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pjhydro

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  • in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2388580
    pjhydro
    Participant

    Extending astute would save no cash at all, might as well simply re-use the vanguard design. As fro cruise missiles being the cheaper option, we don’t have a cruise missile to do the job or a warhead to put in it, and as for land based ICBMs, they would never be allowed on the british mainland, and even if they were the cost of building the Silo’s would likely be more than building the subs.

    how would continuing to build an existing design with a silo plug inserted in it not save money? It would save a ton of cash compared to preparing a whole new design.

    You can’t keep using the current vanguards they will be knackered, you can’t build new vanguards as they are an old design and haven’t been built for over a decade, you could buy a new design off the yanks but it will probably be too big for the UKs needs, have too high manning levels (as most yank ships do) and would cost a lot to transfer production to the UK for just three-four boats. So why not take a design being built now, build some more but with a plug or extended sail. should be a lot cheaper and is probably the only remotely affordable option.

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2388586
    pjhydro
    Participant

    Ok personally I think that we should ask BAE to elongate the Astute design and stick in 6 tubes for a trident replacement. That would be my ideal idea and I think would save a fair amount of cash.

    I want a nuclear deterant but I dont think we need to destroy the world.

    My other cheaper option I would say would be to possible do the following. Switch to Cruise missile based deterant but with a back up so to speak, we puchase a small number of land based ICBM from the US to base in 3 locations around the UK. Yes they might be know about and be targets but we should know an attack is on route and have enough time to get some of them off. In the mean time all subs at sea ( I would arm all astutes with nuclear cruise missiles) would make their way to launch point).

    Yes we would need to develop a spersonic/hypersonic cruise missile but could we do this with a partner?

    I would agree with your ascertion about astute and the size of the deterrent, if we are going to maintain one then it needs to be “just big enough” and have credibility, so needs to be able to have a constant presence at sea and have enough missiles/warheads to threaten most nations that might threaten the UK with crippling destruction. six missiles each able to carry up to 8 warheads would seem to me a perfectly adequate level of city smashing tnt.

    BUT your suggestion of silos I can’t agree with and would be a retrograde step at several levels.

    – They are very vulnerable to attack both nuclear and conventional, in the high population concentration of the UK you will be putting several thousand if not millions in an area that could now be claimed to be a legitimate military target.
    -They are unduly aggressive as their very vulnerability means they must be fired first or immediately or lose them, this brings into question their deterent value.
    -They have limited range. By placing your missiles in one place the circle of possible targets becomes fixed. If for the sake of expense you placed tridents in your silos then you are basically limiting your nuclear threat to those nations within tridents range (approx 12,000km).
    – they would be the target of constant, volatile and devicive protest which would cost a lot of money and time to police.
    – given that a nuclear strike from “eastern europe” would give the UK no more than 4 minutes warning (the older amongst us will remember growing up with that phrase) so will almost certainly be destroyed.

    On a related note the silo was actually invented in the UK in the 50s and even back then deemed not a very good idea for our strategic position. see links http://www.spaceuk.org/bstreak/bs/launchsite.htm
    http://www.spaceuk.org/bstreak/bs/k11.html

    in reply to: RAF Northolt Islanders #2389542
    pjhydro
    Participant

    Having moved to RAF Uxbridge recently, it became apparent that the approaches to RAF Northolt were almost directly overhead.

    I am familiar with the Islander aircraft from my time in NI. I was just wondering what role they perform here on the mainland UK. (I have heard ELINT/SIGINT?) They have been flying some rather unusual hours lately, late nights and weekends, certainly not your usual 9-5

    Thanks;)

    Thats not unusual for them, that is very much their normal, being a wet lunden inhabitant its very normal to see a little grey islander slowly climbing overhead on a sunday afternoon or early early on a sunny day. Offcially they are used for transport. The joke round here is that senior officers must have a huge number of pressing meetings at 10,000 feet over the capital.

    in reply to: Taranis aloft? #2391301
    pjhydro
    Participant

    just for interest,
    someone saw a pic of it at woomera like terrain in 2008, dont know when the pic was taken

    Was that not Raven?

    in reply to: The end of Litorial warfare? #2037876
    pjhydro
    Participant

    So why has nobody done that? Why do most navies that build amphibious ships think it’s worth having a couple of different types, e.g. an LHD & a cheaper (& usually smaller) LPD or LSD?

    Might it be because a high/low mix can provide more flexibility? Because having more ships is more flexible, enabling one to send a basic LSD when that’s all that’s needed, & save the more expensive LHDs for the tasks only they can do?

    exactly. The UK does not need 6 full on LPDs of the Albion class. It needs a couple for high end ops and the much simpler bay class for smaller ops and everyday taskings. They have proved very useful, dock, good sized flight deck, loads of cargo space and four of them for much less than full spec ships. its a model that should be pursued across all types of ships me thinks (hopefully so with C1-3).

