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vikasrehman

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  • vikasrehman
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    Another 20 pages of interesting discussions. Please continue your discussions in the new thread;
    http://forum.keypublishing.co.uk/showthread.php?p=1510582#post1510582

    in reply to: Pakistan Air Force II #2424616
    vikasrehman
    Participant

    Back on track – wonder what engine PAF will get with its FC-20s. and if some of them can be bought for the PN to counter the IN aircraft careers. If they buy the British career it will change the balance beyond repair for the PN. As it is the Navy remains the weakest link and will face incredible odds to survive, beyond the subs.

    PLAMKII, I think PAF would prefer to get it with WS-10/derivative, i.e. a chinese option, rather than a russian one. Unless Im mistake, even their RD-93 would be overhauled in China (to start with) instead of Russia befor PAC establishes these facilities at home. But PAF still has about 5 years vis-a-vis FC-20, so there is plenty of time to move on this front. And unless there are some major shifts in geostrategic situation, I think Russian could be convinced to re-sell AL-31s to PAF.

    As for PN, the naval chief was in China recently, and there were talks about the possibility of acquiring heavier chinese ships. And these ships would bring long range air defence to PN, something it currently lacks.

    Back to PAF, other than India, Does PAF have any other intended use ? Is there any planning in PAF that focusses on threats from say – Afghanistan ? Iran ? US ? internal revolts ? I have only seen PAF comparisons with IAF, here and other forums.

    Does any Pakistani poster here have any information about what other goals PAF has ?

    PAF is currently being used in tribal areas against the insurgents. Their primary mission remains India-centric, but they also do have bases near Afghan and Iran borders.

    I mean that weapons should be in Pakistan’s inventory not China’s. If they depend on China for wartime supply that any thing is possible. Remember that Pakistan had a bad time wrt supply of weapons.

    Rajan, apologies for misunderstanding your post. Back in 2000 something, China sent unassembled PGs to PAF during the height of Pak/Ind tension. I think China is one country, Pak could rely on for unhindered military supplies before/during/after any conflict…at least in the forseeble future.

    2009 is 37 years from then. There is a reason PAF did not come anywhere near Kargil. They have to work with the real situation, and not just fight on a forum. Its not PAF’s fault. In the same situation, IAF would also take a similar decision. For over 20 years IAF has been far better funded than PAF, with obvious results. Ultimately military strength is dependent on economic strength.

    Dovin, both Pak govt & PA kept denying any involvement in Kargil. PAF was not ‘really’ in the loophole, and there was no question of ‘direct engagement’. IAF fighters were conducting ops in Kargil which is situated on the Indian side of LoC, and not across the LoC.

    PAF’s key role against India is to delay the establishment of air superiority by IAF as much as possible to provide some negotiation space to pakistani leadership. Once air superiority is established by one side, its pretty much game over.

    Likely to be the case. One of the Pakistan’s stated nuclear threshold appears to be the destruction of a major chunk of PAF, and Im not sure how IAF could establish air superiority without that. So, the game might ‘really’ be over in such a case.

    Looks like PAF is standadising on IL-76 as both Air Refuellers and Chinese AWACs platform.

    Now this is very strange. We always thought it would be Chinese Y-8 derivative, and its the first time I have heard Il-76 being linked to this programme.

    in reply to: Pakistan Air Force II #2424981
    vikasrehman
    Participant

    Why doesnt Pakitan buy WZ-10s instead since they are a tributary of China anyways, amkes sense.

    Because US military aid money must be spent on US weapons/training etc. OTOH, I dont know if WZ-10 is available or much about its capabilities vis-a-vis super cobra in order to be able to make a more educated guess.

    both your arguments about why the PAF didn’t buy Gripens are inaccurate. PAF evaluated the Gripen and there were news reports in 2004 about how the PAF wanted to buy as many as 60 Gripens, with Saab also wanting the deal to go through. the Swedish govt. did not agree to the sale as Sweden did not want to sell “weapons” to Pakistan. apparently the Erieye is not considered as a “weapon”.

    Ankush, when US was not selling weapons to Pakistan, many others were not either. When US decided to sell them the F-16s, many others also became very interested.

