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Jwcook

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Viewing 15 posts - 496 through 510 (of 932 total)
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  • Jwcook
    Participant

    How about you choose a number. Tell me what comes with that number and we can take it from there.

    Thats already been done several times.

    You have been told the flyaway, production and unit costs, and how they are derived – but you seem to be confusing them or miscalculating them.

    Thats why I’m trying to help you, just tell us how you worked out the figures that your argument rests on?

    Its quite simple and would avoid all the confusion that you seen to be having.

    Cheers

    Jwcook
    Participant

    Before you go commenting on my attention span I strongly suggest you read the entire thread. It has nothing to do with the raptor and nothing to do with what is and is not included in a certain accounting bucket.

    The question remains, why spend upwards of $150 million each for more of yesterday’s plane when what is on hand is sufficient and there is a need for so many other military items but they can’t be bought due to Tiffy sucking up money.

    Well that’s the problem, “Upwards of $150m” you see that figure is wrong…

    Now English may not be your first language so do you actually mean it costs more than $150M??
    If you were to show us how you got to that figure and what date/exchange rate you think your using. Then we could explain where your going wrong.

    Once you see where the mistake is, then we are all set to discuss the thread topic without you being hampered by simple mathematical errors.

    Cheers

    Cheers

    Jwcook
    Participant

    Well at least the link kept you busy for 18mins.:eek::D

    So until you or Pfcm work out those figures we have little to argue about – as you have not stated what you believe is the ‘right’ exchange rate or the ‘right’ date to calculate the figures were discussing.

    If you do that little thing then we could all be talking about the same thing, and avoid the confusion thats hampering your contributions.

    Cheers.

    Jwcook
    Participant

    Sorry Jackonicko you are just as guilty as nhampton of not comparing aplles-to-apples.

    You are not comparing costs is the same years & disengenously applying more favorable later year exchange rates to earlier years costs.

    Well its easily fixed – you do the math and show the most favourable rates vs the least favourable and then we can see what figures/dates that you are ‘preferring’.

    Perhaps you will find those two figures are not so different that you could confuse flyaway cost with total program cost, which are very different.:cool:

    I would certainly clear a lot of the confusion up, failing that go here Flyaway vs Program cost calculator

    Cheers

    Jwcook
    Participant

    Well the reason is simple there’s nothing else apart from the F-22 that’s on a comparable level…

    So show some respect or its a horses head in the bed for you… (now you know why the Italians are Eurofighter partners.;))

    Cheers

    La Typhoon Cosa Nostra

    in reply to: Hot Dog Typhoon thread III #2444226
    Jwcook
    Participant

    Source Airshows UK

    http://i68.photobucket.com/albums/i23/ianfinch_photos/IMG_8904a.jpg

    Looks like a neat set-up, I wonder when/if the double bomb racks will be trialled?.

    and the Saudi Typhoon with the ‘different’ colour scheme.
    http://i68.photobucket.com/albums/i23/ianfinch_photos/IMG_8608a.jpg

    cheers

    Jwcook
    Participant

    ANY spokesperson from ANY company who speaks about something that has not been cleared could loose his/her job. Beesley is not in some unique position as he falls into this category.

    Question: If simply having a “conflict of interest” (COI) precludes anything you say and therefore “can’t be taken into account”, where would we get any info?

    1. We can’t trust any other AC manufacture since they are direct competitors to LM and financially benefit if LM fails.

    2. We cant’ trust the Pentagon since promotions are based on the success of the program.

    3. We can’t trust members of congress because they receive money from companies to get elected, LM and others.

    4. We can’t trust foreign Mil and Gov due to #2 and #3 above.

    5. We can’t trust Kopp & Goon because they wanted to financially gain from a F-22 & F-111 combo package for Australia.

    6. We can’t trust Sprey because he is stuck in the mental mode of LWF and looses face as the F-22 & F-35 programs succeed.

    Do you see how bad the idea of ignoring someone because they have a COI is?

    The key to independent thinking and analysis to understanding the COI as part of the whole picture.

