dark light

Sintra

Forum Replies Created

Viewing 15 posts - 1,471 through 1,485 (of 3,443 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • in reply to: Heads up! #2222720
    Sintra
    Participant

    The photo is obviously an McDonnell Douglas A-12 Avenger II

    [ATTACH=CONFIG]227682[/ATTACH]

    I´ll get me hat

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2222728
    Sintra
    Participant

    The USAF does the same in its budget documents. As mentioned earlier, it often turns out that the price negotiated by the JPO is different from the amount that the DOD budgets for the product. In the case of the LRIP 7 it was 22% lower than what was budgeted. At times the services have to pay more then what they have budgeted or expected..

    Bring

    Unfortunately we can officialy put a grave on the idea that somehow the JPO had got a 22% discount over what the USAF had budgeted for LRIP7…
    And using the JPO and LM official documents. I�ve checked it out, De Brigantis got the numbers all wrong (but the general idea of the article is correct).
    Thing is, the JPO spokesman, Joe DellaVedova, when mentioned the 98 million bit for LRIP 7 just forgot to say that it didnt included things like the engine (and ECO, non recurring costs and ancilary equipment, wich are all part of the definition of whats a “Fly Away Unit Cost” in the USAF parlance).
    Its the bleeding contract between LM and the JPO, it doesnt cover a bucket load of things that are needed to have an aircraft, namely the engine.

    https://www.f35.com/news/detail/lrip-6-7-contract-agreements

    The “Fly Away Unit Cost” for a LRIP 7 F-35A is 126.859 million us$, has stated in the 2015 USAF Budget, and thats the end of it.

    So yes, Bogdan is (respectufully) entirely nuts if he belives in that 2019 prediction and he´s bollocking numbers. Well, he´s just the latest JSF Program Executive Officer, on a long line, who has bollocked numbers.
    But i´ll be happy if they prove me wrong 🙂

    Cheers

    in reply to: Dassault Rafale, News & Discussion (XV) #2222931
    Sintra
    Participant

    Interesting fact: P-38 had to be withdrawn from the European theatre as it was too vulnerable to smaller single-engined fighters (Me-109 and FW-190).

    The P-38 operated in combat operations over Europe till VE Day. The Eight Air Force, the strategic bombing force, had swaped its P-38´s for P-51D´s by September 44, but the Ninth Air Force who had a tactical role, was still using it (with the 474th Sqn) by the end of the war.

    in reply to: Dassault Rafale, News & Discussion (XV) #2223127
    Sintra
    Participant

    19 March 2014 – World’s first formation flight between a single engined 5th generation jet fighter and a twin engined WWII-era fighter where both aircraft were named “Lightning.”

    hops,

    :dev2:

    That photo either belongs to the JSF topic or the historical forúm, or both, not here.
    Nothing against a bit of bantering (quite the oposite) but be a nice chap and move along, ok? Next a photo with a Rafale on it would be apreciated.

    Cheers
    ps – A photo with the F-35, the Bac Lightning and the P-38, now thats a photo i woud like to see

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2223131
    Sintra
    Participant

    And this is what i call good news for the JSF program:

    Australia to confirm 58-aircraft F-35 order

    Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott will announce on 23 April that his government has approved the acquisition of 58 Lockheed Martin F-35A Lightning II Joint Strike Fighters, to replace the Royal Australian Air Force’s Boeing F/A-18A/B “classic” Hornets.

    IOC date:

    Its first four aircraft are to be ferried to Australia in 2018 to support operational evaluation activities, before the type achieves initial operating capability in 2020.

    And a possible “third tranche” to be decided in the twenties:

    A further Phase 2C tranche of the project, for up to 28 additional combat aircraft, was also deferred in 2012 for a decision in the early 2020s.

    Not too shaby, not too shaby at all.

    http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/australia-to-confirm-58-aircraft-f-35-order-398443/

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2223157
    Sintra
    Participant

    I never said you based your Research on his article, sorry if it came across as that, what I meant was that ” here’s a quote from an article” :). I only used the JPO quote from the article to show what the office had to say about the apparent discrepancy between the bogdan prediction (80-85 million) and the budget documents.

    Ok

    Apparently the JPO head thinks they can save money over and above what is budgeted.

