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ATFS_Crash

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  • in reply to: Britain considers JSF pullout #2465445
    ATFS_Crash
    Participant

    Double post. please delete

    in reply to: Britain considers JSF pullout #2465448
    ATFS_Crash
    Participant

    Seventy two SU-27 could beat six F-22s. The sky is falling, we should get hysterical and cancel the JSF and F-22.
    http://www.flightglobal.com/articles/2008/09/29/316555/war-game-argues-that-usaf-fleet-could-be-outmatched-by.html

    If the F-22 and F-35 is as ineffective as many of these spammers and political proponents hysterically claim; then why are so many countries trying to copy the technology; by developing aircraft that are similar and using similar technology? If the F-22 is as inferior as some people claim, then why are countries begging to purchase it? If the F-35is as inferior as some people claim, then why are countries lining up and continue to line up to purchase it?

    Vast quantities of inferior aircraft could overwhelm superior aircraft. So does that mean we should try to defend ourselves using Fokker Dr.Is?

    If technology always advanced in the same direction than we would have stuck with triplanes instead of going to the less maneuverable monoplane.

    ATFS_Crash
    Participant

    Seventy two SU-27 could beat six F-22s. The sky is falling, we should get hysterical and cancel the JSF and F-22.
    http://www.flightglobal.com/articles/2008/09/29/316555/war-game-argues-that-usaf-fleet-could-be-outmatched-by.html

    If the F-22 and F-35 is as ineffective as many of these spammers and political proponents hysterically claim; then why are so many countries trying to copy the technology; by developing aircraft that are similar and using similar technology? If the F-22 is as inferior as some people claim, then why are countries begging to purchase it? If the F-35is as inferior as some people claim, then why are countries lining up and continue to line up to purchase it?

    Vast quantities of inferior aircraft could overwhelm superior aircraft. So does that mean we should try to defend ourselves using Fokker Dr.Is?

    If technology always advanced in the same direction than we would have stuck with triplanes instead of going to the less maneuverable monoplane.

    ATFS_Crash
    Participant

    Oh God, not another one quoting decade-old nightmare stories from FAS, floating ICBM-launching tankers, and providing computer animations on youtube…Quousque tandem!! 😀

    May I ask some basic questions?
    – how long, pray, will Iran and the like develop an atomic bomb?
    – how long will it take to miniaturize it to put it anything smaller than a Titan II?
    – how long will it take for Iran and the like to produce anything like a ICBM?
    – will the Russian retaliation capacity be at least partly impeded by a first strike when there will be at least 10+ interceptors in Poland, 20+ in Alaska and an unkown number on US territory (not to mention ship based ABMs)?
    Just naivety, probably.

    As I have shown similar things have occurred several decades apart.

    Like they say: those that don’t learn from history, are doomed to repeat it.

    Like I say. A smart man learns from his mistakes, an even smarter man learns from other people’s mistakes, and even smarter man uses knowledge and reason to prevent from making mistakes in the first place. Fools choose to ignore the facts (and history), logic and reasoning and instead choose continue to repeat the same mistakes and risk making worse mistakes.

    How long did it take for the US to develop a nuclear bomb? If it wasn’t for the subterfuge/attack damage/the brain drain from their own tyranny, Japan or Germany might have completed a bomb before war’s end. As it was they had enough for a dirty bomb and had plans for both fusion and dirty bombs. Not many people know that a shipment of processed uranium was in route to Japan when Germany surrendered, the fuel was intended for attacks on the US. It is feasible that the fuel that was meant to bomb the US was instead used to bomb Japan to end the war. How ironic.

    If it wasn’t for subterfuge/attack damage/the brain drain from their own tyranny; Iran might have the nuclear bomb now. Even with the subterfuge there is a remote possibility that Iran has a fission bomb. As it is now Iran has the technology and the materials to make a dirty bomb, however I feel they are holding out and using their resources for a fission bomb.

