mig21 with chin intake is very old. The Russian did tested it long before F16… So it is now potential? What is next? J10 could be replaced by delta mig21? The fc1 is movign beyond the mig21 limitations. Returning back to only money issue is not the best comparisation.
get a grip man.
the J7MF is plausable, and it has its merits. the J7 can be futher modified even beyound the MF, but again, whether or not it should be done will depend on the cost v benefits, not on the personally taste of individuals. but frankly, i dont really see much merit with J7 mod beyond the MF.
“In addition, China’s Xian production facility has taken delivery of components for 95 Su-27SK fighters for a combined total, to date, of 273 platforms.”
but arent the J11s being assembled by SAC in shenyang?
>>>i’m not arguing about the superiority of the FC1 in the long term, just wondering about its practicality.
In the long term ythe fc1 has more options to upgrade. I think you know that there has been no plane in the word that has been tested is so many configurations like the mig21. Look at :
http://www.suchoj.com/andere/MiG-21/galerie.shtml
It is basic an engine with small cockpit, small wings… The idea was to get maximum out of the engine. Compared to that respect the Fc1 is more modular. There is room for modular parts from any producer. While the mig21 has little room for that. It might be tested design but at the moment one cannot make much more then Russian mig21-93 or the Israeli Lancer version. Adding bigger radar or more avionics isn’t going to be easy on a plane that was to be a manned engine. It is like adding more and more weight to a suposed to be light weight superiority fighter… The basic design is making that restricted…
:confused: didnt you just quote me saying that im not arguing about the long term advanatges of the FC1 over another J7 derivative? im just not quite convinced that the PLAAF can afford to buy the FC1 in the numbers they need them in without having to make cut backs on the high end J10s and flankers, hence why the MF might be considered a better short term choice.
as for the question of whether the Mig21 has any more upgrade potential, well the J7MF clearly shows that there is still some left. but the question being posed is whether the gains justify the costs (in terms of money and time).
Hmmm …. interesting JH-7 & JH-7A pictures …. but I have just one question regarding the radome-colours !
If I’m not wrong the newer production “standard” JH-7’s are getting the light-grey painted radomes … but why not the new production JH-7A’s ????
Deino :confused:
firstly, im not quite sure if JH7s are still being made now that the JH7As are ready.
there might be a number of reasons for the disparity in radome colours. it could be that some of the old JH7s are being used to try out a new colour scheme (hence the brand new look); it could be that there is a time lag in the release of some of the photos, so perhaps the shot of the JH7A with the green dome was taken before the new grew scheme was implemented…etc.
RD-33 series 3 currently produces 9.3 ton thrust. Russia intend to upgrade it into 11 to 12 Ton class VK-45. So engine wise FC-1 has up potential if Russia allows it. Add to this FADEC, FBW, F-16D style square spine(for EW suite), wings, Full Glass Cockpit with 3 MFD, night vision googles, IRST, FLIR pod, large nose for bigger Radar which includes SAR resolution , reduce RCS design, 1553,1760 Databus for avionics and weopons, the price quikly climbs it.
even F-7PG which has nothing like these costs $5M. $12 to $13M price for FC-1 is nothing short of miracle.
well so far the FC1 dont have things like F-16D style square spine(for EW suite), night vision googles, IRST, FLIR pod, large nose for bigger Radar which includes SAR resolution, etc. so i dont think this should influence the cost yet. remeber that the FC1 is a ‘plug and play’ kinda machine, and you can make it very complicated (hence expansive), or keep it fairly basic. i suspect the $13m price tag is at the low end of the pricing spectrum.
also, i seem to recall reading somewhere that the PGs only cost around $2~3m. the $5m price might have resulted from the PAF putting all those western kit on them (grifo radar, martine baker ejection seats etc). again with the FC1, you dont have to put western kit on. chinese equipment will be much cheaper, but might not be quite as good.
I can see what you’re saying. But the thing is, a J-7MF is an additional investment when you ALREADY invested funds on the FC-1. It’s not a question whether the F-7MF is cheaper than the FC-1; its an issue that the FC-1’s funds had already been spent and allocated and you’re still spending developing another fighter on top of that.
