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  • in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2175633
    FBW
    Participant

    So Maths looks harder for you than for me… so tell me which part you didn’t get instead of trying to escape. 6 billion for 24 F18 or 9 billion for 36 Rafale. Please tell us how much it is different.

    If you don’t get why the various contracts Australia has signed since 2007 regarding the SH differ from the current contract being negotiated between India and France, I cannot help you. I just pointed out that your comparison is wrong, most who read what you wrote and understand contracts will understand that your premise is flawed. You can either accept it, or continue to repeat a (frankly) stupid notion.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2175670
    FBW
    Participant

    WTF are you on? 6 bn for 24 planes translates almost exactly to 9 bn for 36 planes.

    Nic

    I’ll break it down as simple as I can:
    Australia paid 2.3-2.7 billion for 24 aircraft with spares, support, and training
    They also added sustainment contracts (read EXTRA)

    Total estimated costs for purchase, and sustainment until 2021: AU 4.2 billion
    https://www.anao.gov.au/work/performance-audit/management-australias-air-combat-capability-%E2%80%94-fa-18-hornet-and-super-hornet

    The Rafale contract is 8.8 billion for 36 aircraft, some spares and weapons, and offsets in the form of ToT.
    The total cost for India’s 36 Rafale: (initial contact 8.8 billion with value added for ToT+ follow-on sustainment contracts=?)
    In other words, there will be follow on contracts between India and France for sustainment of the Rafale. If you wanted to compare contracts with the SH:

    The FMS contract for 2.3 Billion for 24 aircraft vs 8.8 Billion for 36 aircraft (both contracts including initial spares, O&S costs), the Rafale contract adding tech transfers and some weapons.

    Is that a fair comparison? No, it doesn’t take into account the value added from ToT, inflation, hundreds of other variables. But what is completely clear is that Australia’s purchase of the F-18 E/F was not comparable to the Indian Rafale contract. That is not making claims about which one is cheaper or more expensive- the contracts are not the same, period.

    Edit- ha! In my pointing out Ezco’s mistake, I went and made my own. The non-comparison I used should read 3.7 billion for 24 aircraft under the FMS. The initial 24 aircraft for 2.3 billion was a commercial sale.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2175689
    FBW
    Participant

    If you quote my post please make the effort to read it. Then if it doesn’t look so clear, read it again. And if it is still unclear please tell me which part I could explain better, or I can not make it more simple for you.

    Understood it perfectly. You got butt hurt because you made a claim that the Australian SH deal was comparable to the Rafale contract. I corrected your misinformation. In no way are the costs close, nor are the deals similar (btw, in saying this, I’m not implying that the Rafale is expensive, or the deal is a poor value).

    You can break it down as simply as you choose, when you start with a flawed premise everything else you state to defend it or deflect criticism is flawed too.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2175714
    FBW
    Participant

    So basically you do your cry baby just to confirm I am true. It is the same range of price knowing there are no offset in Australia, that it is not an initial batch but an additional order, and that at the end, the Rafale is one Gen ahead of the F18.

    Math is hard…. Look at the FMS contracts 2.3 Billion for 24 aircraft, spares, support for initial contract. 3.7 billion for for 24 aircraft with: http://www.dsca.mil/major-arms-sales/australia-fa-18ef-super-hornet-and-ea-18g-growler-aircraft. Or 9 Billion for 36 aircraft with offsets in the form of ToT, some weapons and support. Or are you assuming that the 8.8 billion dollar contract will be the only one signed between France and India in regard to operating those 36 aircraft?

    Of course I will change my mind if you give me the number of spare engines, the training costs, the support costs, the weapon package, the induction costs, and if at the end of this calculation you show me a unit price of 250million per Rafale.
    But I guess I will wait a long time to get this info isn’t it ?

    Not sure why you are talking to me about 250 million a pop price for Rafale, I never said it. What is obvious from the above? The price the Aussies paid for the initial procurement, spares, support were in no way even remotely close to this contract.

    So you were wrong, as usual.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2175757
    FBW
    Participant

    The price paid by Indians is nothing else than standard price, same range than the F18 price Australians are obliged to pay due to delay with their F35. They got a good offset claus in addition. So at the end it is a good deal for them and a good deal for france.
    I guess a big part of the Indian deal will be paid with UK taxpayer money anyway, so who cares.

