Hmm, don’t get the thing about a gap at RIAT. The only real gaps were caused by the Americans fouling up the timings with the B-2. The 100 Years of Flight exhibition certainly had no gaps with aircraft from all of the major operators.
From what you’re saying, it would be shows like the Old Warden, Duxford events and Flying Legends in particular which would all suddenly dissappear. If it was such a problem, it wouldn’t be rumour, it would be in the aviation press. Aeroplane have been running articules on the future viability of the warbird scene in the years to come, but it certainly wasn’t the absolutely destruction of an industry that you are predicting. Many of the operating companies don’t insure the actual airframe hull covering the cost themselves, but they do insure third parties.
The main trouble is that airshow fees have been stationary if not falling while the insurance increase has continued. Airshow orgainsers only have a certain limit to the budget for aircraft at the show. The have to cover everything else on the ground too which has meant that money avialible for the aircraft participation has fallen.
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