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H_K

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Viewing 15 posts - 106 through 120 (of 610 total)
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  • in reply to: Grumman Trackers and Traders #2279977
    H_K
    Participant

    I think the replacement for the Tracker/Tracer/Trader will be a hybrid helicopter.

    Not necessarily the V-22 Osprey though (too cumbersome and expensive). Sikorsky and Eurocopter are both on the verge of breakthroughs in hybrid helicopters… their demonstrators’ technology will eventually trickle down into real production aircraft.

    The X3 wing, for example, enables excellent fuel economy and endurance (by unloading the main rotor), as well as higher service ceilings. Add rolling take offs (thanks to fly-by-wire), possibly even ski jump takeoffs, and we’ll all be wondering why it took so long to build such hybrids!

    Not that they’ll be much better than the Tracker… just a lot more flexible.

    in reply to: ARE the US Navy's super carriers a relic of wars past? #2002911
    H_K
    Participant

    So it appears as if global consensus with regards to aircraft carriers is to go bigger, despite having to justify these momentous decisions to tight fisted, sticky fingered politicians. Even the Chinese with their DF21s have got one of the biggest non-US carriers in the world.

    Yes, the “Steel is Cheap” philosophy is driving minimum carrier sizes UP. But… IMHO other factors are also driving the “optimal” carrier size DOWN.

    It used to be that bigger carriers always were more efficient. The 100,000 ton nuclear supercarriers were a direct linear evolution of this “bigger = more efficient” thinking. They could carry proportionately more aircraft, operate in higher seas, and had more staying power (survivability, munitions storage, fuel etc).

    But now we have a problem. Well, three problems actually.

    1) Inflationary death-spiral
    A supercarrier deserves all the best equipment. Stuff like nuclear power, dual band radar, EMALS etc. Problem: high-end hulls lead to high prices, which lead to fewer hulls, which lead to even higher-specs. That spiral is becoming unsustainable even for the USN.

    2) Moore’s law
    Computing power has made smaller carriers more efficient across the board. Precision weapons. Precision approaches. Ships’ stabilization systems. Hard-kill & soft-kill defensive systems. That’s narrowed the effectiveness gap vs. supercarriers. Today, a medium carrier like Charles de Gaulle can probably hit more targets and operate her aircraft in worse weather conditions than Enterprise when she commissioned in the 1960s.

    3) Low-intensity conflict
    Aside from China and Russia, there isn’t a threat today that a smaller carrier can’t handle. And against a high-end threat, two smaller carriers might still be more effective (in terms of their odds of survival) than a single supercarrier.

    ****

    So what’s the “optimal” carrier today? IMHO it’s not the supercarrier anymore. It’s a pair of “no bells and whistles” non-nuclear carriers, much better suited to low-intensity conflict, and somewhat more expendable in the eventuality of war with China or Russia. Smaller than a supercarrier, though not necessarily “small” (since steal is still cheap). Just not so big that the admirals start to worry losing it and start gold-plating it.

    55,000-60,000 tons seems like a good sweetspot. That’s the minimum size for 90m catapults, and not coincidentally the size of DCNS’ latest PA2 design.

    in reply to: Jaguar and Mirage F1-AZ cpmpared #2299321
    H_K
    Participant

    I never understood why the Jaguar is remembered so fondly, on both sides of the Channel.

    The Adour engines were a liability early on and required expensive upgrades to produce the required thrust. As a result, early Jaguars spent much of their time in afterburner, negating the fuel consumption advantage over the supposedly “thirsty” Atar (proven during joint test flights between the Jaguar M and Etendard IV).

    Sure, this thrust problem was eventually fixed, but a pair of Adours still cost 30% more than a single Atar, and 90% more in maintenance costs. Not quite the “affordable” image that most people have of the Jaguar.

    Not to mention that the thrust problem still remained at altitude, that the Jaguar couldn’t as many Gs, and the lack of radar. So the Jaguar only made sense in a dual fleet Air Force, alongside a fighter type. A rather costly luxury for most countries.

