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vario

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  • in reply to: Is China sacrificing quality for quantity??? #2560436
    vario
    Participant

    Flogger, this is my last time replying to you:

    For so many pages, your single point is because J10 CAN have a WP13 engine, so there’s a “very high chance”(in fact you are not so sure now) it WAS powered by WP13.

    Assuming you’re a man, you can be a rapist, so ARE you a rapist? (Please, this “You” is not you). And SHOULD WE WAIT TO SEE?

    in reply to: Is China sacrificing quality for quantity??? #2561586
    vario
    Participant

    What a mess!

    Flogger, although I know this is hopeless (from my observation of your threads in the last 5-6 years), I still want to say one thing:

    Let’s cut all the crap, Please give us evidences because you said a J10 prototype was powered by wp13. Photoes? Dates?

    This my only question and please don’t bring anything else into your answer.

    in reply to: Is China sacrificing quality for quantity??? #2565468
    vario
    Participant

    I agree with SOC. For years, PLAAF has been saying J10 is too expensive, we need a cheap light fighter. But have a look at what they’ve been doing: extending J7,J8 and Q5’s life and concentrating on J10/J11.

    If FC1 or J7MF were ready 5 years ago, the situation could’ve been different. But the chance is dripping away.

    Also, Had Su30 lived up to the promises, we shouldn’t see Jh7’s introduction into PLAAF and it would simplify the migration path to the future. Now the coming twin seater J11 will make it even more awkward for PLAAF and the government.

    in reply to: Is China sacrificing quality for quantity??? #2565554
    vario
    Participant

    The Original question was is China investing too much in high quality aircrraft that their sheer quantity of aircraft will be reduced to a minimun?

    the answer depends in what other nations are doing and what is the percived threat?
    Several nations are also replacing obsolete aircraft, NATO is doing it with Eurofighters and Rafales the US with F-22s, Russia still is not replacing her fleet of fourth generation fighters.

    This process is what many call what is the best option? crappy JF-17s or good J-10s.

    China has quality and quantity what happens many think the JF-17 is the super fighter.

    If the west adopts F-35s armed with IRIS-T, ASRAAM and Meteors and Russia field soon the I-21, the JF-17 will be a obsolete fighter very soon (already is), further more F-22 and Eurofighters are too advanced.

    Solution China should and seems to be opting for J-10s and J-11s but in 10 years from the J-10 will be obsolete because already the F-22 and F-35 have left anything else obsolete.

    Russia is betting in her new super fighters of the fifth Generation, probably europe will upgrade the Eurofighter to a level that will offer a Super Typhoon or Rafale with 90% of the capabilities of an F-22.

    in few words already China is lagging behind because the J-10 at the most is a JAS-39 class fighter that even latest versions of F-18E, F-16E and F-15E can shoot down.

    China needs get into the next level of fighter aircraft and develop fifth generation combat aircraft soon if not all what the J-10 and J-11 will do is being shot down

    Although I believe number of people (including me) are trying to avoid replying to you, at least I should reply once:

    1. I don’t think you understand the original topic. The original post was about the current somewhat caotic status of China’s military aviation industry, not about whether China knows how backward they are. And I’ve offered my analysis

    2. Now about your points: China is already lagging behind. Thank you, I thought everybody including the chinese themselves know that for the last 100 hundred years. Just to remind you, 56 years ago when western countries were producing jet fighters, PRC made her first plane (not the official one, it’s actually a rust Japanese plane), the cockpit windows was made of a farmer’s family window glasses.

    My point is I see them closing the gap, while you don’t.

    in reply to: Is China sacrificing quality for quantity??? #2565670
    vario
    Participant

    I just want to comment on the original topic, which is about the current status of China’s mil aviation industry.

    Put it this way, they are going through the painful transition stage, which happenned to other countries already. In the next 1 or 2 decades, some companies will be merged or dismantled. So now, everyone is desperately trying to prove their capabilities to survive. Thus you can see all these different projects, some are necessary because china needs to catch up, others are desperate struggles. Believe me, the competition is fierce in China.

    in reply to: Tawian F-15? #2574976
    vario
    Participant

    Taiwan currently has multifold of problems, besides China’s increasing pressure.

    To name a few:

    Politically, ordinary taiwanese are very divided or undetermined to pursue independence. Material life is much more important than a title change on passport covers. At the same time, the ruling party has also lost the gut or motivation to go independent, holding the political power is much more practical. Thus the real motivation to buy large amount of weapon is really not there, it’s all lip services. That’s why although G Bush has promised to sell quite a few advanced weapons to Taiwan since year 2001, ironically Taiwan is yet to decide how much to pay. It’s quite possible nothing gets done after G Bush’s 8 year presidency. What annoys US is that, US pissed off China for nothing, not a single US cent. And all these mil sales announcements are used by Taiwan as political endorsement: US will always protect us and we should not waste our own money.