There are so many advantages on the J-7MF. The J-7E has been very popuilar with the PLAAF pilots (some prefer to fly it over the J-11). It’s also a strong sentimental favorite. The logistics is there. The manufacturing infrastructure is there. You can use a domestic engine like the Kunlun on it.
But you are also initiating another expensive development cycle. The plane might take another at least three years before it can enter service. You’re spending money on top of what you already spent on the FC-1.
I also mentioned the J-7s are short legged and the payload is small, which hinders them against a Taiwan scenario.
At best, the J-7MF is yet another balm, a short term solution, and a little too late for that too. If it was ten years ago it would still be okay. You’re spending resources on a short term solution. In contrast the FC-1 still has more development legs—it can still be lightened and strengthened by using more composite sections for example. The latest RD-33 variants can go up over 9,000kg, even 10,000kg, which means the RD-93 can follow the same development path. Compare to the R-13/R-25/WP-13/Kunlun class of turbojets whose development potential is almost exhausted and is a certain dead end. You won’t get much more power from an engine of that size and diameter, and being a turbojet, you can’t be as economical as a turbofan.
J-8F will be materially more expensive but again, its development funds has already been consumed, and the plane appears almost available for use without consuming more development resources and cash.
very good points, and i supose the unit cost will come down significantly if the PLAAF also decides to buy it.
but even then the cost might be a little too high, and the PLAAF might be forced to take on more J7Gs to beef up the numbers, which is huge waste of resources in the long run.
i’m not arguing about the superiority of the FC1 in the long term, just wondering about its practicality.
On the other hand I’m not sure what’s the logic and the benefit of a souped up Fishbed based platform going against the best the West can offer. Even the FC-1’s chances on the PLAAF is still a fifty-fifty.
but would the FC1 stand a better chance? the problem with the current J11-J7 makeup is that when faced with a capable oppenent, your J7s can only contribute by getting within WVR to engage the enemy while your J11s take all the enemy BVR fire in the maintime.
with the FC1/J7MF, you have a hell of a lot more BVR platforms, which will help to take some of the pressure off your best fighters so they can have a chance to perform and not just get overwhelmed straight away; also, the bulk of your fighters can also get into the flight quicker, giving you an edge in terms of numbers.
in that scenario, the FC1 dont appear to be that much better off then the J7MF provided the J7 can hold a radar the same size as that of the FC1.
the advanatge of having the MF is that it can also open up a new possibilty of getting both the J7MF and J7G without putting that much extra strain on logistics.
having yet another Mig21 derivative might seem dull and somewhat backward, i agree. i would love to see the PLAAF take the FC1 in large numbers and make many mods to them. but i am just not sure if they can afford it.
Yeah I saw an article in the WMF that made mention of so called J-7MF flights.
Also it’s not the J-7E but the J-7G. I think what PLAAF is trying to do is save as much funds to buy as many J-10s and Flankers as possible.
Problem of J-7 is that they’re a tactical handicap. In a Taiwan scenario you need range and loiter time, and short legs ain’t good enough for an offensive role. FC-1 has a more efficient engine than a J-7 thanks to its turbofan, which is a reason why the type can be considered. It also has a higher payload rating (3800kg vs. 1000-2000kg for a MiG-21 type) so you can carry more external fuel tanks and bomb loads.
Overall you can see right off, the FC-1 is a more versatile design. You get a greater range envelope and more payload possibilities.
yeah, good points, but at 14m or so, one really has to wonder if the PLAAF can afford to use the FC1 as its main workhorse and still be able to fulfil its high end commitments of flankers and J10s. and it will be an even greater waste of resources to have two or more low end fighters (FC1, J7G, J8II) as well as two or more high end fighters (J10, J11, J8H) serving in one AF at the same time!
if the PLAAF goes for the J7G, then they can have an AF of roughly the same size as if they went for the FC1, but have a higher percentage of J10s and flankers in that force because of the lower prices of the J7s.