    You could plop most of the Jaguar avionics in a Mirage F1, and end up with a far more flexible multirole platform. As eventually transpired.

    in reply to: F-4E vs. Mirage F-1CT #2304073
    H_K
    Participant

    P.S. An A-4AR-style upgraded Skyhawk is probably a more complete multirole combat aircraft than either the JF-17 or FA-50. iMHO at least. Go Skyhawk!

    in reply to: F-4E vs. Mirage F-1CT #2304074
    H_K
    Participant

    Sorry, but the JF17 and A-50 are just toy aircraft IMHO.

    It’s all well and good to have fancy ‘new’ engines and track-while-scan radars, but a multi-role-combat aircraft those do not make. What matters is fuel capacity, payload, transonic and supersonic performance, navigation systems (for strike accuracy), ECM, ruggedness, etc.

    At least that’s true for Air Forces that face threats from external neighbors. If all you want is a day-only light attack aircraft or to defend against subsonic intruders, then yes both the JF-16 and FA-50 can do the job.

    In terms of affordability, the Mirage F1 may even be cheaper to buy and operate. It all depends on how much of an avionics upgrade and airframe life extension the user asks for… And how much free spares are thrown in. The FA50 is rather expensive, $30 million flyaway for the trainer version. The JF-17 is affordable upfront but is going to come with maintenance headaches (short time between overhaul and short overall lifespan, both for the engine and airframe). And the avionics aren’t great.

    in reply to: F-4E vs. Mirage F-1CT #2304147
    H_K
    Participant

    P.S. An interesting side thread would be Kfir C.10 vs. MF1 2000. 😉

    in reply to: F-4E vs. Mirage F-1CT #2304151
    H_K
    Participant

    I think that’s because F-4 vs F1 is a bit of a mismatch.

    For most air forces, the Mirage F1 wins hands down, as a low cost used replacement for Mirage IIIs, Mig-21s, Su-22s, F-5s etc. Only a few air forces can afford the F-4, and all of these can afford a new build F-16 or better.

    As for Iraq, maybe they should have bought F1s… but now’s too late. They’re rebuilding from scratch and probably have no more than a handful of Saddam-era personnel with experience on ANY aircraft, let alone F1s. All of these would have to be in their late 40s and won’t touched a high performance aircraft in 20 years.

    in reply to: F-4E vs. Mirage F-1CT #2305775
    H_K
    Participant

    One thing I just realized… many of the F-16s on the second-hand market aren’t very capable in the strike role, because they are pre-Block 40. So no NVG cockpits, no targeting pods, no INS/GPS navigation, no encrypted comms (AFAIK) etc. Which may explain why they cost so much… the buyers have to pay for those upgrades.

    So unless you can get a hold on some F-16 MLUs, the Spanish & French Mirage F1s are actually more versatile and night-capable. No upgrades necessary out of the box – just wire them for a laser designator and most buyers will be good to go… radar upgrade and MICA missiles optional.

    (The F1 M/CT/CR already come with state-of-the-art ECM. The Spanish ones even have cockpit MFDs and HOTAS).

    This thread is missing some eye candy… (never realized the Spanish camo could look so nice) 😉

    http://farm2.staticflickr.com/1136/4724050955_7cc0785659_b.jpg

    http://farm7.staticflickr.com/6233/6347328521_6c7c02a887_b.jpg

    Tons more pics here: http://www.flickr.com/groups/1508870@N24/pool/

    in reply to: F-4E vs. Mirage F-1CT #2305790
    H_K
    Participant

    A Tale of Two Engines…

    No, it’s turbojet versus turbofan, especially for supercruise flight. Read it.:rolleyes:

    Levsha, I’m not going to get into a turbojet vs. turbofan debate. Simply comparing the F100 vs. Atar 9K…

    Static dry thrust & SFC
    Atar 9K50: 5,000kg / 0.97 kg/kg-hr
    F100-PW-100: 6,800kg / 0.68 kg/kg-hr

    600kts, low level penetration
    Atar 9K50: 4,550kg / 1.37 kg/kg-hr
    F100-PW-100: 4,700kg / 1.25 kg/kg-hr

    Mach 1.15 supercruise @ 36,000ft
    Atar 9K50: 1,900kg / 1.25 kg/kg-hr
    F100-PW-100: 1,600kg / 1.32 kg/kg-hr

    As you can see, the F100’s amazing static performance erodes with speed, so that by 600kts (M=0.91) the two engines are *almost* even. They then cross over somewhere between Mach 0.9-1.0, both in terms of dry thrust and SFC. This can be relevant for high-speed (especially low-level) penetration missions – interdiction, anti-shipping strike, reconnaissance etc.

