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crobato

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  • in reply to: Chinese Su-27s their cooproduction status #2508137
    crobato
    Participant

    I’m sorry to tell you but J-11Bs are not built from Sukhoi supplied kits. Whether they are still part of the contract or not is something of question.

    I believe that any licensing contract does not include modifications without permission, and the J-11Bs are way beyond modification. They are practically a reengineering of the aircraft itself from top to bottom. Maybe Sukhoi is still a complicit partner to all these with a new secret contract, I don’t know. Business rules in both China and Russia are very hazy; there is a lot of backdealing going on, and you can have offsets to one deal on another deal that seems even so unrelated.

    As for fantasy, the only fantasy is you because the evidence is CLEAR and EXPLICIT. China is not even trying to hide the planes like they did with the J-10.

    If you look around there are stuff that explicitely looks Russian on the outside but internally are completely reengineered. Look at the Fregat look alikes or the Bandstand radar look alikes. The 125mm tank gun on the Chinese tanks. Look at the Orekh copies and the possible Shtil copies for the 054A frigates. Some of the business practices in the country are really funny too. If the quota for manufacturing is for 100 copies of Toy A, they make 110 copies and sell the ten through the backdoor in some street somewhere.

    in reply to: J-8F/H? #2508167
    crobato
    Participant

    You got everything basically correct.

    LS-6 and FT-2 are modifications of 500kg bombs and installed like JDAM kits.

    The stations for the 500kg bombs are the mid and inner wing pylon and the centerline.

    The LS-6 spotted was carried in the centerline.

    PL-11 and PL-12 are usually the middle and inner wing pylon, though I don’t see why the outer pylon cannot carry them. The outer pylon can carry a fuel tank so the outer pylon should be more than strong enough. Unless they did not put the wiring for it.

    As for the bombs there are also multiple racks. I don’t know if the J-8II can carry the multiple six bomb rack (6 250kg bombs) like the JH-7A, but it appears it can carry a three or four 250kg bomb rack in the centerline.

    Its not clear if the J-8F can carry the FLIR/IT pod the JH-7A uses or has YJ-91 capability. So far the J-8F has not been seen with either. Using the LS-500J LGB is still a questionmark for the plane.

    in reply to: status of the F-8IIM #2508170
    crobato
    Participant

    They are still building F-7s, or at least, has a production line still continously running for export customers. It appears to me that if they don’t have export order, the planes end up in the PLAAF as J-7G. Thus the quota remains the same. If there is an order, quota – export order = balance going to the PLAAF. I believe the quota is around 32 aircraft a year.

    Other than the Bangladeshi order, which was highly visible, most F-7 orders are not very visible and I don’t think China declares them. I heard a few new J-7s going to North Korea of all places.

    The Nigerian and Bangladeshi F-7MGs are probably equipped with a slotted array radar either from the NRIET (KLJ-6E) or 607 institute (SY-80).

    For all its worth, an F-7MG is probably a lot nicer plane to fly than an F-8IIM.

    in reply to: Why is the F-2 never mentioned? #2508173
    crobato
    Participant

    The F414 the SH are using are already the best of its weight class. You probably won’t find a better engine beyond that.

    On a side note, looks like the Cannon AFB F-16s are Block 30s that have been avionically upgraded to include AIFF bird splitters on the nose.

    in reply to: Chinese Su-27s their cooproduction status #2508176
    crobato
    Participant

    Crobato you are saying a fallacy, from russian sources the Chinese have close to 280 Su-27/J-11/Su-30s As a result, the total number of aircraft in the Su-27/Su-30 family in PLAAF service reached approximately 280 aircraft, of which more than 60% (over 170 planes) were direct deliveries from Russia.

    Russian sources only document their own stuff. They don’t document what the Chinese made of their own.

    If you use the logic China has bought more Su-27s than built them, China clearly has respected the contract and has not produce any aircraft without license

    China built more J-11s than the 105 kits they had. The 105 kits only make up to plane factory serial no. 0423.

