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Jonesy

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  • in reply to: General Discussion #390998
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Are there really likely to be many Amish websites?. Wouldve thought that a contradiction!???

    in reply to: Russian attack capabilities #2051339
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Srbin,

    The missile in the picture is a mockup of Yakhont. The speed value (M3.5?) seems to get more and more impressive every time you hear of the weapon though!.

    However, if there is something like a medium sized Missile Boat, I would rather have it armed with like 4 220 km Klubs than 8 160km NSMs or 8 130km Urans or 8 125km Harpoons or whatever. I will have obviously less armament, but I could easily stay at a much greater distance and the Klub will probably have a much greater chance of hitting any sort of larger ship than anything smaller would. The closer I get, the bigger chance there is that something will destroy me.

    Remember that targetting issue though!. Missile boats dont carry big missiles and helicopters its one or the other!. Without organic aviation for OTH targetting the missile boat has little guarantee of being able to detect a target 250-300km away!.

    Garry,

    Yes, and no adversary would expect a navy with Hawkeyes to use such tactics?
    .

    You asked the question of how a battlegroup could use active sensors for surveillance and still keep the bulk of the surface fleet under emission control and undetected. Airborne radar offsetting is how its done and is the reason I dislike chopper AEW so much, obviously, choppers cannot offset very far or get to station very quickly. Would an enemy expect such tactics…yes they would because its been used for decades. That fact does not diminish the effectiveness of the tactic though.

    A Jammer aircraft and some SEAD equipped aircraft along with a few fighter escorts couldn’t possibly have a chance because in the battle between ships and aircraft the ships always win

    That does rely on the fact that the opponent KNOWS that a SAM trap has been set up covering the Hawkeye though?. The alternatve is that he sends out a full strike package against any Hawkeye station he detects. With CEC in the USN fleet and soon to be joining several others that could be costly for the opposition in strike aircraft.

    The moving antenna in the Arbalet and the Kristanthema both give 360 degree views. The Arbalet also operates in a CM wave for weather issues.

    Arbalet having a concurrent centimetric capability off the same antenna as a MMW system is a good trick. Got any links for that system?. I know its used on Ka-52 in similar fashion to Longbow on AH64 and, if it does have dual cm/mmw capability as you state, has real possibilities for leverage of the technology over to a seeker role. Seeings as the relevant point here was about missile seekers now though its hard to see where Arbalet actually applies to the discussion isnt it?.

    The MMW version is not known to be operational.Likely platforms would be pretty diverse as the Kh-58 was intended for most fighter bombers, including the Su-25TM, right up to dedicated SEAD aircraft like the Mig-31BM.

    What a suprise – one more Russian paper weapon!.

    No. Most are operational rounds that don’t require maintainence over their shelf life.

    You dont honestly believe all that ‘wooden round’ bullmess do you?. All missiles require periodic maintenance, all electronics are vulnerable to component failiure especially when they spend a lot of time in the high vibration, rough handling environment found on a warship or combat aircraft. Those servicings cost money, the spares holdings cost money, training and retaining skilled personnel to work on the weapons cost money etc, etc.

    But then having the right tool for the job is actually a good thing. There is an old Russian proverb that states “If the only tool you have is a hammer then treat every problem like a nail”. Not every problem is a nail.

    IF that is Russian philosophy why are they developing their single role tactical aircraft into multirole types now? Why are they not keeping the Flanker, Fulcrum and Foxhound designs as pure air-air types and developing new aircraft to replace MiG-27, Su-22 and Su-24 strikers?. The shift from single-role to multirole systems is established and universal in every major service I can think of.

    The SS-N-22 sunburn which it is based upon entered service in 1980. Do you think it might have evolved since then?

    You’re guessing its been updated based on what? Your belief that it just has to have been? Thats just a little on the thin side given the depth of evidence I’ve had to put forward in defence of my position!.

    Imagine a scramjet powered Moskit flying at mach 5 at 7m?

    I’m trying to imagine the missile body that could cope with the kinetic heating of Mach5 speed at that altitude!. Also, I’d have to check, I dont think a scramjet would function at that altitude. Plus, yet again, youre making stuff up to support your argument. Is your position really that weak that you have to continually dream up new and wonderful systems that might come about?. Can’t you just stick to real systems for a bit?.

    When did I mention Brahmos?

    I mentioned Brahmos to illustrate the double standards that were being used. Brahmos, seemingly because its a Russian-inspired supersonic and ‘sexy’ system, is accepted as being a near-service weapon. NSM for some reason, despite being at a similar phase in its testing schedule, is not accorded the same status.

