Hi Napoleon!
US Navy is a case study in antiquity. They expect to fight all future adversaries like they fought the Battle of Saipan, successive waves of attackers until the enemy runs out of bullets or Navy runs out of airplanes.
Hi Dj
You should have started your text with “IMO”…
By failing to recapitalize, the USAF’s Mudhens will be tasked until F-35As are available. The choice between deploying Mudhens and F-35s is easy due to improved capability and reduced support requirements.
By failing to recapitalize its (USAF) fleet, you mean?
And that happened because? It might have something to do with exploding costs and shifts to the right in the production line for the ATF and JSF programs?!
In other words, because the USAF and LM made a mess of the ATF and JSF programs (exploding budgets and diminuishing fleets), there will be Strike Eagles, and Vippers doing front line combat duties for (at least) the next two decades…
Thanks for suporting my points.
To some extent I agree with djcross.
As I just linked to in the missiles subforum, the UK fired 80 cruise missiles in Libya; the US fired a much larger number; add to that what France fired.
In addition B2s also flew some missions.
My understanding (but I may be wrong) is that had the F-35 been available during the Libya conflict then one would not have needed to fire all those cruise missiles.
Curiously one of the main reasons for “CASOMING” targets deep inside Lybia was the lack of range of the CSAR teams. Unless someone develops a CSAR capable Dave…
Not only that. The Raptor has one set of sensors and the Eurofighter has another. The F22 lacks an IRST like the Pirate so without radars turned on the Eurofighter should be able to plan the entry in the dogfight better than the F22. And from then on it’s all about pilot skills.
Luftwaffe´s Phoon´s dont have Pirate.
They denied the outcome of the WVR encounters.
And? Are you implying that the Germans lied?
You are really having problems to accept that the Raptor might have a few BFM´s in wich they came on the wrong side of a gun muzle aint you?
The basic numbers (T/Weight and wing loading) for the two airframes are almost identical, not much to choose between the two, throw the Raptors LO and sensors advantage to the “bin”, take the fight into WVR and the outcome is heavily dependent on pilot skill´s.
To complement this, Lt Col Marc Grune, the Luftwaffe’s operations group commander, the one that lead the Phoon´s flight is the same chap that “got” a pair of Rafale´s in a previous BFM, he is a veteran with an awfull lot of flying hours in the Eurofighter, if the rest of the German detach were composed of the same ilk, its bleeding obvious that there were going to be some Raptors ending on the wrong end of the gun camera…
So whats so surprising?
If your country’s combat airplane of choice is not capable of both offensive and defensive operations against a capable adversary, expect to be told to stay home (or provide something useful, such as cargo support).
Wait, the Pentagon will tell to the US Navy and USAF to maintain all those Strike Eagles and Super Hornets sqn´s at home!
Oui, et je suis Napoleon!
Is every future conflict going to be as simple as Libya?
Simple? Really?
Having to cross the entire Med, then having to pinpoint targets the size of a small car in the midle of densely populated cities in the midst of combat in wich there was absolutely no diferentiation betwen the oponents (nevermind the civilians), without UAV suport (at least on the initial phases) is simple! Well!!!
Or could it be difficult, with sophisticated CCD and IADS?
I am really having a hard time to understand what are those ATG missions that (for the foreseable future) an evolved Gripen equiped with something like the LITENING G4, Rover 5 and an assorted selection between the likes of MBDA Spear, IPavewayIV or the AGM-158B (depending on the scenario) cant handle.
I can only think of two, the first involves more double digit sam units than what the Russians field outside Moscow, the other involves a chap from the some MOD telling the pilots “you must visualy JDAM an S400 Batery”.
Both of them are, at the best, very niche scenarios.
But i am a layman, i can be entirely wrong.
Since you fight with the kit you already have, do you want capable kit? Or kit suited to the 1980s?
“kit suited to the 1980s“
Nice catch phrase!
Sounds really nice, LM should stick it in every presentation ppt!
Now, can i spend the extra cash that i´ve saved by not acquiring a LO/VLO 13ton+ airframe on things like the MBDA Spear, AGM-158B, MBDA Meteor, etc?
