This is leading people to believe this is purely a way for Turkey and US to take territory and create a buffer zone for their terrorist friends to build up in.
there are plenty of indications that ISIS has close ties with Turkey, a country with a history of false flag operations
ISIS is the black sheep that allowed the coalition to intervene in the Syria conflict
the only downside from creating such a puppy-murdering and freedom hating boogey man is that Russia also used it as an excuse to intervene, and now Turkey
note that Turkey says it’s intervention is 100% legal under international law, because it’s moving against Daesh
…how an ISIS attack was used as a pretext by Argentina to not only invade the Falklands, but also to take out a number of top generals that were opposing the government
it was ment as a satire on how false flags are used to start wars and take out political opposition
– terrorist group at your border begging you to invade? check
– coup attempt, forcing you to purge your military? check
– gruesome terrorist attack by same group provoking immediate military deployment? check
Turkey has now officially launched operations into Syrian territory, as I’ve predicted months ago
I also predicted Saudi Arabia would attack next. but if they do, they will attack Assad directly
No of course not. The conflict in Syria is complicated by the various warring sides, no way is Iraq going to officially involve itself- plus Shia militias have been deployed from Iraq to Syria for years now.
I can imagine the Shia Iraqi government doesn’t want to provoke its Sunni minority by deploying its military inside Syria in support of Assad
but the rebellion aside, ISIS still holds a lot of territory on the Syrian side of the Iraqi border, from which they can launch attacks or at the very least support terrorist attacks. it seems only logical that Iraq would at least launch air strikes against ISIS inside Syria in support of the rebels or more likely the Assad regime, I’m guessing their UAVs at least have the reach
at the very least more Iraqi militias are likely to go into Syria, to support Assad or at least fight ISIS
here’s a question, seeing how the Iraqi’s are making good progress against ISIS, does this mean Iraq will send its forces into Syria when they’re done in Iraq?
because the surge of Iranian and Iraqi troops, not to mention the attack helicopters and UAV’s, would likely seal the fate for ISIS and the rebels there
combined with the Russian air campaign it would certainly be a potent air force
actually Russia will welcome Saudi intervention to drag into the mud of Syria. The airstrikes are designed in such way to create public image of wide destruction to put internal pressure on Saudis to act.
interesting, care to expand on that?
might the RuAF deploy the T-50 to Syria?
it’s quoted as being “combat ready” in this article
http://sputniknews.com/military/20160813/1044240817/russia-defense-fighter-jet-military.html
if deployed as air cover, it certainly would make Turkey and Israel think twice about attacking SAA/RuAF again
or pose a major obstacle to any interventionist dreams Saudi Arabia might have
would be an excellent testing ground
imagine if the F-35 was sent into combat before being ordered in large numbers 😀
the rebels are making serious gain in Aleppo
or at least they claim to have taken the artillery college, government sources say they didn’t
either way I’m a bit surprised that Russia isn’t focussing everything on that area, tactically speaking it’s a free for all shooting range right now
they also said they’re not targetting the rebels at the artillery college because they’re too close to the government forces
which is confusing to me, with all the drones in the area and they do have precision weapons, they should be able to figure out who’s who and target them with minimal collateral damage
which stresses again the need for miniature, low cost precision weapons. I’ve long argued for something like radio-guided grenades, against a low-tech opponent these are extremely effective and accurate, regardless of weather conditions, and with almost zero collateral damage
the rebel offensive means they’re now at risk of getting cut off themselves, as their supply lines extend over no man’s land and their retreat is cut off by air power
I suggested they would be cut off by air power, but it would seem the SAA took a more physical approach
if this is true, there could be hundreds of top rebel troops trapped in a small area
to link this to the SVP-24, that means VKS now wants to put as much ordnance as it can into that area
accuracy won’t matter much when you want to saturate bomb
especially with ordnance that’s essentially free, compared to the $25k+ the US pays per shot
seems they got some upgraded Su-24’s from VKS inventory
but it’s unclear if these come with SVP-24, or if they’re Sukhoi-upgraded models
interesting article on the balistic computer used by the VKS to accurately drop dumb bombs on targets
http://russia-insider.com/en/politics/technology-sitrep-how-russian-engineering-made-current-operation-syria-possible/ri12135
which makes me wonder, are SAA jets also equiped with it, since it’s compatible with older Soviet aircraft?
