Although the comment was not aimed at me – and I trust that after a lifetime of writing my spelling and syntax give little cause for complaint – I am happy to accept the invitation.
Sorry to hear your reaction.
Personally I do not think that “dev” is at all confusing. Far more confusing are acronyms which can be impenetrable for the uninitiated – CAS, UPC, VLO etc
I suggest that the full phrase be used first in any post and thereafter the acronym eg
The unit production cost of the F-99 is $50 million. The UPC of the F-100 is lower.
I don’t recall now (or perhaps it has not been said anywhere) when the short list should start becoming the very short list through elimination of candidates.
Will candidates be eliiminated one by one or will there be an announcement of all unsuccessful candidates in one announcement? I presume that those left on the very short list will be asked to improve their offers before the winning candidate is announced. When is the announcement of the winner likely – this year? next year?
In what way? You hav to add in the cost of the additional supply chain, training, and support. Not to mention you STILL have to keep the C-5 and C-130 support structure in place (they suggested replacing only the C-5As not ALL C-5s). I guess I don’t see a compelling reason for the A400 rather than just more C-17s.
IIRC it can operate out of airfields that the C-17 cannot use. It fills the gap between C-130 and C-17. If C-17 production ceases, what else will be available? Point taken about additional supply chain etc
Retire ALL C-5A in exchange for 118 A400s? Yeah that’d be a smart move. :rolleyes: Sounds like they’re getting desperate. I’ll be they forgot to include the added expense of a new supply chain, training, spares, and so forth too.
If the A400M was on target weight-wise and cost-wise, it would be a good idea.
http://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htairw/articles/20100219.aspx
The strategypage.com article says that France has a customer for Rafale.
“February 19, 2010: After a decade of effort, France finally has an export customer for its Rafale jet fighter.”
Unfortunately, it does not say who it is!
It also says the Rafale is a 28 tonne aircraft!
Simple question to all the partner nations – at what price is the JSF unaffordable and at what time is it too late?
These are the questions that should be asked now, because that wern’t asked 5 years ago..
Indeed. A number of nations will be confronted with extra costs because of the habitual delays (maintaining aircraft they had expected to retire, having to buy at low rate production prices). For example, I think Norway may come to regret the extreme lengths it went to in order to show the Gripen would cost more than the F-35.
On Feb. 15, the German defense ministry said junior ministers from Belgium, Britain, France, Germany, Luxembourg, Spain and Turkey had submitted a proposal to Airbus’ parent company EADS.
They suggested the hi-tech transport plane, which is three years behind schedule, be built first in a “basic” version that could be certified as air worthy, before then delivering a military version.
I don’t see the point. Why should customers pay a supplier to build an aircraft that won’t do what it is designed to do simply to prove that it is airworthy?
Assuming that the A400M proves to be airworthy, what happens after that? I guess Airbus Military will say that x billion more euros than first agreed will be needed to produce a useful military airlifter. At the end of it all, I suspect that the overall cost will be even higher than the cost which caused Airbus Military to threaten to back out of the project in the first place.
That would fit to the €96 million price tag, that was reported for Brazil before it was reduced once again, but it will also depend on numbers that they want to buy right?
How many Rafale does Greece btw want?
I don’t see that Greece will be in a position to embark on any high cost procurements for a long time. Remember that Typhoon procurement was shelved for budget reasons when Greece’s financial problems were far less serious than they are now.
Note that in its last report in 2004, the Cour des Comptes published figures with VAT, and i see no reason why it would have changed.
The rules on VAT (TVA, BTW etc according to EU country) regarding goods and services are fairly simple if I remember them correctly:
a) goods/services for export are not subject to the tax
ergo if you export from an EU country, the customer is not invoiced for the tax
b) goods/services sold within an EU country are subject to the tax at the rate for sales of those particular goods/services in the EU state concerned
ergo if Dassault imports widgets then sells them to the French government, I would expect these to be subject to the tax
For the purposes of comparing prices of different aircraft, including the tax is misleading. For example, if the tax on fighter aircraft is 20% in France but 10% in Italy, an aircraft costing 120 million inc tax in France will be no more expensive for an export customer (100 million) than an aircraft costing 110 million inc tax in Italy.
Delays, cost increases are normal for every fighter program as big and ambitious as the F 35.
Isn’t that why the US has legislation requiring programs to be reviewed when they are getting out of control (eg the F-35 program)? The bigger the program, the more important it is that it is kept under control.
Many people know Aesop’s story of the shepherd boy who cried “Wolf!” when there was no wolf troubling his sheep. It seems to me that as far as the LM’s flock of JSF types is concerned LM has cried “There is no wolf!” too many times.
Now lets see some real hard data…
You’re not supposed to do things like that. 🙁 It runs the risk of turning this from a faith-based debate to fact-based debate. 😉
Now, Eurojet claims it can have the EJ-2000 up and running on Tejas Mk.2 in “two years flat”.
Would the engine need modification? I remember it is narrower than the GE 404 but about 30cm longer. If the engine does not need modification does the 2 years refer to the amount of time it would take to modify Tejas into a MkII version?
I was talking about manned fighters.
I think the Swedes did something on time and on budget a few years ago. That was a manned fighter. Ooops, sorry, I think I was lying there – I think it was under budget.
That fighter lost out to a US fighter in a Scandinavian competition a year or so ago. Among the reasons cited was cost.
Remember that the $58 million was REC Flyaway in FY2007 dollars, not year-purchased dollars. Even per the latest, delayed procurement budget, the F-35A will break the $100 mill mark in two years (FY2013 budget). After that it just gets cheaper and cheaper.
What inflation rate is there for military aviation? What is $100 FY2013 expressed in FY2007 dollars? Allowing 5% pa inflation, that $100 FY2013 becomes $74.6 FY2007. So the real 2013 price allowing for inflation at 5% pa has gone up by about 28% from the $58 million cited (74.6/58 = 1.286).
How far has testing got with F-35A? They’ve done enough to demonstrate that there were no nasties lurking in the background that could entail design changes and further increases in production costs, have they?
Considering the huge numbers to be produced ,the final price would certainly not be higher than F4 standard of Rafale or Typhoon with AESA..
I’m not so sure that economies of scale make it that much cheaper to produce 2000 of a type in 20 years than 1000. I have heard that as a very general rule of thumb economies of scale start becoming marginal after about 500 frames. If that is more or less the case, I don’t see that a reduction of a few hundred F-35A would make a great difference to its cost of production, so I don’t go along with those seeing a reduction in USAF requirements resulting in a “death spiral” of increasing price/increasing reductions in requirements. That would apply more to reduced quantities of F-35B and F-35C, I guess.
As for the fantasy $58 million per F-35A, I think it is a healthy sign that the fantasy has now been abandoned. I still think that the price of F-35A will be near $100 million, so I go along with your view that Rafale, Typhoon and F-35 prices will be in the same ball park.