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andrei

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Viewing 15 posts - 31 through 45 (of 55 total)
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  • in reply to: Eurofighter Typhoon news #2504324
    andrei
    Participant

    Eurofighter or Grypen

    The Gryppen has been involved in many PR coups here in Romania including taking a ride with famous tv journalist. However, the Minister of Defence, has recently expressed his opinion in favor of the Eurofighter. He told the Prime Minister and the Press that the TYphoon is the only fighter that can defeat modern Russian fighters such as the su35. He gave a 60 % chance of success against the Su35 which seemed pretty low to me but he also added that the Gryppen stands no chance against modern russian fighters. The f16 seems out of the race for now as well as the rafale so it will probably be a Grypen or Typhoon

    in reply to: Air force of soviet SOBs in Czechoslovakia photos #2524385
    andrei
    Participant

    A political note to add on that. Romania was the only Warsaw pact country not to send troops to invade Czechoslovakia. In fact, ceausescu, the romanian communist party leader held a big meeting in the romanian capital and had a very strong nationalistic discourse, condemning the soviet intervention in Czecoslovakia. Romanian troops were on alert at the soviet borders and some skirmishes took place – soviets wanted to test the romanian will to fight -. Most of the people – including my father – were genuinely conviced that ceaseascu was defending national interest and that a different type of socialism with a more human face would be possible. the consequence of this masterspiece of politics were that ceausescu’s power was consolidated with a strong national popularity. he continued to challenge the soviet union by taking sides with china against ussr, but his real motives were that he wanted to be his own master and not to obey the soviet rulers.
    most people were convinced by this standing including in the west and it would take years before they understood that ceausescu was a dictator jumping on the soviet invasion of czechoslovakia with his intuitive feeling and using it as a motive to get rid of soviet influence. but the fact is that the romanian army took notice and changed in 1968 his strategic approach and started to consider USSR as the main threat. weapons caches were prepared, the army command was separated from the warsaw pact integrated planning system and the new defensive doctrine was based on prolonged resistence with massive popular mobilisation in case of soviet invasion. Mountains brigades were to play the main role in that scenario .

    in reply to: Rafale news II : we go on #2524467
    andrei
    Participant

    i ve watched the one on Afghanistan. Pretty impressive. I have noticed that the pilots don’t give details about the weapons (ag) they are using and it seemed to me that along the Rafale, there were some Super etendard flying.
    Also, it is interesting to listen to the french pilots. They look /sound very professionnel but they don’t have this God like attitude common the american pilots
    There is one pilot if Dushanbe giving details about his equipment in case of emergency (crash and eject) / We have something to defend ourselves( a handgun), something to allow us to be found (gps) and some equipment for health emergency. Very genuine and without a trace of arrogance

    in reply to: Iranian Su-30MK deal – up to 250 aircraft? #2524495
    andrei
    Participant

    This deal if it happens would probably have the opposite effective, i.e., increase the chances of an american strike before the Iranians get their hands on dozens of su 30 .
    Look at it this way : if the deal is signed, it would take at least one or two years before knappo can deliver and the iranians are trained to use the su 30 squadrons.
    if you are george bush and are embarked on a missionnary endeavour do kill all the evil people you will not leave the white house without dealing with iran. if you are the pentagon and you already have all the toys you need – f22, b2 etc – you will want to strike now or at least before the moment where you will have to take into account 250 su 30 and an integrated air defence system

    in reply to: Rafale news II : we go on #2525066
    andrei
    Participant

    to glitter

    Well Romania’s budget for the 48 new air planes is 4.5 billion euros including weapons, training and spare parts. That should be enough for the Rafale, shouldn’t it ? The eurofighter offer includes everything for this price and the latest version (block 3) with improved AG capabilities.
    By the way, Romania was operating the Magic 2 missiles and the Durandal so it has some experience with french weapons. My favorite is the Rafale and the Eurofighter for this deal.
    As for the F16, no please no…. When I see what happend to the poor poles with their brand new f16…

    in reply to: Iranian Su-30MK deal – up to 250 aircraft? #2526114
    andrei
    Participant

    Can Russia produce 250 su 30 rapidly ? Can they produce and deliver at least 30-40 Su 30 a year ? Not likely. The technology is there, but the middle management and the skilled work force is long gone, they have to rebuilt it from scratch. One important challenge for Russia now is that they have more money than they can produce, they can afford more that they can manufacture because for so many years the factories have been neglected, engineers were becoming taxi drivers and military orders were very low. Nowadays wages are up, money is there, but they can only improve this capacity progressively, training new people etc. This is why there have been delays in modernising the russian air force, delivering the sukhois to Malaysia and India and this is why the army is not spending all the money it gets

    in reply to: Rafale news II : we go on #2526218
    andrei
    Participant

    Rafale in the game in Romania’s procurement

    Acccording to this (http://www.gandul.info/actual/avionul-francez-rafale-posibil-inlocuitor-mig-21-lancer.html?3927;860847), the Rafale in officially in the game for the romanian air force procurement tender. Romania needs and will buy 48 new planes – first deliveries expected in 2010- . The initial contenders were the f16 and the jas 39. The Jas 39 seemed to have the lead recently. This year, after a tremendous show by Eurofighter, the f16 option was loosing definitively loosing the race, while the Eurofighter was in the lead. Now the Rafale comes in to the game, and I suppose that by 2010, a more advanced version may be available (can anyone confirm this ?), able to outsmart the Typhoon block 3 on the offer. The article mentions other possible contenders (total of 6, I suppose F 18 f) and also the fact that the f22 is too expensive for Romania (no, really ?)

