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Sanem

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Viewing 15 posts - 61 through 75 (of 545 total)
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  • in reply to: Turkish offensive in Syria #2158824
    Sanem
    Participant

    This is leading people to believe this is purely a way for Turkey and US to take territory and create a buffer zone for their terrorist friends to build up in.

    there are plenty of indications that ISIS has close ties with Turkey, a country with a history of false flag operations
    ISIS is the black sheep that allowed the coalition to intervene in the Syria conflict
    the only downside from creating such a puppy-murdering and freedom hating boogey man is that Russia also used it as an excuse to intervene, and now Turkey

    note that Turkey says it’s intervention is 100% legal under international law, because it’s moving against Daesh

    in reply to: Turkish offensive in Syria #2159882
    Sanem
    Participant

    …how an ISIS attack was used as a pretext by Argentina to not only invade the Falklands, but also to take out a number of top generals that were opposing the government
    it was ment as a satire on how false flags are used to start wars and take out political opposition

    – terrorist group at your border begging you to invade? check
    – coup attempt, forcing you to purge your military? check
    – gruesome terrorist attack by same group provoking immediate military deployment? check

    Turkey has now officially launched operations into Syrian territory, as I’ve predicted months ago
    I also predicted Saudi Arabia would attack next. but if they do, they will attack Assad directly

    in reply to: Russia moving tac air troops to Syria #2167527
    Sanem
    Participant

    No of course not. The conflict in Syria is complicated by the various warring sides, no way is Iraq going to officially involve itself- plus Shia militias have been deployed from Iraq to Syria for years now.

    I can imagine the Shia Iraqi government doesn’t want to provoke its Sunni minority by deploying its military inside Syria in support of Assad

    but the rebellion aside, ISIS still holds a lot of territory on the Syrian side of the Iraqi border, from which they can launch attacks or at the very least support terrorist attacks. it seems only logical that Iraq would at least launch air strikes against ISIS inside Syria in support of the rebels or more likely the Assad regime, I’m guessing their UAVs at least have the reach
    at the very least more Iraqi militias are likely to go into Syria, to support Assad or at least fight ISIS

    in reply to: Russia moving tac air troops to Syria #2167777
    Sanem
    Participant

    here’s a question, seeing how the Iraqi’s are making good progress against ISIS, does this mean Iraq will send its forces into Syria when they’re done in Iraq?
    because the surge of Iranian and Iraqi troops, not to mention the attack helicopters and UAV’s, would likely seal the fate for ISIS and the rebels there
    combined with the Russian air campaign it would certainly be a potent air force

    in reply to: Russia moving tac air troops to Syria #2169075
    Sanem
    Participant

    actually Russia will welcome Saudi intervention to drag into the mud of Syria. The airstrikes are designed in such way to create public image of wide destruction to put internal pressure on Saudis to act.

    interesting, care to expand on that?

    in reply to: Russia moving tac air troops to Syria #2169596
    Sanem
    Participant

    might the RuAF deploy the T-50 to Syria?
    it’s quoted as being “combat ready” in this article
    http://sputniknews.com/military/20160813/1044240817/russia-defense-fighter-jet-military.html
    if deployed as air cover, it certainly would make Turkey and Israel think twice about attacking SAA/RuAF again
    or pose a major obstacle to any interventionist dreams Saudi Arabia might have

    would be an excellent testing ground
    imagine if the F-35 was sent into combat before being ordered in large numbers 😀

    in reply to: Russia moving tac air troops to Syria #2178559
    Sanem
    Participant

    the rebels are making serious gain in Aleppo
    or at least they claim to have taken the artillery college, government sources say they didn’t

    either way I’m a bit surprised that Russia isn’t focussing everything on that area, tactically speaking it’s a free for all shooting range right now
    they also said they’re not targetting the rebels at the artillery college because they’re too close to the government forces
    which is confusing to me, with all the drones in the area and they do have precision weapons, they should be able to figure out who’s who and target them with minimal collateral damage
    which stresses again the need for miniature, low cost precision weapons. I’ve long argued for something like radio-guided grenades, against a low-tech opponent these are extremely effective and accurate, regardless of weather conditions, and with almost zero collateral damage

    in reply to: Russia moving tac air troops to Syria #2183464
    Sanem
    Participant

    the rebel offensive means they’re now at risk of getting cut off themselves, as their supply lines extend over no man’s land and their retreat is cut off by air power

    I suggested they would be cut off by air power, but it would seem the SAA took a more physical approach
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CowzOUrXYAA1FJA.jpg:large

    if this is true, there could be hundreds of top rebel troops trapped in a small area

    to link this to the SVP-24, that means VKS now wants to put as much ordnance as it can into that area
    accuracy won’t matter much when you want to saturate bomb
    especially with ordnance that’s essentially free, compared to the $25k+ the US pays per shot

    in reply to: Russia moving tac air troops to Syria #2183520
    Sanem
    Participant

    seems they got some upgraded Su-24’s from VKS inventory
    but it’s unclear if these come with SVP-24, or if they’re Sukhoi-upgraded models

    in reply to: Russia moving tac air troops to Syria #2183700
    Sanem
    Participant

    interesting article on the balistic computer used by the VKS to accurately drop dumb bombs on targets
    http://russia-insider.com/en/politics/technology-sitrep-how-russian-engineering-made-current-operation-syria-possible/ri12135

    which makes me wonder, are SAA jets also equiped with it, since it’s compatible with older Soviet aircraft?

    in reply to: Russia moving tac air troops to Syria #2183766
    Sanem
    Participant

    well it remains to be seen if this offensive can actually result in strategic gains, rather than a tactical victory
    even if they break through and connect to the besieged area’s, they’re exposing a huge amount of what looks like elite forces to a concentrated counter-attack
    here’s a detailed video
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yYNAsTwDADM
    these aren’t the usual kids in flipflops, they’re well equiped and trained men, which makes them priority targets, more than any ground gains might be
    and they’ve just been moved en mass into a relatively small area that’s now a free for all shooting range

