Emotions aside, PAF in current state stands no chance against IAF. Infact IAF can engage PAF while staying in their own territory; thanks to their foresightedness of acquiring BVR. They dont even have to bring MKI or MiG29 into action, Bison fleet will be sufficient to finish off most of the PAF’s flying relics. PAF will pay for its negligence for not acquiring any kind of BVR system. Even BVR capable J-8 would be better than WVR capable F-16s. But PAF’s top brass’s unrealistic passion for western technology has brought PAF to a point of simple impotancy. PAF will eventually reap what it has sown.
I did write a long thought piece about this in a long gone thread but it is far more complicated then you see it, no offence meant. We need to look at the tactical situation of both air forces before we draw a clear conclusion.
It is correct to point out that at this moment the IAF has a general advantage over the PAF at this point but that wasn’t always the case. Historically the PAF has always been the most effective wing of the Pakistani armed forces with a general technical advantage in equipment through to the 1980’s over the IAF. It wasn’t negligent of the PAF in not having a BVR capability up to the 1980’s they didn’t really need one as their main rival the IAF was also a WVR force. The PAF was mainly a defensive force and the IAF had to come to them to engage them in combat. Unfortunately their main supplier of advanced weapon systems America took away their support and India upgraded to a BVR capability by the 1990’s. China was in no position at the time to provide a suitable BVR missile system.
There was nothing that Pakistan could do about this situation in the short term; this is the main reason for the pushing of the JF-17 program. In the late 90’s it was the only project on the table that might give the PAF a BVR capability. Of course the situation has changed now and AMRAAM is on the table along with an AEW capability. Whilst the PAF is waiting for these new capabilities their main combat tactic at the moment is to avoid any BVR missile volley and get to the merge.
Certainly within the PAF high command I would expect a certain degree of realism, they know they are not a match for the IAF at the moment they just don’t have the capability to truly penetrate Indian air space to any degree. The main roll of the PAF is to defend their air space and act as a deterrent. There plans would be to cause enough damage to give the Indian government pause for thought or even allow time for deployment of nuclear weapons.
For the IAF we often see in the context of the rivalry with Pakistan but they have other problems strategically. Namely China that has an ever growing regional presence with a virtually bottomless defence budget, Indian defence procurement has to be in the context of balancing China’s power in the region. In relation to Pakistan both countries operate under the concept of MAD with both sides capable of some kind of nuclear response.
Well these are my thoughts on the matter.
just to correct one thing, Luhai is actually 051B.
168, the first 052B, actually made an around the world deployment last year. And Sov, 054 made a port call to Vladivostok this year. But 171 is definitely a step up, since it’s the most advanced destroyer in service. Although to be fair, it has been around for 3 or 4 years now. Only 054A have yet to make any kind of long range deployments, although it did join up with 054 and 138 when they were coming back from Vladivostok. In fact, it created China fear mongering reports from the Japanese media.
I know, actually I corrected Lawrence about that in the previous thread which I deleted.
I get a feeling that the PLAN are still playing with the basic 054 design, I certainly think it will form the backbone of the fleet replacing the various 053 variants in service.
turns out the publishing date for that article is 1987..that must be the F-16 that PAF lost in what was called a fratricide incident then.
Hah! End of story then:D
Its funny how these articles from the past come up every once in a while.
Double checked, they have three L39C.
Very strange, Pakistan has one of the best fighter pilot training programs in the region and is arguably the most capable wing of the Pakistani armed forces. I will be very interested to see how this situation developed leading to a shoot down.
I wonder which aircraft of the Afghan AF shot down the F-16..not good PR for the PAF I’m afraid..:diablo:
It would be utterly humiliating…which makes it all a bit weird.
Even an older F6 would not have much trouble with whatever Afghanistan fields which I think is an L39…I will have to check. The only way they could shoot down a PAF jet if the pilot was not expecting it in straight and level flight.
My money would be more on a SAM (NOT STINGER – LONG OUT OF DATE) or AAA.
On another note does anyone know what vessel Iran has deployed to the Gulf of Aden.
I can’t find anything on any news channel.
Also I wonder how the troops the Swiss are talking about deploying will work? They have no naval boarding experience so the only thing I can think is deck parties for Swiss flagged ships.
As I said earlier I think there was a loose promiss from the Saudis of help in the event of a war. It did appear in some official publications and would usually be reported as AWACS and escorting F15.
Personally I think it was probably not much truth in the story of this promiss especially as the Saudis are hardly an expeditionary force.
Dear Diablo,
Back in the 1980s a very influential publication in Washington DC, USA, Armed Force Journal International, covered defense committee hearings and had article on those dull hearings. Most newspapers ignored those hearings. At one Senate committee hearing an Ast-Secretary of Defense was being grilled about the fact that a model company knew what the new stealth fighter F-19 looked like and held the model up. The Ast-Secretary of Defense (he was in charge of advance technologies I believe) stated to the Senator “Senator, That looks like nothing I have ever seen.” The Senator of course believed he was just being evasive. Not realizing he was tell the exact truth!
Finally, about 7 months before the first pictures of the F-117A were released I was on assignment at the Association for the US Army (AUSA) convention which is the biggest arms convention in the USA at that time. I knew another reporter by the name of Nick Nicholas and he stated he had the inside scoop from someone who had seen the stealth fighter and showed me a drawing. It looked like a turtle with wings with a lot of flat sides like a diamond. I told him, “It won’t fly Nick and a radar would pick it up in an instant!” I did not realize that that drawing with the flat sides was actually the concept and from a far distance probably looked that way.