well it remains to be seen if this offensive can actually result in strategic gains, rather than a tactical victory
even if they break through and connect to the besieged area’s, they’re exposing a huge amount of what looks like elite forces to a concentrated counter-attack
here’s a detailed video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yYNAsTwDADM
these aren’t the usual kids in flipflops, they’re well equiped and trained men, which makes them priority targets, more than any ground gains might be
and they’ve just been moved en mass into a relatively small area that’s now a free for all shooting range
I’m pretty sure the Russians saw this coming, the troop concentrations alone must have given it away, if not common sense
also notice that Russia sent in the Tu-214R on July 29th, just 2 days prior to the rebel offensive
meaning they have a J-STARS with the latest equipment mapping every move the rebels make right now
https://theaviationist.com/2016/07/31/russias-most-advanced-spyplane-has-deployed-to-syria-again/
any tank move will light up like a flare, especially in the open
but as has been suggested, this could be the rebels’ Kursk
ISIS did the same when SAA pushed on Al Tabqah, giving ground, drawing them in and then counter-attacking
the rebel offensive means they’re now at risk of getting cut off themselves, as their supply lines extend over no man’s land and their retreat is cut off by air power
the VKS’s response seem to confirm this, as they continue operations in other area’s, rather than refocus and try to seriously stop the advance
they’re drawing them in. the rebels probably know this, but they have little choice
once they’re in you mine the exit routes, and then barrel bomb the entire area
personally I would have pushed for Khanassir and cut off the Aleppo siege at it’s weakest point, which it seems is what ISIS is now doing
because obviously ISIS and the rebels aren’t both coordinated by the CIA
on the thermal imagers, this goes to show once again the usefulness of large UAVs, with advanced sensors and precision weapons, so they can sit on a choke point and not just collect data, but also instantly and accurately engage targets of opportunity
I agree that a CIA director might probably be the least credible source of information on the planet. even truth is used to spread lies by these guys
this is the organisation that lied about WMDs, funded extremists and installed mass murderering dictators, brought drugs into the US, and has been documented to making plans to conduct terrorist attacks against US population just to start a war with a country that had nothing to do with it
as to the rebel Aleppo offensive, most interesting
I’ve been following the discussions on reddit, the suggestion is that this will be their Kursk, as they’re launching the cream of their forces into prepared defences in what seems like a desperate offensive, with air power overhead and Assad’s elite forces nearby, ready to counter-attack
not sure what the tire smoke will do against air strikes
but here’s a video of thermal imaging vs smoke and it doesn’t seem to have much effect
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NcvWu7YQTUk
as I understand it the Russians focus on night time strikes, which suggests they do have thermal optics on their aircraft
edit: also it might not matter that much, as the rebels are now moving into a mapped area
meaning that everytime they group into a building, ground forces and drones simply have to let the aircraft know which building to target, and they can bomb those blind by gps coordinates
also the whole area the rebels are now moving into seems pretty abandoned, so it’s a free for all turkey shoot at this point
UCAV can never be cheaper than manned fighter for missile duels.
lol, of course it can be, it already is
back in 2003 they stripped down a Predator with a Stinger against a Mig-25 (which is kind of like sending a child with a knife against an AK-armed soldier)
but if you want a more capable alternative, take a UTAP-22, put some A2A missiles on it, use off board sensors to provide targetting data
now you’re throwing a $2 million UAV at $50+ million fighter jets, $100+ million in case of the latest US stealth jets
how UCAV can do dog fight?. do they have CFT or big fuel tanks to go fast and high into battle field.
better than humans, according to the latest research
https://www.inverse.com/article/17625-the-alpha-artificial-intelligence-drone-can-shoot-down-fighter-pilots
and of course a specifically designed dogfighting UCAV would not be limited by its human pilot, allowing for smaller, cheaper and super-maneuverable aircraft
I doubt a Eurofighter would last long against something like that
thanks for the UTAP-22 background
but that does give it a theoretical total payload of about 250 kg, enough for 2 sdb’s (110 kg each)
but that’s a question of balancing design limitations
the fact is that it’s possible of building an aircraft with that performance, payload and price
another interesting comparison is the Tomahawk cruise missile
costs $1.6 million, 1500 miles range, 450 kg payload
this compared to the X45A which Boeing projected would cost as little as $5 million if I’m not mistaken
which doesn’t seem unreasonable for an oversized, stealthy cruise missile
so maybe some day we will see swarms of UTAP-22 style aircraft take to the skies, shooting down enemy aircraft and bombing targets
the biggest focus would be on a control aircraft, as an off site sensor and control suite
Reapers and manned aircraft would deploy to the area, spot targets and tell incoming UTAP’s how and where to strike
Kratos Receives Low-Cost Attritable Strike Unmanned Aerial System Demonstration Contract Award
http://ir.kratosdefense.com/releasedetail.cfm?releaseid=978805
$3 million, to carry at least 2 SDB’s, 1500 miles range (about the same as an F-35 incidentally)
sounds like a reusable cruise missile, which is a pretty good idea
the reason I’m posting it here is because a possible mission mentioned is Offensive Counter Air (OCA) Maneuvers. not sure what that means, but there’s no reason not to put a pair of Sidewinders under these things and send them on air combat patrols
and here some older articles on air combat UCAVs
http://www.aspistrategist.org.au/towards-an-unmanned-air-combat-capability-part-1/