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uss novice

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  • in reply to: Return of the Gorshkov saga #2075226
    uss novice
    Participant

    No need for figures USS. The Goshkov, even with its new boilers, is a VERY manpower intensive vessel – an 8 boiler steam plant is going to occupy the attentions of a great many stokers.

    Yeah but the crew complement for both the IAC and the Gorky are almost the same (1200-1500). Even the current Viraat employs a similar figure. Thats one of the advantages of having loads of relatively cheap and qualified labor, which india does.

    Simply put a modern, gas turbine prime-mover, electric propulsion system is more efficient and easier to maintain by several orders of magnitude.

    No argument there, my greatest concern would be fuel costs and difference in fuel economy between the two carriers.

    You dont need to be an engineer officer to see the difference between a propulsion system that requires 8 boilers and many hundreds of miles of high-pressure steam piping (whose thousands of joints and valves require careful routine maintenance) and a propulsion system that doesnt even need conventional gearboxes and inline shafts to transfer motive force to the screws.
    IF you need some figures to latch on to the RN originally specified the annual operating costs of the two CVF’s to be no more than the costs of the 3 CVS’s. In monetary terms approx £200mn per year. As I understand it that target hasnt been achieved, but, its not far off. To operate a 65k ton carrier on an annual budget that is 5 or 6 times that of a Type23 frigate is quite an achievement. To further indicate the difference between modern propulsion and legacy the Type45, with its IEP, is described as offering a fuel burn 55% of that for a COGAG Type42, for equivalent distance, with a hull thats twice the displacement.
    Lifecycle costs for the Gorshkov WILL push its price higher and higher for the IN especially when fuel, spares and wage costs really start to ramp up. Problem for the IN is that the IAC looks like it should be everything the Gorshkov isnt and the comparison is going to be very easy for the accountants to make in cost-per-deployment terms. In those terms, if nothing else, I wouldnt expect Gorshkov to have the service life in the IN that some here expect.

    Jonesy,
    while overall I’d agree that more recent designs are more efficient and therefore cheaper, there are a whole lot of factors to consider in the current context before this can be convincingly argued esp. in the context of other compelling reasons that I pointed out in my post. Also, what is the accuracy of the “only” report claiming the full cost of the Gorky being $3.4 billion. Almost all other sources point out to a maximum escalation of $ 1.2 billion, which would take the total price to $ 2.7 billion including the cost of 16 Mig-29Ks (incl support, training etc). Building an IAC sized ship in Europe is no joke –
    1) What would be the cost of building the ship?
    2) What would be the cost of equipping it?
    3) What about the cost of its air wing (probly rafales)
    4) What about crew training costs?

    lets take the example of a Cavour type. Said ship, despite being a whole lot smaller (in terms of displacement), costs about $ 2+ billion without the airwing! For an IAC size ship, perhaps it’d be $ 3 billion? If you consider something like 16 Rafales for the IN, you add a whopping additional $ 2+ billion. Thats a total cost of $ 5 billion. Even if the Gorky cost $ 100 million extra per year to run, it’ll still take a good 20 years to even out the upfront cost difference. Then lets not forget, that for a country like India (at the time the deal was signed and perhaps even today), huge upfront costs are more difficult to manage.

    regards,
    USS.

    in reply to: SU-35 vs. the European fighters #2470977
    uss novice
    Participant

    That’s something I’ve wondered about, because you do hear that a lot about the latest generation of targeting pods. But do they really? Are they purely imaging sensors (FLIRs) that, when pointed at an airborne target, can naturally be expected to provide as good an image as they would of a ground object? Or do they actually have A/A search modes where the system scans a pattern automatically and reports any contact it finds without the pilot having to slew the sensor around the sky manually? Because that’s what an IRST does, it’s like a passive “radar” in the IR rather than RF spectrum. In the Flanker, even the display format in the cockpit is the same, AFAIK.

    If the Raptor escaped detection by a F-14D or a PIRATE equipped Typhoon that would be convincing, but I’m not sure about those targeting pods.

