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Jonesy

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  • in reply to: NK torpedoes SK Vessel #2038031
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Though to me, it sounds as far-fetched as NK employing a German designed fish to shoot an SK surface combattant……To me, that means “yes, most likely a torpedo, but we don’t know the make yet, nor the launching platform”

    Would agree with both of those comments.

    I am convinced its a torpedo strike…..to much mitigates against a mine….ship damage was wrong, waters are wrong, RoKN activity is wrong etc for a mine hit. Who’s fish and why though are anyones guess and I dont expect that to change for a good long time.

    in reply to: NK torpedoes SK Vessel #2038055
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Is it possible that this was an accident involving an SK sub?

    Short answer – yes!.

    You’d hope that their inventory management would notice the fact that one of their 209’s came back one eel light….even if the crew, somehow, tried to keep the whole thing under wraps. Not easy to think of reasons why a crew could come back from peacetime patrol with a short count on the torpedoes!. Could try and claim an emergency jettison of a malfunctioning weapon – but within the same timeframe as a torpedoed corvette???.

    Assuming an errant SK torp from one of their 209’s – it would seem to have served RoKN needs much better to have just come straight out and declared a training accident that led to an accidental sinking….rather than stoking up the political avalanche that could come from this. Would explain the apparent lack of concern about pushing salvage vessels into ‘potentially dangerous’ waters when they did though. They knew that there were no hostiles around because there wasn’t a hostile there in the first place!.

    Changing tack the list you put up of operators is interesting – certainly there are nations on there that have worked with Pyongyang before. There are others that may have been willing to sell on a torpedo or two ‘for test purposes’ quietly – especially if the price was right. There would certainly be no shortage of weapons technicians trained to work on the SST4/SUT enough to rig up a black box to emulate its control signals….doubtless a few would be available for the right consideration.

    Bottom line the idea of it being an NK operation to sink a SK warship clandestinely is technically feasible. Question would have to be why?. Why go to such extreme lengths to sink one ageing corvette?. IF it is a German designed torpedo then it would seem that an operation to attack a RoKN vessel was specially planned. Is there any external factor that would make now an especially appropriate time for such an action?.

    in reply to: NK torpedoes SK Vessel #2038059
    Jonesy
    Participant

    What (if any) alterations would a Ming/Romea class sub require in order to be able to effectively use a German (wireguided) heavyweight torpedo (DM2 A1-A4, SST4, SUT)

    The AEG SS4/SUT series are used by virtually every navy that uses 209 SSK’s. SUT’s are even license manufactured in Indonesia. The warhead on them is even RDX based….though that, to be fair, is like saying we are closely related to chipmunks because we both breathe oxygen!. The warhead size, at 250kg’s, is also in the right bracket. Though it is so much so you do wonder which end the scientific analysis started from?!.

    If we are to make the, dangerous, assumption that the released analysis is correct and that a German designed torpedo was involved then SST4/SUT has to be prime candidate….the earlier analysis reports of an attacking weapons speed range also fits with the high-speed setting of these types….the setting you would certainly use against a warship.

    The least tricky thing would seem to be the actual ability to deploy it. SST4 and SUT are both very compact weapons – as HWT’s go. Nearly 8ft shorter than the Chinese Yu-3 and 4 types fitting one into a Romeo’s tubes should present little issue. Both torpedos are capable of swim-out discharge so no difficulty exists with actual weapon release. Setting the weapon for wire guided firing would, likely, be out of the question. Story goes that the Romeos had/have a purely mechanical FCS (most last-gen Russian and Chinese torps being spindle set as opposed to electrically set) so, even if they refitted a tube with the necessary electrical connections to deploy a wire-guided torpedo, there would be nothing aboard to talk to the torpedo anyway.