    in reply to: Libya making big ticket weapons purchases #2535265
    andrei
    Participant

    Rafale’s orders ?

    As for the Rafale last thing I heard is that Lybia is expecting the end of the FRench electoral campaign. The order may be announced as a ” good news ” by the new French President .

    in reply to: your country armed forces your way #2543283
    andrei
    Participant

    Romania

    Ok my wish list for Romania – which intends to buy 48 new planes in 2007/2008 –
    No JAS 39 or modernised F16.

    A squadron of Rafale C for air superiority and deep strike 24/30 planes armed with Scalp
    Three squadrons of J10 or Mig 35 or Su35 for expeditionnary and fighter bombing duties 72 new planes
    three batteries of S300 to cover the Black Sea
    50 IAR 99 for training and close air support
    12-16 A400 for long range transportation
    20-30 Spartan

    in reply to: Taiwan buys 66 F-16C/D Blk 52 #2562753
    andrei
    Participant

    some guys are still dreaming about a war between taiwan and china. it ain’t happening. it is just us propaganda to feed the war industry.

    in reply to: What-If: NATO-WP Air War in Central Europe in 1987 #2569015
    andrei
    Participant

    Soviet EW capbilities in action 1989

    Adding to earlier Rokossovsky comments about Soviet involvement in 1989’s regime overthrow of Romania’s communists regime, I would like to stress out the lessons learned from that event
    Background
    After the Berlin wall fell, Romania was one of the last Eastern European countries with an old style dictator, Ceausescu. He was very upset by the fact that the Soviet would not intervene in East GErmany of in the other Warsaw pact countries to support the communist rule. He personnally called for that intervention and he was exactly the ideal type of dictator Gorbatchev loved to hate. He was an old style autocrat, rejected perestroika and commenting loudly about the threats to socialism posed by Gorbatchev reforms. When he saw he was alone – last dictator standing – he raised his voice and began to ask for compensation from Soviet Union, including, even the return of Bessarabia – then a soviet republic, now Moldova – to Romania. Bessarabia – Moldova – was an old Romanian province, with more than 75 % of the population of Romanian origine and it was annexed by Staline to the USSR. Ceausescu was the first Romanian leader to ask it back from the USSR, in a desperate move to gain legitimacy at home with a nationalist posture. This infuriated Gorbatchev and their last meeting in november 1989 went out badly with the two leaders yelling at each other and Gorbatchev getting an outstanding ovation in the – generally docile – communist romanian Parliament.
    The end was near.

    Events – Soviet role, fight for power
    I don t want to get in details about the Romanian uprising/revolution but to stress out what is known about Soviet involvement/tactics. The initial riot against the communist regime broke out in Western Romania, tanks were sent in and after one hundred deaths in Timisoara, the revolt spread to Bucharest. a popular movement – millions in the street – was met by fierce resistance from a couple of Ceuausescu’s loyal security troops. However, in the same time, a fight for power emerged between the following forces
    – Romanian army eager to pose as a defender of the people and of the state and to make everyone forget that it was involved in the initial massacres of civilians
    – security services, including the Securitate , split broadly in three categories
    a) special forces, loyal to Ceausescu – very few –
    b) forces loyal to the new political leaders agreed by Moscow – a substantial number .

    c) nationalist, anti Ceuasescu security services.
    A good portion of the security services were infiltrated by KGB agents. Romania, although it was a member of Warsaw Pact, was by 1989, pretty much preparing against a Soviet take over – see background -. Since Romanians as a nation hated the Soviet Union for taking over Bessarabia – Moldova and imposing Communism -, there was little loyalty for the Soviet union in the political and technical structures of the state .
    The largest part of the the Securitate and the best people were in Directia 1, the anti KGB section , spying and supervising soviet political and military agents in Romania. They coulndt arrest them, cause Romania was officially in the Warsaw pact but they tried to control them as much as possible.
    When Ceausescu fell, a fight for power was initiated between these forces. The new political leaders were seeking Soviet intervention and support, some secret services were fighting to preserve the nation from it – , and some – very few still supported Ceausescu for its nationalist posture