    It does not account for batch 05XX. Since J-11B is already starting at 052X, we don’t know where 050X and 051X went, but these are very likely to be experimental and evaluation models that lead up to the J-11B, some of whom may have been seeded with regular units for evaluation against original Su-27s and kit J-11s.

    Given that WS-10A does appear wider than the AL-31F, the standard kit airframe would not fit them, and nor would the contract and warranty agreement support such a modification, starting it would void a very expensive warranty.

    The J-11 that first flew the WS-10A would not have been a kit plane. It would have been built entirely outside of the kits. It is impossible to jump from a kit based Su-27SK to the J-11B without an interim model. The deep changes on the J-11B suggest that the Chinese cannot copy directly some of the Russian supplied airframe components whose metallurgical formulas may have remained proprietary. Russians also tend to use a lot more titanium because this is their natural resource advantage. The Chinese would have to substitute their own alloys and composite into the aircraft, which means deep structural changes and a design overhaul with every part being restressed and recalculated. The whole substitute airframe would have to go through a series of extensive tests and evaluation, and some of the early specimens may not perform as well as the original and requires adjustments and corrections.

    in reply to: Chinese Su-27s their cooproduction status #2508515
    crobato
    Participant

    Another thing.

    After 523, 524 and 525, a grey J-11B was made which is the one with the wide HUD. This plane is now in a testing and training regiment (6xx9x) that includes the J-8Fs that were test bombing the LS-6s.

    What I got from rumors—which fulfill themselves in due time so often—is that the 1st Division would get the first J-11Bs, mainly the Anshan regiment known to put tigers in their badges. That’s the same regiment Pace visited.

    in reply to: Chinese Su-27s their cooproduction status #2508568
    crobato
    Participant

    But they have already stopped classic J-11 production as I told you by Shenyang announcement.

    During the CCTV interview of the WS-10A designer, he showed the engine to the TV press already installed on a J-11 in a production line. In that shot, there were three to four other J-11s in that production line.

    The fact remains is that China is going through with this project no matter what.

    in reply to: Chinese Su-27s their cooproduction status #2508576
    crobato
    Participant

    Hui Tong has changed his entries.

    http://cnair.top81.cn/J-10_J-11_FC-1.htm

    “The use of demostically made parts will begin after the first 60 are assembled using Russian kits and eventually 60-70% of the parts will be manufactured in China (excluding AL-31F engine, which was denied by Russia for the license). The resulting aircraft is dubbed J-11A which also features at least two color MFDs and an improved N001VE radar (being able to engage two targets simultaneously using R-77). This variant can also fire the newly acquired R-27RE1 SARH AAM with an extended range of 66km. A further upgraded variant (J-11B) is under development (see below). Initial batches of J-11s are believed to have entered the service with PLAAF 1st Division in Liaoning Province. The first phase of J-11/J-11A production concluded by the end of 2006 after a total of 105 J-11/J-11A were produced in 4 batches. The production is expected to be switched to J-11B (see below) in the subsequent phase. “

    Pic of modified J-11 cockpit

    http://cnair.top81.cn/fighter/J-11A.jpg

    Not your everyday SK cockpit.

    And then he has a new entry for the J-11B

    “A newly manufactured J-11B prototype was seen landing carrying two PL-12 ARH AAMs underneath the central fuselage. This demonstrates Chinese’s effort to integrate their own weapon systems into a Russian aircraft design. Their effort includes a Chinese multifunction PD radar (Type 1474/KLJ4?) and databus compatible with PL-8, PL-12 AAM & YJ-91 ARM, a Chinese IRST/LR, as well as a redesigned glass cockpit featuring 4 MFDs and a new wide-angle holographic HUD. The aircart also has a new UV band missile approach warning system (MAWS). Two sensors are installed on both sides of the tail sting to provdie the rear coverage. In addition, AL-31F is expected to be replaced by the indigenous WS-10A. One WS-10A (Taihang 13,200kg class) turbofan was successfully tested on a CFTE J-11 engine testbed in June 2002. The first J-11B prototype powered by WS-10A flew in 2003. At least three prototypes are being tested at CFTE (#523, 524, 525). The production is expected to start in 2007. A tandem-seat strike version dubbed J-11BS in the same class as Su-30MKK was rumored but has not been confirmed. The carrier based version (also based on Su-33 technology) for PLAN is also believed to be under development.”

