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pjhydro

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  • in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2425240
    pjhydro
    Participant

    You are correct about current artillery usage but its not always going to be like that. While not belittling Afghan, it is a “brush war” and artillery is being used much as it was in malaya, borneo etc ie single guns, troops and batteries firing single shots and volleys in response to calls. The “more accuracy single shot” argument is as a result of the need to keep down civilian casualties down and the small scale of current clashes – you would not call down a 24 gun barrage on a compound to take on 6 insurgents who are sharing the compound with a family. It is also a matter of cost, it is no coincidence that the first calls for this sort of artillery came from nations like Canada where the cost of a 24 gun field regiment was making the bean counters splutter.

    You will need suppressive barrage fire of the old WW2 25pdr field regt variety if you are involved in a higher intensity conflict such as 1982 when 105LGs kept up a massive rate of fire on Argentinean positions allowing the light role infantry to advance right on to the positions. Single shot gps/laser guided munitions would not do you many favours in a brigade attack on a dug in battalion, where you need tnt and lots of it, rapidly fired and of the variety that you could advance under until you are bayonet to bayonet ie 105LG (aka 25pdr/88mm in the old days). 155mm will fire more slowly and would have to be lifted long before your soldiers were on the objective. We forget the hard won lessons of artillery use from the first half of the 20th century at our peril….try breaking up an enemy brigade assault with a couple of batteries of 155mm firing “accurate single shots”.

    There has also been a lot of talk about artillery replacing air power in recent years, a call I am sure is coming from certain parts of the Army (and USMC) in order to increase budgets. I can’t see how it’s going to be better. Once you launch artillery you can’t call it back and it’s very difficult to do a show of force with an artillery battery (unless you drive them past the enemy first perhaps?) You can’t do reconnaissance with an artillery shell, you can’t suddenly redirect artillery a hundred miles away, the list goes on. Once again lessons learnt in war after war are being ignored because evangelical officers think they can win wars with their pet “solve all” project. Artillery is brilliant but it has its role and it is not to replace air support (and vice versa) they have well established supporting roles that complement.

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2425523
    pjhydro
    Participant

    This would also mean the closure of RNAS Yeovilton.

    And the lynx and commando Heli force go….?

    I would convert the current heavy and medium organisation into 6 Medium Armoured Brigades, each with one Tank Battalion, 1 Armoured Infantry Battalion and 2 Mechanised Infantry Battalions equipped with the “Son of FRES” Pooled support elements would include 2 Artillery Regiment with 3 6 gun AS-90 Batteries and one 8 gun GMLRS battery together with 2 Force Recce Battalions allowing a Company/Squadron to be attached to each brigade. Finally 2 Air Defence Regiments equipped with HVM would be attached rounding out the teeth component.

    I would re-role one Light Brigade into a designated peacekeeping formation, equipped with platfoms purchased for Afghanistan and additional platforms to round out its capabilities.

    The 3 light artillery regiments would be reorganised fo rthe current 5 105LG batteries into 2 of M777 Light 155mm, 2 of 105LG and 1 of Light GMLRS the latter of which is the UK version based on a Suoercat chassis. All three are air transportable and can be carried underslung by Chinook.

    Well that’s just a few ideas.

    So six essentially “heavy” warfighting brigades and one to play at policemen?

    Does that include 16AA and 3Cdo? because that adds up to more deployable brigades than we have at present. Surely more money not less?

    I have to say I am not a fan of “peacekeeping” brigades. You train and equip for less than war you get bad results. The best peacekeepers time and again have proved to be fully trained war fighting units of western armies. I can recomend a couple of good books on that (for it was my long ago dissertation) if you are interested.

    Interesting discussion on 155mm vs 105mm. Barmy thinking partly points out that unarmoured infantry cannot advance close enough to 155mm fire. You have to lift 155mm fire earlier if supporting light infantry and that allows the enemy recovery time. With 105mm you can pretty much lift the fire as your guys reach the objective. It depends if you want “suppressive fire” or “destructive fire”. It matters less to guys in warriors as they can advance nice and close in thier metal boxes, as it is even mech units in more lightly armoured vehicles (Saxon!!) can not get to close to 155mm fire.

    PS the logistics unit supporting your light artillery units would be having kittens with hree different types of munition to carry…

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2425538
    pjhydro
    Participant

    Brigades like 16 AA and 3 CMDO are very composite. Rarely do all three CMDOs or all three PARA units go into battle with it.It is almost always just 2 battalions or 2 plus a regular inf battalion acting in the Airborne or Marine role.

