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  • in reply to: Defense against Anti Radiation Missiles #1791212
    SOC
    Participant

    Sean, that’s your point of view. NATO bombing campaign was to succeed with or without SEAD. I saw no substantive benefits from launching lots of ARM (most of them lost or decoyed). I can accept that they could have saved a few planes, but the end would have been exactly the same with or without those hundreds HARMS. That saved most planes from SA fire was … just to fly high enough.

    That’s not exactly my point of view, that’s how it is in fact viewed by the USAF. That’s why we do differentiate between a SEAD campaign and a DEAD campaign (what the D stands for should be obvious!). The air campaign may have done just fine without SEAD, but the SEAD operations did produce the desired result, and from a doctrinal point of view they were therefore effective.

    Also, a lot of the HARMs that missed were older models lacking GPS. They had issues with hitting radars that powered down…and if the HARM shot forced the radar to power down, that is still a success even if the missile goes on a rocket-powered romp through the countryside oblivious to SAM radar targeting.

    in reply to: Defense against Anti Radiation Missiles #1791214
    SOC
    Participant

    Even S-400 will not prevent attacks on civillian infrastructure. Off-course it can rise the cost of such attacks.

    The Serbian SA network operated, albeit with reduced efficiency, but operated. So the term “successful” doesn’t correspond to such a SEAD campaign.

    Yes it was successful, for the simple reason that the air defense network was degraded and forced to operate using tactics that meant that NATO airstrikes were able to be conducted. Successful SEAD doesn’t mean you have to permanently destroy or degrade an enemy’s IADS. As long as your SEAD campaign provides enough interference to ensure that your overall mission succeeds, then the SEAD campaign itself has succeeded.

    in reply to: Distiller's demand – UK get out of JSF! #2545351
    SOC
    Participant

    Of course if you delay it, you end up with the type of retreat (when it finally comes) like the US in Vietnam.

    Which, going back to one of my previous points about how we don’t seem to learn our lessons insofar as warfare are concerned, is precisely the same type of wthdrawl we’re going to face leaving Iraq!

    in reply to: Defense against Anti Radiation Missiles #1791221
    SOC
    Participant

    Yeap, but the Serbian military loses were also very low. And Apaches didn’t entered in Kosovo.

    So this doesn’t change the facts: The targeting of the civilian infrastructure was that forced the Serbs to negotiate. But even a dozen S-300pmu would be unable to prevent the attacks on the civilian infrastructure. The SEAD campaign was largely ineffective.

    The SEAD campaign was effective because it forced the Serbian air defense network to operate in a fashion that did not prohibit the strikes on the civillian infrastructure from being carried out.

    in reply to: Distiller's demand – UK get out of JSF! #2545376
    SOC
    Participant

    That’s ridiculous. We can’t legally re-export US technology we don’t own. We’re obliged by treaty to apply whatever restrictions the US imposes.

    One of the arguments used by Henry Hyde to make the case against an ITAR waiver was the lack of British legislation preventing arms transfers from Britain to third parties.

    http://www.defenseindustrydaily.com/uk-warns-usa-over-itar-arms-restrictions-01549/

    in reply to: Distiller's demand – UK get out of JSF! #2545393
    SOC
    Participant

    Perhaps the UK leaving would be a blessing in disguise?

    Despite what the technocrats in the USAF want you to believe, at this point in time, killing the ENTIRE PROGRAM would be a blessing in disguise.

    But a Rafale purchase, maybe?:confused:

    I dunno, but I think PAK-FA might be more likely than Rafale 😀 At any rate if they want ot make a change they have to do it ASAP, otherwise they’re going ot have issues with the CVF not being designed to support their new choice.

    in reply to: Distiller's demand – UK get out of JSF! #2545404
    SOC
    Participant

    1) The ‘sources’ I’m referring to know a whole lot more than you or I about the content of the original agreement and the recent ‘solution’. I take their concerns seriously, certainly more than I take notice of bland reassurances from politicians, which rarely count as ‘tangible factual information’ in my experience.