    I’m pretty sure the Russians saw this coming, the troop concentrations alone must have given it away, if not common sense
    also notice that Russia sent in the Tu-214R on July 29th, just 2 days prior to the rebel offensive
    meaning they have a J-STARS with the latest equipment mapping every move the rebels make right now
    https://theaviationist.com/2016/07/31/russias-most-advanced-spyplane-has-deployed-to-syria-again/
    any tank move will light up like a flare, especially in the open

    but as has been suggested, this could be the rebels’ Kursk
    ISIS did the same when SAA pushed on Al Tabqah, giving ground, drawing them in and then counter-attacking

    the rebel offensive means they’re now at risk of getting cut off themselves, as their supply lines extend over no man’s land and their retreat is cut off by air power
    the VKS’s response seem to confirm this, as they continue operations in other area’s, rather than refocus and try to seriously stop the advance
    they’re drawing them in. the rebels probably know this, but they have little choice
    once they’re in you mine the exit routes, and then barrel bomb the entire area

    personally I would have pushed for Khanassir and cut off the Aleppo siege at it’s weakest point, which it seems is what ISIS is now doing
    because obviously ISIS and the rebels aren’t both coordinated by the CIA

    on the thermal imagers, this goes to show once again the usefulness of large UAVs, with advanced sensors and precision weapons, so they can sit on a choke point and not just collect data, but also instantly and accurately engage targets of opportunity

    in reply to: Russia moving tac air troops to Syria #2184284
    Sanem
    Participant

    I agree that a CIA director might probably be the least credible source of information on the planet. even truth is used to spread lies by these guys
    this is the organisation that lied about WMDs, funded extremists and installed mass murderering dictators, brought drugs into the US, and has been documented to making plans to conduct terrorist attacks against US population just to start a war with a country that had nothing to do with it

    as to the rebel Aleppo offensive, most interesting
    I’ve been following the discussions on reddit, the suggestion is that this will be their Kursk, as they’re launching the cream of their forces into prepared defences in what seems like a desperate offensive, with air power overhead and Assad’s elite forces nearby, ready to counter-attack

    not sure what the tire smoke will do against air strikes
    but here’s a video of thermal imaging vs smoke and it doesn’t seem to have much effect
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NcvWu7YQTUk
    as I understand it the Russians focus on night time strikes, which suggests they do have thermal optics on their aircraft

    edit: also it might not matter that much, as the rebels are now moving into a mapped area
    meaning that everytime they group into a building, ground forces and drones simply have to let the aircraft know which building to target, and they can bomb those blind by gps coordinates
    also the whole area the rebels are now moving into seems pretty abandoned, so it’s a free for all turkey shoot at this point

    in reply to: Enhanced Eurofighter Typhoon? #2186614
    Sanem
    Participant

    UCAV can never be cheaper than manned fighter for missile duels.

    lol, of course it can be, it already is
    back in 2003 they stripped down a Predator with a Stinger against a Mig-25 (which is kind of like sending a child with a knife against an AK-armed soldier)
    but if you want a more capable alternative, take a UTAP-22, put some A2A missiles on it, use off board sensors to provide targetting data
    now you’re throwing a $2 million UAV at $50+ million fighter jets, $100+ million in case of the latest US stealth jets

    how UCAV can do dog fight?. do they have CFT or big fuel tanks to go fast and high into battle field.

    better than humans, according to the latest research
    https://www.inverse.com/article/17625-the-alpha-artificial-intelligence-drone-can-shoot-down-fighter-pilots
    and of course a specifically designed dogfighting UCAV would not be limited by its human pilot, allowing for smaller, cheaper and super-maneuverable aircraft

    I doubt a Eurofighter would last long against something like that

    in reply to: Future air superiority UCAV #2190868
    Sanem
    Participant

    thanks for the UTAP-22 background
    but that does give it a theoretical total payload of about 250 kg, enough for 2 sdb’s (110 kg each)
    but that’s a question of balancing design limitations
    the fact is that it’s possible of building an aircraft with that performance, payload and price

    another interesting comparison is the Tomahawk cruise missile
    costs $1.6 million, 1500 miles range, 450 kg payload

    this compared to the X45A which Boeing projected would cost as little as $5 million if I’m not mistaken
    which doesn’t seem unreasonable for an oversized, stealthy cruise missile

    so maybe some day we will see swarms of UTAP-22 style aircraft take to the skies, shooting down enemy aircraft and bombing targets
    the biggest focus would be on a control aircraft, as an off site sensor and control suite
    Reapers and manned aircraft would deploy to the area, spot targets and tell incoming UTAP’s how and where to strike

    in reply to: Future air superiority UCAV #2191940
    Sanem
    Participant

    Kratos Receives Low-Cost Attritable Strike Unmanned Aerial System Demonstration Contract Award

    http://ir.kratosdefense.com/releasedetail.cfm?releaseid=978805

    $3 million, to carry at least 2 SDB’s, 1500 miles range (about the same as an F-35 incidentally)
    sounds like a reusable cruise missile, which is a pretty good idea
    the reason I’m posting it here is because a possible mission mentioned is Offensive Counter Air (OCA) Maneuvers. not sure what that means, but there’s no reason not to put a pair of Sidewinders under these things and send them on air combat patrols

    and here some older articles on air combat UCAVs

    http://www.aspistrategist.org.au/towards-an-unmanned-air-combat-capability-part-1/

    http://www.g2mil.com/fighter_uavs.htm

Viewing 15 posts - 61 through 75 (of 545 total)