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Jonesy

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  • in reply to: Dating advice? #1898640
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Took one first date to a football match as she was a massive football fan, turned out she was completely mental when at football gave us something to chat about after though lol

    Dont get to drunk, mate ended up in A&E after trying to impress one girl on first date

    Thats cracking advice (not the A&E bit). You do get serious brownie points for crafting a first date that ties in with the interests of your company for the evening. You do have to have a degree of prior knowledge to make it work of course – I’d taken the pish out of my better halfs driving for months. So our first date was a trip to the local kart track and an hour or so bashing away at each other.

    That lead to a nice meal on the way home and several pleasant and amusing hours, over a few glasses of an agreeable vintage, debating the relative merits of her fluent driving style and my victory! 🙂

    3 years later she still hasnt forgiven me for not letting her win, but, we have a great relationship!.

    in reply to: Rebuilding the Royal Navy #2068573
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Why the recurring theme of enhancement to the Amphibious forces?. Cold War-II would be a very different kettle of fish to Cold War-1.

    The amphib mission back in the bad old days was pretty much simply to get 3Cdo across to reinforce Norway to check the Soviets screaming down the Norwegian coast taking and holding strategic locations. The Russians do not start at a point halfway through German territory ‘this time’ and it is in no way clear that they have the ground combat power to muscle their way to Germany let alone through it!.

    The concept of landing 3Cdo Bgde on Russian territory is plainly absurd so the question is what, beyond the scope of operations todays Amphib fleet is set up for, additional amphibious deployment requirement there would be?.

    The threats to the UK would be Russian submarine forces – which we deal with in all the ways addressed above. At much later date a reconstituted surface fleet possibly including some modest level of naval tacair which is, again, any Fleet sub skippers dreams come true and, lastly, long range strike aircraft with CASOMs….for which we would likely, suddenly, find we missed Tornado F3’s endurance in addressing and may see value in buying some of the land-based Aster systems for the Artillery lads to play with as local antimissile defence.

    in reply to: Rebuilding the Royal Navy #2068713
    Jonesy
    Participant

    I don’t know – are we really already at a point where the on-board analysis of an unmanned platform can compete with that of a manned platform?

    We are certainly at a point where target recognition off optronics is a feasibility. Its not, for my money, a difficult proposition to apply a filter in the UAV logic that enables a level of selectivity in what the individual UAV feeds back. If the correct sensitivity is enabled and the TRA’s dont get a match off a known profile the feed only then gets shunted to the satellite for human intervention. Bandwidth savings could be quite significant with such a relatively simple step.

    Also: Not even BAMS can drop sonobuoys. And what about the direct communication with the subs to rely target data? And I also believe that a survivable system has to get away from relying purely on orbital assets to control long-range UAVs. What is needed is a kind of relay-UAV to do it via incremental LOS ad-hoc networks.

    The sonar element I was more thinking of a theatre search asset like SOSUS (UK relevent) or SURTASS than a UAV dispensing sonobuoys – the UAV’s own sensors being more for the traditional surface picture. That does generate the thought that the UAV’s could be, again relatively simply, employed in that fashion however. Not dispensing sonobuoys themselves but acting as a front-end processor and airborne relay platform for buoy lines sown by an MRA4 or other such platform.

    in reply to: Rebuilding the Royal Navy #2068718
    Jonesy
    Participant

    If only we’d not gone for Nimrod MRA4 conversions, but had either bitten the bullet & gone for new-build (maybe with some parts scavenging), or developed a new MPA based on the A320 or whatever.

    Not sure if we havent reached a tipping-point where we can start to push back the long overwater patrol missions off onto the technology a bit. I’m an admitted fan of the Mariner UAV, but, could quite easily see a Maritime Patrol variant of the BAE Mantis as feasible. Mounting a ventral Seaspray 7500 shouldnt be too awkward and utilising a single MRA4 as a mothership to group of 4 or more UAV’s to immediately ‘prosecute’ any contacts of interest the UAV’s generate would seem sensible and emminently deliverable.

    Theoretically you could also look at adapting the LM Longshot kit to Stingray and having a few Mantis tooling around on a form of ‘ASW CAP’ station carrying a pair of LWT’s. The concept being the rapid prosecution of contacts developed from SOSUS, SURTASS or even long range detection from the SSN’s or 2087 equipped escorts.