    Now, to quote one of your own links (post number 133) Sweden has declined to sell its advanced Gripen fighter planes to Pakistan until positive movement is made in the Indo-Pak peace process. However, it has agreed to sell Erie-eye Airborne Early Warning and Control System (AWACS), to counter-balance India’s acquisition of the Israeli Phalcon Airborne Surveillance System.. Considering that Gripen NG is a client in MMRCA competition, I don’t think Swedes could even use that argument, and considering Erieye’s sale (based on the above reason), NG’s sale could be authorised. Having said that I still maintain it was the US sanctions which were affecting great many other companies/countries.

    I think Gripen NG would be a nice asset for Pakistan. Erieye already there… Skip F16 follow up and buy 48 Gripen NG with the best weapons set.

    Insig, I dont think that’s going to happen anytime soon. Unless PAF must, they would concentrate on JF-17/FC-20/F-16. As for PAF being a potential customer of NG, well if US sells F-16s to PAF, I would be surprised if Sweden would be that much hesitant to supply them with NG (as long as PAF could afford them).

    but PAF is getting 18 Block 50 Falcons already and is upgrading its earlier F-16s in Turkey to nearly Block 50 standard. so why will they be looking to add a new type, especially one that needs to be upgraded to C/D standard ? and what the guy above posted was regarding PAF being a potential customer for the Gripen NG.

    And they are not. If they could get any more western fighters, the first thing they would do is to exercise the option of additional 18 F-16s. But there is no harm in keeping your options open, and remaining a ‘potential’ customer.

    PS. Apologies to everyone for 3 posts (instead of 1). But I hate posts which go as long as essays or even short novels.:)

    in reply to: Pakistan Air Force II #2424984
    vikasrehman
    Participant

    thats not a contribution towards the fighter design itself. thats simple licence production based off Chinese drawings and manufacturing processes. no harm in that of course.

    Ankush, everyone has to start somewhere. PAF/PAC know their own limitations better than anyone else, and this is why they partnered with someone else. In my opinion the credit for 2000+ sorties in first six years goes to good project management. PAC is like an infant in this field, and they have to learn to walk before they could start to run. As I have said before, both PAF/PAC know their own limitation (both technological & financial), and this is exactly why they are only going to concentrate on some aspects of aviation industry in the forseeble future at least.

    The IAF is VERY worried about Pakistan.

    It is the reason there were no air strikes against any Pakistani targets in military stand offs in Kargil, after Indian Parliament attack and after Mumbai bombings.

    Detterence paid off.

    Rimmer, it was the overall deterrence with nuclear deterrence (probably) having the greatest value.

    which makes sense for what the PAF wanted- a cheap, BVR capable, 3rd generation operational fighter. national technological growth is not their look-out. almost every air arm will have similar outlook if they have a supplier that they have full faith in and no worry about sanctions or problems with spares supplies. China in this case fits the bill for Pakistan.

    and if the aim for Pakistan as a nation was not to develop competency in aerospace in general and fighter design and development in particular, then it makes no difference whether the fighter was only assembled in Pakistan or not or if the JF-17 had any Pakistani designed and developed components in it or not.

    Ankush, Pakistan’s aim was to get a multirole fighter (without the risk of sanctions of course) at a reasonable price to replace its older units and establish an aviation inductry. And I think with JF-17 they would achieve it, albeit the latter (aim) might be slow to the liking of some. But the key is to recognise your own limitations.

    ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s Air Chief Marshal Rao Qamar Suleman has said that the country will get eight new F-16 fighter jets by June 2010.

    Rimmer, Im surprised. Unless Im mistaken, according to the LoA PAF was to get first 4 in June and next 4 in August (I think?).

    in reply to: Pakistan Air Force II #2424992
    vikasrehman
    Participant

    The JF-17 will not go to 8.5G since its onboard computers will restrict it to 8G as it was designed for 8G max, not 8.5G.

    Ankush, the prvious figure was 8.5 and not 8. Not sure why it is 8 now…possibly something to do with FBW???.

    Saab Erieye technologically a mid-range AE&W system as per Dawn article

    article link

    Im surprised you didn’t spot DDM written all over that article.:)

    That will be air dominance.

    Rajan, sure it would be.:)

    Depending on others for war time supply is not a good idea, you know. No country is your friend when they don’t need you any more…… I think you know in details about history of Sino-Pak relations.

    This rule applies to every strategic relationship. Don’t you think? Sure Pak-China friendship is very much India centric. But then most (if not all) strategic partnerships are based on mutual interests. There is no such term as ‘pure friendship’ in international relations.

