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Halo

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  • in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2197204
    Halo
    Participant

    Please do tell how much Gripen E costs to buy and operate? As far I know there ins’t any operational right now.

    Who says that F-35 is killing Norwegian army?

    Sweden used to calculate 90 Billion SEK to buy and operate 60 Gripen E for 25 (?) years, Norwegian budget is 264 MNOK to operate 48 F35 in Norway(already blown to pieces by exchange rate, sunk costs and excluding the new cruise missile target = the new and only unprotected airbase).

    The Norwegian head of army went public in Norways main newspaper, aftenposten.no, approx. 2 weeks ago regarding the corncern that the F35 will kill off the army (and navy too?)

    @JSR, Norway will always “have money” if they really need, they do have money because the use(d) to spend and invest them wisely. Some other countries waste their oil money on arms, corruption and consumption.

    in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2197399
    Halo
    Participant

    What differences can you spot between the Gripen Demo and the pictures released of Gripen E?
    New air intake by tail fin, bigger wingtip pods, still has non conformal antennas on tailfin and pitot tubes, cannon casing is different, what else?

    in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2197403
    Halo
    Participant

    F35 has only been cheapest at one point and location, Nov 2008 in Norway, it will always be a lot more expensive to buy and even more so to operate compared to Gripen, we can discuss weather it will be 50 or 200% more over the lifecycle..

    BTW, F35 is on its way to kill off the Norwegian army even before any “new tankers”, Finland can not effort a Norwegian fate.

    in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2197416
    Halo
    Participant

    @alexz,
    Superior EW, breaking the cost curve, superior availability and flexibility for ground survival. The improvements of radars, that erode some of the benefits of the 2nd generation of VLO aircraft (F35, PAK-FA) and ever better PGM’s. I fail to see how these developments reduce the prospects for Gripens market niche (High end sensors on medium-light fighter).

    You keep returning to “carry 5 tons 2000km” with maintained performance….. Probably very interesting in Pacific but pretty irrelevant to for Europe.

    in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2197419
    Halo
    Participant

    Finlands choice

    Will be extremely interesting to follow Finlands choice, will they go for something like 25-30 F35 at one airbase and little goodwill with Uncle Sam, or 40 gripens at 3 basis + AEW, MPA & a tanker or two? Given the budget, number of bases and number of trainers I think that even 25-30 F35 would be extremely optimistic.

    in reply to: test pilot: "F-35 can't dogfight" #2160190
    Halo
    Participant

    @ Andraxxus,
    With only variable turning radar on or off,
    1- If F-35 radiates, Rafale/Grippen/Typhoon will be aware of its presence, but without any means of attacking back, they withdraw or die.

    Or, the Rafale/Gripen/Typhoon now knowing the approximate location it will use others sensors (IRST or AESA) to identify the target and then engage with IR MICA or other AAM. RWR has huge “search volume” with poor tracking while focused AESA use and IRST has the opposite properties.

    in reply to: test pilot: "F-35 can't dogfight" #2164633
    Halo
    Participant

    Russia

    “Russia is the only real economy on this planet. start with developing from water resources to titanium valley to pipelines to world beating oil/gas/nuclear industry digging resources in many countries at lowest rates. economics is completely immune from Middleastern wars and global warming that can severly impact West.”

    Russia is a beautiful place in many ways but reality is that its has a good military and nuclear sector, everything else it just a corrupt uncompetitive 3rd world standard. No offence I like Russia in many ways but this is the reality. The bad news is that these 2 sectors are to a large extent driven by non market/government purchases that are funded from oil. Russia is also desperately missing most advanced Know How in the oil & gas sector.

    Above has the consequences that only high oil prices can secure the upgrades and future developments of the Russian aircraft industry.

