Flat out wrong. Sorry. Next…
NO i am not flat out wrong, a nation with aircraft manufacturing capability can build in a non total war economy easily 2 to 5 fighter jets a month.
This is just to supply orders.
MiG and Sukhoi easily can build for russia 5-10 aircraft a month if the money is available.
however in a time of defence cuts its hard for Russia since they do not have a war economy but just Lockheed can deliver 2-4 F-16s a month and most of them for export customers
see Russia’s Sukhoi can produce up to 40 SU-35 aircraft a year – director-general (2008-07-08)
By: Interfax-AVN military news agency website © BBC , BBC Monitoring
Moscow, 7 July: Director-general of the Sukhoi company Mikhail Pogosyan expects the Russian air Force to be among the first to order new multipurpose Su-35 aircraft. “In terms of series production possibilities, we have not rigid limits We can produce 20 or 30 aircraft a year…
Lockheed martin in 2007 delivered 41 F-16s to non US air forces
see by your selfhttp://lmco.v1.myvirtualpaper.com/LM2007AnnualReport/?page=13
SO if you calculate a nation like Russia and the US can easily build 100 fighter aircraft a year
Of cause it is. After the Iraq-Iran-War no hot war did last more than some weeks and the supplies did come from supporters. 😉
Iraq since 1991 faced an embargo and the US has continued a policy of building aircraft, Iraq could not replenish its arsenal but the US can do it.
It proves my point the country building weapons always can enjoy independence longer in a war.
First of all the Indian Air Force wasn’t using Russian tactics. Secondly the Indian Air Force beat the F-15s due to numbers and ROE(remember this was an opportunity for the USAF to demonstrate why we need F-22s). This isn’t to say that Indian pilots aren’t very good(of that Flankers aren’t any good).
This still doesn’t show how proficient Chinese or Russian pilots are, so it’s a bit premature to extrapolate that information.
Any nation using russian weapons needs to base its tactics upon russian ones, because Russian equipment has some especifications and therefore these especifications are the base for a given tactic against an adversary X.
To design a tactic you have to consider what your aircraft can do and what it can not, you have to know the performance envelop of the whole system and the envelop of your rival.
You have to consider your defence network, applied to the aircraft offensive and defensive systems.
So saying an Indian Su-30MKI pilot won`t use similar tactics to a Russian Su-30 pilots is not accurate since basicly both aircraft have the same especifcations
This just shows even further how little you understand modern warfare. In todays modern war, you only get the weapons, platforms, planes, etc, that you start with. There is no speeding up assembly lines for F-35’s, J-10 etc. They are far too complex. This isn’t WWII, where you could outsource the making of a bomber to a car manufacturer. There will be NO new build attrition replacements in modern warfare. You get what you started with. Period.
Your statement only holds true in a nuclear war, however in a conventional war between two nations is not true
Well, considering the equipement and the partners that Australia trains with regularly. I personally have no doubt that pilot for pilot Australia would come out on top! As for the J-10 being more agile than a Hornet. Experience and Weapon Systems likely mean more. Again considering the Equipment and Training. I believe Australia is the superior…….of course I am talking quantitatively not numerically.
Note: Australia will not get downgraded F-35’s…………..Which, will very likely be more capable that anything China or Russia could field. At least over the next couple of decades.
Your whole statement is based upon national preferences only, when the F-15s have faced the Su-30MKI they have been beaten by Indian pilots using tactics developed from Russian and western flying tactics improved by the Indians, this means there is not such thing like always a western pilot will fly better than an Asian or Russian pilot.
The chinese are not different they will fly as well a western pilot too and they have a plus over the Indians they are flying their own equipment.
Flying your own equipment means you are flying with the best technical instruction available since your own technicians developed the machine and no secrets are witheld from you, further more the engineers recieve direct feedback by the pilots that fly the war machine and quicker modifications can be done to the aircraft so a J-10 pilot will have excellent training you can bet on it
China has very little real world experience in A2A combat. Western allies on the other hand have developed and shared tactics based upon things that are proven methods, and their pilots get more flight hours. An F-15 with the latest avionics and weapons, and support for situational awareness, flown by a western pilot, is gonna be superior more often than not. Even with all the TVC, etc…Flankers main advantage over the F-15 is in lower speed manuevering. The APG 63(v) 2,3,4 are superior to threat radars. The AIM-120C-7/D, and AIM-9X are superior to threat missiles. You can make whatever assumptions you want about pilot skill, but I know who I’d bet on.