And can i spend the money saved by not operating such a beast on flying hours for my (Danish) pilots?
Or (in alternative) can i have a meeting with those chaps from General Atomics?
Capability? Tricky word.
If you were the Defence Minister of a small country with a limited budget would you not seriously consider alternatives?
Real sensor fusion and some sophisticated processing techniques.
If that “80´s kit” mention was good, this one is simply wonderful! 🙂
REAL SENSOR FUSION
I really like it. Does it go with the “without latency” option? :dev2:
(Dont need to answer that one, it was a cheap shot, i admit)
I am also having a deja vu, i have this image of fleets of F-22 Raptors (their pilots having helmet mounted displays in their heads) roaming the skies collecting data and being a comunication node with every single aerial platform present in the Pentagon portfolio!
Those LM ppt´s from the beggining of the century were just grand, were they not?
I am quite sure that “Sensor Fusion” was written all over the place on those docs!
If sensor fusion is your thing, i am sure you´ll apreciate pages 21 and 22 of this document:
http://www.saabgroup.com/Global/Documents%20and%20Images/About%20Saab/Events/Farnborough%202012/Gripen%20presentation%20Farnborough.pdf
EODAS can provide initial cueing, but its the “big sensors” that discriminate targets v decoys, and provide weapons quality targeting.
Thank you.
Translated, “if its dificult to discriminate between a TEL and a buch of trees (or Berlin) dont be silly and use the ETOPS, the AN/APG-81, the two together, or better still, if its in disputed airspace send something without a man (or woman) on it”.
Back to square one, a modern AESA Radar, a modern tracking and targeting pod, data linking with the rest of the assets (throw in a satcom, by the way), “some sophisticated processing techniques” et voilá…
The actual performance of the “system” would have to be analyzed with factual data, something that is not available on public, and compared, but at least on theory there´s nothing that the likes of evolved Eagles, Gripens, etc, couldnt do.
I am sure that you do have some well founded base for your claims and cant disclose them, but i dont have many doubts that the Boeing chaps would surely disagree.
Anything to make a buck, but the capability may not be very useful in a stressing scenario.
Entirely agree, that capability might not be very useful on a stressing scenario… independently of the platform, be it a Sopwith Camel or an F-35.
Now that reunion with those General Atomic chaps…
The “gargantuan logistics tail” is modeled after the commercial business model used by airlines. There is a small set of spare parts stored at the “retail level” (i.e. the airbase) to service immediate needs. A larger set of spares stored at a shared “wholesale level” (i.e.regional center) to replenish retail spares. Regional centers will be in Europe, Australia, and 2 locations in the US. Repair parts are sent to the OEM for repair. Turnaround through the supply system is incentivized with more $ reward for faster turnaround. This is infinitely preferable to the old model where every Air Force had its own (expensive) Intermediate repair and (expensive) depot repair capability. Think of it as a single supply system servicing a 3500 jet fleet instead of 13 supply systems with fleet sizes ranging from 24 to 2400 jets
1º What Scorpion said.
2º When i´ve used the expression “gargantuan logistics tail”, it wasnt with a pejorative intention. The EPAF countries had a wonderful experience with the Viper, its just normal that experience combined with a potencial massive acquisition of assets by the Pentagon creates an massive selling point on JSF favour.
What is the value of capability to Denmark?
I am remembering something from my Danish History lessons.
There was this chap called Hägar the Horrible who, somewhere in the 9th century, was having problems with a bunch of pesky Northumbrians, so he went to the Danish (9th century) industrial/military complex and ordered a new generation (the fith one) of Drakars.
Those new ships were going to be bloody fast, agile and it would be almost impossible to detect them while at sea, he wanted 750 of them.
The Danish (9th century) industrial/military complex promised that those new Drakars (the ATFD, “D” is for “Drakar”) would cost more or less the same that the last generation of ships, while at the same time having some new magical capabilities, Hoggar believed it and ordered forward the construction.