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2169828
    Halo
    Participant

    Gripen potential customers list does not include Argentine

    From Janes,

    http://www.janes.com/article/52239/paris-air-show-2015-saab-sees-continued-future-for-gripen-c-d-combat-aircraft

    “In terms of global opportunities, Nilsson said the company hoped to sell between 300 and 450 Gripen C/D/E/F platforms in the next 20 years (10 to 15% of the accessible market). Specifically, Saab sees potential in Austria (C/D or E/F as a Eurofighter Typhoon Tranche 1 replacement); Belgium, (E/F most likely); Botswana (C/D); Bulgaria (C/D); Colombia (C/D or E/F); the Czech Republic (additional C/Ds); Ecuador (C/D or E/F); Finland (most likely for the E/F, depending on programme timelines); Hungary (additional C/Ds); India (E/F); Indonesia (C/D); Kenya (C/D); Malaysia (C/D); Mexico (C/D or E/F); Namibia (C/D); Peru (C/D or E/F); Philippines (C/D); Portugal (C/D); Slovakia (has selected the C/D, with a contract expected later this year); and Uruguay (C/D or E/F).

    While Argentina has been touted in the media as a possible customer, Saab officials discounted any near-term deal chiefly on account of the current poor relations between that country and the UK….”

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2183842
    Halo
    Participant

    New presentation from SAAB, comments, Gripen C is still interesting with Meteor, improved radar, future with Britecloud, enhanced HMD, ESTL pods based MAWS and more.

    http://saabgroup.com/globalassets/corporate/investor-relations/cmd/cmd15_gripen.pdf

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2187131
    Halo
    Participant

    Thnx JSR, your posts are always refreshing 🙂

    The exact configuration of the F414G is unknown, there FBW’s vey old source from the beginning of the NG program is a bit out dated and incomplete, shorter length of engine, 2kN higher wet thrust compared to F414-400, some of the modifications carried over from the RM12. Let not jump the conclusion here but I would be VERY surprised if there was no improvements in a new engine series.

    Same goes for weight, very likely that it will be well below the 8t, but lets wait and see, Gripen fanboys as my self still silently hopes for the original claim of 7,2t.

    Regarding aerodynamics, Gripen is indeed a more slender design with all the pros and cons that come with that.

    in reply to: Mediums: best compromise or worst? #2207746
    Halo
    Participant

    The F35 is a almost a medium sized fighter with the procurement price of a heavy. Hopefully with the operation cost of a medium.

    I presume the desire for medium over heavy is based on operation cost.

    in reply to: Mediums: best compromise or worst? #2207846
    Halo
    Participant

    Gripen is a lightweight with medium sized sensor package

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2207849
    Halo
    Participant

    The APUC of a typical western fast jet is composed of 65% purchased components, 30% in-house fabricated components and assembly, and 5% pre-delivery test and checkout. Purchased components include engine, avionics, sensors, comms, escape system components including seat, canopy, landing gear, actuators, brakes/wheels/tires, pumps, valves, air cycle machines, heat exchangers, electric connectors, plumbing fittings, fasteners, Etc.

    The size of the jet has direct relation to the expense of in-house fabrication and assembly due to the amount of touch labor required. (Big jets need more touch labor than small jets). Otherwise, the cost differential for purchased components and test/checkout is not terribly significant for most purchased items when comparing big and small jets.

    Interesting above, some more numbers, SAAB spend about 20% of turnover on R&D and profit margin is 5%. If R&D and sales happen in same year on average, their sales margin is approx. 25%. I presume that advanced systems as jets have a higher margin.

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2207896
    Halo
    Participant

    About exchange rates

    Lets assume that the Gripen target sales price is 100, then the costs might look like this (actually I have no idea here),
    SEK based 30%
    USD 15%
    GBP 15%
    Others Euro/Real? 10%
    Profit 30%

    How are these procurement contracts written? What currency was procurement contract in? Is there any financial hedging from SAAB? How are the sales contracts written and in what currency or currencies… How will the exchange rates change in next decade…

    There are so many unknowns here that speculations is quite hard.. So there is no reason to get upset or play points on short term changes in currency market

    in reply to: Saab Gripen & Gripen NG thread #3 #2208298
    Halo
    Participant

    Swedish defense planning 2016-2020 and Gripen

    Back up to 6 divisions Gripen C/D for SwAF and increased flying time, no additional standoff weapons in this period, implications for air defence too, see other thread. Complete info in Swedish link http://www.regeringen.se/content/1/c…3/0a9a6162.pdf

Viewing 15 posts - 61 through 75 (of 189 total)