    What they would likely do, to get round this, is the same principle the Argentines used to get their truck MM38’s working in 82. Knock together an emulator to trick the weapon into thinking it was talking to the ships FCS. All realistically the weapons engineering team would have to do would be to pass initial bearing/depth/arming settings and the instruction to go seeker active on launch and leave the rest to the torpedo. Seeing as there is such a wealth of operational knowledge of the weapons ‘in the field’ I cant imagine that being a tremendously difficult feat to pull off.

    in reply to: Anti runway weapons #1804039
    Jonesy
    Participant

    The debris is swept away by a front end loader, which is also used to dump pre-positioned gravel into the crater. The crater is topped off by a load of substance similar to 5 minute epoxy.

    Doesnt really tell the whole story that though does it?.

    Runways have to be flat and smooth. Backfilling with a coarse sub base with an epoxy/bitmac wearing course might give you a flat surface an hour after the attack. No guarantee that will still be a flat surface 24hrs later though. Gravel and that sort of sub-base settles. Bit of a shame to have your expensive fighters knocked out through hitting a pothole at 120knts isnt it?!. That sort of surface requires proper repair…not a 30 minute job lobbing in some gravel and epoxy!.

    Mines could be cleared by two APCs driving beside the runway while dragging a length of steel cable between them. Any mines not detonated by the cable would be shot with gunfire or detonated at distance by spray from a fire truck.

    Which sounds so simple and reasonable until the question is asked what happens if one of the APC’s or the fire truck hits one of the mines?. They are relatively well dispersed from the dispenser after all.

    in reply to: Falklands what if #1998548
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Belgranos Main belt was just 6-5.5 inches thick, lets not get carried away here, thats 15cms in new money, half a school ruler, the width of the box you type your replies on here into. Exocet would go through it, most “modern” antiship missiles of that ilk would go through 15 cms of steel.

    You think a subsonic weapon would penetrate 6 inches of armour. Honestly?. Do you know how thin hull plating is for a modern warship?. If it would penetrate 6″ of ordinary hull plate, let alone hardened armour, it would have been right through the Stark and the Sheff before the warhead detonated!.

    Half a dozen exocets impacting on Belgranos Hull in rapid succession would probably result in the armour failing and the ship being in trouble.

    Precisely how much trouble do you think?. IF it took 6 repeated impacts on precisely the same plate and penetrated what damage do you think an Exocet would do to a ship with that kind of mass?.

    So Woodward a staunch submarine man suggests that only a sub could have sunk her?…funny that.

    Think about that. ‘Sunk her’ is the hint.

    Belgrano had Seacat and some guns, the two escorts, both Allen Sumner class ships of WW2 vintage had some light guns. I think the Shars would have made it through

    You think that their WW2 vintage Oerlikons would be less effective than the WW2 Oerlikons we were using on their Skyhawks do you?.

    There is a certain amount of propoganada regarding the whole Belgrano episode about, I think her threat has been “bigged up” in the aftermath. Not saying she shouldn’t have been sunk but need to honest about what three WW2 vintage gun ships with no air cover or helicopters could have done to the Task Force.

    Destroyed it if they got into guns range. Exocet could not have dealt with the threat on its own – we’d seen how vulnerable it was to softkill seduction already ourselves. Plus we were facing an Exocet threat against us from their DD’s although mitigated by the same softkill factor. Taking Exocet out of the equation you are looking at 4.5″ Mk6’s and Mk8’s (and the Mk8 was no great shakes in ’82 believe me!) taking on a cruiser while the carriers try to run. Its not a pretty scenario.

    in reply to: Falklands what if #1998583
    Jonesy
    Participant

    No Rat what is being talked of here is the sole contribution of the Argentine carrier airwing. That is precisely 7 A-4’s. The Argentines had the AAR capability to get a pair of Super Etendards dragged round to the east of the islands where the carrier group was and little more.