    And by the time you get to supercruise, the F100’s 30-35% thrust & SFC advantage has turned to a 5-15% DEFICIT! This can be relevant for high-level reconnaissance and offensive fighter sweeps. The Spanish Mirage F1’s favorite tactic against F-16s and F/A-18s is to stay high and fast, and tempt these to expend their AMRAAMs (which the Mirages can outrun). Presumably, the Mirages will then either wait for the F-16s/-18s to bingo or swoop down for a Fox 2 kill.

    Source: Soviet performance estimates
    http://www.scribd.com/doc/129554773/Defense-Ministry-of-the-USSR-Military-Air-Forces-Multirole-Fighters-%C2%ABMirage%C2%BB-F-1-%C2%ABMirage%C2%BB-2000-French-Air-Force-In-Support-of-the-Regular-Unit?in_collection=4170277
    http://www.scribd.com/doc/119901703/Defense-Ministry-of-the-USSR-Military-Air-Forces-Fighter-Aircraft-F-15-USA-Air-Force-In-Support-of-the-Regular-Units-of-the-VVS-Military-Press

    Source for Mirage F1’s supercruise performance. Page 373:
    Maximum speed without afterburner at 35,000ft, Mach 1.15
    http://www.portalcultura.mde.es/Galerias/revistas/ficheros/RAA_390.pdf

    in reply to: F-4E vs. Mirage F-1CT #2305882
    H_K
    Participant

    Are there that many around with useful airframe life?

    I agree with those who think that upgraded Mirage F.1 is only a logical choice for countries that already have the type, or perhaps are still operating Mirage III/V. I think that the upgrade is only worthwhile if the aircraft are pretty much free, & you only pay for the upgrade, & it’s not worth investing in the infrastructure & training to introduce Mirage F.1 into service as a new type, given the limited service life you’ll get.

    Hmm, but what are the alternatives? Maybe worth a separate thread on the used fighter market…

    – F16? A few dozen older ex-USAF and MLU’ed airframes in storage. Infrastructure and support costs are exorbitant (40-50 million per aircraft, used and excluding weapons. Even existing users like Indonesia are paying 30 million+).

    – Gripen A/B? Plenty in storage, but no takers. Needs upgrades and may not come with AMRAAM.

    – Eurofighter Tranche 1? Same problem as Gripen A/B. And expensive.

    – Mirage 2000? None available, save for the expensive ex-Qatari and ex-UAE 2000-5s.

    – Kfir? Maybe a few left in Israeli storage.

    So a bunch of mostly bad alternatives… Makes the Mirage F1 still be a viable choice, even for a new operator. Infrastructure and support costs should be much lower than an F-16, because the buyer could just walk away with all the ex-Spanish or ex-French spares and support equipment.

    As for useful airframe lives, the Spanish & French aircraft may have lots of hours, but apparently not in very stressful flight conditions. They are reportedly in very good condition. Could be good candidates for a SLEP to extend them past their nominal retirement date.

    in reply to: F-4E vs. Mirage F-1CT #2306116
    H_K
    Participant

    Surely a block 52 F-16 would run rings around any updated F-1 anyway. F-16 has almost twice the amount of thrust, for starters. Maneuverability, acceleration, climb rate, payload, range, are better on an F-16, are they not?

    Yes… and no. 😉

    The F-16 is clearly the better choice as a MULTIROLE air superiority and close air support fighter. Comparing their performance charts, it climbs ~50% faster, accelerates twice as fast, and has a sustained turn advantage of at least 5 degrees/second. In the close air support role, it burns 15 to 25% less fuel at low speeds (Mach 0.5-0.85), hence its legendary long legs. And all those pylons are very handy for air-to-ground stores.

    (Numbers above obviously will vary somewhat by block and by speed/altitude)

    BUT… the Mirage F1 remains competitive if you play to its strengths. Or rather to the Atar’s inherent strengths as a turbojet. 😉 Namely, TRANSONIC and SUPERSONIC performance.