    The problem is that you are saying that your people have concerns that issues may not have been dealt with. That is pretty black and white, meaning that they have no idea what the real deal that was worked out was either. If they don’t know what it was, and you don’t know what it was, then I see no reason to discount the statements made by people who do know what it was. Granted they are business people and politicians and as such may well be pulling a fast one, but since nobody else knows what is in the agreement, we cannot dismiss their claims out of hand simply because some people are concerned. Are their concerns valid? Of course, and I’d think that enough concern should provide a good impetus to get to the bottom of this and find a straight answer, provided we haven’t gotten one already and just don’t realize it.

    Good god, even the contracts and agreements and whatnot are stealth, perhaps this is just some elaborate ruse to justify the increasing price tag?

    2) The main practical objections to the invasion of Iraq were that it failed to remove an immediate WMD threat (there was no such immediate threat), it has cost us dear in lives and cash, it has resulted in massive casualties among innocent civilians, it has destabilised the region, it has diminished the USA’s international standing and reputation and it has only exacerbated the Islamist threat to US/UK interests.

    Ok, you took that from an entirely different context than I did, so all I’ll say is that apart from the WMD issue I do not disagree with what you’ve said there.

    3) Putting aside the tired and barely concealed anti-British sniping that I’m coming to expect (is it the Irish American in you, Sean?) I fail to see any evidence of any ‘reneging’ on undertakings by the British in Basra.

    First off, if you want to bring my Irish background into this, then I shall have no choice but to expound upon the historical impact of a certain character named Cornwallis and jump to the conclusion that this all stems from some sort of inferiority issue engrained into the British psyche since 1781.

    That, people, was called sarcasm, before a few of you go nuts.

    Secondly, the issue with the Brits in Basrah is that they didn’t leave the city in an overly secure fashion when they left the palace to retreat to the airport. They effectively allowed Basra to become rather unsafe and in the end had to leave the area. That doesn’t sound like a recipe for success on the part of the Iraqis taking over the area, and it is very likely we’ll be back down there cleaning up Basra before too long. So yes, the UK was given the area to stabilize, and in this case clearly messed up and left without solving the problems they were sent there to prevent in the first place.

    In any case, as I said, even if the UK Government were to renege on an agreement, that would not excuse the USA doing so. The USA should surely be able to set its own moral compass, which should be absolute, not relative.

    And both compasses should be keyed to each nation’s self interests first. In this case, the government changed here, and the new President wasn’t keen on Slick Willie’s policies. Neither were some of the members of Congress. That’s what happens when you deal with a nation whose government can turn over every four years, and one where the President doesn’t really have any kind of power to enforce any such agreements he might see fit to make, making him a little irrelevant in this context.

    To go all the way back to my original comment that set you off in the first place, it was not intended as a derogatory remark against the British servicemen in Iraq. I was illustrating that the political reality is that our relationship, politically speaking, is not what it once was. As the UK will be the next major partner to exit Iraq, and as Iraq is currently our major issue until somebody finds an asinine reason to bomb Iran, why should we bend over backwards to give the UK special treatment? Bear in mind that it is my position that changing governments should not be held accountable to word-of-mouth type agreements set down by their predecessors, if you missed that part then ok, I guess it could seem like a more callous remark. Now, if you, Phil Foster, or anyone else was offended by the wording of the remark, then I do apologize, but I am not going to back down from the intent of the remark, as I find nothing wrong with it.

    in reply to: Distiller's demand – UK get out of JSF! #2545414
    SOC
    Participant

    Thats highly debatable. I’d say more the opposite, shooting civilians on sight.

    I think you might be referring to the Blackwater idiots…and yes, I do think that since they were there as civillians that they should be handed over for trial by Iraq. The US military does not have a habit of doing the things that would end wars in short order, including but not limited to the systematic elimination of the local electorate. After all, that gives us more time to make the mistakes that we’ll choose to ignore and re-make in the next war!