    Which, if one reads the topic title, is kind of the point. I’m not sure who brought the F-22 into it, the Raptor is in a class of its own currently and will remain so until some other country manages to field a credible stealth capability. A clean Eurocanard may have a RCS of around 1m² rather than the 3m² that the Su-35 detects at 400km, but it should go without saying that clean fighters lose a BVR engagement by definition 😉

    Against a non-VLO opponent though, the Irbis will create lots of headaches in combination with the Link16-ish datalink that Sukhoi intends to put on the Su-35BM. It will make terrain masking very hard to use effectively, because you are dealing with lots of sensors located all over the place rather than (or more accurately, in addition to) a relatively small number of AWACS aircraft or stationary GCI radars. That the Flanker advertises its position with this brute-force radar is not going to help you much if you are unable to approach within missile launch range without getting detected at obscene distances. Sure, a R-37M fired at maximum range is likely to miss any but the most incompetent enemy fighter, but it will put the adversary on the defensive straight away. This gives the Flanker the opportunity to dictate how the rest of the engagement is fought and prevent the enemy from exploiting his own advantages. You can run, but you can’t hide and even the running might not work because it isn’t the Flanker that locks you on radar which shoots but another, passive fighter that is receiving targeting data from it.

    It is not invincible by any measure, but to act as though the Eurocanards would walk all over this new Flanker variant is frankly rediculous. Of course they have certain advantages in terms of efficiency, but given the vintage of their basic design and the price of asking, they’d better do!

    Excellent post trident. For once someone writes something sensible in a manner that can be easily read. It takes a lot away from the thread when you have two extremely skewed lines of thought dominating it.

    Regards,
    USS.

    in reply to: SU-35 vs. the European fighters #2472423
    uss novice
    Participant

    Actually, the more I think about it, the more it makes me wonder. what exactly is the great advantage of the Eurocanards? Is it only to maintain a decent aerospace industry in europe?

    performance wise, they hardly seem to offer anything better than upgraded flankers and eagles! one surely doubts their competitiveness when compared against a su-35 or F-15SG. And surely they are nowhere close to dealing with 5G a/c such as raptor, pakfas etc.

    I think at last I can understand why the Koreans or the Singaporeans went for the Eagles. Not only will these be supported by existing infrastructure and tactics but a jump to a 5G type makes far more sense. perhaps for similar reasons, the IAF MRCA will also go to the Russkies. Why waste money on 4.5 G types when a heavily upgraded legacy jet gives you the same results and you can get a 5th gen bird soon enough.

    regards,
    USS.

    in reply to: Return of the Gorshkov saga #2075301
    uss novice
    Participant

    Well, sorry but your taking mostly the good without the bad???

    Scoot, if you haven’t noticed, almost all issues in this world have two sides (good bad, hot cold etc). In most cases, people prefer to take that which offers the greatest good/advantage. Personally, in light of the fact that nobody really knows much about the details on the Gorshkov deal and that many media articles are just completely BS, I prefer to think that India is simply going for its “greatest good”. It probably feels that such cost escalations are worth tolerating when dealing with a country that offers weapon systems and strategic support that no other is willing to. Heck, there may even be the possibility (if you are openminded enough) that it thinks that a $ 3 bln a/c carrier, fully refurbished and with a complement of very competitive a/c is not a bad deal in itself.!:eek:

    India would clearly be better served by one common fleet of Carriers.

    Perhaps, but the U.S. may also be served better by a fleet of 1 million F-22s, however, it has certain obvious limitations. So does India.

    The ex-Gorshkov will be nearly as expensive as a New Ship and when you add in life cycle cost. Will likely cost way more!:eek: Really, paying more for less is hardly “perspective”!:(

    Prove it! lets see you throw some fact based figures on how much the gorky is going to cost over its lifetime and how much one of your hypothetical new a/c carrier costs. Bottomline is, you simply can’t – no such hypothetical carrier exists and the Vikad has not even been inducted yet. At best you can speculate.