    Now back to the military side, Taiwan is facing a very tough arm race against China, admit it or not. China is using Taiwan as a perfect excuse to modernise her military whereas Taiwan is in a awkard situation: she has to repsond to the arm race (otherwise she’s going to loose her internal and external support gradually, nobody wants to die for her if she does not want lose some blood or money), the question is To What degree.

    Many people have different views on how Taiwan should prepare militarily. My personal view is that She really needs to make up her mind. If she wants to go independence, then spend one second and have a good look at China, She should realise if the war breaks out, it will be her last war and she needs to throw everything at it and use them wisely. And I think She should concentrate on Airforce and get F35 as soon as possible, although that alone may not be enough, but I think that’s the most effective and realistic solution. Before F35 arrives, keep upgrading F16. It’s too late to introduce a brand new platform. If a new platform is needed, it has to be very advanced.

    But, just have a look at Taiwan’s current situation, they are investing resources like spreading pepper on a large bow of soup. Just to increase appetite, lack any real stuff.

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 9 #2566317
    vario
    Participant

    That’s the whole reason why this particular type of J8IIF is so special.

    It is the recon version that’s been talked about several years ago. So they do exist.

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 9 #2567003
    vario
    Participant

    And this one?

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 9 #2588942
    vario
    Participant

    I read somewhere that the crash is a major setback, but not the death of the project. I recall hearing the same stories after the Indian AWACS attempt with the Hs-748 crashed with the involved engineers on board.

    Not wanting to start a flame war, just drawing the parallel here. It will be a major setback if the ones involved in the crash are also the engineers behind its development.

    It’s definitely a set back. But considering the following fact, it’s definitely not as serious as the Indian accident:

    KJ2000, 4 planes identified so far.
    KJ200, at least 2 identified so far.
    Y8 with rotodome, 1
    Y7 with rotodoem, unclear.

    4 different lines of development, maybe some co-operations among them, but, as some one said, Now we can see the benefit of having parallel teams working at the same time.

    Also, most of the engineers on board the plane were pretty young, not that I am saying the loss isn’t big, but definitely not fatal.

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 9 #2588953
    vario
    Participant

    I don’t think so, as leaked pictures show the NEW Y-8 rotodome type AWACS with the PLAAF ensign. Like JH-7A, J-10A/B, L-15 prototypes which all display the PLAAF ensign, most likely are selected by the PLAAF/PLAN (which so far the J-10A/B & JH-7A have demonstrated).

    In many cases, the PLAAF usually preferred a more indigenous content (rather than foreign) with either fighter jets or tanks. It is reported that the Y-8F600, which flys the Balance Beam AWACS type, uses a high proporation of foreign content. Whereas the Y-8 with rotodome type AWACS looks like it fitted on a Y-8F400 platform, a more indigenous platform.

    I predict it is highly likely that the Y-8 Rotodome AWACS is for domestic and Y-8 Balance Beam AWACS is for export.

    Y8 with rotodome was the one exhibitted to the Pakistan president and officials several months ago,along with FC1.

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 9 #2589885
    vario
    Participant

    The crashed Y8 is a new variant. Some changes were recommended/consulted by Ukrane. So don’t worry guys, no copy right issue.

    in reply to: China's News, Pics and Speculation Part 9 #2589887
    vario
    Participant

    Agree with tphuang. Most likely the Y-8 with fixed rotodome is a downsized KJ-2000 on A-50/IL-76 platform: is to be armed with the PLAAF/PLAN. Whereas the Y-8 Balance Beam AWACS is for export.

    China never sells the same version of weaponry that the PLA uses, to export clients.

    eg 1. the J-7E/G is domestic and F-7MG/PG is export
    eg 2. PL-8 WVRAAM is domestic and the PL-9C WVRAAM is export.

    No, you get it wrong on Y8. The Y8 with rotodome has a longer history than KJ2000(IL76 based) and KJ200(Y8 new variant based). Y8 balance beam is for domestic usage. Y8 with rotodome (not fixed phase array) is now allowed to be exported to get some R&D funds back, at least that’s what they’re thinking.

    in reply to: India sends tender to MiG #2591949
    vario
    Participant

    But, L15 to India? Some chinese forumers are beyond reasoning.

    in reply to: India sends tender to MiG #2591953
    vario
    Participant

    L15 is mainly for export market, similar to the FC1, although PLAAF/PLANAF are targets as well.

    in reply to: WS-10 article #2558074
    vario
    Participant

    Mr. Maya, welcome to AFM.

    He’s the guy to answer many WS10A questions.

Viewing 15 posts - 61 through 75 (of 107 total)