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thobbes

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Viewing 15 posts - 1,051 through 1,065 (of 2,012 total)
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  • in reply to: No fly zone in Syria #2248727
    thobbes
    Participant

    Thanks TR1. Indeed situation has improved since 1990s when some pilots were flying only 25 hours a year and if they were lucky 50.

    in reply to: what new air trainer should France get? #2248738
    thobbes
    Participant

    I saw a mention of it, but has it been funded and flown?

    in reply to: No fly zone in Syria #2248741
    thobbes
    Participant

    Just on that, anyone have current stats for Russian Air Force fighter pilots or PLA fighter pilots? Last stats I saw were from 1990s.

    EDIT:

    According to http://russiamil.wordpress.com/category/russian-air-force/ Russian flight hours per annum are 100 hours per annum.

    According to http://www.airforcemag.com/MagazineArchive/Pages/2012/February%202012/0212china.aspx Chinese flight hours per annum are 200 hours per annum

    Questions are “what sort of flying it is.” Flying routine sorties is far less valuable than combat training.

    As for Syria, a number of pilots are racking up the hours – bombing rebel positions and dodging SA-7s and AA in process.

    thobbes
    Participant

    You will see warfare on the global scale within the next 20 years if the trends continue.

    I don’t see it happening. Despite rheotoric, the world is ill prepared for any major warfare (except USA!).

    Any air combat I see happening over next 20 years will be Syria and Iran, both of which are not exactly capable opponents and whose airforces are exhausted (Syrian one is being torn apart in current war, Iranian one never recovered from 1980s Iran-Iraq) or somewhere like Yemen or Sudan who again aren’t exactly capable opponents.

    And that assumes they would launch fighters against any American intervention. Iraq didn’t in 2003 nor did Libya and Serbia did not launch any MiG-21 sorties.

    War in Asia is too risky due to nuclear armed players.

    EDIT: Any air-to-air combat not involving major powers will probably be fought using old fashioned tactics, even if fighters are VLO 5th generation.

    Smaller operators seldom have the resources to develop proper modern integrated systems or develop advanced tactics. Look at the rather primitive tactics used by both sides of Ethiopia-Eritrean conflict (MiG-29 v Su-27).

    But then number of such operators is dwindling.

    in reply to: What if JSF was split into two separate programmes? #2248834
    thobbes
    Participant

    Obligatory, Working on that premise maybe what was need was a Joint Avionics/Systems program with each service still pursuing it’s own airframe requirements?

    in reply to: what new air trainer should France get? #2248836
    thobbes
    Participant

    Yet politics, national prestige and a various other number of factors including lack of dual cockpit version all serve to ensure JF-17 will never serve with any Western nation, let alone France.

    in reply to: Your Favorite Hornet/Super Hornet pics. #2248848
    thobbes
    Participant

    USN does squadron badges and markings so much better than USAF especially these days when USAF aircraft always seem to come in same drab colours.

    in reply to: What if JSF was split into two separate programmes? #2248852
    thobbes
    Participant

    I know it’s a big can of worms. It’s not about being a fan, it should be about using tax payer dollars efficiently whilst meeting realistic requirements.

    Right now USMC is second army and second air force.

    I’m not sure what USMC in it’s current format brings to the table.

    And let’s not forget that in WWII Army did lots of amphibious landings and in fact was involved in largest amphibious landings of war that the USMC had nothing to do with (Operations Overlord, Husky and Torch).

    An even more extreme alternative is:

    1. Abolish regular Army (it has to be extended every 2 years by Act of Congress anyway)
    2. Keep ANG ground and air units.
    3. Abolish regular USAF Tac Air and Transport services
    4. Massively expand Marine Corps as an expeditionary Air-Land integrated combat force.
    5. USAF to be in charge of land based nuclear deterrent, space services, strategic recon and ANG based defence of continental USA.

    It sounds off topic but force structure is a key driver of F-35 program.

    in reply to: USAF to retire A-10 fleet or the B-1B fleet? #2248859
    thobbes
    Participant

    Just saw the article mentions cuts of up to 700 aircraft.