    Why? Well, remember the F100’s thrust and fuel burn advantage? This comes straight out of its turbofan design. The slower you go, the more bypass air contributes to thrust, and the more efficient your engine. But, this advantage diminishes as speed increases, and vanishes entirely somewhere around Mach 0.95-1.05. At that point, the Atar’s and F100’s dry thrust and fuel consumption curves crossover: not only is the Atar producing MORE dry thrust (than the F100-PW-200), it’s also burning less fuel for each pound of thrust created.

    So this explains why the Mirage F1 can supercruise quite nicely (~Mach 1.15), despite its “underpowered” turbojet. This transonic efficiency is also useful for high-speed low-level penetration missions, like anti-ship strike.

    Furthermore, the Atar’s transonic/supersonic fuel-burn advantage extends into most afterburner regimes. And the higher you go, the more thrust it produces relative to the F100 (also thanks to the shock cones). This could be useful for high-altitude supersonic penetration missions, like reconnaissance or offensive fighter sweeps.

    To sum up, the Mirage F1 still has some interesting niche uses, which can be especially attractive for air forces that need to penetrate heavily defended airspace. Give it any mission that requires a high-speed ingress/egress, down low or at very high altitude, and it will shine. But give it a more run-of-the-mill defensive CAP or loitering CAS mission, and you’ll regret not sending an F-16!

    in reply to: F-4E vs. Mirage F-1CT #2307728
    H_K
    Participant

    I remember a picture of a Mirage F1 with one of the first examples of the MBDA Apache in the center pylon, during testing of the weapon.

    Found it! June 1987.

    http://i233.photobucket.com/albums/ee106/OPEX-Afghanistan/MirageF1Apache_zps8fc28755.jpg

    (Thanks, http://www.flightglobal.com)

    in reply to: F-4E vs. Mirage F-1CT #2307829
    H_K
    Participant

    High-up and supersonic the F-1 still outperforms a block 52 F-16 by its better propulsion-system. When practical pay-load and range is no issue the F-16 is better by some margin. To stay serious a F-16 does outperform a F-1mod but does not outclass it depending on pilot and tactical situation.

    Ah, we agree! 😉

    The Mirage F1 has some pretty stellar high altitude/high mach performance:
    – Supercruise at mach 1.15 / 35,000ft
    – Mach 0.9 to mach 2.2 in only 2.8 minutes
    – At 56,000 ft, the F1 is still accelerating past Mach 2 (i.e. excess thrust), while the F-16A will be rapidly decelerating below mach 1.6 (and the F-16C probably can’t even reach that altitude due to higher wing loading)

    So… the Mirage F1 design choices (turbojet, shock cones, high L/D ratio) are well suited for the interceptor role… and could hold some nasty surprises in BVR!

    F-16 is obviously the superior dogfighter below ~35,000ft, thanks to its higher thrust/weight and FCS. An experienced Mirage F1 pilot might still get a fleeting edge by pushing the F1 to its AoA limit (25-30 degrees), because the F-16 is hard limited to 25 degrees AoA. But that would require some luck & skill.

    in reply to: F-4E vs. Mirage F-1CT #2308168
    H_K
    Participant

    Now back to the F-4 vs Mirage F1 debate… the payload/range numbers are VERY interesting. Believe it or not, the Mirage F1 may have longer legs! 😮 (High L/D ratio seems to help a lot)

    Lo-lo-lo radius, 6x 250kg bombs and 2 external tanks
    F-4J/S Phantom: 270/230 nmi
    Mirage F1: 330 nmi

    Hi-lo-hi radius, 2 external tanks
    F-4J/S Phantom, 5x 450kg bombs: 430/330 nmi
    Mirage F1, 4x 400kg bombs: 600 nmi

    Hi-lo-hi radius, 2x 250kg bombs and 3 external tanks
    F-4J/S Phantom: 600/490 nmi
    Mirage F1: 750 nmi

    Intercept radius, internal fuel
    F-4J/S Phantom: 350/280 nmi (4x Sparrow, 2min combat + acceleration to Mach 1.5)
    Mirage F1: 380 nmi (5min combat)

    in reply to: F-4E vs. Mirage F-1CT #2308170
    H_K
    Participant

    ..and Maroc bolstered the ranks with new F-16s and no further second-hand F-1s.

    Well… one could also argue that despite being in the market for a new type, nonetheless Morocco decided that the Mirage F1 was still worth investing in… 😉

Viewing 15 posts - 106 through 120 (of 610 total)