    I sincerely hope they can. I have been watching the JSF and Eurofighter´s program costs for years, between the two the future of something like 80% of NATO (and to a smaller degree) western nations fast jet fleets depends on those two programs. Both have been doing the same bleeding mistakes and they are going to end up a lot more expensive than it was originaly planned, smaller fleets, and the smaller nations might get excluded from the fast jet business…

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2223167
    Sintra
    Participant

    Quote from an article from a die hard F-35 fan 😉

    http://www.defense-aerospace.com/article-view/release/152337/recent-public-statements-strain-credibility-of-f_35-program-chief.html

    From the other side : http://www.elementsofpower.blogspot.com/2014/03/f-35-price-sinks-to-us80-85m-in-fy2019.html

    Bring

    De Brigantis? You think that i am basing my numbers on him?! No, i´ve actually read the Budget.
    And i can find more holes in that article than there were in the Titanic AFTER it had hit ice.

    Look at this:

    “These figures are difficult to reconcile with the most recent contract prices, which largely exceed $200 million, and US Air Force budget documents, which estimate that F-35A aircraft ordered in FY2019 will have a Flyaway Unit Cost (FUC) of $97.1 million, plus the cost of the F135 which is procured separately and costs about $25 million.”

    If he had read the documents he would be aware that the $97.1 million includes the engine at an estimated cost of $12.725 million. The description of the items included in the “FUC” are three pages after the one that De Brigantis got the magical “Flyaway Unit Cost ($ in Millions) – 97.117”.

    About this:

    “For example, in LRIP 7 (buy year 2013, delivery 2015), we negotiated with LM the price of $98 million for an air vehicle and we fully expect to negotiate a lower price in LRIP 8 and a lower price in LRIP 9,” he said.

    The $98 million cost quoted by DellaVedova is $28.8 million lower than the $126.8 million budgeted by the US Air Force for LRIP 7 aircraft, implying that the JPO was able to negotiate a reduction of 22% in the price of F-35A fighters.”

    Either Dellanova was strickly speaking of the LM contract for LRIP7, in wich case things like the engine, non recurring costs and ancilary equipment are not included wich is consistent on whats described in the USAF Budget (the 98 million is whats described under “Airframe” and “CFE Electronics”, it misses all the rest) or someone forgot to warn the USAF. I think its pretty obvious whats the correct option.

    The “other side” simply went after (with a personal attack) De Brigantis who had made (originaly) a blunder.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2223201
    Sintra
    Participant

    Speaking to reporters in Canberra on 12 March, Gen Bogdan cited a price of USD80-85 million per aircraft in 2019 dollars, inclusive of engine, manufacturer’s profit and inflation.We’re pretty confident we are going to get there”, he said, noting that this figure could fall should further orders be received but could also rise if any existing customers cancelled or deferred planned acquisitions.

    Speaking in February 2013 at the Avalon air show near Melbourne, Gen Bogdan said that Australia could expect to pay about USD90 million each (in 2020 dollars) for the F-35A variant, rather than the USD67 million suggested by manufacturer Lockheed Martin.

    http://www.janes.com/article/35212/pentagon-f-35-chief-suggests-unit-cost-of-80-85-million

    http://www.nationaldefensemagazine.org/blog/Lists/Posts/Post.aspx?ID=1482

    Not sure what “COST” he is referring to but one would assume that the metric would be the same when he talks about what it costs NOW vs what he thinks it will cost @ full rate of production..Every cost metric (procurement side) should see a proportional reduction anyhow, although the total cost numbers will definitely be different..

    If he includes inflation and if he was talking in 2019 US dollars, he should be fired. Simple as that.

    You cant have the latest USAF Budget saying this:

    Recurring Cost (2019)
    Airframe – 58.995
    CFE Electronics – 17.458
    GFE Electronics – /
    Engines – 12.725
    Armament – /
    ECO – 1.784

    and this (2019):

    Flyaway Unit Cost ($ in Millions) – 97.117

    and the JSF Program Executive Officer stating numbers in the 80/85 million US$ ballpark at the same time. Its ridiculous.
    Did i forget to mention that the numbers present in past Budget´s have been incredibly optimistic?
    So either Bogdan bollocked the numbers (in wich case he would simply be the last in a long line of JSF Program Executives “bollocking” the numbers), or he was mis-interpreted by the Journos.

    in reply to: F-35 News, Multimedia & Discussion thread (3) #2223232
    Sintra
    Participant

    85 million a pop @ full rate of production (2018 or 2019) is what the Program Head has stated is his figure given what he knows “today”. Nothing more and nothing less. Lets wait and see. When he refers to 85 million in then dollars its the fly away cost of the jet. What a potential FMS F-35 sells for is not his concern. What it costs at the end of the line per jet, is his domain.

    http://www.aviationweek.com/Blogs.aspx?plckBlogId=Blog:27ec4a53-dcc8-42d0-bd3a-01329aef79a7&plckPostId=Blog%3A27ec4a53-dcc8-42d0-bd3a-01329aef79a7Post%3Ae683cc34-c688-40dc-96b6-ea037a0115c8