Has time went by, two things happened, first the magic guild (the chaps who made the new Drakkar invisible) asked far more than it was initialy predicted, so the cost of the ships balloned, and the Northumbrians got hammered by a political/economical crisis, so Hoggar got to think, “650 of them might do the trick”. The costs continued to climb and Hoggar thought “hmmm, 381 of them might serve”, etc…
In the end Hoggar got 187, of wich more than 1/4 are exclusively used for rowing training around Sjaelland. Mind you, the around 130 combat capable 5G Drakars are the worlds envy, but strangely Hoggar has led a bucket load of incursions around the world and never used them!
Some chaps even call these Drakars “port queens”…
So, yes i agree with you, measuring capabilities versus cost is absolutely essential.
You might end up with a halved fleet of very expensive “port queens”!
If your expectation is fly-bys on national holidays, then buy M-346s
“If your expectation is fly-bys on national holidays, then buy M-346s“
Another lovely catch phrase!
Albeit Scorpions text is also wonderful, “stealth”, “millions” and “hangar queen”, reminds me of something…
I´ll try something of my own, “if you want to starve of oxigen a pilot while flying at supersonic speeds then buy a 5G LM product”. How´s that?
Yours better, i admit.
.
And, last but not least, who wants to train in Lynkoping, when you can train in Florida?!
*
Lynkoping
Well, the bantering was quite nice and DJ, its a pleasure to trade “jabs” with a well informed chap like yourself.
Cheers
OK, that means from the point of view of drag the optimum solution would be semi-recessed missiles.. No boxy shape and no draggy pylons.
I wouldnt vouch for it, but there´s a bit of anedoctal evidence that the Phoon is a mit faster with four semi recessed AIM120 than without them (the “holes” being draggier than the AAM´s).
Since yesterday an animated preview of the book is available …
http://www.harpia-publishing.com/index-ModernChineseWarplanes.html
I hope You like it ….
Cheers, Deino
Thats a hell of a good job Deino!
Congratulations
Yes, common sense: without EFT the the combat radius of F 22 is bigger.
Really? And thats based on what?
The internal fuel fraction of the Raptor is actualy a bit worse than that of the Phoon, the fuel consumption at the altitudes and speeds in wich the BFM happened are anyone´s guess.
Between these two the range diference on internal fuel will be small (and on an Apples to Apples comparison you might get a shock), and in this particular event the time on station had probably more to do with training/tactics/personal use of the aircraft. Or on other words “how much do you like your afterburner”?
firstly , aim-120 is 152 kg , have a diameter of 180 mm , length of 3.7 m , the RVV-MD is 190 kg , have diameter of 200 mm , length is 3.71 m , the Meteor is 185 kg , have diameter of 178 mm , length is 3.65 m
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MBDA_Meteor
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/R-77_%28missile%29
so it seem that R-77 is the biggest and heaviest of the 3
Moon
May i ask what a diference between the Vympel RVV-MD and the MBDA Meteor of 5 kilos in weight and 6 cm in lenght are suposed to mean in relative terms of lethality?!
secondly , the 9M96E2 missile (S-400 ) is 420 kg , and can reach 120 km when fire from ground ( air launch may reach 200-> 400 km ) ,also radar guide and it is very deadly against any fighter , so i dont think weight is a problem
Now you lost me, we were talking of the latest generation BVR AAM´s, right?!
If not, well, a Bristol BloodHound had a range of +85 km and weighted +2 tons, both of these are interesting numbers, because, well… they are totaly irrelevant?
finally , F-16 equipt with 4 Ale-50 and alq-184 is hardly an high end threat , more than that iam not very impressed with the F-22 , in fact the F-22 lack of IRST making it very vulnerable against another stealth fighter , so if the F-22 , and F-35 go head to head , 99 % the time the F-35 will get the first shot , fire all of it’s missiles and come home before the raptor know any things ( due to EOTS ) and even if the fight go WVR i dont really think the F-22 will enjoy much advantages as it dont have JHMCS , DAS or DIRCM like the F-35
?!
Well, if you are not impressed with the Raptor, i surely was/am!
That beast combines mach 1.7 supercruise, 9G´s, a LO airframe, a big AESA set, etc… And it was flying in 1997!