    Regards,
    USS.

    in reply to: SU-35 vs. the European fighters #2472427
    uss novice
    Participant

    Underperforming :rolleyes:

    The su-35 is a dressed up su-27, there is no escaping that.

    Ya but that dressed up Su-27 is good enough to kick some euro butt. I think they might as well quit before the Pakfa comes along :diablo: its amazing how fanboys absolutely refuse to see facts as they are. These same gents who point out that the Irbis will “light up” RWRs far away with that kind of power will be the first to point out that the EF-2000 has a far better chance against a Rafale A2A simply cause it has a more powerful radar:rolleyes:
    Others will bring out ancient (and decidedly biased) DERA type studies only to repeat a fallacy ad nauseam. That the study was against an early 90s su-35 and even then was hardly factual hardly seems to matter. then there are those who simply feel that the russians can’t possibly come up with an amazing aircraft design and clever engineering and constantly rant about weights and measures. Hmm wonder how they came up with Sputnik? Drat must’ve been one off luck, Gagarin? two time lucky I s’pose. Lucky ba***trds these russkies, wot? must be the vodka.
    fact of the matter is that the Russians for the last 60 odd years have produced some very competitive military hardware. that a 30 year old design with a few upgrades can give the latest and greatest eurocanards a decent licking might be hard to digest, but stands as a tribute to a fantastic Russian design.
    Go Flanker! 😀

    regards,
    USS

    in reply to: Who made the best Mig 21? #2473338
    uss novice
    Participant

    we were talking about the longer term plans , but even in 2012, you got the PAF numbers wrong. Please include all the mirages (total 200) and all the F-7s (another 200) plus the 40 A5s dedicated for nuclear strike.

    I really didn’t want to include the kitchen sink, the IAF too has large amounts of obsolete a/c such as MiG-21FLs, MFs, plus Bis not to mention hawks which can carry some decent amount of ordinance. More importantly, will the non bvr a/c be anything but cannon fodder?

    As far as long term plans go, it just gets worse for the PAF. The IAF could easily wind up having a 100 odd Pakfas, 100s of LCAs, 190 odd MRCA and so on.

    Regards,
    USS.

    in reply to: SU-35 vs. the European fighters #2473349
    uss novice
    Participant

    Is it really so hard to guess. Here’s a hint: the Su-30MKI matched the tiffy quite well during Indradhanush. The Su-35 is just the next iteration.

    With reduced RCS, increased TWR, better TVC, greater endurance and a solid improvement in an already awesome radar, the flanker ought to gobble up the itty bitty eurocanards quite nicely. :diablo: First detect, first shot, first kill. Game Flanker.

    Even with a t3 typhoon, its going to be an uphill battle. Lets nots forget the russians too will have an AESA option in the near future. 1800 TRM AESA anyone?

    Regards,
    USS.

    in reply to: Return of the Gorshkov saga #2075332
    uss novice
    Participant

    Guys, it appears that this thread seems to have two groups here.

    Those of us living in the real world, and the small but vocal group inhabiting a parallel universe where the Gorshkov deal was a good one, negotiated in good faith and subject to innocent mistakes that led to a small price increase, but which will deliver a wonderful ship, the pride of Russian engineering and which will form the centrepiece of the Indian Navy for decades to come, confounding all the critics.

    Lets leave Dionis, RPG, Star49 and the rest of the delusional mob who told us what a great deal this was back when it was announced (most of whom apparently don’t post here any more, I wonder why?) to their fantasies, and we can discuss the matter somewhere else in a more rational, sane and non-delusional manner.

    That lot don’t want to admit the deals faults, in their world “everything is fine, get that pesky reality out of our happy, happy world”.

    Unicorn

    I see your point. But there are extreme cases on both sides. For every Star49/Dionis, you have a Scooter:diablo: I would think its safer to look for something in the middle.

