I did notice that there was a figure of 110-150 km being thrown around for strait distance. One look at google earth would easely disprove that. At its narrowest point strait is some 134 km away from the most protruding peninsula of the mainland. Distance thus ranges from 134 to some 175 km from a 120 or so km long (air distance) portion of mainlaind right across the strait. If one looks at the distance from outside that 120 km line, they will find the distance quickly increase to over 200-220 km.
Closest airbases to taiwan’s shore i could find, at Taihe and Shantou are some 340 km away.
If that was so Boeing wouldn’t even bother with its countless and, even more importantly, persistent designs which are continuously refined. Of course, thicker wing means more drag, but at the same time we have smaller fuselage section for less drag. I do believe BWBs are viable for pax travel and that two reasons for stoppign them are: inadequate material science and politics.
Lets get some facts straight. It takes a hell of a lot more energy for a projectile to get airborne at certain altitude than for the same projectile to descend from that altitude and hit the ground. Small diameter bomb is decent example. i believe they did tests from 10 km at high subsonic speeds, achieving ranges of around 70 km. (15km and mach 1.5 would raise that to some 100 km) Now how much energy does one need to launch a 240 lbs missile to altitude of 10 km? Over 10 megajoules. And thats going just vertically, with no energy wasted on horizontal travel. Now, lets assume we’re already at required altitude and we have enough lift to cancel out gravity. Using 10 megajoules for horizontal movement, we can achieve a range of more or less exactly 100 km for the same projectile. So, literally, for a projectile to get off ground and intercept same kind of projectile at 10 km alt, it needs double the energy for same horizontal distance.
That is the theory part. Practical situation of rocket sam versus flying missile with wings also brings following to the equation:
Fuel fraction in overall weight is much bigger for a rocket sam than air breathing missile (including engine), roughly 3-4 times bigger.
SAM, with its tiny wings, needs speed to maintain lift and altitude. CM relies more of larger wing surface. Size wise, patriot isnt that much smaller than your garden variety CM, with frontal area maybe some 30% smaller. Even so, difference between going 900 and 7000 kmh, counted in drag, is huge – over 40 times more force needed to defeat drag for the sam, compared to the cm.
Furthermore, there’s extra drag from lower altitudes sam needs to climb through on its way to target 10 km. CM, while in the end it too will go through same increased drag, can afford to do so using gravitational pull, not its own energy from the engine. Of course, total drag for sam will be less than 50 times, due to smaller wings.
So, unless we are talking about decades of difference in tech levels, there is absolutely no way a sam can outreach a cruise missile. We may choose to believe chinese CMs are still in the 60s, despite what tests for yj-62 or c-803 would suggest, or we may face the likelyhood that patriot/s300/tk2/whichever SAM could maintain 10 km altitude for intercept during some 100 km of its horizontal range.
All that being said, what happens if chinese (like yj62 firings would suggest) have missiles capable of crossing the strait while being at low level? All this sam range talk becomes useless as there is no way to guide those patriots until greatly reduced ranges at which missiles would pop over the tracking radar’s horizon. At the same time, what happens if chinese want to attack targets on the southeast? some if not majoority of sam batteries are sure to still be working as chinese missiles fly virtually over them to reach their final targets. In such cases, high altitude approaches would be suicidal but may prove to be the only way of reaching the target (unless we’re talking about chinese bombers flying around taiwan before getting in position to launch – and that comes with many problems of its own).
Ultimately, like crobato said – taiwan can’t afford to use its sams against chinese missiles, be they ballistic or cruise kind. with some 200 patriot missiles in the inventory and not many more sky bows, and SURE to be higher ratio than 1:1 (if gulf wars are any measure, it could go to as high a 16:1) Best bet for taiwan is to disperse the planes, simply withstand the initial missile attacks, then use long range sams and whatever fighters they can launch from improvised, hidden airfields to try to repel the enemy. After all, runways can be repaired in a matter of hours.
Even though f35 may have smaller rcs than a f117 from the front and perhaps even the sides, i do remember reading articles which said rcs is relatively large at the rear, as it was deemed too expensive to pull off whatever they did on f22, plus the effective engine thrust would be somewhat diminished – something they could afford on f22 with ample power reserve but not something applicable on single engined f35.
Anyway, if all that is true – wouldn’t it make f35 a dangerous plane to fly deep strike missions? Especially if enemy sensor network is covering the whole country in every direction. The moment the f35 passes by a radar, it starts showing its ass. Not only would it make it hard for f35 to escape unharmed after it has fired its weapon deep inside enemy territory, but with radars looking on the rear of the threat axis it may get harder to even get to the target, if we’re talking about multi hundred km deep strikes.