    … much the same as what happens when the Soviets shoot down a korean airliner and the US shoots down an iranian airbus.

    The fact that you would attempt to equate chasing a Korean airliner halfway across your airspace to shoot it down with the accidental engagement of an Airbus flying directly at a ship already at a high alert state proves your point with remarkable clarity I suppose!.

    So they are basically the same except different data is being processed? How can that make them a galaxy apart?

    Put simply the quality of input information processed by the passive accoustic and magnetic sensors is far higher than the raw data return from an active radar seeker. That superior level of input data gives the mine a higher probability of resolving an accurate targetting solution.

    Which powerful friends would you suggest? The Russians were friends with the serbs… didn’t stop NATO intervention… the only “friends” they could have in the region with any influence over the US is ISRAEL… Hahahaha.

    The whole EU for a start, China, India, Russia, the Gulf states. Essentially nations that could raise the political cost of an operation past the level the administration is willing to pay, i.e the UK, Japan, Australia etc and nations who could make the actual deployment of US forces a practical nightmare i.e Kuwait, Saudi, Oman.

    Of course you don’t… GW would never act unilaterally… and his b!tches like australia and Britain would never follow them into invading a country in the middle east based on 45 minute warnings and WMDs.

    You know that there were good reasons to go into Iraq and that they were nothing to do with any 45 minute readiness. I’d ask you as well how you know that you can be sarcastic about the lack of WMD?. Is it becuase of the 10 years UNSCOM and UNMOVIC were in there hunting for them or is it because of the 10 months the ISG were in there with full and free access nationwide post invasion?.

    But then an attack doesn’t require a flyover or other cooperation.

    Precisely my dear Watson!. Now you see how two fighters can overfly a carrier without it suggesting that the vessel is wide open to all comers. The two aircraft, according to the USN, were plotted and tracked. The fleet intel brief would’ve set the low threat context and ESM would’ve indicated the aircraft coming in nose cold or, at least, not in a targetting mode. With fighters at Alert30 and no chance of getting an intercept in the best they could do was clear the cat by shooting off the Prowler and start the Alert launch evolution.

    The UNREP that was being performed would’ve been interrupted on safety grounds anyway (with two fastjets careening 200ft overhead fuelling would be rapidly discontinued for obvious reasons). The lines were cleared and the carrier accelerated to get wind over the deck for the launch series. Perfectly normal stuff!.

    The Yakhont is a mature system… the Yakhont-M features a new sensor head.Very much like a SLAM upgrade for Harpoon.

    I’m not sure if the lads who developed Harpoon into SLAM would have been quite happy with test firing a Harpoon and using it as proof that SLAM would work!.

    When did they have hundreds of ocean recon satellites? They are hardly going to monitor the entire world. Atrophied suggests neglected and unused and unmaintained. Components of the system are maintained and operational.

    They had a system of passive EORSATs and active RORSATs. From that to degenerate down to a single EORSAT with a bolt on active radar system I’d call an atrophy of the capability.

    The nationalities are irrelevant… if the US example upsets you then the Royal navy is the most atrophied navy in the world… from flat decks pre 80s to withdrawn harriers now.

    Well that much we’d agree on then. Dont quite see how this relates to the topic we were discussing anymore than when you were having your diatribe against the US though?.

    What is the rush? Best antiship missile capability includes future development too surely?

    Yes, but, within some bounds of common sense surely?. 3M-54E Klub is reasonable – despite no-one having seen evidence of its real performance – because the weapon has actually been ordered. Likewise Brahmos and NSM are reasonable as they’ve both been demonstrated as being near operational service. Who’s ordered Yakhont-M, whats its testing schedule, when could it be readied for service entry?. See the difference?.

    Only a westerner would think of return on investment. If return on investment was important then lets build all our systems for the very low income market… hey lets just make Ak-47s…

    Whats your objective standard of weapons system’s merit then?. Failing proven battle credentials which, despite a few AEGIS cruisers lobbing TLAMs, neither weapons system has how do you quantify value?. The only indicators to a weapons value, I can think of, are the systems an opponent is forced to develop to counter it, the number of customers who choose it to address their requirements and its longevity. AEGIS forced the Russians into fielding Moskit, has sold to Spain, Norway, Japan and South Korea and is currently lead candidate, some two decades after its service entry in the USN, in the Australian AAW escort programme.

