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sekant

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  • in reply to: Good Grief – It's the Gripen! #2332289
    sekant
    Participant

    Right.

    While I agree in principal with Phantom, the Gripen selection is purely budget driven. The defence establishment would have gone with the Eurofighter because they reckon it has the best chance to be kept relevant at a reasonable (well, …) price for the next 40 years. Gripen does not answer the Hornet replacement question.

    It would seem that the defence establishment (i.e. those below the political level) wanted to go with the Rafale (see evaluation and how it was leaked), so your statement that it wanted the EF seems quite strange to me. Care to expand?

    And I would add to this that if there is one plane that is more likely than the other to remain relevant over the next 40 years between the Rafale and the EF, it is the former (the Italians and the Brits bailing out from the programme, the Germans not willing to put any funds into further developments). So, here again, I find your statement baffling.

    in reply to: Swiss Technical report LEAKED ! #2333170
    sekant
    Participant

    First you complaint he did not read the reports; when I point out to you why this does not make sense you switch and says he should have read the summary of the summary reports… :rolleyes:

    Again; he has experts that prepare summary reports for him. They are no-technical. We have not seen those so we do not know how they compare to the summaries in the two leaked summary reports however what we do know is that the leaks are incomplete, and highly biased….

    I don’t understand why so many French are complaining so loudly; this would not be the first competition where the Rafale scored very high on the technical bit but lost in the end, partly due to high cost, partly due to politics…

    No wonder you end up in flame wars with the rest of the community all the time!

    I was not around when you lost in Korea and Singapore, but presumably the French were as agitated then as now? Of course one difference is the leaks… that probably makes it harder to accept that you lost this time?

    Why not enjoy the victory in India instead?

    And why not enjoy the fact that Rafale scored so much better than the mighty Typhoon? 😀

    But I guess it’s in the French soul to complaint and be Les miserable? :p

    Sorry to tell you this but you are way out of line by making this a French question.

    This has become a major issue within Switzerland. The security commission of the upper house of parliament (Conseil des Etats/Standerat) has met today and invited the Defense minister to explain himself.

    Another session in Parliament is now schedule for 21st February to address this question and the executive had to yield and promised that all pertinent documents will now be made available.

    Politicians from all parties except that of the Defence Minister are calling him to explain himself.

    Military officers are up in arms and are coming out saying the selection process was perverted.

    This is becoming a big issue in and of itself in Switzerland and the French have nothing to do with it. Parliament and the people at large were already skeptical and now that it has come out that the military itself believe that the Gripen is not able to even fulfill the most basic mission (air policing), its purchase is dead. No way Parliament will be willing to give the green light for a 3 billions purchase in these conditions, it is politically untenable.

    PS: I reside in Switzerland

    in reply to: Swiss Technical report LEAKED ! #2333534
    sekant
    Participant

    Do you guys believe the Swiss will change their minds after the revelation and order now the Rafale instead of Gripen?

    No, but they will cancel the Gripen and do the only sensical thing, that is come to the conclusion that 33 F-18 (that are about to be upgraded) are more than enough for the only use that is made of the Swiss AF (air policing) for at least the next 15 years.

    in reply to: Gripen for Switzerland #2350259
    sekant
    Participant

    Something like “we have no need for combat aircrafts”. Somme even say “… for armed forces”.

    I don’t know how numerous they are, though…

    No, this is not the point.

    The point is that there is no need for additionnal combat aircrafts when the Air Force already has 33 F18, which are currently upgraded.

    The point is that the Swiss AF will not engage planes in foreign operations (à la Lybia) and faces no threat from its neighbour. The only function of the AF is to police the skies (intercept civilian planes that have strayed…).

    The point is that Austria, Hungary, Slovakia (countries of basically the same size) are able to fulfil that air police function with 12 to 18 planes. So why would the Swiss AF need 22 Gripen on top of the 33 F18 it already operates?

    This is not any sort of pacifism/anti-military sentiment (Switzerland is one of the last European countries where conscription still applies) but one of common sense. To spend US$ 4 billions, you need a real justification.

    And I am not even touching the fact that many within the Swiss Armed forces are equally opposed to this purchase as it will lead to underinvestment in other military areas where it would have made much more sense.

    Fact is, there have been several referendum on military matters since the end of the Cold war in Switzerland (on the abolition of the Armed forces, the purchase of F-18, participation in UN peacekeeping missions…) which have all been turned down by the people. A vote on the purchase of addtional combat aircrafts may well see the first yes vote on such an issue.

    in reply to: Gripen for Switzerland #2352499
    sekant
    Participant

    Which would be a poor argument. Surely someone at Dassault could have had the idea to propose an 18 jet fleet before Gripen was selected.

