ with that kind of load!
And even with external stores the F-35’s radar & IR signatures are superior to comparable 4th or 4.5 generation fighter with a similar payload.
Although the author did fianlly get it correct in the very last sentence. “Some pilots argue that in a dogfight, the air-to-air missile has more to do with the engagement’s outcome than does the aircraft.”
Note, however, it is advantageous for potential enemies & ingorant fools like Cola1973 believe the so called data for the 230-3 design accurately represents the performance of the actual F-35A (so I may have exposed a deliberate deception but a I am certian that Cola1973, Dare2 & other such fools will chose to believe the deception). 😉
Stop feeding the trolls.
I guess it’s true that the inlet might be able to reach M>2.0- on reflection I think your conclusion is probably a bit more logical than mine, however the testing still does not determine a maximum or minimum value for the top speed for the F-35 itself, only for the inlet, and then only for the DSI type inlet fitted to the F-16 (which is substantially different from that on the F-35). Keep in mind that they may have not achieved M>2.0 because it was not possible. Fixed inlets are as a general rule of thumb limited to M=2.0. The DSI’s main advantage is that of boundary layer and shock control (it serves both as a diffuser and boundary layer redirecter) without any moving parts or non-stealthy gaps. However, it is still limited to M=2.0 from what I have heard.
You seem to be missing the point. Which is not whether the F-35’s DSI can exceed Mach 2.0 or not (it was not meant to) but that it CAN exceed Mach 1.6 & has in fact been shown to be capable of at least Mach 2.0. There is no reason for an inlet capable of Mach 2.0 on an aircraft with a ‘designed Mach limit’ of Mach 1.6 – in fact it would be detrimental as an inlet with a limit closer to the aircraft’s ‘designed Mach limit’ would tend to be be more efficent at lower speeds.
See here:
http://forum.keypublishing.co.uk/showthread.php?t=43337
and
http://www.freepatentsonline.com/EP0888497.html
The second link is particularly interesting, as it specifically references the number Mach 1.6 in numerous places (though the document suggests that such an inlet can achieve higher, and testing confirms this), and it is a Lockheed Martin patent. It references another patent referring to bump intake research from M=1.5 to M=2.0.
What is shows is that such inlets are intended for > Mach 1.6 rather than < Mach 1.6.
The F-22 does not have a fixed inlet from what I understand. Like the F-15 it has intake ramps. The purpose of these ramps is to prevent spillage around the outside of the intake. The DSI bump may serve a similar purpose, which allows it to be more efficient than a conventional inlet, but like I said, still likely limited to M=2.0 because it is fixed (a variable ramp gives you a much greater range of shock control I would think). Both the F-35 and the F-22 have air bleed mechanisms in the intake.
The F-22 has a fixed inlet. But a fixed inlet designed for sustained high speed (> Mach 1.5) flight.
Anyway, it is probably not the intake of the F-35 that limits it so much as the relatively high bypass ratio of the engine(0.53 for the F135 as opposed to 0.36 for the F100 and I think around 0.2 for the F119). However, there is reason to believe that the intake limits you to M=2.0.
The F135’s 0.56 bypass ratio does not limit it to < Mach 2.0 (much less < Mach 1.6). Even a bypass ratio of 1.0 is good for Mach 2.0.
Some examples of > Mach 2.0 engines with bypass ratio similar to or HIGHER than the F135.
AL-31 of the Flanker (0.57)
D-30F6 of the Mig-31 (0.57)
F100-PW-220 of the F-15C (0.71)
F110-GE-129 of the F-15E (0.76)
F110-GE-400 of the F-14D (0.87)
RB.199 of the Tornado (0.97)
TF-30 of the F-111 (1.10)
TF-30 of the F-14A (0.73)