    Often a PARA or CMDO regiment will be in training or on other duties.

    For this reason Britain will need more then just 2-3 Armoured units in order to throw in a dedicated Armored Brigade as in 2003.

    some units will be in rest periods other will be in training. What Britain did in 2003 was actually steal tanks and parts from units not participating in GW2.

    If they cut down any further they will have no units to “steal” from or borrow manpower from.

    Cutting down a tank force to anything below 250 odd units and you will look less and less lilely to be able to send an armoured brigade away.

    This logic is less likely to apply to light specialised units like the PARAs and Marines as no such equipment is required bar C-130s/Chinooks for the PARAS.

    Mainly I agree with you. I have bleated on about the ‘rule of three’ on this forum many times but I would point out a couple of things.

    In wartime 16AA and 3CDo do deploy as whole brigades, witness 1982 and 2003. In “peacetime” they deploy smaller units. This is where armoured formations are less useful, they get deployed as whole brigades or not at all on the whole.

    In both Gulf conflicts armoured units were scavenged for personel to make up numbers….that almost screams that we have two many under manned tank units clining on to archaic cavalry titles when what we should have is a single multi battalion Tank Regt, with all its squadrons (companies!!) up to full strength.

    In both Gulf Conflicts armour was deployed as long as it was needed and so needs to be applied to the rule of three less strictly. MBTs like paras and cdos do the door kicking but its the light role/mec infantry units than then mop up and win the peace.

    Tank units spend the bulk of their time training. There are few challengers rockin around Helmand.

    So I would argue that a large ‘composite’ (if you like) armoured brigade with two large 80 tank regts (4 companies of 20 as in the old days) would be sufficient for the UKs needs given that the most MBTs we have used post 1945 is 150 (GW1) and we have now added kit like apache to order of battle.

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2425596
    pjhydro
    Participant

    “Just” 10-12 subs at faslane, do you forget what is in those subs? their is a reason they’re kept in that kind of place.

    Why are those “things” dangerous? The MOD says not. If they are perfectly safe then basing them in downtown plymouth surely makes not a jot of difference…unless there is something a) untrue about safety b) politically unpalatable about “them”….

    As for Portsmouth, half the naval shore establishments are in the area, not to mention a good deal of the refit facilities.

    The refit stuff is in private hands…it can stay open. Why can’t the shore stuff move? Having 3 ports for such a small navy seems like a very expensive luxury (and mre to do with vote wnning than good accounting)

    RAF Kinloss is home to the ARCC, Leeming is home right now to most of the units who were going to scampton (which is much more likely to get the chop when the arrows move to Waddington)

    Shut Scampton too! Move ARCC, move the other units! Think Long term savings.

    As for 1st armoured, Our current divisional structure is quite outdated IMO, though current MBT levels are at about their minimum sensible level, and them being in germany makes little difference to spending anyway.

    Except soldiers pay goes out of the UK exchequer and into the german economy. A lot of money goes on travel expenses, RAF flights etc etc

    As for MBT levels, you are probably right, but we need savings, we need to keep the capability and I would argue as long as we can mount an armoured op the size of 2003 we are on. Treat amour like 16AA and 3Cdo – entry forces, the units that kick down the door.

    in reply to: Tornado defence stores #2425803
    pjhydro
    Participant

    Some times I wonder whether it was a good idea to make the IDS as compact as it is rather than basing all models on the stretched ADV airframe. And install only a single cannon from the outset, whatever would you need two such powerful guns for?!

    The ADV came after the IDS version by many years, the RAF probably would have been happy with a slightly bigger aircraft (essentially the Tonka was the TSR2 by other means) but for luftwaffe/Marine and the Italians the Tornado was not a Canberra/buccaneer but a F104/G91 replacement so was intended to be more of a tactical aircraft (hence twin cannons) and not a long range strike type. So the Tonka is a compromise to suite the requirements of three air forces.

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2425809
    pjhydro
    Participant

    I sincerely hope some of that was a joke…

    maybe, maybe not….:p

    seriously though why keep Kinloss and Leeming? Kinloss will house 9 nimrods and Leeming has a sqn of hawks. People want savings and I would rather lose real estate than any more airframes or sqns.

    Same with Portsmouth and Faslane. Portsmouth will house two carriers and 6 destroyers (and probably half that number day to day) Faslane just 12-10 subs.