China has developed technics based upon Russian technics, Russia has been doing war through proxy wars or by her self since 1945 too.
Vietnam was basicly instructed by Russian and chinese advisers and the same has been the wars in the rest of the world.
Rusian pilots are aware of western tactics and to prove it the Indian-American exercises proved the Su-30MKI pilots are so well trained they will beat the USAF F-15s
almost every war in the planet since 1945 has had russian versus western equipment and just a few have had western versus western equipment or Russian versus russian equipment
Australia’s F/A-18’s are being equipped with APG-73’s, AMRAAM’s, ASRAAM’s, and I believe HMD’s. That combined with better trained pilots would easily make them a match for most Flankers. That doesn’t even include the much more capable Super Hornets with APG-79 AESA Radars to be followed by the 5th Generation F-35’s. Sorry, Australia will have Air Superiority vs China for many years to come……….
Note: If, you believe first the PAK-FA will be in widespread service in just a few years. You must be drinking………….and even when it does enter service that hardly concludes it would be better than the F-22 or F-35. As a matter of fact the odds are against the latter.
How can you know the chinese are less capable and their training is inferior? how can you base that?
The Chinese Flankers also have equivalents to the AIM-120 and the R-73 is still useful, also the J-10 is very likely more agile than the F-18E, it has missiles that will give it almost a capability like the AIM-120 and AIM-9X.
Certainly it is not the most capable aircraft.
Another thing in their favour is China builds its own equipment and has the ability to use IRBMs to hit air bases and frighten the civilian population of any of her enemies
So in any hypothetical future airwar you ca not say China or India are less capable than Australia, another fact is the F-35s flown by non US forces are downgraded aircraft and in SAMs Russia and China are getting ahead of the USAF see this video
Well, Russia it not equal to the US in any sense of the word and China is further behind. As a matter of fact China best fighter is the Flanker that was provided by the Russians. Which, inturn is totally outclassed by the USAF F-22 Raptor. Sorry, but you’ve lost me here…………………
Well totally outclassed uhmmmm…. it will depend, a Su-35BM will be able to stand its own in dogfight and supercruise and its radar can give it a chance, but true the current main operational Su-27s are still only equivalents of the F-15C and F-15E, so basicly your statement its true and i agree with you.
However in terms of Australia, the F-18C is not match for the Su-30MKK or the J-10, and the F-18E is more or less in the class of the Su-30MKK and Su-30MKI.
Now since it is probable by 2014 the first PAKFAs will be available that will change the whole equation all togather.
China is slightly less capable but definitively is in the level of England and Germany since the J-10 is a Rafale or Gripen class aircraft, the JH-7 a Tornado type aircraft and the chinese also have a stealth aircraft program that perhaps will be more dormant than the Russian program and it will bear fruit perhaps at the most by 2025.
So China has reached the level of England and Germany in 2008
I doubt many believe China is matching Europe, the US, and Russia. Getting closer “yes” but that doesn’t translate to matching. As for Australia being not in China’s League. She has access to almost any US or European Weapon System she wants including such systems like the forthcoming F-35, M-1 Tanks, Super Hornets, Aegis Destroyers, Amphibious Assault Ships, etc. etc. Further, Australia works closely within the US Pacific Alliance. So, a Attack on her would be a Attack on the United States.
I agree in this point an Attack on her would be a Attack on the United States, that is totally true, therefore no nuclear power will attack Australia at this moment in time since England and the US will rescue and bail Australia.
But Technologically speaking they are not a match in terms of technology
Most of the australian weaponry is foreign, Australia does not make the F-18E niether the F-18C or the F-111, therefore as many other nations Australia is very limited to fight a war against a major power.
It the RAAF runs out of weapons needs exports to replace them or allies to base their aircraft in Australian soil, so the Australians have a compromised defence, that requieres that the currrent political situation remains the same all the time, if by any major reason it changes they are uncapable to defend themselves against a power like China or Russia that build their own weapons.
we can not foresee if the current political situation will remain the same for 40 or 50 years.
