Ah, the memoirs you just stirred… OK brother, this one is specially dedicated for you, though you probably have already seen it: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=81Lcys6nYuw (It’s in Greek sorry, but the pictures speak for themselves 😎 )
Yes, i know the video. I posted it too (http://forum.keypublishing.co.uk/showpost.php?p=1521376&postcount=241)
I remember one article of some defence magazine saying that ladders for the M2000 in Tanagra were barely high enough for the Russian pilots be climb to their cockpit! 😀
We won’t be seeing Sus in Greece for the next 4 years (and probably 8) with our PM, that’s for sure.
Back in the eighties, a Turk air force general visited France and he was granted the honour of a free flight with a Mirage 2K. Greece had just bought M2Ks, so everyone was eager to hear his thoughts. He said it was a nice bird but Turkey had by then got into the F-16 philosophy and infrastructure lines and could not possibly afford another type, though they would seriously consider it if Dassault would make a nice offer.
True.
So, that’s pretty much the only case the Turks will ever buy serious French hardware: Both the presence of a friendly government, as well a “nice offers”. While the first is not unlikely, the second is IMHO.
It just can’t work. Recall also the case with ERYX missiles.
I too give very slim chances. It could be a miracle. The Cougars are the most notable exception in french-turkish relations. The Eryx if i recall, was cancelled, after the french voted in favour of the recognition of the armenian genocide. I am pretty sure i remember there was political clash before the Turks anounced that they were defective.
It would take a miracle.
how’s Greco-Russian relations these days? it’d be nice to see a pak-fa in HAF colors 😉 it’d give the Bulgarians a big scare!
I ‘ve replied in length about that eventuality in the main forum. Short answer: No way Greece will buy russian aircraft. And certainly not with this PM anyway! My opinion is that relations are better than most other EU countries, but have certainly lost momentum and with this PM could possibly cool further. The fate of the Burgas-Alexandroupolis pipeline will be one interesting thing to see how relations will go. Right now it faces risks, after the change of the Bulgarian (the real one) goverment, which is pro-USA. Our PM is pro-USA too, but he can’t back off from that. But if the Bulgarians “burn” it, it will cool further greek-russian relations, because that pipeline was mutually beneficial.
Sure it would give the… Bulgarians a big scare. 😀 Even the visit of Su27s and 30s at Tanagra had provoked unrest to the Bulgarians 😉 For a moment they thought they ‘d actually may have had to face them over the Aegean. I think to recall that there were even diplomatic protests to us and to NATO from our neighbour.
Anyway, even if Segolen actually rises to power, I doubt that France will ever, ever, get involved to any serious arms deal with Turkey, so many reasons for that. Which in turn indeed leaves only German and American options available. But the Turks want to design and build the ship themselves, so the foreigners’ involvement will probably be restricted to subsystems alone.
I agree, but in politics, “never” is a big word. It’s even bigger when there is a change in power. If France was to transform in fervent supporter of turkish entry in EU, it would be worth a frigate contract for example. Unlikely given the turkish mistrust and antipathy towards France, even with Sarkozy out of the way, but i always leave a window open in such cases.
Well . . . Sarkozy’s grandfather was born in the Ottoman Empire – but when he was 21 (& living in France) his home city became part of the Greek state. Sarkozy’s great-grandfather died in Greece.
Yes, he reminded us about his grandfather in his speech in the greek parliament, he seems fond of him. But his policy towards Turkey has nothing to do with sentiment. It has to do with French interests and possibly with the way he sees the future of EU. If his grandfather’s memory was so influential to his politics, he ‘d probably offer to upgrade us for free or almost free the 20 non upgraded Mirage. Instead he wants 28 mln a piece. 😀 Or if he can’t convince Dassault, he could send 20 Rafale to help us to daily interceptions. Free trainning!
My main gripe with the EU is that it demands this subservience in almost all aspects of government that should be the sole preserve of the nation state in order to get into the trade club. No other trade bloc tries that.
This is the main problem with British policy. The EU isn’t supposed to be a trade union anymore. That’s why demands interference in domestic matters of governance. The trade union was back when it was called EEC (European Economic Comunity).
The reason of why your goverments chose to stay in the evolution of the EEC into something that goes beyond a trade union, the EU, are political mainly. It’s the same reason for which the EU was thought, instead of staying as “EEC”. With the global market and new rising powers, each single country in a trader’s union, would , eventually become insignificant. If each state, remained individual in a traders union, sooner or later, they would find themselves politically powerless, against new and old superpowers and economically they would be “bought off” or in the best case, end up isolated in their own small world, living wealthy, but with no impact on world evolution. Much like Switzerland living her own dream surrounded by EU countries, staying happy with the money they make from banks.
The problem is, countries like Germany, UK, France, etc, that are used in being big powers, influent powers, could never settle for that fate. That’s why the “EU” was invented. Something beyond a trade club of individual countries. This isn’t just about money either, it’s about political influence. It’s about not becoming marginalized. It’s securing your own markets, securing your own energy routes, securing your own access to ports, BEFORE someone else does.