    So the air strike would have been two AM39/SuE’s and 7 A-4’s, presumably, on seperate threat axis to try and split defensive fires. Sounds fairly comprehensive until its recalled the damage Sea Wolf did to low-level A-4 strikes at the Pebble Island SAM trap and, at times, both carriers had a Type22 as close consort. Also that AM39 proved ludicrously vulnerable to softkill. Figure in the SHAR CAP and Deck Alert aircraft and the strike looks less and less the high percentage success option.

    in reply to: Falklands what if #1998636
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Armour is no longer fitted as its a recurring cost item. When the primary threat is a limited set of missiles then active defence is more cost effective than passive defence. Especially when we get into the 50’s and 60’s when nuclear-tipped missiles are in vogue it was much safer to intercept the missile than trust the armour to ride it out.

    Exocet is a subsonic skimmer that will strike the target at around 10ft above the waterline. Exocet had no pop-up mode like Harpoon so impacts would be on the main belt of a cruiser. A subsonic projectile with, at best, a semi-AP tip is going to have a job piercing a WW2 cruisers main belt.

    Woodward himself said that his only options for countering the cruiser was the Mk8** and the SHAR 1000lb’ers. Not so sure that dive bombing a cruiser with the limited SHAR numbers would be such a bright idea. We took a toll out of A-4’s doing that to us!.

    in reply to: Falklands what if #1998761
    Jonesy
    Participant

    I served with a couple of chaps who thought that SeaDart used in its SSM role would have been more effective than MM38 anyway

    In 1982 guidance for GWS30 in its surface mode was….erm….somewhat rudimentry. In for a penny and all that, and if you could get it to hit, it would hurt a thin skinned ship. Not sure what it might have achieved against a big armoured beastie like the Belgrano though to be honest?!.

    One thing I would expect though would be the GWS30 surface mode to be handily outranged by the Belgrano’s main battery.

    in reply to: Falklands what if #1998764
    Jonesy
    Participant

    I’m fairly certain not all the Amazon’s had Exocet in 82 Al – will have to check up on that. In the Carrier Group, if memory serves, was a County (Glamorgan), a couple of the Amazons and at least one of the Broadswords most of the time. In addition to the 42’s that obviously didnt sport Exocet.

    in reply to: Falklands what if #1998766
    Jonesy
    Participant

    So what? The carrier escorts weren’t carrying any Exocets then? or just a handful?

    4 ships, depending quite when you were talking about, in range at different times in the screen carrying 4 GWS50/MM38 apiece….total available missiles 16. Against 3 ships in the opposing SAG and with some debate as to the effictiveness of MM38 against a decently armoured hull like the Belgrano.

    Belgrano had ‘Exocet boxes’ fitted…these, AFAIK, we’re not known to be decoys at the time though it was suspected. Half the available missiles would have had to be tasked against the 2 known Exocet escorts which doesnt leave many to fire at the cruiser.

    Wan,

    Perhaps a few ‘surprise’ Sea Eagle missiles for the SHARs? Design of the P3T began in 1976, with full scale development initiated in 1979. Production of the finished production weapon began in 1982.

    Absolutely no comment on that one! 🙂

    Edit: Actually I didnt know it was public source information that the development SHAR airframe, for Sea Eagle, was flown down south and in fact was shot down. AFAIK that, at the time, was the only one set up for Sea Eagle and the first firing of the weapon was somewhat delayed because of it!.

    in reply to: Falklands what if #1998789
    Jonesy
    Participant

    A ‘flurry’ of Exocets we didnt have embarked on the vessels escorting the carriers…and we would have faced the same back from the cruisers escorting destroyers. 1000lb’ers from the SHAR’s would have been about it and delivering those wouldn’t have been risk free to the precious SHAR force and would have taken away assets needed for air defence.

    in reply to: Navies news from around the world -III #1998801
    Jonesy
    Participant

    too big. This new missile was meant to be no larger than 2 meters.