    We keep all these bases because they help win votes, a private business would rationalise something the size of the MODs property portfolio and save millions.

    As for 1st Armoured being reduced to a Brigade…two MBT regts, one force recce rgt, four armoured inf, one 8 gun four battery art rgt etc. It would be the size of 16 Air Asslt or 3Cdo, would mean we maintain a heavy armour force and is the size of armoured force we used in 2003. Save money and maintain capability, what do you want?

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2426245
    pjhydro
    Participant

    So that leaves the Navy and Air Force to bear the brunt of any cuts to programmes and force size. So where would people make such cuts?

    Well I think the Army needs to look at itself too, it can bleat all it likes about the other two having expensive luxuries but it still maintains a whole armoured div in Germany….sounds like the cavalry clinging to their easy skiing holidays to me.

    Army- So I would reduce 1st Armoured to the equivilant of a US Cav regiment (large brigade) and put it on a par with our other “entry” brigades like 3RM and 16AM. The manpower I would then redeploy into other brigades. Pull out of Germany as well and perhaps use some of the RAF stations i’m about to close…

    RAF – give up harriers to RN and close wittering. Place Leeming into mothballs and move 100sqn to another station, perhaps Valley as there will be fewer hawks there soon. Shut Kinloss and move the the 9 new rods to Waddington.

    RN- shut Faslane and move the subs to Devonport. Base QE CVs and T45s in Gib and shut Portsmouth except for the tourist attractions. Think of the fuel savings!

    in reply to: Tornado defence stores #2426751
    pjhydro
    Participant

    The Tornado always has the two outer wing pylons reserved for chaff/flare pod on one wing and an ECM jammer on the other. When the aircraft had a mid life upgrade why weren’t these incorporated onto the aircraft leaving the two wing pylons free to carry additional stores?

    Space. The Tonka is actually quite a small aircraft, put all that stuff internal and you lose fuel and space for other things like the one remaining gun etc.

    Also its easier to adapt and upgrade a pod. If you need a new def system its (almost) as easy as changing the pod. If it was internal that would be a much bigger job requiring the aircraft to spend more time off the line. Also adaptable, if you don’t need ECM but a ton of flares then you swap pods etc…

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2426753
    pjhydro
    Participant

    The Paras would argue that the psychological aspects of parachute training, together with P Company, make them special.

    Oh undoubtedly, but the RM manage a similar feat without the need to make every soldier jump from an aeroplane. Its a very expensive way to gain a “psychological edge”.

    This is a particular area of expense that could come under scrutiny and one that might be hard to justify. Mass para drops do appear to be a tactic of the past…as I said we last used it in 1956. MBTs were last used in 2003-9 in iraq, amphibious ops likewise, so if it comes to a choice about which capabilities we keep I know where I would apply the scalpal.

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2427578
    pjhydro
    Participant

    I agree that actually putting the remaining Harrier squadrons under the FAA and moving them to Yeovilton is a good idea but as the RAF is already giving up its Merlins I am sure they will fight that one. As for Wittering, they redeveloped the base to house the Tactical Support Units. Where are they going to go?

    Well its unlikely to happen but I would suggest that some of the sup goes to Yeovilton as the RN should create an “EAW” of its own that can slot into the line but the rest could be sent to Honington as a central pool of resources, or redistributed amongst other units.

    There are even options being looked at to draw down the Army in Germany! This could be used as an opportunity to reduce them further if I was being pessimistic.

    I would have no problem with withdrawl from Germany, I would rather squaddies hard earned pay went into UK bars etc rather than in German brothels and cutting out travel expense would be good, as would lowering any air transport requirement the RAF has to shoulder. As for drawing down 1st Armoured…hmmm torn on that one….MBTs have been used in short high level conflict ops such as both Gulf wars, but on both occasions “mass” tank units were deployed only for a matter of months. In Iraq there was only a small number of Challengers stationed there after the war. Its hard to justify a whole armoured division as it stands. We need MBTs etc but perhaps a force similar in size to 16 Air mob which is a very large brigade, almost a “light” division, perhaps a force more akin to a US Cav regiment???

    With little chance of extra money I think we are going to have to lower are aspirations.

    Yes agreed, but I think the key will be deciding on and maintaing some core capabilities that are difficult to regenerate if we drop them. Some hard questions need to be asked….Do we need a “parachute” Regiment? for instance, its a very expensive capability and we last dropped paras on mass in 1956….is it a role the UK needs? or if still required does it need to be on the scale it is…i.e. would the Canadian model of para trained companies within light battalions be enough? Is it enough to have 2sqn RAF Rgt, some RMs and the SAS trained in the role?