    In case of the Gorky, no doubt the cost escalations are aggravating and perhaps even unjustified on part of Russia. however, noone on this forum is privy to what the deal actually constitutes. What exactly will the ship be armed with? Does it include some payment towards other goodies such as the Akula/s? How intensive is this refit, how deep does it truly go? Quite importantly, how reliable is this one-off latest report about the $ 2 bln cost hike? What are pluses/negatives of coddling such extravagant (if proved) escalations, is it truly worth an extra SSN or two or TOT on an MKI or some clandestine help on nuclear reactors and cryogenic motors. Perhaps India does/did have better alternatives than the Gorky, but what alternatives are other nations offering when it comes to associated goodies? Nobody leasing an LA class to India is there?
    And despite what most would like to believe, the cost of the carrier is still not as astronomical as western counter parts. More importantly what most critics of this deal fail to see is that India’s relationship with Russia has never been “just business”. Lots of seeming armtwisting and wheeling dealing, but the strategic current seems to run quite deep. I would hardly be surprised if the recent spate of russia-bashing articles is not a result of some wonderful yellow journalism/under the table deals, spare change anyone?

    So gents, lets have some perspective.

    Regards,
    USS.

    in reply to: Who made the best Mig 21? #2473419
    uss novice
    Participant

    OK lets just face the facts a bit:

    By a given date, say 2012 what will the 2 forces look like:

    PAF:
    ~80 odd F-16blk52s
    ~40 odd Mirage III Rose upg
    ~ 40 odd JF-17

    All BVR capable (SD-10s + Amraams). A total of 140 really worthwhile a/c. Plus add a couple of Erieyes to the eqn.

    IAF:
    ~ 180 odd Su-30MKI
    ~ 60 odd MiG-29 upgraded
    ~ 50 odd Mirage 2000 (few upgraded all bvr capable)
    ~ 40 LCA
    ~ 80 Bisons (considering about 40 might have been retired by then)
    ~ 20 odd MRCA (Super Hornet, EF-2000, Rafale etc)
    ~ 80 odd Darin II Jags (all LDP capable)
    ~ 40 odd MiG-27 (all LDP capable)
    ~ 60 odd MiG-27s

    In terms of pure A2A or multirole BVR capable assets, the IAF has a massive edge on the PAF (3:1) just in numbers. Qualitatively, the difference is again considerable, only the Vipers may pose some threat (and that too minimal considering the Bison’s superlative performance during the Singapore exercises). And thats not even including the strike fleet of another 190 odd a/c. Plus Phalcons and perhaps even the local AEW platform.

    I think the answer is quite obvious as Nick has been trying to point out. Talk of credible deterrence is desperate jingoism at best. However, a surprise attack using the new RAAD? CM could bloody the IAF nose a bit at least initially, however, the the inevitable would just be delayed.

    The greatest threat that pakistan poses for India imho is not through its armed forces at all but the very many terrorist cells it has been able to form deep within india. A sudden simultaneous activation of such cells along with a coordinated PAF/Army offensive could pose a serious problem. JMT

    Regards,
    USS.

    in reply to: The PAK-FA Saga Episode IV #2477921
    uss novice
    Participant

    Weird that he considers the Super Hornet more of it’s equal than the Typhoon. Maybe it’s a language thing? :confused:

    Yeah could be the language. But could it be simply that the Apg-79 provides a serious edge over the other a/c mentioned? None of the others have an AESA as of now, and the IRBIS has some serious specs to beat. JMT

    Regards,
    USS.

    in reply to: Derby and R-Darter #1786868
    uss novice
    Participant

    Ok, South Africa used the V4 R-Darter on the Cheetah-C before that aircraft was retired. So here are some questions:

    1. Who uses the Derby or R-Darter? Chile and Brazil have been mentioned as potential Derby users in the past, have either of them actually acquired the missile? One of them actually had modifications done to support the missile; I think it was Chile but I can’t remember off the top of my head.

    2. Has Israel ever acquired the Derby? I recall an IAF officer or Rafael official, one of the two, claiming at one time that it would be used on the F-16.