    A replacement for dozens of MR2’s and a small flotilla of patrol subs perhaps not, but, the submarine threat is not going to be dozens of SSN’s even when the Russians start turning out their new boats at full rate. They are saying they want 20 SSN’s IIRC, presumably thats split 50/50 with the Northern Fleet and Pac Fleet.

    in reply to: Britain considers JSF pullout #2466711
    Jonesy
    Participant

    We needed carriers only once (’82). We’ve used them occasionally since, but land based air power could always have got their quicker, and done the job better and more cost effectively.

    …and you are considered bright in some circles are you?.

    We’ve engaged in unsupported expeditionary warfare how many times since 1945?. How many has the senior service had to sit out because it cant get there?.

    Yes land based FJs rely on local basing, but so do the tankers and ISTAR assets on which CVF’s air wing will also rely, much of the time.

    Obvious tosh. No tankers in 82 and a sea jet with half the range of anything proposed for CVF airwing. ISTAR – when the RAF’s new capability is a bizjet that cant AAR?.

    And if host nation support is unavailable, then chances are that any op will be unsustainable.

    Its a definite without carriers though isnt it?. Then again the RAF are well used to staying home while the other services do the real fighting arent they!.

    The choice is between spending obscene amounts of money on CVF/JSF (a capability we’ll never need, and if we did, could rely on the US to provide) or on spending on the capabilities we need every single time we mount military operations.

    Carriers may be great for flag waving and holding cocktail parties, but pretending that they represent a cost effective means of projecting air power is deluded, and no amount of dark-blue wishful thinking is ever going to dispell that. As to “global presence”, it’s about time that Britain tailored its military capabilities and aspirations to what it can afford to pay for.

    Tailor its forces????. What???. We can spend how many billions on Typhoon when the last threat to the British Isles involved Chain Home and ‘big wings’ and you think £4bn on carriers is too much?. Christ man get your head out of that light-blue types’ backside and look around a bit. We went to exped warfare in the 98 SDR?.

    in reply to: Britain considers JSF pullout #2466886
    Jonesy
    Participant

    First, I think we should be binning JSF and the carriers. It would save the biggest part of £20 Bn, which would free up the funds we so badly need to buy enough support helicopters, tankers, and to provide the right kit for recce and SEAD

    What an indolent load of claptrap.

    Support helicopter…presumably for theatre deployment?. How are you pray tell supporting your theatre deployment logistically?. By air….dont make me laugh. Tankers….aah yes as in the AAR effort required for Black Buck how many aircraft were required to put those 21 bombs on target at 8000nm again?. 20 or perhaps 30?. SEAD when your longest ranged striker is pushing it to round trip attack Akrotiri???.

    Behave yourself. Without local base-in the RAF is as toothless as it was in 1982.

    The carriers are essential for global presence and no amount of light-blue wishful thinking is ever going to dispell that.

    in reply to: Rebuilding the Royal Navy #2068959
    Jonesy
    Participant

    I dont know whether it would necessarily mean all that much to be honest.

    The lads at Submarine Solutions in Barrow would likely get a lot more work. There would be a requirement for more SSN’s, perhaps even back to the original 12 hulls, and the new SSBN money would suddenly be ringfenced.

    Other than that perhaps additional units of each class would be resourced but that would probably be about it. Maybe 2 or 3 new Darings over the 6 currently bought. C1 could see a few more units than originally intended perhaps with money for a few more 2087 arrays found. Mainly the intent would be to keep more ready hulls around and about over any great shift in tempo.

    Why such a little impact…the Russian Navy isnt all that much of a threat to put it simply. The deployment to Venezuela plus the FFG heading to Somalia is taking up a good percentage of their active capital ship fleet. Whats left – a couple of Udaloys and Sovremenny’s in various states of readiness?. Turning that round with new and more capable designs in decent number will take a good long while. The sub fleet is obviously better provisioned for but the answer to an SSN is another SSN and the Astutes will do us quite nicely there by all acounts.

    in reply to: Russian Navy News & Discussion Thread #2068973
    Jonesy
    Participant

    UAV,

    SOSUS is now one component of IUSS and comes under the command of COMUNDERSEASURV. He reports into the USN metoc agency, but despite that, with SOSUS and 5 SURTASS platforms he probably has more ocean surveillance capability at his command than anyone else on the planet.

