I daresay kramer is quite right, GTRE’s engine development is stuck due to lack of specialized materials (which is not their area of responsibility in the first place) not due to some unknown knowledge about engine design.
So just having access to specialised materials would put GTRE in a position to design and develop an engine near/equal to M-88 / F414 / EJ200 in performance?
If The deal GTRE is now looking for is wrt co-development is not a modification or a consultancy per se but actually sharing the work.
Thanks for that info. Been away for a couple of months. Should you know / choose to hazard a guess, what expertise can GTRE bring to a co-development? To be blunt, what could they be responsible for without risking damaging the prospects of the co-developed engine?
They are just speculations, no deal has been done to integrate m-88 core on kaveri as of now. The french demand a minimum run for at least 300 engines if the deal is to go through. Moreover they themselves seem to be abandoning the idea of 90KN+ m-88 now, so the premium on french cooperation will definitely go up.
Fair comment but returning to what I said:
“It is my understanding that the intention is to use Kaveri / M-88eri, whatever you choose to call it as the powerplant for the AMCA.”
I did not say it was definitely going to happen, I said the intention was to use modified Kaveri engines in the AMCA.
I hope the modifications stay well short of 100%! Anywhere near that figure and without transfer of critical technology, India might just as well manufacture a suitable engine under licence it seems to me. Cuts out the risk of engine procurement holding up AMCA (with the possibility of further aircraft imports being deemed necessary?)
One more thing: if France declines to pay for a 90KN+ M-88 and AMCA needs an engine of that thrust, will India end up indirectly paying development costs for the Armee de l’Air?
May I ask what is the source of this info. As far as I am aware there is no open source info on AMCA anywhere other than pictures of experimental scaled wind tunnel model. I would be really interested if it exists anywhere.
It is my understanding that the intention is to use Kaveri / M-88eri, whatever you choose to call it as the powerplant for the AMCA.
Sources (just the first 5 from a Yahoo search on Kaveri + AMCA):
http://www.india-defence.com/reports-4969
http://www.indiandefence.com/forums/f7/kaveri-power-amca-aircraft-3826/
http://www.indiandefence.com/amca-indian-kaveri-jet-engine-20110204/
The Kaveri engine program is for all intents and purposes dead. A potential M88 variant to be named “Kaveri” may or may not take its place depending on if an agreement with France is ever signed.
GTRE’s Kaveri as it exists now will never be operationally deployed in any fighter. It simply does not provide enough thrust and it never has. All of the “claimed” performance figures were unmet benchmarks. If anyone has ever worked on a poorly executed product development cycle, you will know how it goes. Unrealistic claims are made, actual deliverables are underwhelming. Bull**** is peddled with even more unrealistic claims. Repeat cycle until broke.
The Kaveri engine’s actual delivered thrust to weight ratio is anywhere between 5:1 and 6:1 depending on which excuses GTRE is using that day. In either case it falls well below the >7:1 thrust weight ratios of engines achieved by the US and Soviets 30 years ago.
Sounds like you are painfully realistic about the Kaveri project. I recognise your description of a poorly executed product development cycle. From what I have read on this forum, I have the impression that the conditions for a lot of bull*****ing were there in the Kaveri project: a culture in which deadlines are not deadlines but aspirations, a culture in which non-performance is glossed over, a culture in which realistic appraisal is avoided, evaded, postponed, all this set in a background of nationalistic fervour.
I thought, though, that Kaveri had demonstrated better than 5:1 – 6:1 thrust/weight ratio. Of course, if it could only achieve 8:1 for a small number of hours, 8:1 is almost as useless as 5:1. I suppose that if the engine is as bad as you think it is and GTRE is negotiating to fix the problems that GTRE (in its ignorance) deems necessary whereas Snecma is telling GTRE that the design is unfixable, the negotiations could go on forever. Perhaps GTRE themselves know that the design they have produced does not work and probably cannot be made to work but for reasons of pride and a desire to avoid being tarred as a bunch of incompetents will not admit the obvious. Saving face etc
Personally I have no idea how good/bad the Kaveri is but it would be nice to think that the basic design is sound enough for the engine to be successful with modification by an organisation with superior technological knowledge.
What would be sad would be to see a long process of denial of failure by GTRE (who knows if that is the case or not – the culture in which Kaveri was developed was a culture lending itself to the avoidance of reality) leading to such delay that India ended up having to design AMCA around an imported engine.
Rafale production is only slow due to the lack of orders. According Dassault it would be possible to ramp up production and increase numbers by about 3 times the current delivery rate per year which should be sufficient!
Perhaps Dassault can assemble Rafales at three times the current rate. Can the dozens of different suppliers involved all (and I mean ALL, without any exceptions) increase production threefold? To me that would be a challenge.