    Who is Usman Shabir? Journalist?

    Yes. That he is.

    specs were obviously changed at some time to 8Gs as the PAC Kamra placard clearly shows from IDEAS 2008. stuff like that happens to save weight.

    Ankush, this is something we were discussing wrt LCA just couple of days ago, in the sense that why did ADA feel the desire to design an aircraft for 9G when IAF was happy with 8G, and whether they could downgrade it to 8G (if IAF was still happy about that) to save some weight. We simply do not know why it is limited at +8G right now. Unless Im mistaken USAF F-18s are limited at around +7.5/8G, while French Mirages are supposed to be 13G capable.

    vikasrehman
    Participant

    coming to the IAF in particular, current fighter pilot training looks like

    HPT-32 –> HJT-16 –> Hawk/MOFTU (there aren’t enough hawks AFAIK) –> Conversion training in sqdns

    the future would ideally look like
    HTT-40/some other turbo trainer –> HJT-36 –> Hawk/LCA derived trainer –> LCA LIFT(filling in for MOFTU) –> Conversion training in sqdns

    Unless Im mistaken IAF’s fighter pilot training used to have basic and intermediate tarining before the pilots were shipped to Mig-21 twin seaters for converison. Hawk is filling the advanced training void that was criticised for several years. I wonder if IAF trainee pilots are still being sent to Mig-21 units prior to being sent to any other units, or do they go to different squadrons (for conversion) after finishing their AJT course?

    Rahul, I skimmed through a couple of sites about USAF & RAF training, and it appears (if Im missing anything important please correct me) US fighter pilots get their basic training on T-6 (or T-34 for navy), then they move to T-38 for advanced training before they go to the relevant squadron for conversion. RAF pilot do their hours on T-1 and Hawk T1 before conversion training at a squadron level. Other AFs might have their own preferred method. What Im wondering about is how would a 4 stage IAF programme (as in the post quoted above) before conversion training compares with other AFs around the world???

    in reply to: Pakistan Air Force II #2425482
    vikasrehman
    Participant

    Depends – actually, as you are the one guy who avoided all the entire jingoistic chest thumping, let me state this, the IAF is not really that worried about Pakistan. It is more concerned about China, which quite frankly is the new game in town in terms of inductions and capabilities. They know what Pakistan has, will have. They are not happy, but they can manage. I mean its the opponent they have tracked for a long time, and have a fair idea of whats happening.

    Whatever the PakAF is getting, India got a long time back or has ordered more in substantial numbers. Till date, I have not seen anything viz the PakAF having any sort of silver bullet (a la the real/mythical/whatever AShBM for example gets reported out of China/US press versus the US Carrier fleet).

    To just give a few examples..

    7 AN/TPS-77 radars – well sure, and the IAF has a fair stock of Kh-31’s, Harpys, and has now ordered HAROP. Forget SEAD, for even DEAD, the IAF has specific capabilities coming online for accurate real time geolocation.

    BVR? Well who got it first and has been exercising in BVR non stop w/the worlds premier AFs and with extensive inhouse tactics and training already refined and developed? A host of different SPJ technologies and systems are already in development and even deployed, so much so that they make smaller aircraft fairly hard to track for decent FCRs.

    The PAF is using LGBs in anger today- the IAF did that a decade back in 1999 itself and built up capabilities thereafter.

    And I do agree with most of what you have said.

    I mean, I wont even go into what the IAF has already ordered, it dwarfs Pakistan. But what should be clear is the IAF is looking more and more towards the PRC, not Pak as the primary force which is of concern.

    Pakistans one deterrent are its nukes, and those too are going to be affected by the ABM project, its AF is not really a deterrent. I really dont get what some posters here keep stating “minimum credible deterrent”, vis a vis the IAF, that equation simply doesnt exist. In all these days, despite all the media pushing and scaremongering for more resources, I have never even seen a ranking IAF officer worried about being deterred by the PAF. China’s growing capabilities are another matter, but the IAF woke up to the PRC quite some time back and new inductions et al are aimed to address that as well.