    Soviet intervention
    Soviet intervention in Romania is well documented, for instance in Jacques Levesques, Dean of political sciences faculty in Montreal – UQAM books – to which I also contributed a chapter 🙂 .
    This intervention was a model for what could have happen in Western Europe.
    Intervention in a hostile country with some local agents in the field and against a defending army. Of course, the soviets never actually send the tanks in Romania over the border even if – hard to believe, but true – the americans, who were busy invading Panama invited them to do so to maintain order. But the initial phases of the intervention are worth mentioning
    1. a few hundreds soviet tourists entered the country in the days before Ceuasescu fell. Their presence, their cars – ladas – and their journey was well monitored by the secret services and everything was published after the regime change
    2. a strong and massive Electronic warfare was initiated against ROmania in the early days of Ceausescu’s fall. Hundreds of electronic – simulated targets suddenly appeared on the radar screens coming in from the East – Normal – but also from the West and South . this drove the romanian air defence crazy since they army believe they were facing an invasion from Hungary, Yugoslavia and USSR. Tens of real planes played with the nerves of the air defence at the edge of the borders.
    HUndreds of SAMs were launched with no effect and a total chaos took over the romanian army. Helicopters and military planes belonging to the Romanian air force were shot down by mistake. Radio transmitters were active all over the country and troops and gendarmerie run to find them in abandonned villas, or inhabited farms etc. All this consumed an immense amount of logistical energy and inevitably led to chaos and friendly fire victims.

    The radars showed massive drops of airborned troops nearby bucharest and major confusion occurred with romanian – poorly trained – conscript soldiers shooting at special forces – with different uniform – belonging to different units who were looking for soviet airborne units. Communications between all major cities were broken – probably by russian special forces – disguised as tourists – , radio communication between army troops were jammed and soviet diplomats, tourists and TASS journalists were always to be found near train wreckages, sabotaged water or gas pipes or administrative buildings – many were arrested -.
    . More than 1100 people died in these fightings from December 22d to December 26th, in only 4 days, which is pretty much considering that only 200 died to actually overthrow the regime – Ceausescu fled on the 22d december was captured, and shot -.
    Soviet divisions, at the eastern border tried to enter the country at the call of the new regime – Moscow’s friends-, to support it and some romanian army generals ordered to fire at them. The soviet troops stopped, but a few days laters, these romanian generals who opposed their intervention died in helicopters downed by hand held SAM . These incidents were never explained, no one knew how it was possible but it appeared that all communication traffic was monitored by soviet systems

    At the beginning of January of 1990, a new regime was in place, Ceausescu was dead and Moscow had tested its intervention techniques. Romania would eventually organize elections and gradually slip away from soviet influence, join NATO etc. But these events in december 1989 show some lessons about soviet operations techniques for an intervention in hostile countries. Of course Western europe was not Romania and the romanian airforce and communication technologies were years behind. However, without a real invasion, Romania , an anti russian country with an army and security services preparing for a soviet invasion, was thrown into a chaos by a few hundred special forces and electronic warfare organised by the USSR. I suppose that something similar would have happened in Western Europe with all these pro communist agents , and special forces infiltrated by the USSR. This type of destabilising techniques and secret operations would have certainly supported the momentum of a soviet massive invasion.

    in reply to: Israel to sell dozens of F-16s to Romania #2565456
    andrei
    Participant

    No F16 please

    No F16 s please said,the Chief of Staff of the Romanian air force today. (http://www.gandul.info/2006-03-20/actual/nu_e_bine)

    We don’t want to be the last country to buy the F16 said he in an interview. The f16 is an old plane… we want to keep the plane we will buy in service for 30 years.. so we need a NEW, a very new plane said he.
    Starting with 2008, Romania will buy 24 new multirole planes and another batch of 24 later in 2009.
    The Israelis are still pushing for their upgraded f16, other competitors include the Typoon, the Rafale and of course, the JAS Gryppen.
    In 2006, Romania will have the largest defence budget since 1989, and the largest in EE after Poland. Over 250 millions Euros per year are spent to maintain troops in Irak and Afghanistan (over 2200 of them)

    in reply to: The Kingdom of the Netherlands #1939702
    andrei
    Participant

    Nice girls if you catch them in holidays in SOuthern Europe where they are more relaxed. The Red neighborhood in Amsterdam is quite civilised. Moscow or Bangkok night life are really a thrill but I never felt threatened in Amsterdam. Even the junkies seemed under check.As for the girls they run their operations like a bank office.

    in reply to: General Discussion #366121
    andrei
    Participant

    Nice girls if you catch them in holidays in SOuthern Europe where they are more relaxed. The Red neighborhood in Amsterdam is quite civilised. Moscow or Bangkok night life are really a thrill but I never felt threatened in Amsterdam. Even the junkies seemed under check.As for the girls they run their operations like a bank office.

    in reply to: US Intelligence: Nukehavistan may have nuclear weapons #2043251
    andrei
    Participant

    the onion

    it is from http://www.theonion.com.They are the ones who unveiled the US army exit plan from Iraq : through Iran.

Viewing 15 posts - 31 through 45 (of 55 total)