    Precisely not. There are strong accusations that surfaced last week and emanating from within the Swiss DoD saying that the Air Force wanted to determine whether 15 Rafales or EF could perform the same mission that would require 24 Gripens, but that they were barred from doing that.

    This with a series of other allegations emanating from within the DoD in the form of a letter to Parliament. For those who can read French:

    http://www.letemps.ch/Page/Uuid/99ffc706-460b-11e1-9364-c19d868867da

    “…Car c’est manifestement d’une source intérieure très bien informée que proviennent les accusations de manipulations et d’irrégularités dont se serait rendu responsable le directeur du projet. Signée d’un «Groupement pour une armée crédible et intègre», une lettre envoyée à quelques membres des commissions parlementaires ainsi qu’à quelques journalistes fait en effet état de graves accusations.

    Selon le «corbeau», le Gripen aurait été jugé insatisfaisant en vol lors des évaluations de 2008 et 2009. Par la suite, la firme suédoise avait proposé des améliorations qui ne figurent que sur le papier. Les évaluateurs avaient appliqué des facteurs de pondération liés aux risques technologiques non évalués. Le directeur du projet aurait ordonné de supprimer ces facteurs de pondération, ramenant le Gripen dans les minima.

    Autre accusation, les Forces aériennes auraient voulu évaluer les performances, l’endurance des appareils avant d’en fixer le nombre. Avec 15 Rafale ou Eurofighter, on aurait ainsi rempli les missions de 24 Gripen, économisant des ressources en personnel et en entretien. Cette façon de procéder leur aurait été refusée.”

    in reply to: American Airlines to Order 460 Narrowbody Jets #577650
    sekant
    Participant

    Edited: CoC Rule 15

    You are right. In fact they have not even sold it.

    in reply to: American Airlines to Order 460 Narrowbody Jets #577657
    sekant
    Participant

    Edited: CoC Rule 15

    Highly unorthodox approach to announce a new plane version. Boeing must have been under a lot of pressure to come up with something real fast to not lose the entire deal.

    Boeing even announcing now: In addition, American Airlines has committed to order a variant of the 737 featuring new more fuel-efficient engines, pending final airplane configuration and launch approval of the program by the Boeing board of directors.

    They have sold something they have not yet decided to build!!!!

    in reply to: Airbus A380 At 50 #578325
    sekant
    Participant

    Airbus is a political animal, a jobs program.

    Nowadays, its fashionable to try to hide that, but, for example, if one reads the book “the sporty game,” one will find numerous direct quotes from European political and business leaders about how and why the consortium was formed.

    More recently, the comments by the French politicians quoted by Pierre Sparaco in Aviation Week also show the overt political nature of the consortium.

    Having said all that, it is a pretty well run social program. At least Europeans get something for their dollars, Americans just give money to the “poor” and let them sit around and do nothing!

    Again, trolling and ridiculous.

    The aviation industry on both sides of the atlantic is seen as a strategic industry, and governments on both sides of the atlantic prop up their national champion and meddle in its business. To believe that this happens only on one side of the pond is to have one’s head way up in one’s own ***. And the issue of job creation are taken seriously also on both sides.

    I mean, the US prez acts as a vrp for Boeing’s plane, you have a governmental import/export bank to finance exports that is nearly solely dedicated to propping up Boeing’s foreign sales, you have a high level of consanguinity between the Pentagon and Boeing, Boeing cannot fall under foreign ownership….

    But Boeing is not a political animal, like Airbus? Right.

    in reply to: Airbus A380 At 50 #579263
    sekant
    Participant

    Hey, that MAY be true if the planes were reversed, but it is not the case.

    I just find it hugely ironic (and hilarious) that the A380’s largest customer is being severely slot restricted by one of the Airbus partial owners (the German Government). Just imagine the sales flyer for future programs: “Buy our airplanes! Just don’t fly them to our country! Or only fly them when, where, and how often WE decide.” Ha! HaHa! Socialism….ain’t it great?

    In what world does the German government own a part of Airbus. Maybe in (your) fantasyland but not in the real one.

    in reply to: Predictions for Boeings Next Move #579309
    sekant
    Participant

    Thank you for your comment upon my sanity….I assume you have the qualifications to make such pronouncements?

    I haven’t mention the WTO case and have made not pronouncements upon it. The articles I have read about it indicate that the judgments to date have been much different than what you indicate. At various times, both sides have claimed victory, and apparently with some legal merit. Your statements don’t seem to be vindicated by fact. You could post some links, then I could post some links and we could both claim victory.

    Airbus and Boeing have different financing methodologies that share a few similiarities……the details can be twisted either way. At least you admit that Airbus receives illegal subsidies.

    I note that you didn’t comment about the French polititicians comments that I referenced.

