I don’t think Kaliningrad is that much of a problem for the Baltic nations. There aren’t any Lithouanian or Polish claims over it (obviously, since the area has been completely Russified after the Germans were kicked out), although there are some redicilous ATC rules from Lithouania for allowing Russia-Kaliningrad flights (i’m not sure if it is still in place, but there used to be a 72-hours-advance request for permission filed for each flight, and such).
However, both Latvia and particularly Estonia have some border disputes with the Russians, something of which the Russians were particularly concerned at least in 1996. In fact, it took us some three hours of worrying in the police station in Gdov (the town next to the Smuravyevo Su-24 base) before we realised we got busted for being in the border zone, rather than for hanging out near an airbase. The Estonians also appear to claim Russian cities like Narva and even as far as Kingisepp.
But since the FOL is appearantly going to be Siauliai-Zokniai in Lithouania which is relatively far from the disputed areas (some 500 km from Gdov if i’ve got the map in my head correctly), i don’t think there will be a lot of attention for these disputed pieces of real estate.
I think it would be a good thing for western-NATO people to see the nice apartheid-like states they have allowed to join the alliance though. Non-ethnic Balts are really treated like sh!t in those countries, having no right to a passport or even driver’s license.
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