    The cost of the Granits is rather less than the cost of 13 carrier groups with all the resources and money that would require… that would certainly have been retired now.

    Certainly true, but, how much would their SSN program have benefitted from the funding that went into P-5 through P-700, the Legenda and Uspekh systems that supported it and the vessels developed to deploy the weapons?. Failing that how much would the carrier program they had have benefitted from the same resources?.

    4-6 smoke rockets fired toward the incoming missile could generate a smoke screen that would easily cover even the largest vessel. The rocket used have a max range of 6km and burst 100m in the air or higher and the burning smoke generating material falls down still burning creating a curtain or smoke… unless there is a typhoon it would set up very quickly… and CADS can use MMW radar and CM wave radar to see through it and still engage the incoming missiles.

    Strong winds or precipitation would degrade the smokescreen. The screen would also cover just a single axis and NSM posses a re-attack capability and a waypoint course ability to make oblique axis attacks. The other big problem is that the vessel would have to come to a crash stop to remain screened by the smoke rockets, or, it would have to turn stern-on to the missiles course to keep the screen between the missile and the ship and, thusly, mask its forward antiair/missile weapons. Not very smart if the missile just flew straight through the cloud and reaquired!

    So did they withdraw the more expensive missile or the home made one?
    Equally the Sea Eagle and Exocet are almost the AKM M16 of missiles… 6 of one and half a dozen of the other. If they decided to get rid of Sea Skua as well then you might have a case.

    They withdrew both systems. They standardised on GWS60 – our version of Harpoon. As for Sea Skua there hasnt really been a weapon capable of embarkation on a mid-weight chopper, such as Lynx, that could serve as effectively as a primary ships SSM. There is now simple as that.

    I do doubt an Uran can do what a Kh-31 can do and vice versa. Both use standard pylons and are treated as rounds… ie no ongoing maintainence.

    The maintenance thing I’ve covered, if memory serves, Kh-31 is a kerosene-fuelled ramjet weapon. If so it will definitely require periodic defuelling and overhaul of the propulsion system in addition to its electronics servicing. I see your point about Kh-31 and Uran being two different approaches to achieving the same goals. I disagree that that actually means very much though. This is because, despite the different profiles, to a defending ship both are counterable in much the same way. As ARH weapons both are susceptable to jamming and decoys and neither uses an approach thats novel in any way to present problems to defensive hardkill systems.

    The Shkval-M fitted to the Su-25TM which first flew in 1988 has such a system. The same system is used in the Ka-50 Hokum… how else could a single pilot use Vikhr laser beam riding missiles…

    Exactly the same way that A-10 pilots were able to employ optically guided AGM-65 Mavericks. Scene Locking an optical sensor is nothing new and slaving a laser designator to that optical sensor is basic stuff. Shkval-M, from what I’ve read, can automatically track a target that the optronic sensor has been locked to by the pilot. Its a long way from automatic target recognition.

    in reply to: Russian attack capabilities #2051431
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Garry,

    I’m am very skeptical… discussions regarding CGs always seem to assume all detection systems on to detect attackers at max range and all active detection systems off to make them invisible. Talk about having cake and eating it too…

    This is precisely the reason why I’ve always gone nuts about the need for offboard surveillance platforms like the Hawkeye. Tactics exist that mean the active detection system that the enemy has plotted and is ‘giving away the CVBG position’ might be 100nm away from the actual group (and sat overtop of an AEGIS ship SAM trap!).

    Perhaps the MMW seeker on the proposed Kh-58 variant might solve taht problem. MMW radar is very high frequency and is able to identify armoured vehicles by profiling their turrets and counting wheels. It can determine whether the target is tracked or wheeled. Such information along with size and range info would make identification of targets relatively straight

    forward I would think… and weather independant.

    You’d be suprised mate. MMW frequencies have a crossover with the so called ‘far IR’ frequencies. Have a look at a frequency spectrum and you’ll see the correlation. MMW radar is attenuated by adverse weather conditions in a similar fashion to IR. Also the FoV possible with MMW radar is very restricted. This means its perfectly capable of employment in anti-armour weapons etc where the target is easily designated prior to launch, but, for any real search capability, like NSM’s wide angle IIR seeker offers, MMW is of little use. The Kh-58 looks to offer the most practical capability the Russians have for antiship in a non-permissive environment though. What platforms have been cleared to operate the MMV variant of the weapon?.