I don’t like smart ass replies but in this case only such a reply is only correct one. So answer is: it depends. What does stealthy mean? There is no thing as stealth plane vs non stealth plane. There is only degrees of radar stealth, depending on choice of materials, thickness of RAM layer, design, shaping, size, possible active cancellation techniques or even so called plasma stealth. Furthermore, it depends on air conditions, integration and numbers or enemy radar network, their positioning in relation to airplane path and finally it depends on kind of radars themselves. I would be very suprised, for example, if stormshadow’s radar absorbant layer is capable of countering multi cm wide radar wavelengths.
So f35 carrying stormshadow is surely to be less stealthy than one without it but more stealthy than eurofighter with stormshadow for example. I know, that answer didnt help but one can’t do much better. Its next to impossible to tell if the increase in RCS would be by a factor of 100 or 1.5
We can try to guess the weight of EF or we can go with data given on the official website. So lets do that. 11 tons. Add a pilot, 50% internal fuel load (2500 kg), a2a armament. More or less 4 more tons for a total of 15. Without afterburner, we have 120 kn gives little over 12230 kg.
But T/W ratio means nothing for either supercruise (or max speed) or range.
To calculate max speed we need to know plane’s ceiling in certain mission, exact amount of lift it can generate. Then get air density for that altitude. Then find out the frontal surface area of the plane, then the aerodynamic drag coefficient, all the possible induced drag values. Combine all those into a figure of force working against the plane. We need to know the thrust engines can effectively give the plane at given altitude and air conditions. Then finally we can get max speed and max supercruise speed values.
Too many variables to be precise though when looking at some planes from the past it does suggest EF can achieve the quoted 1.2-1.5 mach (depending who you ask and what payload that includes) mach.
Range, like speed, depends on drag. If we had no air there wouldn’t be any drag but we wouldn’t have any lift either. Flying too low causes too much drag. As we get higher less air means less lift at same speed so we need to increase that speed. All these fighters have more or less similar sweet spot – speed and altitude for longest flight endurance which will give greatest range.
What i find peculiar is that quoted figures of internal fuel are not that much different between EF (5 tons) and Rafale (4,5 tons). Rafale probably induces tad less drag, perhaps its engines are rated ever so slightly for slower speeds – possibly negating the half a ton of fuel difference. So where does the discrepancy in range come from? I say from news sources and PR because facts indicate that actual range of two planes must be very, very close and can not possibly be as different as we sometimes see quoted around.
That schematic is someone’s wishful thinking. Comparing it with official schematics one can see great discrepancies. I do believe we’ve talked bout bay issue before, and i did some calcuations depending on relative sizes of 2000 jdams and amraams. Conclusion is – in the space of the jdam itself – there is no room for more than one amraam. Only if the bay has extra 15-20 cm in length over the jdam (+ safety margin) could two amraams be put in its place, partially stacked. In the scheme given here, amraams and sidewinders are made much smaller than they are, relative to the jdam. While theoretically, IF bomb bay is designed from the outset to carry larger loads than 2000 jdam, it could carry 3 amraams per bomb bay – 4 plus 2 sidewinders is absolutely not possible.
Nothing is guaranteed. Of course there’s always a possiblity for a wild miss or one in a million kill. But all things being equal, two modern and capable missiles have, with their hit probabilities combined an extremely good chance. IF we’re talking about right conditions. That includes close enough range so it doesn’t happen that missiles run out of fuel.
The closer missile is to its target, the more chance target has to get out of its field of vision with a quick manouver, in theory. In practice though, time needed for a plane to significantly change trajectory compared to reaction time of the missile is not something that’d very favourable for the targeted plane.
Lets forget about all the things that would fool the missile, as it has been said from the beginning of the thread that’s not the issue here – lets also disregard possible malfunctions. In a typical situation we have a plane going at high subsonic speed, head on. enemy launches its missiles. Lets stick to purely defensive manouvers as they’re the issue here. Plane gets illuminated, theres possible missiles coming towards it. Knowing he’s too close too make the missile bleed off all its energy, he is left only with waiting too see if he’ll pick up the SARH missiles on its sensors, be it radar or IR sensors. Only if he can tell the position and the estimated time of arrival of the missiles can he hope to time his manouver well enough to avoid a hit. So assuming he stays focused, and assuming he knows within a fraction of a second when he should manouver his plane, he can perhaps avoid the first missile, while still relatively high on energy. But theres second missile (or even third if you will) coming and targeted plane has turned, bled off its speed, its unable to change its position on the sky as quickly. Not to mention that during the manouver pilot most likely loses the awareness of where the second missile is. Radar contact is probably out of question as plane is probably not facing it, and various IR sensors do not give all 3 dimensions of the position of the missile, let alone accurate speed. So second missile has much greater chances. And in the end, it doesnt even need a direct hit. It wouldn’t be programmed for a direct hit anyway. Proximity fuse would detonate some distance from the target and 40kg fragmentation warhead would fill a nice portion of the sky with deadly shrapnel.