    3. Is South Africa going to integrate V4 with the Gripen, or are they still planning to pursue a new BVR weapon along with the A-Darter for WVR combat? JDW reported a while back that Denel was working on a new BVR AAM for Gripen which would be based in part on the Umkhonto SAM, but I don’t recall hearing anything else on that project.

    4. If nobody is acquiring or using either weapon, are they both dead projects (apart from the SPYDER SAM variant of Derby, obviously)?

    I think a potentially strong candidate for the Derby AAM is the IN with its Shar upgrade, which includes the EL-2032. THe early versions of the LCA also might carry it. Unless of course, the Astra comes along ASAP. JMT.

    Regards,
    USS>

    in reply to: Russian Arms Exports – news and more… #2491209
    uss novice
    Participant

    Russian ILA’08 airshow news:

    http://www.arms-tass.su/data/Files/File/118.pdf (Zhuk-AE)
    http://www.arms-tass.su/data/Files/File/119.pdf (Su-35 flight-tests)
    http://www.arms-tass.su/data/Files/File/120.pdf

    Excellent work Otaku. REally interesting to note that the Tu-142 will be the first a/c to use the air launched Brahmos.

    REgards,
    USS.

    in reply to: MiG-35 and MiG-29 SMT presentation [pics] #2492356
    uss novice
    Participant

    🙂

    Luverly, Gracias kind sir! I see that its still the old 154 airframe though. Not the latest iteration as shown @ Maks 07 with the 11 hard points. Still, here is an a/c that come a long way. Can you shed any light on the different R77 versions mentioned in the ILA report. Thanks.

    Regards,
    USS.

    in reply to: MiG-35 and MiG-29 SMT presentation [pics] #2493057
    uss novice
    Participant

    The ultimate ‘Fulcrum’
    [ATTACH]162905[/ATTACH]…just 8 years too late.

    Hey, thats a pretty picture. Is it the latest (production model) of the 35? or is it just CGI or photoshopped. Its the first time I’ve seen a MIG-35 with such a mixed payload. Any pics that show the pylon arrangement a little better?

    BTW, what are the RVV-SD and MD versions? any news?

    Regards,
    USS.

    in reply to: MiG-35 and MiG-29 SMT presentation [pics] #2493996
    uss novice
    Participant

    It is linked to the RHAWS system and is used to detect weapons launched at the aircraft. It is fully integrated into the fire control system.

    Yes, they made the laser communication system used on GPS satellites.

    Both are used together to provide 360 degree coverage.

    Both are used for targetting and detection of incoming missiles… air or ground. The bottom system is optimised for ground targets but like any optical system it images targets so it really doesn’t care if they are on the ground or the sea or in the air.

    It identifies shapes on the ground or in the air… it has autotracking/targetting capability… much like the Shkval-M on the Su-25TM. Have seen a test flight with the Shkval-M of the Su-25TM targeting a Tu-16 drone and shooting down the target with a Vikhr missile.

    Hmm, I thought the MAWS was a different system altogether, (I haven’t read anything regarding the OLS-K providing a2a detection). IIRC, the MAWs is called SOAR and is on the other intake of the a/c. The OLS-K is primarily for surface designation . Altogether, there are two bumps on the intakes, one on each side. One for the OLS-K and the other for the MAWS/SOAR. the SOAR provides 360 deg coverage with the use of another little device just behind the canopy. Apart from these, there is the 360 deg LWS located on each wingtip, the EL-568 internal jammer and the RWR.
    All in all a neat little package.
    About the SOAR:
    System consist of two stations, one on engine’s gondola, second on the top of the fuselage, behind the cabin. It detects rocket launches and shows the direction from which the missile is coming. The threat is also signalled by vioce. It can detect Stinger/Igla from 10km, a2a missiles from 30km, big surface to air missiles from 50km. SOAR was also developed in NII PP Institute.

    Point is, how useful is it to detect a mach 2 missile 10km away or a mach 4 @ 30km?. You barely will have 15-20 seconds of warning. I guess some warning IS better than no warning, but still.

    Regards,
    USS.

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