Japan’s objective is to join the US F-22 replacement program, but the F-3 will come as a stand-alone jet should that not materialize.
How do you write “Replica” in Japanese?
Expensive to operate? You’ve got it all wrong, Sintra. It will only cost only 7% more to operate than F-16. That figure is from LM so it has to be right, hasn’t it? 🙂
Yep.
Silly me… 🙂
That prediction (“It will only cost only 7% more to operate than F-16”) was made using the exact same tool that was used to predict the number of test flights needed.
I cant quite seem to remember the name of the chap who developed the software, it was either “Dilbert” or “Dogbert”, it had worked before for Eurofighter GMBH and it had a norwegian cousin that wrote reports for their MOD…
I know some of the comment on APA are quite stupid ( mostly to attack the F-35 ) but they have some good point too ( i think )
I dont think “some of the comment on APA are quite stupid”, sometimes they are heavily biased, yes, and a great big chunk of their work on Russian AAm´s is a bit dated, but stupid? No, far from it.
The (two) chaps at APA have a solid technical background, the problem (IMO) is they just dislike with a vengeance the F-35, and sometimes their objectivity goes right out of the window.
But stupid? Far from it.
My coment about APA was based on the assumption that you had seen one of their charts comparing AAM´s range (a red Flanker bristling with KS172´s, Ramjet R-77, etc, by oposition there was a blue F-35 equiped with the “puny” AIM120, right?). Those charts were reasonable when they were made, but a lot of water went under the bridge, and by the end of 2012 we are aware that the KS172 project went “t*ts up” when the IAF declined it, that the Ramjet R77 might appear one day, some day maybe one day, but not next week, nor next year,etc, etc.
Can you gave me the source on where it say r-77m project is dead ? ( just curious caused i can’t find it )
The ramjet R-77M was publicly inveiled in the 1993 Moscow Air Show, in 1995 Vympel stated that it had carried live tests in a Flanker, from then on the only snipets of information that came out were that it had died a peaceful death, more precisely the R&D budget dried up in 1999. If i remember correctly (i might be wrong, it was a long time ago), the source was Pyotr Butowski.
Mind you that Vympel has a solid experience in Ramjet´s and an ramjet R77 is an obvious answer to counter western developments, so a new/diferent ramjet “M” (Izd 190?) might appear, but the original design went into the refrigerator a long, long, long time ago.
and the new russian missiles seem to be much bigger than aim-120d or meteor so i really think they have better range ( bigger motor )
The MBDA Meteor its actualy slightly longer and heavier than the Vympel R-77 wich is very, very slightly bigger than the AIM120D.
In terms of size these three are on the same spot.
And what about k-100 ( they claim can hit target that can do 12g ) , the R-37M claim to be able to shot down combat aircraft , so in some way they can be quite deadly to the f-35
Then we have to ask ourselves whats a K-100? Its the Novator KS-172? The Vympel K37M? The Vympel RVV-BD?
Whats certain is that Russia kept a bit of R&D budget for long range/Heavy AAM´s and that the fleet of MIg-31/Mig-31BM fields a lot of reworked SARH R-33´s and (probably but not certainly) a handful of R-37´s (without the “M” sufix) and are working on a new weapon, when will this new AAM will be with the front line units?
God and someone at Vympel might answer that one, my own take is “someday”, looking at the pace of development for the last decades the correct answer might be “someday in the next decade”.
And a 0.303 round can ” in some way they can be quite deadly to the f-35″, it all depends on the circumstances.
But lets think about it, does a 600 kg, radar guided, long range aam look particulary useful to deal with a LO/VLO, supersonic, 9G platform?!
No, i dont really think so.
Dont misunderstanding me , i really think f-35 is a good aircraft but it carry too little missiles :confused: , and even the f-16 can carry at least 4 ale-50 ( more if it use alq-184 so what will happened to f-35 if it run out of missile ( carry missile out side will give f-35 rcs equal to f-16 , or may be f-15:confused: )
There´s this thing called the “F-22 Raptor” in the USAF to deal with high end ATA threats.