Now China has already catch up with the west and Russia. see
China at this moment can build a J-8II with most of all the components built and/or designed in China, true some components are foreign or licensed but now they can build the core systems by their own, the engine and the airframe, Australia has not a single jet aircraft made either fighter or commercial aircraft like Brazil in the E-190 or Sweden with the JAS-39 and is far far aways to a nation like Japan that builds the jets and jet engines by their own. Australia can make some aircraft but they can not match even Poland in technological level
Australian made aircraft


VS Polish made aircraft




Lol keep talking garbage, if anyone attempts any BS like “invading Australia” for no reason whatsoever, or one that’s not self-defense, it’s not going to take long for the international community to react and stop it.
Nice dreaming.
Yeah yeah yeah probably you are a prophet who can prophetisize about things that have not happen, you have already knowledge of the future uhmmm….. the future my friend is a fact no one can claim to know it very easily, what is likely now might be totally unlikely tomorrow and viceversa.
That is the reason military planners always look for possible scenarios like Carlo Kop.
What is going to happen in 20 or 40 years from now is a fact we do not know.
Now if you consider the Chinese are building aircraft Australia can not even make, they are advancing at a pace few nations are doing it and are poised to become the largest economy in Asia and in the world now you can guess why some military planenrs are worried about the pace of the modernization of their arm forces.
people will always guess possible uses for aircraft carriers if China builds them, but technologically speaking China is matching Europe, the US and Russia but Australia is not in that league.
your self knows it, that is the reason you say the international community won`t allow it, but who knows in the future who will control the international community and what future wars can happen.
this thread is to think what possible wars can happen and definitively any thing can happen.
This is ridiculous! You’ve gone well off the deep end MiG23. An invasion of Australia with 3 (?) Chinese carriers??? Do you have any idea how long it takes to be able to operate a carrier effectively? Just having one does not mean squat. It takes DECADES to learn to train the pilots, the ground crew, the LSO’s etc. The reason the Americans, Brits and French can do it is because of corporate memory. The Chinese have no such memory to build on.
And the Indian carrier being powerful??? Please. It’s just another White Elephant project. It would be sunk a just after a first strike by it’s aircraft by the RAN.
Whatever fantasy world you are living in sounds like a good time… get to compare Paraguay and Romania. talk about Indian invasions of Australia, look at maps from CARLO KOPP!
First read this
The 2008 “Military Power of the People’s Republic of China” stated “evidence in recent years increasingly suggests China’s leaders may be moving forward with an aircraft carrier program. For example, beginning in early 2006 and with the release of China’s Eleventh Five Year Plan, PRC-owned media reported on statements from high-level government and military officials on China’s intent to build aircraft carriers – including a March 2007 statement from the then-minister of China’s Commission on Science, Technology and Industry for National Defense (COSTIND).”
As of 2008, Russia was believed to have been providing assistance for several years in the construction of three Chinese-designed aircraft carriers. Some analysts have thus predicted that China could have an operational carrier by 2015, while others have considered 2020 to be a more realistic timeframe.
No confirmed work on any project of any size had been observed or reported as of August 2008.
source http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/china/cv.htm
read the most recent news
Risky Business
October 24, 2008: A Russian couple were recently convicted of trying to sell technical details of the Russian aircraft carrier Kuznetsov, to China for $300,000. The 55 year old husband got 12 years, the 49 year old wife got nine. They were caught with the classified data last year.
The Chinese have been refurbishing the Varyag, one of two Kuznetsov class that Russia began building in the 1980s, for several years now. Chinese officials have admitted publicly, for several years now, that they have detailed plans of
source http://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htintel/articles/20081024.aspx
Given the need to cover all the scenarios described above, it is likely that China’s military spending will continue to rise, with the 2009 military budget reflecting at least a 10 percent increase over this year.
Some equipment intended for combat operations against Taiwan will be replaced, and there will be some adjustments in the deployment of this equipment. The pressure to maintain a vigilant “military deterrence” against Taiwan is expected to continue.
It is worth noting, however, that with the warming of cross-strait relations and the balance of military power in the Taiwan Strait already tilted in China’s favor, the PLA will likely focus its military build-up in other directions, particularly in the upgrading of long-range military projection capability.