    Overall, I think Distiller has it right, but only about say 10 years ago at least. The UK has already been hoodwinked dear Distiller, now there is no time to develop an alternative to the F-35.

    I don’t know about that, if they were able to get the support of the industries involved and get the money they needed (that’s the debatable part, really), I wouldn’t put it past them to put something like a Replica derivative into the mix. Unfortunately that is either too early or too late to really be a viable option if LO is the goal…10 years earlier and they could have ignored JSF, 15 years from now and the jet could be marketed as the potential EF-2000 replacement.

    Say “thank you” and “please” to America and be happy in an alternative Orwellian 1984.

    If they’re not happy they can pull out. The relationship may be strained in areas but I don’t think it’s quite devolved to the repressive level of 1984.

    in reply to: F-16XL #2545424
    SOC
    Participant

    Note the advanced serpentine ducts reducing frontal radar cross section :diablo: 😀

    Much like another single-engine fighter that claims low-RCS due to a different engine intake design, the nature of the design is such that the RCS will still be pretty large. Draken is a very cool aircraft, yes, but you will be able to find it.

    in reply to: Distiller's demand – UK get out of JSF! #2545439
    SOC
    Participant

    I see you ‘moderating’ again SOC.

    Is there something wrong? As far as I am aware I have not broken any of the forum’s guidelines with any of my comments. And I haven’t edited any bit of this discussion as I have gotten myself involved, there are other moderators who are more than capable and can even edit my own postings if they see fit.

    To explain the bit which I am sure has caused you to find my presence entertaining once again, it is clearly obvious that the UK will not be in Iraq for that much longer. A year, two, maybe, but they aren’t willing to sit through it for the entirety like we will (whether we want to or not). Which is perfectly fine, if they want to make a political decision to act in what they perceive to be their best interests, then that is by all means their right to do so, as the situation has clearly changed in Iraq, correct? My point is that if it is alright for one nation to act in what it perceives to be its own self interest, it is right for all to do so. The concerns over a lot of the JSF stuff from this end had to do with the fact that British export restrictions are not the same as ours, and there is a possibility that JSF technology could end up someplace we don’t want it to end up.

    What’s really interesting is that the other half of that argument has yet to reappear, that of the second powerplant.

    in reply to: Defense against Anti Radiation Missiles #1791272
    SOC
    Participant

    No. It didn’t.

    Yes, it did. Effective SEAD does not mean you physically eliminate the entire air defense network, it means you curtail it to the point that you can fulfill your mission. Were NATO bombing runs still conducted? Yes. Ergo, the SEAD campaign succeeded.

    Serbs were more or less well aware of the situation during the whole period. Many downed Tomahawk indicate this.

    Tomahawks are fired in enough numbers to account for some shot down. Plus, they are slow, cooperative targets, and not that hard to shoot down.

    Also many ARM were succesfully decoyed. Apache inactivity also shows fear to low flying missiles and MANPADS.

    Apache inactivity was also due in large part to maintenance issues and the lack of a real mission requiring their presence.

    Bottom line: every single SAM system and radar site could have survived the war, but if they were rendered ineffective and not able to function as part of the defensive network, then the SEAD campaign is a success. SEAD does not require anything to blow up to be successful.

    in reply to: Defense against Anti Radiation Missiles #1791276
    SOC
    Participant

    No. It did’t succeed. Lots ended on ground. The SEAD campaing failed.

    No, it succeeded, overwhelmingly. The “S” in SEAD is for Suppression, which does not imply physical destruction. The HARM/Jammer combo proved deadly enough to force the enemy to keep the SAM systems turned off and hidden, or sporadically active. This removed them from the list of serious, immediate threats to combat aircraft operating in the area. Ergo, the SEAD campaign succeeded.

    Kosovo was an internal problem for Serbia. It was nothing for NATO to get involved with.