    Welcome to the internet 😉

    in reply to: Norwegian Government select JSF #2450447
    Jwcook
    Participant

    In short lesson learned from the F-22 Program. Have been incorporated into the F-35 Program.:cool:

    lol like not committing to production till adequate testing has been completed or the lesson hasn’t been learnt

    Is it acceptable for one third of your f-22 not being combat coded because they are pre-stable production designs that are a nightmare to maintain.

    Oh well, we shall see if the most aggressive flight testing schedule to ever run concurrently with production actually works, and what a brave decision to do it on the biggest military program too. man you have to be very confident or totally stupid.

    Cheers

    Jwcook
    Participant

    The F-35 is a real aircraft. If you happen to be lucky enough to live in (or can travel to) the right place, you can see it 1st hand.
    Or, as long as you don’t believe in some world-wide conspiracy, you can do an internet search & find hundreds of pictures of it.

    Oh no you don’t:rolleyes:, you know as well as I do that a real aircraft is more than just an airframe.
    I think your being a little misleading to state what your seeing flying is anything near to a production aircraft, complete with avionics and fully tested lol!, for example the exhaust port has now moved, you can see the results of the humpty back botch job that’s flying today.

    You misunderstand. It is not that continuing to fund the F136 will lead to the end of the F-35. It will lead to the loss of 50+ aircraft per year…

    No I understand it very well – your misunderstanding how vey close the JSF is to the F-22 death spiral, a few airframes in the first year or a 2% budget blow out is all it would take.
    The bit you are ignoring are these are not my conclusions, that’s coming from the JSF program! and as you stated before who would know better.
    You are very easily seduced by the JSF good news and blind to the bad news even from though its from the same source!!!.

    What is your opinion on the JSF program?, rock solid?, all milestones met?, no slippages to project?, coming in under $35m each??

    Even the test flights so far are a dodgy job, the new aircraft flys and then gets immediately laid up for several months to complete the back work, surely you noticed these ‘anomalies’ as someone who follows the program so closely?

    Sorry, you assume a forever (or at least long-term) world-wide recession/depression.
    Forgive me for getting a bit political here but…
    What happens if in 2010 the US electorate wakes up & sufficent number of fiscally responsible Senetors & Representative are elected to stop the out of control Oboma spending? What happens if “the next Reagan” is elected in 2012 &…

    lol – by then its all too late – the jsf is supposed to be in service and being exported in 2012.

    you misunderstand how it works, there are at least 3 years of testing production changes test flights etc etc, before the real ‘production’ aircraft leave the factory and many retrofits beyond this to make up for the rushed production ramp up.

    The price cannot be guaranteed, the partners unlike the US are not going to buy it at any price they have limits and alternatives.

    Time and money are running out and the program office is the one stating that just a $900m hole in the budget could derail the program, now thats not good news coming from people who are supposed to be all happy and joyful about its prospects.

    Do you not see the threat, or acknowledge the JSF is walking a fine line??

    cheers

    Jwcook
    Participant

    I’ve been reading this thread with some interest, where you are arguing the merits of aircraft with regard to other aircraft.
    Pitting each ones strengths to the others perceived weaknesses, but there is an elephant in the room everyone’s ignoring.

    Presently:-
    The JSF is a fine plane on paper, but it needs to be translated into a real aircraft with a real price before these arguements are any use.

    There are lots of conflicting price estimates for this aircraft, with the Manufacturer tending to quote at the low end (not that surprising:D).

    There are recent comment that are ringing alarm bells to me regarding the JSF’s current status, so I thought I’d post what I think the present situation is.

    The Joint Strike Fighter’s program chief warned Aviation Week in an interview that the JSF is under threat because of the second engine.

    Forcing the program to fund development of the General Electric/Rolls-Royce F136 from within the existing JSF budget would “take 50-80 tails out of the program” over the next five years, says the program executive officer (PEO), Marine Corps Brig. Gen. David Heinz.

    The alternate engine is not that expensive in relation to the program.

    The alternate engine program is expected to need an additional $900 million through 2013 to complete the development of the F136 engine.

    Funding the F136 within the existing budget would require cutting six aircraft from the 30 planned in Fiscal 2010, Heinz says. This would make aircraft in subsequent years more expensive, pushing back international purchases and compounding the problem because the partners could not afford early aircraft, he says.