Even economically speaking, each country alone and its currency alone, would become vulnerable to foreign powers. China is rising. USA is still strong. Russia is recovering. India is on quick growth. In today’s market, staying alone against a giant, means, that sooner or later, your currency will be attacked and the “big fella” will buy you off.
At the end of the day, in the EU, those with more political and decisional power, are the big countries, including UK. The big countries are using the smaller ones as their shield to hold the attack from outside. You go to Greece, almost all supermarkets are now Carrefour, Lidl, Aldi etc. In the 90s they were all greek. But they couldn’t compete with much bigger competitors, especially in market with common rules, made in Brussels. Now your companies that buy off smaller fish, grow bigger and will be able to have more chances to survive a say, Chinese competitor tomorrow, rather than making the same end of the small fish. So you ‘re in the EU, because you don’t want the same to happen to YOUR companies by the US , Chinese, Russians, etc, in some future day. The smaller countries in a way or another, they would get bought off. Better from you than from the Chinese, although at least, they don’t worry about political influence, because they didn’t have one in the first place. And since politically their interests lie more in Europe, they also use the big ones as their own shield for the future.
Of course a PM can’t go on public TV and say “We must be in EU because we fear an economic competition with USA and China or a new cold war with Russia or we may have someday to counter another superpower’s plans for the control of energy routes and we can’t do that alone”.
That’s why the plan for the EU, is a federation-like model. This will theoretically allow the EU to act as one, superpower, with common resources and interests, capable to stand her own ground to other superpowers, economically, militarily and politically. You can’t expect to do that, if each country has different foreign policy, defence policy, different currency, different economy rules, different trade rules, etc. They will simply take you down one by one.
Basically, if the EU doesn’t work out, in the best case scenario, the big european countries will remain spectators on a game that others partecipate and the results affect their fate without being able to do anything about it. Maybe it’s a rough analogy, but it will be a bit like being Austria in the middle of the Cold War. With the difference, that in the Cold War, there was no global economy, so the Russians couldn’t affect much Austria. Now even the Chinese can. Or the Russians that provide the majority of EU’s gas.
The price to avoid all that, is giving some of your sovereignty to Brussels. On the bright side, you ‘ve much more power there than most of the other 26 countries. Britain in particular, being an ex empire, can’t possibly let herself an isolated spectator looking the world change while she stays in “happy isolation” , and aspiring in the best case simply to see USA retain her power and be happy in acting as her sidekick. That’s why your politicians put you in the EU, despite your population being against. You could have maintained a customs Union with EU if trade was all your politicians had in mind.
Both Greece and Turkey have MEKO 200 frigates 😉
As long as Sarkozy is in power in France and as long as he maintains his not so friendly policy towards Turkey, you can forget a french frigate for Turkey. It’s too important equipment. It could happen only if relations with Sarkozy changed dramatically. Or if the socialists take power in France.
Anything german or american is the obvious path.
The story of this procurement is the most complicated i ‘ve seen. No wonder why there are so different opinions.
Just a question. Is there a timeline about WHEN (more or less) the Tejas Mk2 could be available for industrial production? (i suppose you won’t mass produce the Mk1).
Agreed, but I ‘m not very optimistic with the greek procurement program. I estimate that the first HN FREMM would be operational no sooner than 2022-23. If this program is actually materialised. Hopefully it will, but with current government… you never know.
Well, our PM said he wants to make us “Denmark of the south”. Denmark has 6 frigates:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vessels_in_the_Danish_Navy
So, we will be more or less on target! 😀 Seriously, i don’t expect any defence procurements like those we knew anymore.
Anyway, we still don’t know the exact specifications of the FREMMs. It will be a matter of debate for years to come, I’m afraid…
I think i read somewhere (defencenet?) that we ll probably sign for the FREMM by the end of this year? Of course first the fate of Skaramanga must be agreed, because otherwise, it’s all uncertain about where they will be built.
So this announcement is no big deal. It has happened before. It could mean everything but it could also mean nothing. Still, it seems that something is moving.
No, this time it’s for real. It’s their reply to the greek FREMMs. They can’t let it without answer.
At all topics…
Check your PM , i replied you there to spare the rest of the forum the joy of yet another reply.
I
I’m no expert on Greek internal politics but are you really saying that Greeks don’t have internal political problems? Apart from the fact that every nation does, Greece seems to be having some problems at the moment (large riots last year etc) that a bit of common national pride towards an outside aggressor might help to solve.
Ok, i tried to hold back, but i must make 2 comments on that.
1) The “large riots” last year, were 300-500 anarchists that were left free to burn Athens, because the goverment was afraid to send the police to stop them. This year that anarchists from all Europe came to Greece hoping to repeat them (they were thus much more than last year), they were charged by the police and almost nothing was destroyed. Because we had a socialist goverment, and thus immune to the accusation of “police brutality”.
2) If we wanted an outside aggressor to solve our problems, we could find someone smaller in size than Turkey. Turkey is a pretty bad choice for that. It’s like Mexico choosing USA.
3) Do you think that we actually helped the turkish generals prepare their plans against Greece and that were revealed now? I think not.