    The only kill by Phalanx I am aware of of a supersonic target was a target diving from a range of 15km away at a 30 degree angle or so. In the brochure it claimed that made it the only all gun CIWS in the world able to bring down supersonic targets. It didn’t mention they didn’t try for a sea skimming target because of the terrible problems the Phalanx has with

    radar returns with very low targets.

    Well you know the old joke as to what CIWS really stands for I’m sure!. NAVSEA has recently evaluated the MK15 system and declared it capable against supersonic diving and skimming profile targets.

    So the Kh-22M has been withdrawn? The Termit, Kh-29, Kh-25, Vikhr, Kh-35, Kh-31, Kh-65, Kh-15, Kh-58, Kh-59, Ataka. Plus coastal defence missiles like Bal and Redut.

    Well I did say ‘navally’ didn’t I?. As far as I’m aware virtually all the weapons you’ve listed are air-launched. I didnt make any mention of those weapons as there were so many I thought it best to leave them to you. You have to accept that there’s a lot of support infrastructure required to keep that range of weaponry in an operational inventory. To most that would be impossible through budget constraints and I’d expect Russia to be very close to that category!.

    The moskit is no longer perfect for taking on AEGIS class cruisers, that doesn’t make it useless. There are plenty of in service ships that can’t stop a mach 2.2 missile flying at less than 7m above the wave tops.

    Problem is that AEGIS capability level vessels, and better, are fast appearing in many of the more advanced navies around. Moskit would have a challenge against vessels in the US, Spanish, Japanese, Dutch, German navies currently and soon you could add the UK, France, Italy, South Korea, Australia, Singapore and several others to the list. Moskit could, shortly, be a cracking system for engaging the Portugese or Brazillian Navies I suppose!.

    A missile they don’t have, and another missile as good as the one they don’t have… YES… that is superior.

    Right. Can we get rid of this whole NSM isnt in service yet issue now?. The image attached below is from the last test series of the weapon. Brahmos is little further on in its development yet its taken as either an in-service or, at least, a near-service weapons system. NSM should be considered little different. Can you provide a similar image of a Yakhont-M test firing?.

    Public opinion also stopped the Vietnam war… eventually. What makes you think public opinion would be against continuing the war against terrorism? As supporters of Hezbulla (spelling) Iran has more to answer for in supporting terrorism than Saddam ever did. Most Americans still seem to think the invasion of Iraq was part of the war on terrorism!!!

    …That is also a distinct FACT jonesy not vapid supposition.

    You still really enjoy spinning these arguments don’t you?. The point initially was that Iranian indiscriminate antiship missile use might cost them local and global public opinion. You suggested that this was valueless because public opinion carried no weight. I’ve shown you a pertinent example of why thats not always the case and you’re bringing up Vietnam and Hez’bollah?.

    Yes, a whole galaxy between signal processing sound data and signal processing returned radar wave data…

    Yep, but, the difference isnt in the signal processing. Its in the data being processed.

    Not changing my tune at all. I only suggested the p-700 for Iran because they need some stick that the USN will respect.

    They need powerful friends then not P700’s!. They’re starting along this route with the nuclear agreements, if they maintain such a course they place the US in a position where they would be forced to act completely unilaterally if they chose military intervention. You may think the US would try that – I don’t.

    The point about serbia is that they were eventually made to bow to the wests will… now that they are doing as they are told it is a land of milk and honey, they are treated with respect and have become inundated with investment and money… not.

    Quote from the CIA World Factbook:

    After the ousting of former Federal Yugoslav President MILOSEVIC in October 2000, the Democratic Opposition of Serbia (DOS) coalition government implemented stabilization measures and embarked on an aggressive market reform program. After renewing its membership in the IMF in December 2000, Yugoslavia continued to reintegrate into the international community by rejoining the World Bank (IBRD) and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD). A World Bank-European Commission sponsored Donors’ Conference held in June 2001 raised $1.3 billion for economic restructuring. An agreement rescheduling the country’s $4.5 billion Paris Club government debts was concluded in November 2001; it wrote off 66% of the debt.

    I dont recall anyone suggesting they’d turn Serbia into a land of milk and honey?. They have gotten rid of a regime that was prosecuting some very nasty policies, keeping the world community of their backs and they’ve not done too badly financially out of it at all!. In my opinion they are very much on the plus side of the ledger post-Milosevic.

    And would that stop the US carriers launching strike aircraft against Iran? If it doesn’t then what is the point?

    P-700’s are hardly likely to stop US carriers being able to launch strike aircraft either!. Mining Hormuz stops US carriers getting into the northern Gulf. Lots of Iran up there that couldnt be reached from a position in the Gulf of Oman!.