    How long it takes depends. Since we have resisted it has taken a long time. Your argument is since it took a long time it’s not worth resisting.

    Your logic isn’t.

    how long will it take for Iran and the like to produce anything like a ICBM?

    That’s moot anyway. As the facts and logic show which you have clearly ignored Iran doesn’t have to have a missile that can make a direct attack from Iran to the United States to have the ability to attack United States, the UK, China. Etc… As the article and the video clearly demonstrates the ballistic missiles used in conjunction with barges that Iran already has could be used to attack the mainland United States, Israel, UK, China. Etc…

    ATFS_Crash
    Participant

    Get educated? You gotta be kiddin me. No matter how I try I don’t quite see your point providing examples that are over 30 years old and exactly as hypothetical in style *he might if… * as those presented before..

    The world is completely different today and will again be completely different in next 30 years but one thing stays for certain – any country attacking a major superpower like Russia or USA with ballistic missiles or ICBMs must count with fierce retaliation that would lead to complete destruction of the whole infrastructure of the country in question – this knowledge alone is a sufficient deterrence against such attack, with one big advantage over the ABM system: it actually works…

    The Russian early warning system is clearly not as robust as the system that the Soviets had. There has been deterioration in the system since the end of the Cold War, both the number of satellites, operational satellites on orbit, and in the radars that are operational. The Russian early warning system has deteriorated badly since the collapse of the Soviet Union. Only four satellites remain of more than a dozen that once watched the globe with their sensors. Some vital radar stations that once protected the Soviet Union are now closed because they are on territory no longer controlled by Moscow. The Russian system does provide them with adequate warning, but Russian early warning operators may not be able to tell the difference between a peaceful rocket and a military rocket from their computer screens.

    Command and control problems could lead to incorrect information being transmitted, received, displayed, or complete early-warning system failures. This was demonstrated by the convulsions the Russian command and control system endured on 25 January 1995 when a Norwegian sounding rocket launch activated President Yeltsin’s nuclear briefcase. During this major malfunction in their early warning system, for a few minutes the Russians mistakenly thought the scientific sounding rocket was in fact a missile launched from a US submarine headed in their direction.

    Radar operators issued an alert that it was an unidentified missile, with an unknown destination. The alert went to a general on duty, who received his information from the radar operator on a special notification terminal, Krokus. The duty general decided to send the alert to the highest levels. One factor might have been fear that even a lone missile would trigger a debilitating electromagnetic pulse explosion to disrupt Russia’s command-and-control system, as a prelude to a broader onslaught. At that point, the Russian electronic command-and-control network known as Kazbek, had come into play. Kavkaz is a complex network of cables, radio signals, satellites and relays that is the heart of the Russian command and control.

    From there, it caused an alert to go off on each of the three Chegets nuclear `footballs’: one with Yeltsin, one with then-Defense Minister Pavel Grachev and a third with the chief of the General Staff, then Mikhail Kolesnikov. For the first time ever, the nuclear command system started the countdown to a launch decision, and President Yeltsin and his nuclear advisors began an emergency teleconference. Yeltsin and the others holding the black suitcases monitored the rocket’s flight on their terminals. A signal was sent to the Russian strategic forces to increase their combat readiness, but the crisis then ended. After some eight minutes, perhaps two minutes short of the deadline for a decision to launch a response, the Russians realized their mistake.

    Source
    http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/russia/c3i/index.html

    Another example is that the Iranians had exercises to launch ballistic missiles from oceangoing barges. It was thought that Saddam Hussein had similar thoughts and desires. The Iranians and Saddam Hussein were apparently developing these tactics so they could launch WMD attacks using ballistic missiles to attack possible targets around the world. Israel was thought to be their primary target, the USA was thought to be their secondary target. It was also feared that Kim Yong-il might also use such tactics.

    It was proposed that THAAD could be used to defend the United States homeland against such an attack. The following video is an animation to illustrate the idea.