4) The biggest problem is economy and nothing more would make our politicians happy than getting rid of the defence budget. They ‘ve been proposed mutual cuts to Turkey since like 2002, Turkey denied, we ‘ve cut ours anyway from 4+% to 2.5% of GDP. There must be a more economic way to solve internal problems than having an arms race with Turkey. like giving the money of the aircrafts to the farmers instead, that in these days are blocking greek roads. You know, the turkish plan of crisis with Greece, didn’t move the farmers one bit from their road blocks. Giving them money will.
5) Suppose that Greece is the provocator and has absolutely wrong in everything. Well, at least there is this. We are ready to accept our fate in the hands of foreign judges
http://www.icj-cij.org/jurisdiction/index.php?p1=5&p2=1&p3=3&code=GR
List of all countries:
http://www.icj-cij.org/jurisdiction/index.php?p1=5&p2=1&p3=3
All Turkey has to do is submit a similar declaration and we can both open any dispute against each other to the court.
We even let them start EU negotiations despite the fact that they have casus belli against us. What else must we do to show that we don’t use them to solve our internal problems? Kneel down and kiss their shoes?
Rafale 9-9.5t, EF 11t, Mig at least 12t, F16IN 8-9t.
My bad for not being clear. By “heavyweight” i don’t intend their literal weight, that’s why i used the “”. I mean high performance, twin engine, costly ones.
The Mig is a singular case, for the fact that russian is always much cheaper and India already has russian aircraft, so it will be a painless (and with the lower cost) transition for IAF.
Yes, if this was still a compitition with the simple aim of replacing Mig 21 and India would not develop the LCA which is pretty much in the same class. Especially in the MK2 version it won’t lack that much behind in payload, range, t/w…to justify twice as much costs.
Besides that as you said, there are no political advantages, not in terms of ToT, because all main techs are mainly developed by foreign nations (US engine, UK/ITA radar).
Yes, the Tejas is coming up as the indigenous Gripen, isn’t it.
This is the problem for us outsiders. What exactly is the aircraft that India wants? Buying EF, which excels as air superiority aircraft, for me makes no sense given the PAK Fa and Sukhoi. Even for multirole or even worse A2G , doesn’t make sense. The Rafale makes more sense, but you know as well as i do, that it will be a costly choice, specially in weaponry.
I do understand why some Indians say “scrap it all”. If you want something for A2G, wouldn’t the Tejas in big numbers suffice?
Is “supercruise” one of the goals of the PAK-FA project?
It will be nice to have a russian definition of supercruise soon! 😀 Imagine the joy in this forum! Endless debates about whose supercruise is the true one. LMs? Euros? Russians? 😀
Claimed as combat, but nothing more than to train the related procedures under real g-forces at least.
The F-35 pilots will stick to their superior SA, AAMs and EW-suit in the worst case. War-time statistics do show, that just 10% of combat missions had a chance to view a hostile fighter at all and the ratio of real encounters was even smaller. The main threat to all fighters is still from surface to air defences. Just a fighter with some useful A2G capability does pose a real threat in air-power. A2A fighters are passive items most of the time.
Statistics mainly from USAF against vastly inferior airforces with GCI promptly knocked out in the first days of conflict.
If USAF had attacked Russia, i doubt Russian A2A fighters would remain passive.
Just like USAF aircrafts shot down quite a bit Mig21s and 17s in Vietnam and not the US SAMs.
And at the same way, there were many kills in the Mig Alley, because of the large number the enemy had deployed.
Against a country with good GCI, possibly AWACS and a good number of aircrafts for A2A, i doubt that the biggest threat would be SAMs. For USAF against the next rogue state, yes. For example if USA attacks Iran, knocks out with a quick SEAD the main radars, the Iranians would be suicidal to try to oppose to USAF, the best thing is to rely on SAMs to get some US aircraft. Try the same against China in 30 years from now and you will be getting loads of interceptors coming your way.
Unlike the SAM, an enemy A2A fighter, if it is notified that you are there and has proper numbers as to not be condemned to death, can come and find you at any ceiling , behind any terrain obstacle.
There is a general trend emerging in Indian defence purchase in that if the equipment is not of either US or Indian origin the whole deal ends up getting cancelled due to some corruption charges. So dont be surprised if a European plane wins the whole deal gets cancelled due to some allegations :D:D:D:D
Interesting. Well, i am pretty sure that your gov and airforce can arrange the criteria in a way to avoid having a european win, if it’s not desired to win. That would avoid the “scandal”.
But, on the other hand, i suppose it could happen exactly as you say. I am pretty sure that no matter who wins, some of the losers will accuse you of something, so you won’t avoid “scandal accusations” anyway.
The iranians are developing their own stealth fighter :p
Yes, well, for trainner/light attack it should be fine. But when every other in the region is getting new aircrafts, that with the shaeqeh (that looks like a cross-breed between F5 and F18) won’t cut it.
Specially in case those Israelis will be interested in a bombing operation, you can’t expect to rely entirely on SAMs to stop them.