    Teer, nukes only form one part of the equation. If you look at the numbers, of course India’s army, AF, and navy are all superior to Pakistan, and under most circumstances can overwhelm their Pakistani counterparts in a long drawn out battle. But Pakistani army, AF, and navy all form a part of that whole deterrence theory, and all will be used in conjuction to defend Pakistan just the way India would use all its armed forces in sync. We are unlikely to see a 1 on 1 thing, be it the AF or navy or army. May be our liberal use of the word detrrence here goes against the conventional wisdom here (vis-a-vis the military deterrence theory), and we better say that PAF (or any other branch of Pak armed services) maintaing a certain force is intended to ensure that any Indian agression won’t be a walk in the park. As for the matter of Indian officers giving statements, have you ever come across an Indian officer ever admitting that China might be able to overwhelm India in a long drawn out battle or something of that sort?

    Of course a lot of current Indian acquisitions are targetted towards China, but a lot of Indian military doctorine (take a look at Cold Start for example) remains Pakistan centric, and now they have even started talking about the possibility a 2-front scenario.

    Vikas if you are interested in a serious discussion I am game, but I really doubt whether Insig/Rimmer are in anyways concerned.

    And I would say it to all of yous that if a Pakistani says JF-17 is better, in my book (at least) the Indian who does not feel that he/she has to disprove the claim or prove that LCA is better, gets better marks, and vice versa. And that goes for everything else too. But that’s just me and my opinion and my way of living in a civilised society, be it the virtual or real society. Having said so, I must admit that I have only learnt through experience and did fall prey to flame-baiting on many an ocassion.

    in reply to: Pakistan Air Force II #2425495
    vikasrehman
    Participant

    Another pathetic discussion goes on.

    Mods…please.

    vikasrehman
    Participant

    This thread is getting PATHETICALLY stupid now. And all because of the usual mine is bigger than yours syndrome, or I must have one up you.

    I hope mods do put a stop to this nonsense and ASAP.:mad:

    in reply to: Pakistan Air Force II #2425533
    vikasrehman
    Participant

    It time to calm down guys.:)

    What India & Pakistan do vis-a-vis each other is up to them. What US/China/Russia do to balance their relations with India & Pakistan is up to them. As Samsara pointed out, there is no doubt that US/Ind interests coincide sharply now. It for two simple reasons; China & Market access. Everything else including the talk of democrarcy & shared values is nothing but talk. If there are no major shifts in current geostrategic balance, US/Ind relations would only get stronger which would inevitably make China/Pak relations become stronger & stronger. It is Chinese & US interests that would drive Ind & Pak future foreign policies & not the other way round. In simple words, it is China and US who are the big daddies in their respective relations with Ind & Pak, and not the other way round.

    Therefore, this talk of what India/Pak can buy from US or what they can deny each other is pure nonsensical. Period.

    in reply to: Pakistan Air Force II #2425629
    vikasrehman
    Participant

    None of them are game changers and the next generation of most of these are available to India if she chooses to buy them. India will always be able to buy better.

    And no one is denying that India could get better. But does that really matter when one takes into consideration the whole Pak/Ind situation?

    in reply to: Pakistan Air Force II #2425631
    vikasrehman
    Participant

    At this moment Pakistan don’t have a good BVRAAM, a few number of 4th generation fighters and some negligible SAM! It will take few hours for IAF to take control of the sky.

    Unlikely. They could achieve air superiority, but it would take them longer than a few hours.

    The new gap created the IAF is indigenous and no country gives any other such capabilities, like complete net centric warfare, own GPS, anti-missile systems, hypersonic missile, array of electro-optical and radar satellites etc etc… What will be PAF’s answer to these?

    Pakistan has tried to maintain a minimum credible detterance ability, and their new acquisitions show that. A lot of these Indian capabilities exist on paper only for the time being, and who knows when they would materialise. As for Pakistan, they would try to maintain their minimum credible detterance ability, and I assume they would seek the help of their chinese counterparts in this regard.

    Thats why I mentioned about EFT, Rafale, Su-30MK or F-18E/F. Instead of 36 J-10 if PAF could manage to buy 20 EFT or Rafale that could have been much better detterence against the IAF.

    PAF is simply taking the route it deems best. Unlike IAF PAF has to deal a lot of availability/affordability constraints, and I guess FC-20 is their logical answer. They said they would buy 36 to start with and (depending on the ground situation) the numbers might go to 150. While they could do so with FC-20, they cannot do the same thing with any western fighters because it would cost way too much. If they want more western fighters, they would simply go for more F-16s, and nothing else now.