    As for my comment about the various carriers, my point is that the Euro harrier stuff is more akin to a US LHDs and really can’t be listed in comparison to a CVN. Only QEs and CDG can. it underlines that even if they had 9 ships the USN has massive advantage over everyone else.

    in reply to: The end of Litorial warfare? #2037927
    pjhydro
    Participant

    Sorry, yes of course…. perhaps I meant ships in Navies that would actually deploy beyond the med and bay of biscay…..

    I wouldn’t cound Cavour/GG/Princip/ in the pile with QE and CDG, surely apples and oranges there, they are much more comfortable in the LPH pile (as are the Lusty and Ark at present.)

    in reply to: The end of Litorial warfare? #2038018
    pjhydro
    Participant

    I think we’ll see the force structure cut from 11 to 9, matched with 9 LPH (wasp/america) and 9 san antonios.

    Still insanely formidable.

    europe in perhaps a decade might field 4 large carriers (QEs and CdG + Frog CV 2), 4 large LPH/LHD (Ocean and Mistrals) and perhaps 10-12 ships comparable to a San Antonio (with a certain amount of imagination) So yes 9 of everything still makes the USN the big man on campus by a long shot, especially if you compare size and ability of the airwings etc.

    The trick for the US will be to ensure that in another decade that 9 doesn’t become 6 or 7 in the same way 14 became 11 a few years back etc…

    pjhydro
    Participant

    I have found the LCS programmes fascinating to watch as the USN (IMHO) has been expending a lot of money, time and effort recreating a typical “European Frigate”. I know its modular etc and many euro-frigates aren’t (MEKO and Flex accepted) but overall it would appear to be a gold plated version of a LaFayete frigate or a 21st century Type 12.

    in reply to: The end of Litorial warfare? #1998080
    pjhydro
    Participant

    I am not convinced the EFV is a good way to put Marines ashore because of a proliferation of IIR anti tank missiles. I would use airlift to insert Marine assaukt forces a short distance inland instead. Once the beach head is secure, LCACs can bring the bulk of equipment ashore.

    Thats certainly the RMs way of doing things these days, heli ashore and then bring in the ships. Does the USMC still expect to launch opposed landings?

    So much for rambling thoughts. Its still early here.

    Cheers!

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2402066
    pjhydro
    Participant

    Regarding my American friend, he used to get really upset when I would say that his right to bear arms was an antiquated idea for a time the US didn’t have a large standing army and needed a large militia.

    Yeah they do that a lot, passionate bunch, far too emotional :dev2:

    By the way in the US he owns a FN FAL, HK MP5A2 , Colt 45 Auto and Colt 357 Python to “Protect” him and his family plus a collection of antique firearms in working order and I did have some fun when I visited.

    I BET! nice.

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2402076
    pjhydro
    Participant

    But unlike the Defence Select Committee, this group would actually hold the purse strings and decide what was needed and what would be the support costs. Therefore the Government has to consider its asperations and is unable to say one thing in public but only fund a part or delay equipment to reduce costs in year.

    Thought you said it would have no power as such? Holding the purse strings is enormous power, the elected governement could do nothing without the military and industrialists say so.

    I know there are some pretty big holes in my position but there is a need for a redical shake up as to how defence is managed as the current system is leading us toward to bad old days of Empire where we would send a small force, it get badly beaten up so we send a better equipped force to try to solve the problem, come home and the same happens the next time.

    Why ruin a perfectly good system that has served this country since the days of sword and horse? You can’t mess with tradition. Its what we do best, doing exactly what we did last time is the last thing they would expect! bah! carry on blackadder….

    War is said to be an extention of Politics by other means and the primary role of any Governemnt is the defence of its people. You cannot conduct wars or run a military on a just in time or just enough basis as this Government has done since 1997. You need capacity as well as broad capabilities with the tail able to properly support both peacetime and wartime needs.

    You’re right this governments being doing it since 1997 and the last did it from 1979 and the one before that did it from……

    Sorry I am standing in my pulpit again

    its what we’re all here to do, vent our collective know-all spleens! 😀

    in reply to: Falklands what if #1998415
    pjhydro
    Participant

    The naval institute suggests MM38 had the same striking power as a 13.5inch shell. RN tests in 1914 showed a 13.5 (one of several guns used by the rn at that point) would penetrate 10 inchs of KC.