    THAAD Interception of Ship-Launched SCUD
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dz1-qAjWIm8

    1998
    The International Institute for Strategic Studies reports that Iran has more than 400 surface-to-surface missiles, including about 25 CSS-8 launchers with 200 missiles, and about 10 Scud launchers with 210 Scud-B and Scud-C missiles. Iran reportedly tests a short-range surface-to-surface missile from a barge in the Caspian Sea. This test may indicate that Iran plans to launch missiles from merchant ships, thereby allowing it to threaten Israel or the United States with its Scud missiles.
    —W. Seth Carus, “Iran and Weapons of Mass Destruction,” Cited 3 July 2000, http://www.ajc.org/InTheMedia/Publications.asp?did=148

    Source
    http://www.nti.org/e_research/profiles/Iran/Missile/1788_1813.html

    —-

    I think these examples show that a limited defense to ICBMs and ballistic missiles can be better than none. A limited defense shouldn’t legitimately antagonize superpowers, however it can serve as a deterrent ant defense to accidents, terrorism and small-scale attacks by rogue nations.

    In the first scenario that I just listed. Don’t you think Russia would have been less likely to respond with MAD based on a perceived ballistic missile attack by a single missile if they had a missile defense system, then if they didn’t?

    In the second scenario that I just listed. Don’t you think it’s worth the possibility to stop a rogue attack by a rogue nation rather than allowing an attack that would almost certainly result in a nuclear response and could possibly escalate to MAD?

    I think a limited defense can be a very good thing in some cases.

    in reply to: SU-35 , how will it sell? #2470731
    ATFS_Crash
    Participant

    Tracking and detecting ist a different thing….

    The detecting distance is much lower as your tracking distance!

    A: No, it should be that the tracking range is much shorter than the detecting range of the same radar for the same target.

    KKM57P you contradicted yourself within your own post.:rolleyes:;)

    The detection range and tracking range ARE completely different, so is the lock on range.

    Just because you can detect a target, doesn’t mean that you can track it. And even if you can track a target it doesn’t necessarily mean that you can track it well enough to get a lock on it.

    Is easy to detect a target from far away, you have to be closer to be able to track it, and you have to be even closer to get a lock.

    KKM57P seems to be what many people are starting to call “fan boys”. Not that I think there’s anything wrong with being a fan, however I think the term “fan boy” is generally reserved for greenhorns that are blinded by their patriotism or hatred or other form of prejudice. I think the term “fan boy” is typically reserved for those that brag (or troll or flame) and flaunt specifications and rhetoric out of advertising pamphlets. Is often evident by their usage of the specifications and rhetoric that they have no clue what they are talking about. I think it’s funny to see people bully and brag without realizing that they are flaunting their own ignorance.

    It’s much like many of the Soviet “fan boys” that compared dissimilar figures apparently thinking they were supporting their perceived superiority, yet when you take a closer more educated look at the figures they are in fact bragging about their own inferiority.

    It’s much like the Soviet fan boys that claimed that their radar is better because they post the Soviet (detect) range is greater, then the (lock on) range of a Western radar (of course they completely omitted that they were comparing the detect range to the lock on range). They made themselves fools in two ways they compared the detect range to the lock on range which is dissimilar, when you do a honest comparison it reveals that the Western radar was more advanced. Another reason that they were making fools of themselves was they were using dissimilar figures as far as target size, doing some digging the figures that they were quoting for the Soviet aircraft was for a huge target somewhere in the neighborhood of 35 m². Whereas the figures for the Western radar was for the more standard 5 m². I don’t know if they were deliberately trying to be misleading as part of a con or if it was entirely sheer ignorance. Anyway when I confronted them with their deception of using dissimilar figures and comparing them as if they were similar they would not retract their claims, on the contrary they became very hostile/abusive and started to very aggressively attack me. Just what I would expect from hateful ignorant trolls that are caught in the act of deception.