    And certainly nothing for NATO to have to call in the US to fix. The US should not have been there, and neither should NATO. Or were the Serbians plotting to take over Greece or something and actually representing a credible threat to another NATO member state that I am not aware of?

    And if 2,000 illegal immigrants from Argentina move to the Falklands and then demand another referendum and the result favours a change to Argentine rule… what then?

    Nothing. They’re illegal and therefore irrelevant when it comes to that region’s voting or self-determination.

    in reply to: Distiller's demand – UK get out of JSF! #2545470
    SOC
    Participant

    I haven’t read the agreement. Nor have you. But I do speak to JSF programme insiders from both industry and the UK customer, and there is clearly real concern among senior officers and industry folk here that the underlying issues have not been addressed, and that this may be a political, face-saving band aid.

    The operative phrase there being “may be”, as in your “sources” know as much as you or I do in this case. Having concerns and knowing the facts are entirely different.

    You clearly place far too much faith in the press releases about this and are clearly not cognizant of the real workings of the inter-Governmental agreements and processes.

    :p :dev2:

    Since press releases are no longer reliable, none of the European nations have a leg to stand in when it comes to complaining about a reduced-capability JSF then, right? That was revealed in a press release, after all.

    On the other hand, I am at least focusing on some sort of tangible factual information, while you are relying on the unproven concerns of others.

    NB: Legal and practical objections.

    The main practical issues were 1) the lack of a two-front war to more effectively contain certain elements, and 2) a complete misunderstanding of the Iraqi mindset. The fact that the USA constantly insists on carelessly restraining itself on the battlefield never helps matters either.

    Re Basra: We still have some forces in place, but have handed over responsibility to Iraqi forces as agreed, and as we were required to do. I fail to see any evidence of the UK reneging on any commitment re Basra, nor of our failing to abide by any agreement.

    Insofar as the time and date of the handover was a judgement call, I suspect that our judgement was flawed, and that we were over-optimistic in our assessment of the fitness of local forces to take over, though my understanding is that the Iraqis (whose ultimate decision it was) were not keen to delay the hand over.

    So the security situation in and around Basra has not worsened one bit? Was that not the main area of responsibility for the Britsh forces? I’m not exactly referring to the transfer either, think about it for a few minutes.

    in reply to: Distiller's demand – UK get out of JSF! #2545490
    SOC
    Participant

    The UK was invited to become the only other Level One participant because of the technology that it could bring to the party. The UK signed up to the programme on the basis of undertakings given – and the problem is that the US has reneged on those undertakings.

    Says you, only because you have not been allowed to read the classified agreement signed between the two nations that settled this dispute.

    Others should be right irate because they are now not going to get the same jet as the US military apparently, but there is no longer an issue between the US and Britain over the aircraft.

    2) Though I personally didn’t support the invasion of Iraq (on legal and practical grounds), like most Brits, I did support the US/UK presence in Iraq and Afghanistan once the initial mistake had been made.

    Military action was legal, regime change was not.

    Having invaded Iraq and ousted Saddam we had a responsibility to put things right…I see no evidence of HMG reneging on ANY commitment made to the USA with regard to Iraq…I see absolutely no evidence of the UK failing to abide by any such agreement…having given undertakings that we would fulfill particular missions, and take responsibility for particular areas, we are obviously obligated to see the mission through.

    Except for Basra, obviously…or was that a deception campaign and not a retreat?

    And we expect so much more from the leader of the free world, and the world’s most powerful democracy.

    You clearly place too much faith in the position of President and are not cognizant of the real workings of the US government.

    in reply to: Heavy Jet Transports #2545632
    SOC
    Participant

    80 tons is not a big deal for IL-76 built with modern manufacturing

    That was my point, that you can’t just retrofit new engines and expect a larger payload capacity. Something internal will probably have to be different.

Viewing 15 posts - 1,936 through 1,950 (of 10,347 total)