I think of the recent RR problem with the Qantas A380. Assembly of A380’s was severely disrupted due a lack of RR engines.
It only needs one manufacturer of Rafale sub-systems to decline to triple production rate for financial reasons or to fail to reach the intended target of tripling the rate and Dassault will not be able to do what it could otherwise do.
2. Heavy in what way again I ask. Su 30 MKI is cheaper than the Typhoon and Rafale. Even with the latters lower operating costs it will take years if not decades recuperate the price difference at the time of purchase. India is still flying the MIG 21. India also has a high level of experience with the flanker and can be guaranteed Russian help in extending the life of the Flankers if needed.
Sorry, thought the experience with Russia was that it provided lousy after sales service ie if you have the choice, avoid buying Russian.
in the end, if germany is the “eurofighter partner” selling the EF and france the rafale, they can just leave the dollar out of the game (especially if its value changes rapidly) and give their prices in euros…. for once the comparison may be “stable” in time, as both contenders use the same currency. As long as indian currency doesn’t go like the dollar, it would give everybody involved a clear view of the total price
But… I guess one third+ of EF costs are in £ sterling. If the euro drops against the £ sterling, EF margins will be squeezed (whereas Dassault margins won’t) if prices are quoted in euros.
Oh, by the way, a demonstrator is nowhere near a operational flying aircraft. It’s just to “demonstrate” that it could be possible should the funding be available.
Apart from reducing risk by providing a lot of data to confirm assumptions, wouldn’t the existence of a demonstrator reduce development time for the real thing if someone chose to order it?
My,my…
How silly, we all know that the Concord was suply superior to these two…
It’s not supposed to be about Rafale, Typhoon and Concorde. We all know that even though Rafale and Typhoon are better A2A and A2G platforms, they are rubbish at supercruise compared to Concorde. Did the Atlantic without drop tanks, too!
Is the great debate regarding Rafale’s technical supremacy over Typhoon a side issue now in terms of selection? As I understand things, both aircraft were judged to meet nearly all performance requirements after evaluation.
As far as I understand the selection process, focus is now on cost and TOT (plus political considerations, of course).
Rafale is undoubtedly further ahead in development (weapons integration/AESA). That affects cost. For example, if selected, India would receive Rafales with an AESA radar – production has already started. Currently there is no guarantee that Typhoons would be delivered with AESA. There is a risk that they might have to retrofitted at a very large cost, depending on when India wanted delivery. I call an entirely avoidable cost of tens of millions of dollars “a very large cost”.
But then, thinking of M2K update costs, what would a captive customer have to pay Dassault for a mid-life Rafale update? Perhaps not so much in India’s case – India might be able to do that alone 20 years from now (if the deal really did result in full transfer of technology).
On TOT, I have no idea whether Eurofighter or Dassault would be more willing to adhere to the spirit of full TOT.
On participating in future developments and influencing their nature, I imagine that becoming a full partner in Eurofighter would put India in a better position. If India wanted a certain development but France did not, India would have to foot the bill whereas with Eurofighter, India would be more likely to find an ally in one or more of the other partner countries that also wanted the development.
So, any ideas out there on through-life costs and TOT for the two contenders?
I can’t see much of a point to a straight sea gripen, If SAAB want to take orders away from the F-35 then they really need to be building effectively KFX-201N, I know which of the two I’d rather see as a tornado replacement.
There are 3 main markets IMO:
– small carrier, restricted payload single engined aircraft
– small/large carrier, STOL/STOVL aircraft
– large carrier, large payload aircraft
Sea Gripen wouldn’t compete wih F-35C. It would be bought by nations that could not afford a carrier with twins or F-35C or nations that did not need large payload sorties.
Well alot of people in power when faced with rebellion have said they gonna wipe out opposition. Nothing new.
As I understand it, Gadaffi was warning the rebels that they would receive no mercy. I don’t think that leaves much doubt about what he would do to them if captured or if they surrendered: liquidate them. War crime, that.
That is a certain way to not get a contract with any government service. Nothing more pleasing than giving a big deal to the guys who stated in public that your organisation has taken bribes for decades. I really hope that was not said.
Agree with you about the article. Not good for Dassault.
The article basically (among other things) says that the Brits excel at sniffing out corrupt bureaucrats and bribing them. And that the Americans are corrupt, too. And insinuates that Rafale is the logical choice for India, so if it does not win it will be because there was insufficient time for the bureaucrats to properly evaluate the capability of the 2 aircraft, their first concern being to arrange their bribes.
Bucket of salt to be taken with it?
One interesting theory propounded in the article is that due to rising tension between USA and Pakistan, the latter has turned to China for weaponry asking for early delivery. Thus there is time pressure on India to push the MMRCA deal through quickly.
Could be something in that, couldn’t there?
Et toc !!
Merci, chef!