    Perhaps you are unaware that many modern missiles have the capability of passive homing, such as “home on jam”. If it’s possible to home on a jammer, don’t you think it’s possible for the missile or host aircraft to home on an opponent’s radar? That’s what some people call “passive radar”; though it is not true radar because it does not give the range, but it is sufficient for homing.

    As some people put it. “If it radiates, it dies.”

    Obviously; (generally speaking) the more powerful radar is, the more it radiates, the more it announces its presence and location (the easier it is to detect and home in on and shoot down). Generally the more powerful radar is the more it screams; here I am, I’m an easy target, come and kill me. To destroy me just simply home in on my powerful radar.:dev2:

    in reply to: SU-35 , how will it sell? #2470948
    ATFS_Crash
    Participant

    Raw power of radar is the most critical aspect of Russian systems.

    I second that. It’s great. It makes it really easy for us to detect and to lock on and shoot down Russian aircraft. Allegedly it’s also good for killing (microwaving) rabbits ( and personnel) if the radar is activated on the ground. 😉 It could be used to erase bulk hard drives and videotapes; that is if they don’t fry. 😉

    Thanks for using radar that screams out “I’m here, I’m easy to shoot down, come and get me.”

    Sometimes sensitivity and precision can be more important than raw power. 😉

    ATFS_Crash
    Participant

    Given the probability that something like that ever happens, I think it is really not worth the price.

    MAD has almost been triggered on several occasions. One time was during the Cuban missile crisis when there was a launch of a test missile. Though it was a scheduled launch and the international community was notified about it. During the tensions that occurred during the Cuban missile crisis, evidently the information was overlooked or considered suspect. The Soviets thought it was a single missile first strike attack. Nikita Khrushchev elected to put a hold on the automated response.

    Mankind almost ended because of this misunderstanding.

    That may not be the terrorist scenario that I mentioned, however it is a real life scenario. If the Soviets had anti-ballistic missile system at the time that they could have likely stopped a single rogue missile than they would have been even less likely to respond with MAD.

    If you think that the terrorist or coup attempt scenario or mad dictator that I mentioned was unrealistic. There was another incident during the Cuban missile crisis that could have triggered MAD. During the Cuban missile crisis the Soviets were smart enough to retain control over the nukes, at the height of the tensions Castro was demanding that they use tactical nukes on US forces. That real-life scenario was basically a mix of a coup attempt, terrorist and a mad dictator. (While Castro didn’t try an actual coup to take control of the Soviet nuclear forces, he might have if he could’ve figured out a way. Castro allegedly did throw several temper tantrums trying to coerce the Soviet leadership and the Soviet field commanders to use the tactical nukes.)

    To realize just how real some of these scenarios might be, I suggest watching the documentary: On the Brink: Doomsday

    It mentions several of the declassified cases that MAD was almost triggered. Get educated.

    ATFS_Crash
    Participant

    Before people defend the abm deployment, perhaps they ought to go read up on the tests and how absolutely political they were and how ineffective they will be in anything but test conditions. It’s not a 50% chance of defense, its a 0% chance of defense. The only truly working deterrent is an effective offense.

    No matter how much fud about nk, iran, and al queda is spread on this board it will not make the abm expenditures any more wise. The abm shield has to be in exacting position to make it possible to even have a chance at an intercept. Any other location and its a certain 0% effectiveness. You can park a million interceptors in Alaska and still not have any certainty of interception for missiles aimed at well over 90% of conus.

    On the contrary. I do agree that things have been highly politicized, I feel people that claim that the system is worthless isn’t paying attention to the facts and instead is motivated by politics.

    If it is worthless, then why do the Soviets and some other countries have their panties in a wad over the system?

    The effectiveness of the system is really not known. It doesn’t have to be known to be a deterrent. In some ways if the exact effectiveness was known then that could be used against us. A wildcard can be valuable.

    ATFS_Crash
    Participant

    It’s all about deterrence. If you have a limited shield then it means the enemy will only retaliate with such force that it overwhelms you shield which in turn means you defeated the whole idea of a “limited” shield to begin with.