    I will very eager to know some more details from any link/source. NCW needs lots of resources. Example…

    Usman Shabir has posted info. regarding this on PakDef. I will try to dig out the relevant posts.

    in reply to: Pakistan Air Force #2425868
    vikasrehman
    Participant

    Please post your comments in the new thread.

    http://forum.keypublishing.co.uk/showthread.php?t=96702

    vikasrehman
    Participant

    http://www.mmail.com.my/content/23425-no-new-jets-till-2015
    No new jets till 2015
    MARHALIM ABAS
    Thursday, December 31st, 2009

    KUALA LUMPUR: The government is not expected to allocate funds for a new multi-role combat aircraft (MRCA) until 2015 or beyond.

    Local defence analyst Isaak Zulkarnaen told The Malay Mail that due to the economic crisis, the government was not expected to have enough funds for the MRCA programme, that would easily cost more than RM2 billion.

    He said the Defence Ministry was expected to be allocated with not more than RM5 billion under the 10th Malaysian Plan (RMK10) that was to be tabled in July next year.

    “The allocation is not adequate to pay for other more important projects, including the Nuri replacement programme, the navy’s NGPV second batch and the army’s 8X8 replacement programme,” he said yesterday.

    He was asked to comment on former prime minister Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad’s posting in his blog that urged the government to reconsider the decision to retire the Royal Malaysian Air Force MiG-29N Fulcrum fleet next year.

    Dr Mahathir said it would be cheaper for the government to refurbish the MiGs than spend more money in procuring new jet fighters.

    Isaak said talk on Malaysia procuring new fighters was more speculative than factual.

    “As far as we understand, it was more towards getting industry players excited about our defence shows, although not many were fooled by statements made about the MRCA during the Langkawi International Maritime and Aerospace Exhibition (LIMA) in Langkawi recently. Industry players were aware that the air force priorities in the near future were helicopters and other assets.

    “Furthermore, the air force is still absorbing its newly acquired Sukhoi Su-30MKM MRCA into service. They will be busy for the next five years at least.”

    At LIMA, Defence Minister Datuk Seri Dr Ahmad Zahid Hamidi had said that a firm decision on the MRCA might be made soon, probably utilising the budget from the RMK10 (2011-2015) or the 11th Malaysia Plan.

    He said this in reference to a projected procurement and development funding of RM7 billion for the entire defence and security sector under the RMK10, for which more than RM5 billion was being sought specifically for the defence industry.

    RMAF took delivery of 18 MiG-29N in 1995 under a RM1.3 billion package. Two MiGs crashed in 1998 and 2005, respectively, leaving only 16 jets operational.

    However, rising operational and maintenance costs, to the tune of RM260 million a year, as the jets have exceeded their life-span limit of 10 years, led the ministry to hasten its retirement to the end of next year.

    in reply to: Pakistan Air Force II #2425878
    vikasrehman
    Participant

    Following is the last post from the previous thread;

    Originally Posted by Rajan
    I read up your post well now most of your claims are not available and 180 degree opposite to the real world truth. Here we mean by source is a link of article/news, not like what someone tells in another forum!

    First there is nothing like J-10 with AESA, now you are talking about PAF going to have J10 with AESA! Is there any deal with China for J-10 with AESA? I fear even they don’t have one for themselves!

    CAT1…What exactly is 180 degree of ‘real world truth’??
    As for your precious source – for PAF FC20 with AESA in 2014-15 — If you bothered to read previous posts – you would know that I have given exact issue of AFM to go read along with the recent book by Alan Warnes on Pakistan Airforce which contains extensive interviews – when another member queried about exact location of said interviews. I have said that this is in 2 interviews with the then Cheif of Air Staff and detailed exactly where to find the interviews – written up by proffessional a reputable sources — what else would you like from me in the way of ‘source’ – do you want me to buy the book and Afm issue for you and hand deliver it?? Or are you expecting me to scan and link copyright material on the forum of the company who’s copyright I would be breaching?? Given your deep interest in the PAF I would have thought you would already have the book and issue of AFM in question– No? If not very easy to buy online.

    As for there being nothing like J10 with AESA — as I told you before – please come out of the darkness. Even basic aviation magazines have featured internet sourced J10B pictures and said that the nose looks to have been redesigned to house AESA. Tell you what – google ‘J10B AESA’ and see what results you get — lets see if your views change after that little exercise. Good Luck.

Viewing 15 posts - 361 through 375 (of 1,386 total)