    Air lunch MM39 is quoted as penitrating armour at angles up to 70 degrees but I could find no data on thickness

    If true jobs a good’en. And As Belgrano certainly doesn’t have anything like a modern fire supression system….

    in reply to: Falklands what if #1998422
    pjhydro
    Participant

    You think a subsonic weapon would penetrate 6 inches of armour. Honestly?. Do you know how thin hull plating is for a modern warship?. If it would penetrate 6″ of ordinary hull plate, let alone hardened armour, it would have been right through the Stark and the Sheff before the warhead detonated!.

    Yes I do think it would. 5.5″-6 is the armour at its thickest. Yes Sheff and Stark are thin but the spaced plates act like “spaced armour” -as you hit a container the air pressure inside increases offering more resistance in the container itself then as it is punctured the increased air pressure attempts to equalise through that hole with the air travelling in the opposite direction to projectile (i.e slowing it by increasing air resistance). Do this a couple of times (i.e multiple compartments) and it is not as easy as saying that modern warships would be sliced in two.

    Exocet hitting at 315 m/s (lets understand what we mean by subsonic here…) and detonating would almost certainly go through the amount of armour Belgrano carried.

    Precisely how much trouble do you think?. IF it took 6 repeated impacts on precisely the same plate and penetrated what damage do you think an Exocet would do to a ship with that kind of mass?.

    Its not repeated impacts on a single spot i’m talking about, the flexing, vibration, heat causing an overall failure in the armour resistance.

    Think about that. ‘Sunk her’ is the hint.

    She doesn’t need to be sunk though, just hurt enough.

    You think that their WW2 vintage Oerlikons would be less effective than the WW2 Oerlikons we were using on their Skyhawks do you?.

    And they were ever so effective…..

    Destroyed it if they got into guns range. Exocet could not have dealt with the threat on its own – we’d seen how vulnerable it was to softkill seduction already ourselves. Plus we were facing an Exocet threat against us from their DD’s although mitigated by the same softkill factor. Taking Exocet out of the equation you are looking at 4.5″ Mk6’s and Mk8’s (and the Mk8 was no great shakes in ’82 believe me!) taking on a cruiser while the carriers try to run. Its not a pretty scenario.

    Behave! destroyed? One old cruiser and a couple of 40 year old destroyers would destroy the task force….sounds awfully like the sort of spin put out by Thatcher’s team after the war when they were having a hard time justifying it to the left wing press. I think it was right to sink her, she was a threat no doubt, but i think its being well over stated. Could HMS Belfast and a couple of old Castle class frigates have destroyed the 82 Task force? shakes head, not a chance. There would be a scrap yes, but it would have ended in Belgrano’s demise or need to flounder home.

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2403253
    pjhydro
    Participant

    Going back to my theory on defence, the word “Quango” is incorrect as if you read my initial statement I said the group was to comprise of MPs from all maior parties, the Military, Civil Servant, Industry and independant advisors. It would have no say in Defence Policy, but would be a check to ensure the Military was able to carry out the Governments policies. The Government would still decide how much to spend on defence but the cost of a given policy would be in black and white so they would have to decide on which policies were affordable and which weren’t. This would hopefully result is a match between policy and resources and greatly reduce the mad rush to place UOR etc at the start of any operation.

    Its called the Defence Select Commitee and like your idea it has no actual say, blows a lot of wind and gets ignored.

    Some of the arguements put forward remind me of those I had with an American friend who when questioned about their Constitutional right to bear arms kept backing up is arguement by saying the one of the first things Hitler did when he came to power was to ban private ownership of firearms, and that an armed population is the only way to prevent a dictatorship in the US! I know Blair was “Presidential” but do we really think the UK could become a Dictatorship?

    Thats one of the wackiest defences of the right to bear arms i’ve heard in a while. I think the invocation of Hitler to defend any undefensible policy usually underlines its insanity, “because of Hitler I can justify colombine.”

    As for the UK being a dictatorship? Unlikely as our system doesn’t place any matters of military policy, education, justice etc in unelected panels of “experts”…..

    Or on a more cynical note, we are elected dictatorship that has a 5 year cycle. 😀

    (No idea why quotes are not working so i’ve put quotes in bold.) Fixed that for you! – Mod 🙂

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2403257
    pjhydro
    Participant

    Well we are 30 years on now and we need to find the scapegoat for the dire mess we are in, resulting in inevitable MOD cuts. Ultimately our elected representatives have to decide how to spend our money, not unelected, unaccountable quangos. In fact with any luck we will be rid of a good 50% of these organisations by the end of year. We don’t want any more.

    Ok ok, Herbert Asquith for dragging us into WW1 and therefore blowing all the riches we had acquired over the previous two centuries and effectively making us bankrupt. But thats my final offer.

Viewing 15 posts - 376 through 390 (of 845 total)