it will ultimately depend on a weighing or risks and an assessments of how confident the PLAAF and PLANAF feels about their top fighters. if the PLA feels that it wont loose that many of its top end fighters in the fight for the skies over taiwan (ie, enough will be left to be able to effectively take advantage of its air superiority by bombing ground targets), then i think they would go for the J7Gs. if they feel they need to throw everything but the kitchen sink, then i supose the FC1 will be a better choice.
even then one has to wonder about the usefullness of the FC1, as i dont really see how they will be likely to have a decisive effect on the conflict if the PLA’s best fighters (along with its best pilots) have already been shot out of the sky.
quote afm mag july 2004 interview Alan Warnes with ACM Kaleem Sadat:
“I think we willl buy the Chinese J-10 aircraft, although we have not signed a contract- it is a good aircraft and not too expensive when compared to western aircraft.”
There are rumours that PAF has finished French avionics for J10 if they buy it. Don’t make the J10 holy. It is more expensive then Fc1 which is indeed more expensive then those F7… But they all together are still cheaper then any western plane. Chill. And if you prefer upgrading the cheapest F7 over and over again… You will never able to compete…
well a few lines down, the PAF commander also said they wont get the J10 anytime soon. it is something for the future, while the PAF is concentrating their funds on the FC1 for now.
as for upgrading the J7. well if what huitong says is true and the MF wont be built, then that’ll be a shame, as i think the PLAAF might now prefer to use the J7E to beef up its numbers (instead of the MF) while saving most of their funds for buying and upgrading the J11s/MKKs and J10s. the FC1, IMHO wont be bought in any significant numbers unless the PLANAF shows serious interest. but even then it’ll be hard for CAC to get large sales as the navy’s budget would be already streched with all the new ships and subs they are buying and by the JH7/JH7A and MK2s.
this will mean that the mainstay of the PLAAF will most likely still be non-BVR capable dogfighters for the next 10 or 15 years. 🙁
Exposing fc1 is not the problem Pretty much sure that more high tech J10 will be offered to others. The problems is that China needs to compete with EF2000, Gripen. Rafale etc. Maybe they came a long way but this field is about getting further then others. I don’t think even J10 has passed those opponents. Why bother over the low tech part of that team?
a) the J10 has not been sold yet, so its hard to say at this point whether the J10 will be offered for export soon. even if it is eventually offered (which it most likely will), we are talking about 5~10 years time frame. plenty of time for new versons of the J10 to be developed, hence the export verson will not represent the full capacities of the plane, giving you a safety margine.
on the other hand, the FC1 is being offered for export even before the PLAAF has placed any orders. and with the way things are going, if the PLAAF orders them, they will be lucky to get their planes at the same time as the export customers. this means that the data comerically available will be fully up to date, and it has to stay that way if CAC wants to continue selling the FC1 abroad.
b) china has never tried to compete with the likes of EF, Gripen and Rafale etc, so im not sure what point you are making there. china is currently competing against the likes of Mig29s and earlierish blk F16s and M2Ks for orders. even then it is competing with value for money as opposed to superior capacity (might change if the J10 comes on the market). if the J7MF has the same or better flight charateristics and TWR as the J7E and can hold a radar the size of the FC1’s, then at half the price, i would go for the MF in a heartbeat.
i suspect the PLAAF is holding a similar view, and whether they go for the FC1 or J7MF might depend on the results of a head-to-head fly-off. i think it makes sense. its always good to have competition. if the fly-off shows that the MF is only slightly less capable or even just as capable as the FC1, then that’ll save the PLAAF a hell of alot of money as the winner will most likely become the workhorse for the PLAAF for the next 20 years. if the MF turns out to be a bag of hot air, well all you ‘wasted’ is a couple mil on the prototypes. weight the potential gains from the potential loses and it looks like a good deal.
Now here is a big one for the rumor mill! 😀
According to a post on the Chinese-language forum WMF, the first J-7MF prototype (nicknamed the “Fire Unicorn”) just left plant recently. Prototype TWO and THREE are in assembly.