    – for those really interested in matters acoustic, please remember that “radiating noise” is not a term used in real submarine acoustics as such.

    Radiated noise is a component of a submarines discretion rate it is therefore a technically correct term to use and certainly good enough to convey the point on an internet forum.

    Subs (especially SSBNs) have pre-designed optimum depth and speed parameters that they tend to stick to for some reason.

    An important observation accoustic signatures at steerageway may be very small, what matters is discretion rate at 15knts etc.

    – another difference between Russian and US acoustic detection techniques is the emphasis the Soviet/Russians have put (nolens volens) on “non-traditional” detection methods (“keelwater” detection, non-acoustic detection, low and ultra-low frequency detection – which was the Achilles heel of USN boats till the Seawolf class). There is a reason why the Russians I know from the “Deep North” complain about the Seawolf and not really about the LA boats.

    One sided spin if I’ve ever heard it!. Wake detection kits as fited to Northern Fleet SSN’s are vastly inferior to traditional accoustic methods for wide area search, only work in lightly trafficed areas (try using one in the South China Sea!!!) and are best cued by an area sensor first. A boat with superior accoustic sensors will almost always get the first hit. Yes Soviet-era non-accoustic detection was interesting and, under a limited set of parameters, could be very effective but if they had parity in accoustics they wouldnt have bothered with it!

    in reply to: Russian Navy News & Discussion Thread #2069136
    Jonesy
    Participant

    SSK still usefull if they can be built in greater numbers so as to ambush. And protection against ASW assets is the job of airpower now. longer range aircraft with even longer range missiles can practically deny rival ASW assets.

    What???

    Going into a Bastion area has been considered in precisely one of two ways I’ve ever heard of. First is with as many SSNs as you can sneak in to simultaneous shooting solutions before a bomber can launch its weapons and trigger the rest. Hence Captor/hydrophone arrays being extremely valuable.

    The other way involves splashing down as many nuclear RV’s as possible inside the Bastion footprint and hoping that you can get your warheads in before the bombers can get their missiles to readiness.

    In neither case would airpower of any range, carrying missiles of any range be a critical factor in proceedings.

    in reply to: Russian Navy News & Discussion Thread #2069165
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Samudraguptra,

    The 1997 FAS piece you posted is a very clear example of what I was talking about before. Look for an agenda:

    USS Virginia (SSN-774) is a United States Navy attack submarine, the lead ship of her class and the tenth ship of that Navy to be named for the Commonwealth of Virginia.

    The contract to build her was awarded to the Electric Boat Division of General Dynamics Corporation in Groton, Connecticut on 30 September 1998 and her keel was laid down on 2 September 1999. She was launched on 16 August 2003

    Nic,

    A missile boat in its bastion doesnt run far or necessarily fast and it will move into waters ‘sanitised’ by other assets. Two of the best assets to screen bastion waters – captor style ASW mines and seabed hydrophone arrays aren’t even mobile!.

    in reply to: Russian Navy News & Discussion Thread #2069214
    Jonesy
    Participant

    UAZ,

    Why is there so much hype about the SOSUS system? As if it can hear the fart of a sardine

    SOSUS is a fantastically powerful array and whilst, to the best of my knowledge, sardines dont fart it is routinely used to study marine wildlife and may, ironically, be responsible for proving sardines dont fart!.

    To give you an example of the capabilities of the SOSUS array it was used to localise the wreck of the USS Thresher. That sub sank 200nm off the coast of Massachusets!!!. It was also able to identify Sov SSBNs trying to sneak through into the deep basin under the hulls of Sov merchies – a common tactic employed by Yankee’s and early mark Delta’s – disproving the pin prick theory I’m afraid Austin.

    What Nic says here is exactly right though. The chances of finding really accurate information on accoustic profiles of SSN’s in open source material is very rare. If you do see such information the chances of it being deliberately skewed are significant and the smart reader should look for an agenda.

    in reply to: Russian Navy News & Discussion Thread #2069257
    Jonesy
    Participant

    I’m sorry Nic but that chart, and one’s like it, are hardly credible. Essentially they represent what people think those vessels ‘should’ be representing without any meaningful clue as to whats involved in achieving the silencing.