    What are you smoking? The Australian F-18 E/F contract is expected to be in the range of 4.5-6 billion for the 24 aircraft with all the FMS training and support/logistics for the initial decade of use. Remember, FMS estimates are usually high and are revised lower as needed.
    (2.3 billion for the initial FMS: aircraft, spares, training, 1.5 billion support/logistics contract + several separate weapon, decoy, 0&S contracts since 2007.)

    Here was the 2013 FMS contract proposal for additional F-18:
    http://www.dsca.mil/major-arms-sales/australia-fa-18ef-super-hornet-and-ea-18g-growler-aircraft
    3.7 billion for 12 F-18 E/F, 12 Growler with the following additions: 6 spare engines, 35 radars, 80 JHMCS, on and on.

    Or the 2015 FMS sustainment contract here: http://www.dsca.mil/major-arms-sales/australia-fa-18ef-super-hornet-and-ea-18g-growler-aircraft-sustainment

    FBW
    Participant

    He’s right, in a way.. The morale and stamina of Iraqi soldiers depend on how loyal they feel towards the leadership. They were fighting bravely under Saddam back in the 80s, but much less so in GW1 and GW2. Under the “new” leadership their performance has been outright abysmal which points at severe lack of trust in their new government.

    There was an ebb and flow to the performance of the Iraqi military even during the Iran-Iraq war. General consensus was that the average Iraqi soldier fought better on defense (especially on their own territory), the defense of Basra being a good example. The Iraqi army was never really able to mount a successful large scale offensive other than the set piece actions like the second battle of al-Faw. Most of the successes on offense were attributed to the Republican Guard.

    I would argue that some element of the Republican Guard also fought well in GW1 & GW2. The Tawakalna Division stood their ground against an entire armored corps, thought the efficacy of their defense could be debated. In other words, their most highly trained units attempted to fight despite: serious C3 deficiencies, no control of airspace, outdated doctrine.

    in reply to: Indian Air Force Thread 20 #2175785
    FBW
    Participant

    Remove the 50% offsets and you fall to 150 mil / Plane. With support, weapons & infrastructure it’s not nearly as expensive anymore.

    Nic

    Not how offsets work. Your assuming that the 50% offsets double the cost of the contract. Considering that what the IAF is looking for is both : a platform and some of the associated technology. Without the details on what type, and what specific offsets are included other than some value associated with tech transfers, it would be near impossible to parse exactly how much of this contract is associated only with procurement of the aircraft.

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2176962
    FBW
    Participant

    As we have a former JTAC on the forum, it would be interesting to hear his opinion on the ordnance and platforms used for CAS. As we also have statistics from the last 12 years of conflict to research, it is interesting to see sorties by platform and total ordnance dropped in Afghanistan and Iraq (hint: the A-10 is not in the top three).

    in reply to: USAF not F-35 thread #2177260
    FBW
    Participant

    https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/next-generation-jammer-moves-into-1b-development-ph-424173/

    NGJ entering EMD phase. NGJ likely to enter service in 2021 with initial mid-band capabilities. Seven years from contract award to IOC. There has to be some inroads into making development and procurement more agile and timely, specifically in EW/Cyber warfare arena.

    in reply to: Weight waiver for Navy jets? #2177910
    FBW
    Participant

    I will be going down to Pensacola this August to begin Navy flight school as an SNFO. I am not currently qualified for jets because I do not meet the minimum weight requirement for an ejection seat. However, I was told by a LT that it may be possible to obtain a weight waiver as long as I weigh over 100 pounds (which I do). Does such a waiver exist? Do I need to wait until I get to Pensacola to talk to the medical staff there or is there something I can do now to go ahead and get the ball rolling?

    Also, do they take your weight WHILE WEARING all flight equipment to determine whether you’re qualified or not? Or do they use your normal weight?

    Last time I looked, NACES had a 136lbs nude body weight “safe ejection” envelope. The MK. 16 has a wider range 103-245lbs but has a temporary restriction in place on the F-35C.