And even if the Raptor is not present, the mix of LO/VLO, cutting edge sensors, evolved network, mach 1.6, 9G´s and the D Amraam make the F-35A a very, very unpalatable adversary for everyone.
Please explain why Denmark bought Draken & CV90. They’re both Swedish.
The chap who made the decisions was a Swedish in disguise called Humphrey Appleby?
I´ll get me coat… 😀
The posters on this forum have a fixation on air-to-air (WHOOOEEEEE! Look mom, I’m a fighter pilot!). While A2A clears airspace, the reality is air-to-ground operations shape the success or failure of a ground campaign. This is done by ordnance on target or reconnaissance that enables your command structure to operate inside the adversary’s OODA loop.
Gen 4 jets have limited utility in modern air-to-ground operations. Tornados may be great at bombing buildings or bridges, but adversaries’ warfighting ability no longer relies on fixed structures. Everything is mobile — command vans, TBM launchers, SAM batteries, artillery batteries, Tank and mechanized armies, all mobile and constantly moving. Mobile targets are also camouflaged with sophisticated IR and RF netting. So they don’t show up on Gen 4 SAR or FLIR. And what you detect is likely a decoy. NATO learned that hard lesson against Serbia. NATO killed hundreds of decoys, but very few Serb vehicles.
A fortune has been spent learning how to discriminate between decoys and real targets. Gen 4 doesn’t have that capability, but F-35 does.
So how tactically (or strategically) useful is your Tornado, or Typhoon or Rafale, or F-15, or F-16, or F-18 when it cannot determine the difference between a group of trees and a camouflaged TBM aimed at Paris, Berlin or London?
Hmmmm, then that footage of technicals being detected-tracked-locked, blown to pieces in downtown Bengazi, right in the midle of buildings, trees, peoples, vehicles, etc, was made by RAF F-35´s?!
And me thinking that Tornados equiped with LITENING pods had done the trick! Silly me…
I am really having problems to understand in what way, can a F-35 better “discriminate between decoys and real targets” than say an evolved Gripen with a poded sensor.
If the answer is “EODAS” like Spud so strongly states, my next question is, doesnt ETOPS have a vastly (and i mean VASTLY) more discrimnating capability than EODAS by the simple fact that it can zoom targets at a much, much, much smaller DOF (depth of field)?
And if the answer is “YES” (i can imagine that it is), well, we are back to square one aint we?
Lockheed Martin is trying to sell all across NATO poded versions of the ETOPS, AKA improved versions of Sniper XR pod (and dont forget General Atomics, who is proposing the exact same sensors on their drone family, dont let the idea that you can send an UAV to do the dirty work fool you, send a manned fighter!). Not to be outdone, the compettion (Northrop, Rafael, Thales, etc) is offering identical systems.
For a lay man like myself the JSF brings three things to the table:
1 – Stealth (thats the obvious one)
2 – An huge internal fuel fraction (with its advantages and drawbacks)
3 – A gargantuan logistical tail that could be called “Pentagon Inc” (and thats a formidable advantage, especialy for EPAF countries)
It also has some obvious drawbacks (f you are a Dane):
1 – Its bloody big and heavy, wich means that is going to be expensive both to acquire and operate.
2 – Its bloody big and heavy, wich means that is going to be expensive both to acquire and operate.
and dont forget
3 – That thing has an almost identical weight to a F-4E Phantom, wich means that is going to be expensive both to acquire and operate.
If i was the Dane Defense Minister and had the budget to acquire and operate 48 Dave´s, i would sign on the spot. On the other hand if i was the Dane Defense Minister with the 2001 budget to acquire and operate 48 fighters (remember 2001, when LM rep´s were crossing all Europe promising the Dave at a cost that made a Viper Block52 look expensive?) i would be looking at all the alternatives.
It would be a sorry state of affairs if the air force ended up with less than half of the airframes that they´ve asked in… 2001 while the flying hours had to be cut because the new kit was vastly more expensive to operate that the old Viper.
ps – Dont tell to the Boeing chaps that are in South Korea trying to sell “death and destruction” that their latest bird is worse than the Dave in discriminating ATG targets, they´l have an heart attack!