    It is largely about deterrence. However you miss the point, it’s not meant to be a deterrent against large countries with a lot of missiles; it’s meant to be a deterrent and a defense against accidental launches, many terrorist scenarios, or a small rogue nation like Iran, or North Korea. It’s about a deterrence AND defense.

    And with the limited shield you are not bulletproof, which means you have to decide what you are going to protect at the sacrifice to everything else being left vulnerable. And since missile shields demand precise placement in the path of the ballistic missile’s flight path you telegraph your defensive choices ahead of time, which means the enemy strikes elsewhere. If its not bulletproof then its strategically worthless.

    There is not enough money in the U.S. GDP to deploy a perfect missile shield. And anything less than perfect is nonsensical.

    You’re living in a fantasy world. This is not Hollyweird; this is real life. There is no such thing as bulletproof. You say if it isn’t perfect, than it is worthless. Using that pathetic logic all weapons and defenses are worthless. There is no major weapons/defense system that is perfect. Your post is nonsensical.

    For arguments sake, I will pull a wild figures out of the air for a hypothetical example. Let’s say the system only has a 50% success rate. Let’s say the terrorists use commando tactics or use a coup attempt to seize control of 10 nuclear ICBMs launch sites and have launched 10 nuclear ICBMs at Major cities: so using your logic the cost of saving 5 major cities is not worth the price.

    Even if the system only has a 50% success rate it could be well worth the cost. Also as a deterrent it has considerable value. Do you think some terrorist organization would go to the trouble of trying to organize a coup, or some sort of commando raid to seize a nuclear ICBM, if they knew that there was a good chance that their efforts would likely be for not.

    Our intended system is a layered defense. If we can eliminate 50% at each layer then that means only a small percentage would likely get through.

    Funny thing is, sferrin, we still don’t have a working ABM defense to even deploy. It’s all a pipe dream at this point.

    That’s simply a lie. Just because something isn’t perfect doesn’t mean it doesn’t count. Using your logic there are no militaries on the world.

    ATFS_Crash
    Participant

    seems you are not much knowledgable , i suggest you research more on the zaslon-m and other newer variants

    If I have not much “knowledgable” then U B have even less “knowledgable” . I B already “knowledgable” of Russian radars which B evident by my posts.

    read the opening post of the thread:

    As is evident by my response I obviously did read your post that’s why I was laughing. Like others I read it again for another laugh.

    in terms of BVR capabilities ,upgraded mig-31 will be match for F-22

    U R a funny kid. I suspect an upgraded MiG-31 would be somewhat of a threat to an F-22, but it is laughable that you claim it is a match.

    to deal with f-22 in WVR, su-35bm or mig-35 will be sufficient , as they have 3d tvc , while f-22 has 2d tvc

    Mine is the *(bestest) and is in service in quantity.

    Note *( trying to argue like a child.)

    no, most russian sources state , its being upgraded to 4.5 generation++ ,

    Yeah but with your rhetoric you’re hyping it up so much that I expect you to say something like its seventh generation.

    with much more advanced radar and weaponry to even DEAL WITH 6th generation Hypersonic craft like DARPA’s SR-72 ‘Blackswift’

    Get for real. Congress is 10,000 times more likely to shoot down the black swift. I suspect that a Mig-31 would have virtually no chance of shooting down a black swift unless the black swift did not take any evasive action, and if the Mig-31 had prior knowledge of the flight and the flight path.

    The Soviets could not shoot down the SR-71 and they had many chances period. The SR 71 was going so fast that all it had to do is change the throttle position slightly or turn slightly and they could outrun any fighter and any missile and exhaust the hostile’s fuel before an intercept could be achieved. I suspect the only way it might be possible is if the target did not see the aggressor approaching. The Soviets couldn’t shoot down the SR 71 yet the Black Swift is supposed to be twice as fast, so I’m very skeptical that a Mig-31 could down a black swift.