    You mean like Scuds that are so inaccurate they can’t be used in modern warfare either because they might hit civilians?

    Scuds that were deployed as precision weapons or as an attempt to do any damage possible to generate a political reaction?. What relevence they have to antiship missiles operating in the most difficult targetting environment on the planet escapes me I’m afraid?.

    Yet one of the reasons behind NMD is that a disgruntled Russian officer might fire a few at the ole US. If they were surprised by a couple of Russian aircraft what would have happened if they had turned out to be North Korean?

    Is it?. I thought the point was reestablish some form of security in the post MAD world. MAD obviously not being operative when the opposing country can ‘only’ scrape together a handful of ballistic launchers and a few dozen deliverable intercontinental warheads. First I’ve heard of a Russian missile officer being capable of independently launching a couple of armed missiles on his own ‘initiative’.

    As to the issue of whether they’d been North Koreans or whomever else if they painted the carrier with radar and flown in on an attack profile they would, presumably, have been challenged by the escorting vessel and potentially shot down if the situation warranted. I wonder if the Flanker pilot, who dogged that EA-6 that the Kittyhawk launched, would have been quite so happy to have done so if he’d known that there was the slightest chance that the SAMs aimed at him would be fired.

    Exactly the same number of NSMs at the moment…

    Oh?. So there is one of these Russian systems that you’ve listed that is in late operational trials?. Which one?. Any photo’s?

    The false praise of using the word ‘vaunted’ is a bit of a waste isn’t it?

    Is it?. I refer you to Srbins earlier claim that Russian antiship missiles, particularly the heavies, are the ‘best in the world’. As you know Legenda was an integral part of those missile complexes. I think ‘vaunted’ was an entirely appropriate comment!.

    Atrophied suggests it doesn’t work… wonder why they’d spend any money at all on it if it didn’t work?

    Atrophied suggests wasted away. Working but at reduced capability. I think that fits the current Russian satellite ocean recon capability dont you?.

    I guess by the same token I could describe the USNs forces to have atrophied and offer very few things that the USAF provides and much greater cost than the USAF. No stealth aircraft at all.

    Yes you could. Then again though you could only do that if you were trying to take part in some kind of US vs Russia p1ssing contest. Which we’re not…well I’m not anyway. Remember NSM aint American.

    This thread only turned naval due to a misunderstanding… the Shkval-M electro optical system on the Su-25TM mistaken for the Shkval torpedo…

    OK….and your point is what?. It DID turn naval – Srbins comment is there. I’d just as easily stop this discussion right now as I’ve made all the points I think I need to. I actually agree with Srbins last comment here – that the best all round missile is NSM and, as 90+% of naval services require no more capability than NSM offers its top dog. For those services that need a little extra range and have/can afford the assets to deploy it Klub, 3M54E at least, is a worthy alternative.

    So Sea Skua, Hellfire, and other weapons like that, like Maverick that are also used by forces around the world don’t exist? I saw video footage of JDAMs hitting an LST… wonder why they bothered… they have Harpoon don’t they?

    Confused here Garry I thought we were talking about antiship missiles primarily?. Besides NSM could see the end of many lightweight AShM’s like AS15TT, Skua and Penguin as it can be deployed on an NH90 sized chopper.

    As I have mentioned Yakhont-M will be tested next year with a multisensor seeker for land attack and anti ship use.

    So thats a first flight test next year?.

    And of course what is the value to whom? We are not discussing who needs what, we are talking about the best equipped regarding AShMs.

    A missiles’ paper capabilities do not make it effective. The ability to deploy in theatre, be supported in service without disproportionate budgetary effect on other systems and hold at threat likely target sets make a weapon effective. It is not enough to state that because a weapon can do mach daft and make a bloody great hole in a CVN its valuable.

    So the trillions of dollars sunk into AEGIS… which has killed one airbus and what else in real combat is good? How does a weapon capable of sinking pretty much anything afloat equate to marginal capabilites?

    The AEGIS system can stand alone and provide a powerful antiaircraft screen for any high value unit. Its been and is being exported widely as a system in its own right. It is still, therefore, providing a return on its development investment. Who’s buying Granit or platforms capable of employing it?.