    That is serious changes.

    Radar

    http://cnair.top81.cn/fighter/J-11B_radar.jpg

    Cockpit

    http://cnair.top81.cn/fighter/J-11B_cockpit1.jpg

    UV MAWS

    http://cnair.top81.cn/fighter/J-11B_MAW.jpg

    The Jane’s article has even more serious changes that includes widespread composite use to reduce weight by a net of 700kg, airframe strengthening to 10000 flight hours and RCS reductions in the inlet.

    And everyone forgot to include that the FCS is now a digital FBW that is shown in the same poster as the radar and the IRST.

    Check out this poster here.

    http://www.secretprojects.co.uk/forum/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=1358.0;attach=11770;image

    That also includes

    Navigation system
    brakes
    ejection seat
    hydraulics
    datalink
    environmental control system
    parachute
    generator
    fuel system

    in reply to: Chinese Su-27s their cooproduction status #2508583
    crobato
    Participant

    Crobato

    The Russians know about the J-11B project and Boris Aleshin of course talked with the Chinese side and he said that he was optimistic about the deal to participate in the J-11B project becasue the Chinese side wants to build J-11s with local technology and even modified it to turn it into a very advanced design such as the MiG-29OVT or Su-35BM.

    Optimistic does not necessarily mean it is happening. I always fnid Russian arms news to be optimistic, but did not happen in the end.

    Even if Russians get to participate, the “Russians” may not be Sukhoi, but individual vendors like Salut and UOMZ, supplying the parts seperately with the Chinese integrating them together.

    They know they have experimented with WS-10s and fitted them to J-11s but they were sure the Chinese still do not have the technology to build them in large numbers.

    Well, they were wrong. And even then, it appears that Salut has its own plans seperate from Sukhoi. Salut selling AL-31FM1s to the J-11Bs would be no different for them as selling AL-31FNs to the J-10s.

    The Su-33 enters also in that because of course for Russia these are the last chances for the Su-27 baseline to be sold becasue in reality the PAKFA soon will be needed in the International markes since the presence of the F-22 in Kadena has shown to everybody the news champion in the block in Asia is the F-22

    The Su-33 rumors was hot last year, but appears to have faded for now. This potential buy is in serious trouble in my book. and should require some high level step in even if it means from Putin himself.

    in reply to: Chinese Su-27s their cooproduction status #2508588
    crobato
    Participant

    If the Russians want part of the J-11B business, they have to offer a better carrot. Go cheaper, offer components with better performance. The door may not be entirely closed, though the first few batches may have purely Chinese components. Sukhoi and other Russian firms like Salut is still trying to get the classic Su-27SK/J-11 upgrade business, though these firms are trying to sell various upgrades without going through Sukhoi’s middleman approach, like Salut is proposing with the AL-31FM1 directly with the PLAAF. As far as I know the other Russian vendors are not particularly happy with the Sukhoi middleman. The OLS-31E deal didn’t seem to go through Sukhoi either. Even upgrades like the Su-27SKM is rife with contention because KnAAPO claims they designed the MKK and thus the Su-27SKM by inference, and there is some contention who should get the better “cut” in all the SM and MK2 deals.

    in reply to: J-8F/H? #2508602
    crobato
    Participant

    120??!

    Wow, I had no idea the program had progressed so far.