    I could not tell you if the wavier would allow you into the strike fighter pipeline, as the T-45 also has a 136lbs nude body weight requirement.

    in reply to: SAAB Gripen and Gripen NG thread #4 #2177923
    FBW
    Participant

    I recall some years ago that SAAB said Gripen E was expected to be cheaper to build than Gripen C, due to the lower cost of the F414 engine to be used in the Gripen E. If that is still the case, Gripen E may cost closer to $50 million than $100 million. Of course whether the flyaway cost of the aircraft is $60 million or $70 million or $80 million has only a minor bearing on the overall cost of procuring and operating the type.

    No, so far the two statements coming from Swedish AF, and the Swiss officials have put the unit cost at 90-100 million. This was stated before the Brazil contract was signed so cost estimates may be revised lower as production ramps up. Fifty million dollars in FY2016 will not get you a new Gripen C (roughly 58 million circa 2012), F-16 Block 50/52 (roughly 67 million in 2016), or any other western fighter.

    Addition- Even the used Tranche 1 EF offered by Spain were in the 60+ million range.

    FBW
    Participant

    At the risk of falling to cliches. Each other.

    Both organisations need to secure funding from a finite pot. (And that’s not a problem for democratic nations only)

    .

    Well said, that and Congress. Since 1990, Congress might be the US militaries worse opponent: stretching out development, adding requirements, constantly pushing acquisition programs to the right, acting outranged when programs suffer a Nunn-McCurdy breach after procurement is reduced.

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2179091
    FBW
    Participant

    http://www.defensenews.com/story/defense/air-space/2016/04/07/air-force-moving-forward–10-replacement/82746220/

    So it seems they are moving forward with “finding an A-10 replacement” — does this mean they have scrapped the plans of replacing A-10 with F-35?

    That is the very quiet sound of the USAF killing the A-10, without saying it before congress. There are some very influential members of congress blocking the A-10 retirement. The A-X requirement will go out, proposals will be drawn up, the A-10 will be retired on the strength of those proposals. And…..
    Not to say that the USAF wouldn’t be happy field a new CAS platform that is low cost/low risk just as soon as Congress finds the money.

    in reply to: F-35 News and discussion (2016) take III #2179383
    FBW
    Participant

    New report on second line of defense on F-35 entering combat force.Disclaimer-be aware who and what sldinfo.com is and about. But for those interested:
    http://www.sldinfo.com/a-new-special-report-the-f-35-arrives-into-the-combat-fleet/

    Have to enter you e-mail to read full report. Will summarize any interesting points later.

    in reply to: Eurofighter Typhoon discussion and news 2015 #2179516
    FBW
    Participant

    Exactly. There’s nothing to suggest that the FMS contract signed with LM was restricted to the same parameters* as what was evaluated under the scrapped competition (the size of the acquisition was different for starters). Which is why its a mistake to interpret the deal to mean you could have bought 60 EFs for the cost of 40 F-35As (even without factoring in subsequent drops in its price).

    That was exactly my point as well, in the initial rounds of bidding none of the competitors could meet the 60 aircraft for 7+ billion ( I’ve seen 7.5, 7.7 Billion). Boeing and EADS were able to modify the terms of the bids in ways not possible with the FMS bid from Lockheed. Most likely, reductions in some aspect of support offered. FMS contracts tend to look expensive, but considering they are all inclusive and guaranteed, they are popular.

    @ Sintra:123.8 mil to be exact. Talk with the DAPA chaps, their numbers not mine. It will all depend on whats on the contract. In 2009 the Eurofighter partners payed roughly 8 billion us$ for 112 aircrafts and 241 engines.

    126-128 million (tough to round off 700 million to 500 million). That very well, may be. That is not what a new operator set to buy the Typhoon is going to pay. Basically, without knowing what was in the bid, the Boeing and EADS bids could have been bare bones offers that would have required additional contracts for supporting the F-15 or Typhoon.

    Moreover, when you look at the contracts and anticipated contracts for the Rafale and Typhoon in the Middle East and India, you see deals that look very similar to FMS contracts as that is what some customers prefer. And the costs of those contracts are considerable as shown by recent news.

Viewing 15 posts - 1,921 through 1,935 (of 2,935 total)