    “We would never get to 200 tails [a year]. We would build out to around 100, under-utilize the tooling and not get down the learning curve,” the PEO says. “I worry about taking tails out of the program because it will get so expensive the partners will start to pull back.”

    The big problem:-
    What is worrying about these quotes is the knife edge the JSF is currently on.

    If the number of aircraft cut from the program is more than 50-80 or the budget gets blown out by more than $1B, then the program is in danger of the F-22 death spiral.
    This is how close the JSF program is to collapse, $1B is being touted to send it over the edge, with several years till real production $1B is not going to be enough.

    Now add the current financial crisis, the troubled US economy, add the UK’s reluctance to fund the Tranche 3 typhoons, and its very tight military budget, and the program doesn’t look like it can handle any bumps in the road.

    These bumps in the road are part of all aircraft production and they start out small, such as the tiny number of flight tests carried out so far, delays and cost blow outs are guaranteed.

    Now the big question – what will give?.:-

    Clearly the program is the USA’s only option to replace the current aircraft, so its cancellation is only a remote possibility (at this time).

    I think the cost vs capability is the only variable they can play with, with capability of the aircraft in the early marks suffering badly.

    The airframes are a given, flight testing has been cut and cut again, so can’t be cut much further, Training, avionics and software are in the firing line.

    So I expect a very cut down version to be produced with the capabilities ‘promised’ later, much later.

    Export prospects:-

    The export numbers originally projected will be cut, the UK may halve its requirement, they know attrition reserves can be bought cheaper later!!, so they are going to get a bare minimum to service the carriers.

    The northern Europeans are now getting cold feet;) with delaying tactics to see what the price/capability/schedule is going to be all three are moving in the wrong direction so I do not see increases in exports.

    The US is under the same pressure, the danger signs everyone is looking for are more legacy aircraft ordered in the interim and that’s already started.

    Future:-
    So the once rosy future of the JSF is looking more than a little wilted, its running on a knife edge, and the program partners are looking very uneasy.

    Only adding the money now will stop the slide, I think its already started and will take another enormous investment to keep it on track.

    The final big question – Is there enough money available to pull this project from this death spiral, what would the US afford up and over the $1B being touted.

    Just my take on it.

    Cheers

    John

    in reply to: Eurofighter Typhoon news II #2478028
    Jwcook
    Participant

    OK rough mental calculation isn’t the Typhoon carrying roughly 8500-9000lbs there?

    in reply to: Eurofighter Typhoon news II #2479000
    Jwcook
    Participant

    Nice thanx for the vid….

    Here is an old Super-Hornet video..

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r-_OWMDN64M

    Thanks for that. so 6500lbs a respectable load to be throwing around, I couldn’t help but notice the large toe out on the fuel tanks and weapons, how do asymmetric loads work with such a setup?, IIRC the Typhoon has been trialling asymmetric configurations last year.

    I know the load out for the Typhoon display isn’t really a militarily useful loadout i.e.the centre line tank would be replaced by a designator and two fuel tanks would be added instead of two Bombs.

    I believe it was just a very heavy configuration they could show off, at least the heaviest till storm shadow get passed. Don’t know the exact figures for the weights of the featured Typhoon display anyone what to add it all up?.

    Cheers

    in reply to: Eurofighter Typhoon news II #2479447
    Jwcook
    Participant

    OK

    So what was the F18 full load?

    The Typhoon had 6 bombs, 4 Amraams and 2 Sraams and a center line tank.

    in reply to: Norwegian Government select JSF #2479484
    Jwcook
    Participant

    Now…Why did Norway choose F-35?

    Yes that’s what were all wondering.. if all the relevant details could have been gathered from a PPT presentation, and vague promises taken as truth then all bidders should have been able to bid on the same terms..

    Its not the result its the how the decision was made, was it a fair and equitable process and if not, why not?

    cheers

    in reply to: HELLENIC AIR FORCE NEWS & DISCUSSION #2489014
    Jwcook
    Participant

    Just a quick question, IIRC the Hellenic air force is supposed to choose a fighter sometime late this year?

    The Typhoon was a front runner till the Olympics intervened.

    Now if the ‘late this year’ decision is still on have the Greek been testing other aircraft such as the Rafale?.

    Cheers

Viewing 15 posts - 496 through 510 (of 932 total)