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2427944
    pjhydro
    Participant

    So therefore there are Nos 1 and 3 squadrons and the NSW making 3 with one squadron due to disband No4 as part of the plan to fund the new Chinnoks.

    3 sqn has had Typhoons since 2006. The harrier force has been 1, 4, 20R and NSW. This is changing to 1, NSS (Naval Strike Sqn) and 4R all based at Wittering.

    Personally, if you want to make savings it would make more sense to call the 3 units 800, 801 and 899 and base them all at Yeovilton and close wittering as well….

    bit of day dreaming….
    If you were going to have a cheap “Typhoon” only RAF I would suggest the following 12 sqn force.

    FGR4 force- (84 active a/c)
    Coningsby – 3,11
    Leuchars – 6, 43, 111
    Leeming – 74, 92

    ‘GR6’ (two seat conformal tanks) (48 active a/c)
    2, 9, 12, 13

    OCU -29R (24-30 active a/c)

    Still within the 232 order and leaves lots of attrition spares and wartime fill outs.

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2427956
    pjhydro
    Participant

    I am well aware the the UK has fought all ita major wars as part of alliances, what I was reffering to was that we cannot deploy forces on the scale of the operations I mentioned and one of the key lessons learnt in Telic was that Capacity is just as important as Capability.

    I am not sure that we couldn’t make a Telic sized deployment now? I can’t see why we couldn’t, we essentially have a divisonal sized deployment in Afghan at the moment that has been supported at long range for years, I am pretty sure the UK could make a Telic sized op happen in the future, for the short duration it occured for. certainly the three brigades that were used still exsist and are in some ways better equipped -Apache for instance which would take much of the CAS burden off of a smaller harrier force. Throw in sentinal, Reaper, Brimstone etc…..?

    Currently we have 2/3 Harrier Squadrons and 6 Tornado Squadrons. This is likely to be reduced to 1 or 2 of the former (including RN) and 5 of the latter with the Harriers being exclusively deployed only on the carriers leaving 5 Tornado squadrons to cover all operations deployments. I think a pool of 7 squadrons is more flexible. Also if Belgium and the Netherlands can make deployment with even smaller airforces but a single type add to my arguement.

    The squadron numbers has been discussed already. I agree that a single type is useful in many respects but 7 sqns is too few. As for Belgium and Netherlands, they have had small short term deployments – less than a squadron and for a few months, but they are incapable of long term squadron sized deployments

    In future we may only be able to deploy a single squadron on long term operations. The Navy is trying to develope a two stage operating process so ships are either deployed or in port with crews transferring on station. this way they hope to have 4 T-45s available though I am sceptical.

    I hope your single squadron prediction does not come to pass. As for the Navy, it makes sense to get rid of the transit part of the deployment of a ship, there is no need to have a ship in UK port unless its under maintenance etc, but I think they are being overly optomistic.

    Sure emergencies can arise whilst on exercise but the training budget for anything but Afghanistan has already been butchered and is likely to get worse especially for any unit type not applicable to that theatre.

    Still happening though, Red Flag is happening now and Magic Carpet in Oman is about to happen with Typhoons etc. So its not all been thrown out.

    One simple question, there is a £40Bn+ hole in the defence Budget over the next to years, how do we fill it without further cuts etc?

    (errors aside) You are correct, I’m not saying there will not be cuts but cutting the RAF to 7 FJ sqns is very severe. The Typhoon will shoulder the burden in future but a dedicated strike force of Tornados and later F35s/UCAVs etc will be required if the UK wants to follow its current world role. The alternative is to change UK foriegn policy aims and expectations, in which case 7 sqns of typhoons might be all you need.

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2429908
    pjhydro
    Participant

    I was using the examples of Operations Corporate, Granby and Telic as examples of size. Of course we could not fight another corporate as we did in 82 why would you even think that!?

    It was what you implied, you suggested we could not fight those ops today without being in alliance. Two of them were alliance battles in the first place so not good examples and as for Corporate I would say we can entirely, just not in the same way. If you could transport the current UK forces back to 1982 I think you would see a quicker and even more decisive result.

    As an aside all major wars in UK history (corpoarte was not major) have been alliance wars, its nothing new, we haven’t been able to fight a major conflict on our own ever so I am not sure why people get in such a knicker twist about it now.