    Its 2007 already. The J-8F first came out in 2001 but it wasn’t revealed to the world as the J-8F. That happened only much later, and already a second regiment has been equipped. They have six years to build that 100 to 120, and that’s only roughly around 20-30 average a year for a relatively inexpensive plane.

    So basically from what I understand the PLAAF and PLAN operate four variants of the J-8II…..the J-8B, J-8D, J-8F, and J-8H.

    The D is an upgraded B model with a refuelling probe, while the F is a new-build variant based on the D but with various upgrades in weapons and electronics?

    The J-8D also differs structurally from the J-8B. Likely to be all sorts of structural improvements at the expense of some weight. The new airframe was first seen with the F-8IIM actually.

    It first featured an improvement of the Type 208 radar, but later used the Type 1471 slotted array.

    The J-8F adds a second wing fence to the J-8D airframe. The first batches may have used the Type 1471 radar but later progressed to the Type 1492 radar. To make it simply, radar enhancements that would later include support for the PL-12 active radar guided missile.

    The J-8F also appears to be compatible to the Sura helmet sight used on the Su-27.

    The H is just a D model upgraded to F model standards?

    Seems that way now. This is the most mysterious of the J-8II variants. First it was speculated that it was a specialzied ground attack model. Then it is a navalized varaint of the J-8F. Now it looks like a J-8D upgraded.

    The J-8B is followed by what people generally called the J-8B block 2, though its not its real name really. This “2” version is an correction of the J-8B that adds the IFR, and generally fixed the radar and avionics sets with improvements.

    The use of the engines is also unclear.

    WP-13A
    WP-13AII (probably starting with the J-8D and J-8B02)
    WP-13B (starting with late J-8D and the J-8F)
    WP-13BII
    WP-14
    WP-14II

    There is also the J-8C or J-8III, which is an experimental version only. It has two MFDs in the cockpit and a slotted array radar, probably testing the Type 1471 that later went on to other versions.

    JZ-8F is a newly discovered J-8F variant for reconnaissance.

    Am I wrong on this or is my understanding of it all correct?

    If you could help me clear up confusion on the J-8II’s hardpoints and weapons it would be great as well.

    The standard variant is the J-8D so I’ll just use it as an example:

    One Type 23-3 (or Type 23-III?) 23-mm cannon and 200 rounds. Seven hardpoints for up to 4,500-kg. of stores. Outboard underwing hardpoints are wet for carriage of a pair of 800-litre fuel tanks while the centerline can carry a larger 1,400-litre fuel tank.

    IR-guided AAM’s can be carried on all six underwing hardpoints, and they include PL-5, PL-8, and maybe PL-7?

    Radar-guided AAM’s include the PL-11, which is carried on the intermediate underwing hardpoints (i.e. middle underwing pylons) for a maximum of two.

    Rocket pods can be carried on all six pylons on the wings, and comprise 18-round Type 57-2 (57-mm), 7-round Type 90-1 (90-mm), and 4-round Type 130-1 (130-mm) stores.

    Unguided bombs are available in 150, 250, and 500-kg sizes, with up to one bomb of up to 250-kg on each of the six wing hardpoints plus up to six more of 150 or 250-kg size on the centerline. I’m not entirely sure where 500-kg bombs are fitted.

    Okay………that’s what I know or what I have gathered about J-8D stores. Please review each comment and check my accuracy and let me know where I’m wrong. Once we’ve covered all of that I’ll go back and relay to you what I understand about the upgraded models and their weapons.

    Thanks crobato, you’re a huge help. I’m kinda a fan of the J-8II so the more I learn about it, the better.

    Pretty much correct.

    The J-8F differs from the J-8D is that the former now adds the use of the PL-12 active missile. It can also dump Chinese clones of JSOW/JDAM called the LS-6 and FT-2.