    From memory about 100 transporters are scheduled to go (C-27, C-5A, older C-130) as well as 6 fighter squadrons (1 F-16 aggressor, 5 A-10) – that’s another 150.

    Total current fleets for A-10 is about 350 a/c and B-1B is 70.

    So transport fleet + cutting both A-10 and B-1B + 1 squadron of F-16 is only about 550 aircraft.

    That means another 150 will need to go. Obviously training requirement is reduced but it’s possible that fighter squadrons will be in the mix (especially those not earmarked to get upgraded F-15C/D “Golden Eagles”).

    in reply to: what new air trainer should France get? #2248861
    thobbes
    Participant

    Do you still think that in ten years the bad guys in an asymetric scenario will still hve only Ak47, old aden or bofor canons and religious song to throw at fast jets passing by?

    Yep!

    In fact the assymetric guys in 1970s and 1980s were often better equipped in terms of AA (e.g. SA-7 in Morocco, Angola, Stingers in Afghanistan) due to super power support and general proliferation of such weapons.

    Since 1990s, super power support in terms of high tech AA has collapsed, and older weapons still in use are either time expired or have been neutralised by modern counter measures.

    Even fall of Hussein and Gaddafhi and ransacking of arsenals did not increase aircraft losses to rates previously seen in previous counterinsurgencies.

    In fact losses of Western fast jets to MANPADS have not occured since 2001.

    Main threat has been to helicopters and then small arms and RPGs are a bigger contributor to loss rates.

    Losses to MANPADS have been mainly in Syria and Libya and have involved SA-7 v older Soviet aircraft flying low level WWII style ground attack missions. In this case Bofors AA is also effective.

    in reply to: Your Favorite Hornet/Super Hornet pics. #2248868
    thobbes
    Participant

    Love that tail scheme.

    in reply to: What if JSF was split into two separate programmes? #2248872
    thobbes
    Participant

    I think that would’ve been a very good idea.

    However I think the Navy/Air Force requirements would still be too contradictory and program would’ve hit delays as such.

    USMC would’ve wanted supersonic as part of requirement is replacement of F/A-18.

    Personally I think a key part of the question should’ve been “does the Marine Corp actually need it’s own air force?”

    Answer is most likely no.

    And then roll with separate USN and USAF programs.

    in reply to: F-35 Debate thread (2) #2248937
    thobbes
    Participant

    Actually given current threats, one of the most likely enemy air forces consists of both US (F-4/-5/-14) and Russian (MiG-29, Su-24/-25) aircraft. Of course I’m talking about Iran.

    thobbes
    Participant

    PPP is usually lower for militaries due to need for importing equipment. And advanced equipment ala fighter planes, SAMs and warships are very, very expensive in the first place.

    thobbes
    Participant

    I actually agree with RpR.

    Air combat hasn’t evolved in real life – it’s all based on simulation and assumptions.

    In reality air to air combat is obsolete. It’s about as relevant to most wars today as battleship combat.

    The nuclear elephant in the room makes conventional war between large powers impossible thanks to Mutually Assured Destruction.

    Most smaller countries and especially those actually involved in conflict cannot afford to operate jet fighters and when they do it’s simple ground attack jets ala Su-25 or old MiGs used in ground attack role.

    The French have been using Atlantique MPAs as bombers over Mali – this is basically going back to the era of B-25 Mitchell and B-26 Marauder! Many airforces are buying EMB-314 Super Tucanos to replace jets and again are using these in actual combat. Again this is going back to AT-6 Texan days.

    This is the future of air warfare.

    The large powers will continue to invest in aircraft whose lifespans will be similar to those for dreadnought battleships – lots of money pumped into them, yet they will spend their lives in peace and not be used in anger (other than bombing defenceless third world types – for which a modernised 4th gen jet is often overkill. Meanwhile cheap UCAVs, turboprops and helicopter gunships will bare the brunt of combat in 3rd world slug fests.

Viewing 15 posts - 1,051 through 1,065 (of 2,012 total)