    Bring

    I am quite sure that Bogdan was not using “then year dollars”, and he was not using the “fly away unit cost”. It was in 2014 dollars and the chap is using the “Non Recurring Fly Away Unit Cost”.
    If he used “then year dollars” and the “fly away unit cost” for a 2019, full rate, sixty units by year, Dave A, Bogdan would have to say that “he still expects the total flyaway cost for the F-35A to be under $97.117 million at full-rate production”.
    That number is what�s written on the 2015 USAF Budget that was released a few days before the AW article was published (and if we take out the non recurring costs and the inflation the number will be something around those 85 million a pop).

    http://www.saffm.hq.af.mil/shared/media/document/AFD-140310-041.pdf

    Cheers

    in reply to: UK Poseidon and Triton to replace Nimrod? #2223410
    Sintra
    Participant

    And the US Navy ASW Fleet Challenge 2014 was just won by… the RAF!
    An entirely RAF crew “scraped” from seedcorn picked up a P-8 and went winning an ASW competition…

    http://www.navy.mil/submit/display.asp?story_id=80308

    ACKSONVILLE, Fla. (NNS) — Fleet Challenge 2014 wrapped up its annual anti-submarine warfare competition April 10 at Naval Air Station Jacksonville.

    This year’s winners were the allied P-8A Poseidon aircrew from the Pro’s Nest of Patrol Squadron (VP) 30, followed closely in second place by VP-4 Skinny Dragons flying the P-3C, and third place taken by a VP-5 Mad Fox crew in a P-8A.

    “Fleet Challenge was a great, challenging experience and a superb opportunity to fly together as a British crew on a real submarine target,” said Royal Air Force Master Aircrewman Mark Utting from VP-30. “As with all anti-submarine warfare flights you have to remain flexible, and the submarine never does what you think it will. That being said, we had planned for all eventualities and the sortie went well.”

    The cynic in me says that Boeing is delighted :dev2:

    I´ll get me hat :angel:

    Sintra
    Participant

    so i have dug some more and all the wind tunnel models were competing with eachother for the best model of a “flying wing plane” that the russian author thinks that will be a very early iteration of the pak-da

    http://imagizer.imageshack.us/a/img834/1228/9341q.jpg
    http://imagizer.imageshack.us/a/img845/184/1131891.jpg
    http://imagizer.imageshack.us/a/img266/9382/wing2x.jpg
    http://imagizer.imageshack.us/a/img545/161/126hyy.jpg
    http://magmens.com/uploads/posts/2014-02/1391808763_5.jpg
    http://topwar.ru/uploads/posts/2013-12/1387946593_8c3e5204d181a2ee25fb7fc02b72d7cb.jpg

    Same thing here, the first four images show BWB configurations, possible transport, airlifter, no bomber.

    Sintra
    Participant

    http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-g1VE1oXRBUU/UpexSIz96nI/AAAAAAAABWM/JwW7LYVEwu4/s1600/97861.png

    another prototype model apparently shown to Medvedev. looks similar to the german bomber

    Thats a BWB wing and its not a bomber design, think civilian transport configuration first, possible airlifter configuration second. No Bomber.

    Sintra
    Participant

    idk if you guys remember the airforce competition project for a new bomber- locheed martin+boeng vs Northrop

    http://paralay.iboards.ru/download/file.php?id=13986&mode=view

    they already started apparently…

    Thats one of Lockheed Martin’s Speed Agile powered-lift STOL airlifter concept´s. It has nothing to do with Bombers.

    in reply to: UK Poseidon and Triton to replace Nimrod? #2224467
    Sintra
    Participant

    You can only save initial purchase cost by dropping features along with a lower cost for smaller planes airframe. My statement is based on a scenario where they choose a smaller plane but then try and cram all P-8 level of equipment into it.

    Oh, i see. Trying to “cram” a P-8 level of equipment into a smaller airframe might well be a very fine way of having a more expensive aircraft than the original P-8!

    My comment was on the assumption that you were comparing the two designs that were publicly touted as the “leading” contenders for the RAF future requirement, an Airbus C-295 variant and the P-8.
    In truth seeing that there are dozens of RAF chapies flying in P-8�s and there�s no one stationed with the likes of the Portuguese (or the Irish) Air Force, its a fair bet that there�s a favored option.

    in reply to: UK Poseidon and Triton to replace Nimrod? #2224593
    Sintra
    Participant

    Careful – not all English-speakers will understand that the comma in there is a decimal point in Portuguese, & that’s $180 million. 😉

    Ooops, sorry, you are correct of course, its $180 million.

    Cheers (and thanks)

Viewing 15 posts - 1,471 through 1,485 (of 3,443 total)