Jack E. Hammond
BTW> The above is from memory of over 25 years of a now 60 year old man.
.
Thanks for the story Jack, most amusing.
You could still get the model kit long after the truth was revealed…also Tom Clancys Red Storm Rising made much of the F19.
At least I am not rude, arrogant and pig headed sir. Your opinion is not fact. Your opinion is simply that….opinion.
I have cited multiple statements from reputable sources like the agency developing the actual system under debate (the US Missile Defense Agency)that state that there has not been enough operationally realistic testing. I have cited government reports and congressional testimony that state that significant quantities of the technology already deployed are not mature and will not be so for a number of years. That you have consistently shown no interest in even addressing them speaks to your lack of understanding of the arguments those on the other side of the article are making.
And all you can come back with are insults and statements that you cannot prove. It works you say. it has worked you say. it will work you say. The North Korea example you cite proves that you can read but not comprehend what you read as well as you claim.
But at the end of the day you will lose this argument. Obama will do the sensible thing and kill this boondoggle. You and the NeoCons can cry all you want but it is a flawed technology that does not work as advertised.
I would hit the ignore button, I tried debating him, including him, waving an olive branch and all I got was insults. Closed mind with an “I’m always right complex”!
Actually as far as I am aware even the test missiles that the land based BMD system intercepted was only on a technicality.
It actually kept on missing until the parameters of the test program was changed to class a miss as a hit … go figure.
The USN Standard based system recently performed a successful hit from above (the weapon overshot and attacked the satellite from above so any debris would re enter safely).
If I was choosing where to put my money it would be the Laser system and the sea based intercept system.
Right now that is done with and all I see is white noise back to sensible matters.
I suppose its not that surprising but Japan now considering to deploy ships as well:
http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/12/24/japan.pirates/?iref=mpstoryview
I suppose a case of if they are doing it so are we.
Thinking about setting up a sweep stake to see who is the next navy to deploy. I bet South Korea won’t want to be left out…
No you did not, I shot down all your so called ‘reasons’.
Wrong, they chose the most modern and powerful indigenous unit in the PLAN, over and over again. If you have evidence to the contrary then please post it, it would make a pleasant change from your usual posts.
It is blatantly obvious that they sent the most modern indigenous unit in the PLAN as I have demonstrated on multiple occasions. You are perfectly welcome to your opinion but if choose to post it here you need to be able to defend it and thus far you have failed outright.
Oh well if you want to be childish fine, I tried to engage you but instead you seem to think this is a game where you in your own words “Shot down down all your reasons” believe me you didn’t as anyone can see.
I feel reel pity for you…your clearly a very sad petty person. Your back on my ignore list…I choose to no longer feed a troll. I hope in time the list of people who have you on their ignore list will reach a point where you can no longer spoil this forum. Good bye.
There is a very obvious trend as I have displayed and the dispatch of an 052C is in no way surprising. Shenzhen was for a very long time the most modern indigenous unit in the PLAN and she undertook the most foreign cruises. Now the new ships are undertaking such ships. The fact is that you can not disprove what I have identified, that is why the above quoted post was so short.
No I and others put up good reasons to disprove you in the previous now dead thread.
Let it go. We disagree its not a game of who is right or wrong. I expressed a speculative opinion which differs from yours. It is highly surprising IN MY opinion, because that differs from your opinion doesn’t make it wrong. Shenzen was unique in the PLAN’s fleet but not particularly more advanced then a number of contempory classes, she actually shared much the same technology. The good will visits were just that good will visits, I don’t think the Chinese government were particularly showing off technology rather flying the flag with a crew and ship selected for the task capable of global tours.
The general staff of the PLA have never made a big thing of showing off any kind of technology. Quite the reverse they are highly secretative about their procedures and equipment. As I said the 052b and support ship tasked make sense but the deployment of an 052c IN MY OPINION is surprising. I am allowed an opinion am I? I am more then prepared to respect your OPINION why can’t you show any respect for mine?
Now back to the thread how do people feel the PLAN ships will operate in the area? Close protection of Chinese flagged ships or a more flexible profile.
The below is a rough list of the overseas cruises undertaken by Chinese surface combatants in recent years. In many cases these cruises include visits to countries not listed. It goes witout saying that these two classes were the most modern indigenous units in the PLAN that were fully commissioned and worked up and this thus demonstrates the PLAN habit of deploying its most modern indigenous warships on its overseas cruises. The Shenxhen further reinforces this, she has visited 15 countries since joining the PLAN, more than any other unit.
052 Class (Harbin/Quingdao)
1997: First ever PLAN visit to the US
2002: First ever PLAN Global cruise
2006: Visit to Pearl Harbour
2007: First ever PLAN visit to New Zealand052B Luhai (Shenzhen)
2000: First Chinese goodwill visit to Africa
2001: First PLAN visit to Europe
2002: First planned PLAN visit to Japan cancelled
2003: 37 day cruise to Guam, Brunei and Singapore
2004+: Deep modernization and refit
2007: First PLAN visit to JapanWith this new anti-piracy mission the PLAN is once again deploying its most modern indigenous units overseas thus continuing the trend and furthering the apparent development of the South Sea Fleet as both the premier user of indigenous ships and systems and the primary power projection force in the PLAN.
Again your seeing a trend where there is no particular trend.
Sending an 052c is an unusual decision.
As I said before even with my amusing mistake…Play Nice or not at all!