In the case of ARH missile, there’d be added warning of missile’s own radar, so in a way – for this specific scenario – it’d even be slightly better for plane to face such missiles. Again, like the IR sensor, RWR doesn’t really give you precise location and speed of the missile.
In the case of short ranges and IR/IIR missiles, odds are even worse for the plane. Not only is there no warning from the missile itself (there is some, the engine plume, but its somewhat smaller signature for smaller, slower sidewinder than it is for bigger faster amraam) but there doesn’t have to be any illumination radar beam of any sort once its launched and due to its slower speed and size such missiles are even more agile. And yes, new generations have really big fields of vision. Warhead is 3-4 times smaller though but i woulnd’t say that’s much of a problem in the grand scheme of things.
This is all providing missile itself is tracked. Without that, pilot doesnt know when or where to turn, and by making a wrong manouver it can just bleed all its energy and get itself into perfect kill position for the missile. Thats where decoys come in but here we’re not discussing that.
On a side note, i actually think patriot/s300 series would have slightly harder time of hitting a target than something in the amraam class. Though they are faster and in that sense they might give plane less time to detect them and react to them – they are also bigger targets for both radar and IR sensors – potentially negating the less time advantage i first mentioned. Furthermore, precisely because of such great speed, combined with relatively small control surfaces for its size (compared to amraam class) their manouverbility would be lower than amraam’s. In their defense one has to mention the big warheads, in 80-150 kg class, designed to detonate in front of the plane and create a wide area hail of fragments. As for guidance, it basically comes down to command guidance via datalink, quite like for the amraam. Only difference comes in the final stage where amraam gets to use its own radar while TVM guidance relies on ground stations.
Yes, missiles can predict trajectory, to a certain extent. Of course if youre flying straight – they dont know if youll start turning left or right next milisecond. But lets say you start getting in a turn for example, it knows its harder for you to change your trajectory out of that turn in a short moment – and it can position itself to wait for you as you get out turn. Theoretically. In reality of course, proximity fuses and area covering explosions are the means of choice for killing a plane, warhead permitting.
IF it gets a clear lock on, within the range where there’s no way the target can outrun/outturn the missile, and we’re talking comparably modern missile to the target plane, chances are low to slim. That’s why most of advances in defense of fighters for decades now have been going towards denying the enemy of succesfully getting a lock on the plane itself – jamming, decoys, stealth. Basically, if the range and lock on are there, two missiles fired should more or less guarantee a hit.
it really would be nice if usaf came out and officially said just which plane is stealthier. cause over the last decade or so there’s just been bunch of conflicting claims. first that f117 is stealthier than f22 then lately that has been reversed in majority of assesments. b2 vs f22 has also been thrown around a lot, some say one is stealthier, others say differently. but not a single official word. Only thing we officially do know from usaf is that frontal rcs of f22 is a marble while f35 is a golf ball. Would be nice if they came out and gave similar comparable illustrations for f117 and b2.
12 for czech and 12 for hungary. 28 for south africa, but most prices i see around seem to be guessed out of the dual deal for 28 gripens and 24 hawks, totaling 15,8 billion R, which is some 2,2 billion $. Thats today’s dollars, and deal was years ago. So its hard to get an accurate figure.
sadly, with big offset deals for economy investment being almost a standard nowadays, present in all recent sales, its next to impossible to assertain exact prices. I seem to remember that south african sale of gripens had a relativelly small offset deal, that pricetag per plane should therefore be a bit more precise.
Answers about range have been a bit vague. I’m asking just about effective range, not about other advantages. So far only the concentrated beam explanation made some sense but even that i don’t really see why a mechanically steered beam can’t maintain similar beam when tracking a long range target. Also, what crobato said, parabollic antennas also have great sensitivity and can created very tight beams. Is there meaningul tracking range advantage and if so why/how?
Proudfoot, you mentioned something about datalinks – please do go on about that.
A question. what’s with some allegations that aesa provides somewhat better range than regular slotted array, all other things being equal? same surface area, same wavelength, same processing power for same resolution and clutter filtering, etc. any truth to that and if so how and why?
I don’t think this would be meant as any kind of replacement for awacs. Instead, this would be primarely a means to have cheap continuous surveillance where risk isnt high. When its dangerous then yeah – one’d use much faster awacs, but for surveillance of area over afghanistan or iraq or even iran after first few days – this would be perfect cost-effective solution. I don’t see it so much as surveillance of air platforum but more of surface surveillance – land and sea. After all, at 65 000 feet altitude, radar horizon spans 580 km from the airship and with such huge resolution the huge array offers – i’d think one could track tank sized objects even at long, long ranges.