    The J-8D and J-8B_02 is avionically corrected to fire the PL-11 SARH missile. The original J-8B had its problems on that and is regarded as PL-8 firing only.

    in reply to: Chinese Su-27s their cooproduction status #2508610
    crobato
    Participant

    The reason of that crobato is up to 2006 they were assembling kits and as all the especulators of chinese aviation you have created from a self verified fantasy that the China is building J-11s without Sukhoi`s permmit.

    China has not built any Sukhoi Su-27 that is not covered from the 200 airframes contract

    Then how do you explain the Su-27s in the CFTC testing WS-10As and indigneous radar components for example? Mind you, there are differences in the AL-31F engine and the WS-10A, and the latter won’t fit without some airframe modifications.

    So tell me where in Heaven’s name where Shenyang got the permission to modify the airframe for a different engine huh?

    http://cnair.top81.cn/gallery/J-11_60.jpg

    Isn’t it allegedly part of the contract that you cannot make any modifications without Sukhoi’s permission?

    Unit Location Serial Number Quantity Variants
    Flight Test & Training Centre Cangzhou, Hebei N/A 19 Su-30MKK
    PLAAF 1st Air Division Anshan, Liaoning 1XX2X ? J-11
    PLAAF 2nd Air Division Suxi, Guangdong 1XX3X 20+ Su-27SK, Su-27UBK, J-11
    PLAAF 3rd Air Division Wuhu, Anhui 1xx4X 19 Su-30MKK
    PLAAF 6th Air Division Yinchuan, Ningxia 1XX7X ? J-11
    PLAAF 7th Air Division Zhangjiakou, Hebei 1XX8X ? J-11
    PLAAF 14th Air Division Zhangshu, Jiangxi 2XX5X ? J-11
    PLAAF 18th Air Division Changsha, Hunan 2XX9X ? Su-30MKK
    PLAAF 19th Air Division Zhengzhou, Henan 3XX0X ? Su-27SK, Su-27UBK, J-11
    PLAAF 29th Air Division Quzhou, Zhejiang 2XX0X ? Su-30MKK
    PLAAF 33rd Air Division Baishiyi, Chongqing 5XX4X 24 Su-27UBK
    PLANAF 4th Division Taizhou, Zhejiang 8XX4X 24 Su-30MKK2
    see your buddies of http://www.sinodefence.com/airforce/fighter/sukhoideployment.asp

    And I helped some of the input on this.

    PLAAF 33rd Division by the way has more than four J-11s, beyond no. 77 to 80 received originally. The pictures of additional J-11s can be seen here.

    http://cnair.top81.cn/gallery/J-11_58.jpg

    http://cnair.top81.cn/gallery/J-11_60.jpg

    181 Su-27s and J-11s (105 kits plus 76 bought directly) means an average of 25 to 26 planes per regiment in 7 regiments.

    However, some of the units have bort numbers higher than 26. The 33rd Division had planes originally numbered from 49 to 80 which is 32. The 1st and the 7th both have UBKs marked up to 32. The 19th Division regiment is spotted with a number up to 30.

    It is impossible to believe that all the old Su-27s would still be surviving up to now. A number have them have attrited, retired, crashed or cannibalized, so they could not be a full 76 anymore, their bort number replacements would have been J-11s.

    One mystery for many watchers is the appearance of J-11s of a different color in the same unit, even different from J-11s of that same unit.

    Light J-11

    http://cnair.top81.cn/gallery/J-11_17.jpg

    Dark J-11

    http://cnair.top81.cn/gallery/J-11_29.jpg

    Both from the 19th Division.

    in reply to: Chinese Su-27s their cooproduction status #2508683
    crobato
    Participant

    That is logic, because the J-11B can even be a modified Sukhoi delivered kit with chinese components.

    Halting the delivery of kits and refusing signing the contract while you build your own indigenized Su-27s is a total violation of any license.

    Its only a violation if there is something coded in the contract for such. Do you have the terms of the contract? Post if you will, word by word.