    That chart originally had the Akula on parity somewhere between the 688 and 688I. Since a USN sonarman notoriously revealed that Schuka’s accoustic attenuation characterstics suffered through a lack of maintenance those views have obviously been re-examined!.

    The field of accoustic stealth here is the law of diminishing returns. The more discrete your boats get the more difficult, and expensive, each smaller increment in stealthing gets. The Russians started a good way behind the curve and may have caught up in some areas, and be ahead in wake-seeking tech etc, but caught up fully or surpassed UK or US boats – no.

    in reply to: Russian Navy News & Discussion Thread #2069261
    Jonesy
    Participant

    OK a few points:

    1, There never has been a Vic-III that has come close to matching the baseline radiated sound levels of a 688I at equivalent speed ranges. If there had been the Akula’s wouldn’t be being developed now as they would be less discrete than the Vics.

    The ONLY reason that the Vic-III got a good rep in NATO ASW circles was because it was a huge improvement in discretion, throughout the speed range, over Vic-I and -II. On the subject of the accoustic sigs of the early Victor’s I have heard a former HAS.Mk6 ‘pinger’, flippantly, comment that they wouldnt lower the dipping tranducer…instead they’d lower a pint glass on the cable and track in with that.

    2, This by the account from the Admiral occured in 1985 and was from boats that sortied Zap Litza. That means they’d already transitted GIUK and SOSUS. From which he says:

    “I received the reports on many contacts with SSN USA and United Kingdom, which were developed those days on the Atlantic theatre.
    Certainly, and our boats have not remained without attention. Rather concerned of themes, that whole division of nuclear underwater
    cruisers USSR with anybody by the unknown purposes goes to coast of America, goes covertly, my colleagues – contenders from
    Pentagun have thrown on search of a veil of tens patrol planes, powerful ASW of force.
    Later commanders reported me, that was at times impossible going PD, during communication, or to lift shaft snorkhel for pump of
    air in cylinders high pressure tanks. It was the real hunting with application of all means of search and detection SSN. Worked ESM
    and radars, surface hydrolocators pinged ultrasonic beams of depth of Atlantic. The planes of base and deck patrol aircraft turned
    above ocean round the clock, exposing barriers sonobuoys, using in all modes the onboard search equipment: MAD, IR, indicators of a
    biotrace…

    I know its fashionable to rewrite history on these boards, but, dont try it with ASW. The Admiral can write whatever history he likes and, from a perspective, his story might be a good one. In reality though those boats would have been engaged as they approached SOSUS. The only tactic I ever heard for the Soviets to break a good number of SSN’s into oceanic deep water was to blue-out the SOSUS net with an underwater nuclear detonation and then try and race boats through before SOSUS could get back up to speed. Hell of a thing to try and time with the state of underwater communications as it was back in 85 though!.

    Just to reinforce the point. At NO TIME even to today have Soviet/Russian nuclear submarines reached accoustic parity with comparable generation US or British designs. In an area traditionally light on NATO ASW, like the Med, a concentrated force of SSN’s could very easily produce a local overmatch I’d agree. That is a long way from justifying the view that they were anywhere near a match for us in general terms as he seems to intimate.

    Case in point the broken Russian sailor that HMS Glasgow landed in 1996?. Glasgow wasnt taking part in an ASW exercise off the Scottish coast – she was on JMC. Seems Russian Admirals are every bit as political as ours!!!.

    Nicolas,

    The upgraded Kilo’s are very good assets for the kind of fixed point patrol that Echo observes. Very discrete at low speeds and able to just chug along at a few knots and let the target blunder on in to torpedo range.

    in reply to: RN FSC – C1/C2 hull & armament proposals #2069399
    Jonesy
    Participant

    BTW, don’t you think your C2 proposal is very like a British version of the La Fayette class?

    It very definitely is and that is basically becuase its pretty much the same design brief that the French used for Lafayette. Essentially a patrol frigate for use where a Floreal might get out of its depth!.

    I’d go further as to admit that I am, shamelessly, ripping off the French MN’s fleet structure!. Who knew they had a point all along!:D

    in reply to: RN FSC – C1/C2 hull & armament proposals #2069409
    Jonesy
    Participant

    What I have argued against – consistently – is building C2 & C3 which can be represented (even if falsely) as cosmetic variants of the same ship.