    We already have many knackered airframes and aircrew as you put in ther Tornado and Harrier fleets. Having a single type fleet gives you a larger pool of airframes and aircrew to man and maintain deployments.

    7 sqns is not a big pool.

    We cannot send three squadrons to Afghanistan even now, the Harrier fleets is in recuperation and their is not enough theatre specific kit to support three Tornado squadron. Any how why would we, there is already more than enough fast air available to cover any eventuality as all nations pool their aircraft to respond to all request from groud troops.

    I didn’t say send three sqns to Afghan, i was talking about the rule of three. You deploy one of anything in the military you are at minimum assigning three units to that task – one on op, one preparing, one standing down/ in transit. Deploying a brigade actually ties down 3 brigades, deploying 1 frigate actually ties down 3 etc. It is why armed forces have to be bigger than appears to be the need to the leymen. Having just 7 FJ sqns in the RAF would mean you could only deploy two sqns on long term ops and do nothing else.

    If it was an emergency the last thing we would do is still send planes to Reg Flag, Maple Flag ar any other exercise. One of the first things to go when money is tight are exercises. Remember the last major joint exercise the uK staged was almost a seven years ago in Oman!

    And emergenices never arise while you are on exercise and doing other things? Large part of the RN was exercising when corporate kicked off. You have to do exercises otherwise your skill levels deteriorate badly. Your proposed FJ level would see the RAF unable to train properly, as I said it would fall apart and be unusable very quickly.

    in reply to: UK Defence Review Part I #2430106
    pjhydro
    Participant

    A number of “Gold Plated” programmes will have to fo or expectations lowered, the Army’s Medium AFVs and the Navy’s C2 being prime examples. For the RAF 7 Squadrons of Typhoons should meet existing requirements.

    How are medium AFVs and C2 “gold plated”? Both are lesser types or versions of the ultimate (i.e. Heavy AFV and C1 !) Both are the cheaper option to more expensive types of kit.

    As for 7 squadrons of Typhoons being enough??? How?? Lets assume one of those is a training outfit, that leaves 6 units. So one in afghan, one preparing for afghan, one just back. That leaves us three squadrons to do UK air def, exercises, and provide a squadron for “contingencies” Lets not forget that 1435 flight will need supporting too. We are going to have some very busy aircrew and knackered airframes. In a worst case we could have 3 sqns involved in afghan, one in the US on red flag, one being rushed off to deal with “the next crisis” leaving 12 jets to protect the UK…..forget it, RAF would fall apart.

    The days of mounting operations Granby or Telic let alone Corporate are over. We will still have a world class Armed Forces but will have to act in partnership with others. We are exceedingly unlikely to ever go up against another Country in high intensity conflict without being part of a coalition including the US.

    And you are absolutely sure about that? We couldn’t mount Corporate as it was done, but why would we? There is barely a a scrap of kit left from 1982, the UK would fight corporate entirely differently….Think of the kit we now have that we didn’t have in 82….HMS Ocean, TLAM, E3 Sentry, SK7 ASAC, Merlin, Apache….we would have no need to fight corporate as we did, that would be insane, if anything it would be easier now, imagine Goose Green supported by Apaches, in fact imagine Apaches full stop roaming over East Falkland supported by SK7 ASACs etc….ouch, it would have been over far quicker.

    in reply to: Rafale M a possibility for RN if F-35 axed (Times article) #2007886
    pjhydro
    Participant

    pjHydro. I even went so far on another forum to suggest
    that if such a thing was going to happen, both navies could
    then on occasion operate their CVs jointly!
    No problems with a French squadron on the QEs nor a British
    one on CDG/PA2. Political advantages too when the enemy
    gets the message of Entente Cordiale coming its way to kick
    its ass!!!
    And maybe the Germans on top, on a “rented” flotille, lol.
    Unless they’d team up with the Netherlands on their own
    shared CV ( what plane though? ).
    If the RN gets Raffys onboard, it’s gonna smell strongly of
    Euro Def!
    😎

    P.S. The French are also interested by the Mantis, seriously!
    Which brings this to mind, does anyone know which UCAVs
    from anywhere stand a chance of “navalization”?

    ++1 Can hear “boys are back in town” playing in the distance….:D

    Naval UCAVs seem to be a septic preserve at the moment.

Viewing 15 posts - 436 through 450 (of 845 total)