    Sukhoi has had years to complain or bring it up to the Chinese authorities. They didn’t and if they did, they can only bring it up in secret. Sukhoi has never officially worded or has gone into formal opposition against what the Chinese were doing, even though the project is no secret since 2001. In 2002, the Chinese flew a J-11 with a WS-10A engine. In December of 2003, the PLAAF journals acknowledge the completion of a prototype.

    I am asking you if you have an official Sukhoi response to this issue, since they have never said an official word on this, despite they already knew about this for years. A few years ago, I think it was Phazotron who said they knew that two of the Chinese radar firms are developing radars for the J-11, but the whole Russian stance is that the Chinese could not complete the intregration issues in ten years.

    Meaning they knew about this eventuality, and they built a marketing plan to exploit that window of opportunity. Which means they themselves cannot stop that eventuality, just exploit before it.

    What they didn’t expect is that it took the Chinese half of the time instead, so instead of coming out in 2011, it came out at the end of 2006.

    in reply to: Chinese Su-27s their cooproduction status #2508693
    crobato
    Participant

    And where is the royalties going? Where is it? Europeans are smarter than you think. Those royalties don’t mean crap or anything like that. They go for bigger game. The Europeans allow the Chinese to build as many of an obsolete helicopter as much as the Chinese want because this helicopter is a vital beachhead to the Chinese market. The royalties are small potatoes against a much bigger picture of potential investment opportunities in China. Why do you want to bother with a few cents when you can make hundreds of dollars instead by being on the good side of somebody?

    Forget about the royalties when those helos help give you a stronger image for the Europeans in front of the Chinese, which helps so much more with other more lucrative contracts—Airliners, nuclear power stations, trains, etc,. Think about the bigger picture. The Dauphin license also has limited the penetration of Russian helicopters in China and allowed the penetration of other European helicopters into the Chinese market instead.

    Its the same thing here. Why complain about getting your fair share of a few cents, when somewhere in the table, you can get a much bigger prize.

    With J-11B, at least Sukhoi still keeps a presence and an image within the PLAAF, or otherwise, would have been taken over by J-10s and its larger successors.

    in reply to: Chinese Su-27s their cooproduction status #2508709
    crobato
    Participant

    No i meant China won`t try to screw Sukhoi, niether economically or technologically beyond what is more less in the agreement they signed, China can say we do not want more J-11s, yes it can but is not in the Russian interests to let the Chinese build their own J-11s with no Russian components or royalties.

    How can China not renew a contract for the additional J-11s and instead build its own J-11s with no Russian conponents and not paying Royalties? can you get it?

    What the Russian articles say is simply China wants to build its own indigenized J-11s and Russian wants to cooperate in one way or other, what Crobato is implying is China is trying to screw Sukhoi, building J-11s without paying royalties.

    What is more logical is China and Russia are prepaing a second round of talks, all the 110 kits have been delivered and some assembled some have been indigenized or in few words upgraded and modified with chinese equipment.

    China won`t risk a rift or either a military or economical confrontation because Russia always can take reprisals either economically or militarily.

    China can stop recieving kits and stoping the contract and instead of use AL-31s as spare engines use WS-10s and upgrade their already built J-10s with chinese made radars that is more logic, than implying the Russians will be happy seeing how China screws Sukhoi.

    What he says about Eurocopter letting China build helicopters without paying royalties is even more childish fantasy, Europe and England control the IMF and therefore have to much leverage economically to let China build unlicense helicopters

    Its not a question of HOW or WHAT or WHY.

    Its a question of ARE. ARE they doing it?

    YES THEY ARE.

    As for Eurocopter, they don’t have any say of the Z-9 being built in China, the numbers and how they are used, and why you have Z-9s being designed as an attack helicopter in the PLA, or an ASW or target spotter with the PLAN. Did the original contract include non military stipulations? By the way, Eurocopter is marketing their latest engines in China to access more of the Z-9 market.

Viewing 15 posts - 991 through 1,005 (of 3,939 total)