    I accept that, but, its a complete stretch to term the two things equivalent. One might as well say because Tornado GR4 looks a bit like an F3 that we have hundreds of fighters. No-one on the Defence Select Committee would be fooled by such an obvious lie and any politician attempting such chicanery would have to get past those MP’s with shipbuilding/naval systems constituency’s who would be most keen to see a large order run progress not to mention a reinforced squad of lobbyists from BVT. Remember, if you will, where CVF is being built and the reason why its the safest naval construction programme in recent history! 🙂

    What about these options?
    1) abandon C2, fight for more C1, then go for the highest capacity C3 you can get, or
    2) design your optimum C2, & accept a smaller C3 to keep it distinct.
    The roles of C3 will vary depending on the option.

    The first option there is the one that devils-adocate-mode Ed was proposing. A C3 with work deck, aviation capability and the ‘front end’ of the stock Khareef complete with VLS bins. To me that is inefficient as we end up sending vessels out on droggie missions that are very expensively over-equipped for the task. It would be an EXTREMELY flexible force though. Any vessel theoretically being able to be retasked to enter even a significant threat environment on receipt of the ops-order. That to me, though, is Swerve’s big nightmare. That proposal is the scenario that lends itself to being painted as the RN trying to get all its warship numbers back on the sly.

    The second option is, probably, the most expensive and will result in the least operational capability available to the RN. Basically minor war vessels stay in their current little box, perhaps streamlined a little better in support terms, and we try our damndest to see how many C2’s we can get built to try and cover the patrol slots….and probably end up trying to wriggle out of at least one of them (I’d guess at SNMG-2).

    If that means C3 can’t do anti-drug patrols on the W. Indies station, then in this scenario, so what? The modest C2 you propose can, at an affordable price. In the high-end (or no) C2 scenario, you get fewer (or no) C2s, but that gives scope for a more capable C3, able to do the W. Indies patrol, pirate-chasing, etc.

    Thing is with that though Swerve is that anti-drug is a patrol vessel tasking. Do you need a full-up combattant with SSM’s, SAMs, CIWS and all the combat systems to chase druggies. No – you need the systems I listed earlier. Why not just put the cheap big gun, standard air/surface search radar and ships flight capability on the cheap boat and let it do the job. Keep the combattant for possibe combat situations.

    What I’m worried about is that we’d end up with combined C2/C3 numbers based on a perception of C2 as a frigate, & C3 as the same as C2, if they’re too similar, & a common hull would make them too similar.

    Its all in the optimisation. Give the C2 a work deck and the ability to do the C3s job and you’re right. Give the C2 a different Type number and a different class name and I think you’d be quite suprised as to how different they could be percieved. For example how many people do you know who would refer to a T22B3 as a ‘Broadsword’ class?.

    BTW, I said ‘if the 155mm plans go ahead, C3 could be introduced into a navy which is phasing out the 4.5″‘. Clearly, that is not the same as saying the 4.5″ is being phased out now.

    Ah yes I get you….sorry. The mod 1 version of the Mk8 is still a relatively new mount and has a lot of life left in it. With the developed logistic train and stockpiled ammo I still see it as the most cost effective solution for C3. I do take your point though that by the time C3 comes round the move to the new gun may well be under way.

    Do you see the modest, but numerous C2 as having an implication for numbers of C1? Or do you think we’d be OK with 14 (6 T45 + 8 C1) high-end warfighters?

    C1 is ringfenced by its capabilities. ASW is still big news and is likely to get more important before it declines. Those 8 2087 sonars define the capability. In that way I dont see C2 impacting C1 in any way at all.

    As to whether a mere 14 high end warfighters is enough obviously the answer is no….it isnt. It leaves us so thin when we are deployed its chronic, but, its hard to see how we are going to get any more without a new Cold War though and I certainly wouldnt care for that all over again. There is also the point that no-one else in Europe is going to be much better off!.

    The best we can hope for then is to retain the technical capability in the high-end warfighters and get something cheaper to do the routine stuff so the warfighters last longer. IF they can be kept at high availability for combat ops a ready task group of a CVF, 3-4 T45’s, 5-6 C1’s and a trio of Astutes in support will be a hard target for anyone to go up against. Imagine how long the Falklands War would have taken with that lot steaming south!. Any takers for longer than a week?. Which is, I guess, the point at the end of the day.

Viewing 15 posts - 2,701 through 2,715 (of 4,319 total)