Close attention should be paid to China’s building of a new aircraft carrier fleet, its development and deployment of more ICBMs, SSBNs, new bombers and new-generation fighters. The Chinese military industry will also take this opportunity to put greater effort and expenditure into upgrading and expanding its research for the development of new weapons systems.
http://www.upiasia.com/Security/2008/10/24/chinas_prime_potential_enemies/3728/
you really have no idea about the ADF or its capabilities. If 1 squadron didn’t destroy your ‘chinese carriers’, then our collins class subs would(they proven successful at sinking USN carriers in excercise) still leaving us with 12 major surface combatants, 3 fighter bomber squadrons, 2 maritime patrol/attack squadrons. oh and if troops were landed on our shores, it would be the bloodiest battle in history. Look at our capabilities when NOT fighting on home soil- read about the Boer War, WW1, WW2, Korea, Malaya, Vietnam, Afganistan, Iraq- Australians always punch above there weight- read about ANZAC Cove, the ANZAC corp of the western front, Tobruk, Kokoda, Timor, 3 RAR in Korea, 6RAR D coy holding of 2500 VCand NVA at Long Tan. Even the USMC General Mattis stated’ Marines would happily storm hell if your troops had our right flank’
Your nievety about the real world is touching, you are probably post some pretty pictures to defend yourself, BUT THE WORST THING ANYONE COULD DO IS UNDERESTIMATE THE ADF
Your statements are based more on nationalistic rethoric than realistic estimations.
Scenario 1
India Becomes the invader.
In the next 10 to 15 years India will have a really powerful aircraft carrier
this air force can not be enough to take on australia certainly since it will need a few more bases in thailand or Indonesia, however the aircraft carrier can be a threat since the upgraded MiG-29K will be a match to the F-18E.
The naval PAK FA is very unlikely to be in service by then if it ever makes it into service.
China can have a force of Su-33 or J-10s and an aircraft carrier in 10 -20 years from now, but certainly they have a military might to sweep all of southeast Asia by their own and from base in Indonesia they could easily attack northern australia, count in the fact that both India and China can use ballistic missiles to hit australian cities.
Certainly all your bravery won`t stand a chance against the Indian and Chinese ballistic missiles.
If Australia wants to counter attack the Su-30MKI and Su-30MMk and J-10 combos are note easy to break through.
The F-111 won`t survive and Australia has no other way of survive than expect England and the US come to the rescue .
What an idiotic discussion, an invasion of Australia? 😮
What a clever observation, i guess you can not see all humans are the same and emerging nations of today can become the bullies of tomorrow, continue dreaming the past is the present and in the future all the present political conditions will remain the same:rolleyes:.
Australia as any other nation faces external threats and this can lead to an invasion of their country, in fact the RAAF exists to prevent it


The now certain deployment of strategic bombers, evidenced by development of the H-6K, by the PLA-AF will fundamentally alter the strategic balance in the near region. This map illustrates the coverage footprint of the Tu-95MS Bear H and Tu-22M-3 Backfire C flown from southern China and Myanmar basing. The footprint of Indian deployments of like types is included for comparison (C. Kopp).
source picture text
http://www.ausairpower.net/strategy.html
Wow, you’ve absorbed the lessons of the Arab-Isaraeli wars. Australia doesnt build its own weapons, yet is considered on of the best armed forces in the world- why? because of good quality training and resourcefulness and fighting tradition. Morale and Training can add up to an extra kevlar vest in the field.
AND DID YOU REALLY COMPARE ROMANIA AND PARAGUAY? WHY NOT LUXEMBORG AND MONACO?
Australia is not a super air force, it is a worst position than Canada and in fact it won`t be able to stand a first class air force like China or Russia.
If the Chinese would get a force of two or three aircraft carriers they will control Australia in a matter of days.
however to invade australia is not so easy you need a good carrier based air force or a first class strategic air force with Tu-22Ms, B-1Bs or Tu-160s, something few air forces have.
So for the moment Australia does not need its own aircraft industry in the class of Canada or Israel, but definitively they are not one of the top air forces
But as far as equipment and training australia is not one of the best i would rate Saudi arabia or Iran as in the same class of Australia.
The Su-30s of neighbouring air forces are not really a threat as a force of indian Tu-22M or a Chinese carrier can be.
I get fun thinking about Sarah Palin saying she’s sympathizes with Joe the Plumber and the Middle Class while wearing her four figure dollars dresses from Neiman Marcus and Saks Fifth Avenue.
All the politicans are the same, they defend the poor just to live as the rich do, nowhere they are really honest and very few politicians are really honest, a few maybe only Gandhi but the vast of them are a bunch of hypocrites who decieve the masses with words of justice while they still represent the same system they critize.
If the F-22 survives has to do more with the clout an aerospace company has in the ruling class of a country like Artem Mikoyan did in the stalin and soviet years thank to his brother Anastas Mikoyan