    ThreeSpool’s comment was a breath of fresh air, he stated what everyone knows, that governments waste other people’s money to an appalling degree. For some reason, certain Europeans seem very sensitive to this fact, and get offended when anyone not from the continent points it out.

    1) Frankly, I don’t know what you go on about (but I am not really surprised by your rambling, got used to it). The WTO was asked whether Airbus received illegal subsidies and the response was positive. It was also asked whether Boeing received illegal subsidies, and the response was also yes. There is no speaking of victory or or twisting anything. Those are the bare facts.

    2) As mentioned, the European taxpayer makes money out of Airbus (because of the way funding for development is structured). No money lost there, so your call for an inquiry over lost funds does not make any sense. And thanks again for worrying about the European taxpayer.

    3) Boeing is as much an extension of the US government than Airbus is of European ones. Boeing is a strategic company for the US, Airbus for some European States. On both sides, it will be ensured that a degree of control is kept on these companies. The US governments exerts some control over Boeing, its ownership cannot fall into foreign hands. When the US prez goes on foreign trips, he promotes Boeing wares.

    Boeing is as much an extension of the US government than Airbus of Europeans ones. Again, sane persons have long recognised that fact.

    in reply to: Predictions for Boeings Next Move #580498
    sekant
    Participant

    I would agree that the profitability of the 787 program has been hurt.

    I don’t believe the A380 will ever be profitable, but I confess that we don’t really know and I doubt we ever will. If I were a taxpayer in the EU and therefore directly supporting the Airbus programs, I would want to know, it seems rather amazing that there is not more transparency.

    On a related note, there is an interesting column from Pierre Sparaco in the most recent Aviation Week, whereby he quotes some French politicians basically saying that Airbus is a government entity.

    Yawn, yawn, yawn.

    Notwithstanding facts, the same usual arguments. Case now settled by the WTO this spring (which confirmed what every sane person recognised long ago), both Boeing and Airbus receive illegal subsidies.

    I take it that as an american taxpayer who therefore pays for Boeing, you are going to ask for a public enquiry into the 787 development fiasco and as to whether it will generate a profit???

    Now, given the way Airbus receives public support (new planes partly financed with public aid, money paid back by Airbus when the new plane start selling, once loans entirely paid back Airbus continue to pay money to governments on any unit sold – meaning that Airbus pays to governments more than the loans it received), the taxpayer has so far made a hefty profit in this endeavour. Hardly a cause for the taxpayer to revolt.

    in reply to: Predictions for Boeings Next Move #580661
    sekant
    Participant

    Amiga

    Orders does not translate into profitability. We have no idea what the contracts say, in other words what the specifics are. One or the other may have sold airplanes at or below cost just to get the production line moving. Your quoting of orders is like an airline quoting load factors and not releasing seat revenue. Its all about the yield, not just how many units are sold. And you call others silly and niave?

    Also, you state that the Trent 500 core is used, and then say it is not. Which is it?

    Tell that to Boeing, which has sold a sh*tload of 787 while it was still a paper plane and which was then hit by huge development problems that have strongly increased production costs. It sold 100s at a given price thinking that its production costs would be much lower than they actually are.

    It is not clear whether that means that Boeing wil make a loss, but what is clear is that the 787 will not be the windfall that Boeing assumed it would be, notwithstanding the impressive 787 order book.

    in reply to: Breakthrough in AF 447 search #488475
    sekant
    Participant

    If said manufacturer is not French, you can bet on it. 😡

    Air France and Airbus could have let this entire thing die down, which in fact it already has. Instead, they have spend tens of millions, gone way beyond due dilligence, to get to the bottom of that thing and retrieve the wreckage.

    All this, as several persons on that board clearly state, for the fun of then or in the intent of tampering with the inquiry.

    Or the usual frog bashing from the usual same quarter seen on this boards.

    in reply to: B747-8 Live webcast 13 Feb @ 19h00 GMT #499563
    sekant
    Participant

    Your assertion doesn’t seem to be supported by Boeing data, which indicates that the GE90-115B has the fewest “in flight shutdowns” of all 777 engines for the last 12 months…..and far less than any widely used 767 engine.

    Expand you search. Multiple shutdowns, 6 for Air France alone in the span of 6 months in 2008, that required changing numerous engines and in a need to redesign specific parts. GE had to change the alloy of those parts. Among other things.

    Other companies affected as well, if I recall well air Canada and Singapour. And the source of the issue was different in all three cases.

    in reply to: B747-8 Live webcast 13 Feb @ 19h00 GMT #499579
    sekant
    Participant

    After Quantas incident it would feel much safer flying a 777-300ER with GE-90 as powerplant !!

    Considering the numerous mishaps of GE-90-115B and ensuing forced diversions, that must qualify as the statement of the day.

Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 324 total)