    IAI’s Jumper is the answer to that one. Standard versions and a ‘USN’ variant with a MMW/IIR seeker screwed on the top and bolted aboard as needed. Puts the LCS right back in the game for an off-the-shelf price. If NLOS cancels LCS then LCS was already being cancelled!.

    in reply to: Falklands what if #1998808
    Jonesy
    Participant

    I’d say an Argentine attack would be fought off by Harriers and the Escorts. Assuming the Argentines actually found the actual main task group.

    I’d probably concur with that. A solo strike from the Arg carrier would scarcely have been worth it. Its only chance for a significant impact would be presentation of threat down an unexpected threat axis and that kind of precise strike planning would’ve required a tighter position fix than they had on the carrier group.

    The contention was always that the Argentines knew this and that a multi-axis strike was planned between the carrier air group, AAR’d landbased AM39/SuE’s and the Belgrano SAG. Co-ordinating that would have been the devils own issue and, as it turned out, HMS Conqueror’s intervention reduced the three prongs down, decidedly, to only two!.

    Whether the multi-axis attack would have worked or not is usually a matter of perspective. The RN suffered so heavily in that war because it was a blue-water fleet fighting inshore. Out in open water, where the carrier group was operating, the weapons and sensors would have offered much greater performance than they did against pop-up threats coming in from ashore. With clear arcs Sea Wolf could have had a field day against the 25 de Mayo’s A-4’s for example.

    My view is that The Argentine Navies best bet for engaging the Task Force at sea was lost when Chris Wreford-Brown gave the order to fire torpedoes. The idea of Belgrano getting into guns range of the task force is miserable, in the extreme, to consider. Quite apart from nearly being a notable opportunity for CV-to-CV confrontation I think that the possibility for a heavy guns warship to square off against modern missile-equipped warships was far more of a possibility and would have worked out very poorly for the RN had it happened.

    Al,

    The Royal Navy had more than one submarine patrolling the Falklands – I’m sure they would have been keeping an eye on the 25th’s movements, and preparing to launch aircraft would have triggered a torpedo attack…

    If memory serves HMS Spartan did catch up to the Arg Carrier somewhere north of the islands, but, when she was already steaming for home after the post-Belgrano recall order. Her CO took the decision not to fire as the vessel was non-combattant…not something I necessarily agree with. At the time when the carrier was in position, allegedly, to launch a strike the SSN force weren’t holding her.

    in reply to: Indian Navy News and Discussions #1998956
    Jonesy
    Participant

    I’ve not said or suggested that an on- or off-board sensor is better.

    The query wasn’t against anything you said there, Wan.

    There are many reasons why an on-mount search radar is advantageous…the most glaring being resilience and non-reliance on the connection from the ships combat system. The ability to have a sensor dedicated to a horizon search mode, to service CIWS direction policy, and not impact the operating modes of the vessels principle sensors is obviously also significant.

    in reply to: Indian Navy News and Discussions #1998966
    Jonesy
    Participant

    That may be true. Then again, the search radar on Goalkeeper is especially suitable for the suite of target, which can’t be said of any and all external search radars, their power not withstanding. And I’m sure it is not too hard to feed the CIWS (fused) info from multiple external sensors.

    All you need is the range to cue and lay the weapon along the target bearing in sufficient time to set up a shoot at optimal engagement range. More than that is superfluous. The Goalkeeper on-mount set is perfectly capable of servicing the weapon. I’m not sure I understand the point that offboard sensor cueing is better?. Goalkeeper can take an external cue as well as off the own-mount sensor…why isnt it optimal to have both on your last ditch hardkill system?.

    I’m also not so sure why you lot are talking about gun CIWS as a defence measure against supersonics?. Countering systems to larger supersonics are primarily VSHORADS/SHORADS missiles such as ESSM, Aster15, VL MICA, RAM etc and softkill….gun CIWS faced with supersonics is to catch the odd leaker that wont be distracted only!.

Viewing 15 posts - 1,966 through 1,980 (of 4,319 total)