Theoritically, this doesn’t make sense for Chengdu because they will have two products for the same space.
But for the PLAAF, it is a good solution with a cheap BVR plane fitted with a homemade turbojet to replace all those J-6s. The J-7FM is supposed to be around $5 to 7 mln. That’s half the price of a FC-1.
To be taken with a heavy shaker of salt 😀
well, theoretically, it could make sense if the PLAAF has expressly stated to CAC that they will not buy the FC1 (or will not buy any more then is needed to fullfill the agreement with pakistan, if it still stands). there might be a number of reasons for this, ranging from cost to security issues since the PLAAF might not like to have the flight charateristics and limitations of its future workhorse exposed for all to see before it even enters PLAAF service.
if that is indeed the case and the FC1 is for exports only, then CAC might as well go for the FM to try to get a bite out of the potentially huge PLAAF ‘pie’.
flogger, i dont know you, but your credibility is not being helped by you recent string of replies.
i have read the jane’s report and no way can anyone with even adequit knowledge of the english language describe its meaning as ‘clear as water’ (it also doesnt help to have two apparent versons of the same report). aside from the already raised issue of what janes meant by ‘it’ (FD60 or LY60), there is also the issue of just what China National Machinery Import & Export actually said to janes. did they just confirm the development history of the missile or did they also give the range figures? when faced with such a problem, people usually try to find alternative sources of information to try to prove or disprove one argument or another.
while everyone else has been doing that, you seem totally content to just sit on this unclear report and claim that it is fact even when you yourself acknowledge the possibilty that it could be wrong. instead you insist on getting conformation or denial from a source, while unquestionable in its credability, has never in its history made any such comments of such detail about weapons systems. to me, that is not the actions of an objective observer trying to find the truth.
just in case i am wrong and you are interested in the truth (which i now doubt), lets have a look at the other sources of information available, shall we?
1) almsot all sources agree that the PL11 is based on Aspide/AIM7 tech, so it would be logical to assume that the range of the former is at least compareable to the later.
2) china has also developed a BVR AAM of similar dimentions (SD10), so it would be logical to assume that the range of the PL11 should be compareable to that.
3) we know the range of the SAM verson missile (LY60) on which the FD60 (and where did anyone say the FD60 is the PL11?) is based (18km), we also know the converson critera of missile ranges from surface launched to air launched via the sparrow and sea sparrow, so we should be able to deduce a fairly accurate range for the FD60 based on that.
none of the above would even suggest that the PL11’s range is anywhere near as low as janes gave for it, and i cant think of any logical theories as to why the missile’s range would be that low, and unless you can, i would really have to question whether you yourself truthly believe the PL11 only has a range of 25km.
dont think anyone is likely to express interest in a BVR J7 now that the FC1 is up and flying.
got anything in english? 😮
Indeed you are right but sens as me contrary to Crobato have the same numbers it`s obvious that two people without knowing each other that have read the same numbers for the the Su-15 are the ones who are right.
I can give links and i will do it but if you have a Thrust to Weight Ratio of .92 and a max take off weight very similar and the WP-13 and R-13-300 are the same engine, also both fighter have a very similar aerodymanic configuration so how can you say both fighters have different performance?in fact the J-8II initial climb rate is 224m/s and the Su-15 is 229m/s, the J-8II is said to be able to sustain 6.9Gs and the Su-15 6.5Gs, also there are different and contradictory reports about the J-8II`s performance some people say the G limits for the J-8II are +8, -3 Gs in the J-8IIM and +7, -3Gs in the J-8II others say the J-8II`s initial rate of climb is 200m/s
come on, you should know that there might be any number of reasons as to why two people may both have the wrong set of numbers. for example, you two (and many others) might have gotten the info from a magazine or website that itself got it wrong (and thats not uncommon, with even the likes of Janes and AFM making such mistakes in the past); there might have various sets of numbers floating around (as with the J8s) with few knowing which is the right one; there might be different numbers for different versons or blocks…
the best way to settle such an argument is to give a link to the source or name the magazine you got the info from.