    ATFS_Crash
    Participant

    What next, slap a coat of radar absorbent paint on the Mig-31 and tout it a seventh generation air superiority stealth fighter?

    Yeah sure it might have some limited capability at shooting down missiles and fair detection capabilities, however I still don’t think it is much of a fighter. To try to claim it as a rival of the F-22 is somewhat laughable. I also think that it would be more comparable with the F-14.

    in reply to: Flankers beats F-35 in highly classified simulated dogfight ? #2473917
    ATFS_Crash
    Participant

    Flankers beats F-35 in highly classified simulated dogfight

    So if this really is classified then why are people spamming it on the message boards?

    How reputable is a source? It doesn’t seem to be very reputable. It’s like someone on a street corner secretively whispering “psstt I got some merchandise to sell you real cheap, just don’t ask any questions where it’s from, it’s the real thing, I’m reputable“. If it’s stolen how do you know it’s real and how do you know this does not counterfeit junk that some sleaze is trying to pretend is stolen to make it seem plausible it’s more valuable. If it really is stolen as the crook seems to imply, then how does he know it’s real?

    By claiming it’s “highly classified” is contradicted by the fact that it is posted here. It seems just like the type of tripe that hateful scum try to post to subvert an opponent. How about some reputable and verifiable credible sources that can verify these wild claims? How about some information that’s actually technically usable, instead of just some technical psychobabble that seems to be made to sound plausible by someone that has little technical knowledge.

    As others had alluded to. Even if the story was true there are some important details that have been left out that would put this into technical perspective. If instead it seems to be hyped by someone that has little technical knowledge but much political bias/motive. Much like someone said even if the story was true it wouldn’t make much difference if the scenario and rules of engagement highly favored the aggressors. If it is a typical training scenario, then it is likely that it highly and unrealistically favored the aggressors; because we train for the worst and try not to underestimate an opponent.

    It seems this article was written to promote political bias, thusly it seems that the technical facts are compromised. I think the “highly classified” claim is just a subversive yarn to cover up for the fact that the story is likely either made up or taken out of context that cannot be confirmed with actual facts. Beware of disreputable people that make claims that cannot be verified.

    Similarly that out of the tens of thousands of claims of extraterrestrial visitors to earth; none of the claims can be confirmed because conspiracy nuts claim it is classified. As an inept as the government is; do you really think it could keep such a big secret, secret for so long, without some hard evidence? I think not.

    What next? If I claim that the government faked Elvis’s death so he could pursue a career at the 711; would you believe my story just because you can’t debunk it because I say it is a secret? I’m sorry but I typically require hard evidence and disregard whisper smear campaigns like this.

    If the scenario was a condition that simulated a JSF with unusually large signatures such as flankers approaching from the rear and the JSF in an un-stealthy mode, such as with un-stealthy external stores; than the flankers would obviously be at an extreme advantage that would not be typical in real combat. big deal.

    I really don’t think very much of people that write articles like this or the people that post them.

    in reply to: What if no B-52, would the B-47 soldier on? #2453954
    ATFS_Crash
    Participant

    http://www.matrixstreaming.com/misc/notail.jpg

    How was that aircraft able to remain stable enough to continue level flight never mind land?

    I would have thought it would have been yawing out of control eventually leading to it falling out of the sky!

    I think it was partly luck, design stability, and skill. Evidently the way it broke it did not make it overly unstable at low speed in clean air. Apparently they were fortunate that the remaining pieces of stabilizer and fuselage was enough to give stability. Rudder is not really necessary for most types of flying.

    Even with No Tail, B-52 ‘Finest I Ever Flew,’

    Source (with story)
    http://www.boeing.com/defense-space/military/b52-strat/b52_50th/story3.htm

    @ m 32 sec into this damaged video of the B-52 flying and landing with “no tail”.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gGkKSk6fAvI

    in reply to: General Discussion #327158
    ATFS_Crash
    Participant
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