    There is something to be said for cross pollenation… Soviet tanks had in the 80s smoke generating grenades that were opaque to IR light as well as visible light. Just thumbing through Russia’s Arms 2001-2002 it lists rockets with smoke warheads for IR and optical coverage as well as rockets with flare and chaff distraction warheads…

    Yes, I mentioned multispectral smoke as an IIR defence myself a long time ago on this thread or another like it. Problem is with MS that popping a few grenades to shield a tank from a single threat axis is a very much simpler proposition than trying to screen a 3000 ton frigate or 6000 ton destroyer with the same system. Especially in maritime environmental conditions.

    Todays reality is that the US is not russia’s friend. NATO expansion and American rhetoric make that pretty plain. Further development of high speed antiship missiles into areas like scramjet propulsion will lead to economic as well as practical improvements and benefits.

    Equally though NATO rhetoric has made it plain that they dont view Russia as an enemy any more. In fact I’d say many view Russia as an emerging market rather than everything else. If they want to leverage some of their experience in hypersonic air vehicles for commercial gain perhaps they should rid themselves of the role-less Oscar-II’s, Kirovs and the stupid bloody great missiles they carry and invest the millions they save on them into commercial R&D!.

    Of the four missiles I mentioned… Uran, AS-11, AS-17, and AS-18… all four are already actually in service anyway so the maintainence and support network is already there.

    The RN had Sea Eagle and MM38 Exocet in service. They had full infrastructure to support the weapons but they still withdrew those weapons from service. Why?. They cost money to keep operational. They need servicing, they require trained personnel to keep them operational etc. We determined that there was an insufficient target set to warrant the expenditure on keeping those weapons in the inventory when compared to other funding requirements. The maintenance of a few hundred, total, medium antiship weapons of two types would cost pennies compared to that of upkeep of the range of surface and air-launch antishipping weapons in the Russian inventory. See the point?.

    The AS-18 entered full service in 1988 and includes waterborne targets amongst its uses. Target recognition and aquisition software is already fully used in this weapon… it also has a datalink to the launch aircraft so that not only is there a human in the loop to identify the target they can also select by dragging a crosshair what part of the target is hit.

    Would like to see a source for an automtic target recognition capability for Kh-59 that dates back much beyond the last couple of years. It was my understanding that the weapon was originally an optical scene-locker and the datalink was there for standoff manual acquisition as the only method of long-range targetting.

    in reply to: Russian attack capabilities #2051535
    Jonesy
    Participant

    That being exactly my point Srbin!

    in reply to: Indian Navy – News and Discussion #2064839
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Aah I get it now!. Didnt recognise the gentleman in question, but, its a very interesting photo given his credentials!. Sounds very much like the Indian counterpart of our venerable Cdr Nigel Ward!.

    Is there a public version of his impressions of Rafale-M compared to SHAR anywhere and, most importantly, has he been able to get a ride in a -29K yet?. Would be very interested in seeing his views on the two designs!.

    Lastly do you know when the Rafale shot was taken?. Before or after the Gorshkov decision was taken?.

    Thanks again mate!

    in reply to: Russian attack capabilities #2051548
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Thats a fair point Srbin, but, ever since good old Sergei took the reins of the Soviet Navy they developed ships that could challenge NATO for control of the Atlantic. Ships that were heavily outfitted with SAMs.

    Maybe NATO didnt have to tackle CVBG’s, but, it did have some very hard targets to crack. By the logic Garry puts forward NATO should have developed heavy supersonic long-range missiles to knock out Kirov’s, Moskva’s, Kievs, Kara’s and all the rest. The fact that half a dozen nations independently didnt arrive at that solution suggests heavyweight supersonics may not be the best way to target heavily defended naval vessels!.

    in reply to: Russian attack capabilities #2051556
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Garry

    Always amazes me how carrier groups are at the same time completely invisible and always able to detect enemy formations at maximum range and have fighters in the right position to engage them.

    Why does this amaze you?. Its what a battlegroup is designed to do. The E.O.O.B of a CVSG is considerable and the ‘seven seas’ are really very big and, for the most part, quite easy to get yourself lost in. There’s no rocket science in this its just good tactics and good systems employment.

    During heightened tensions the sea ways out to a thousand kms of your coast could be called a military testing ground where all civilian traffic is banned… any violators that happen to be hit would be very unfortunate but you were warned well in advance…

    Ask Roel whether this is true or not!. The ‘Tanker War’ was called so because it was civvie tankers that were targetted. In 1982 we mistakenly drew a bead on a couple of merchies, but, RoE’s saved the day. There is NO WAY that you can get around the problem of indiscriminancy in an active radar seeker. The RN is, or was, removing the sub-Harpoons from its Fleet subs because they are so seeker-limited and such useless weapons in a non-permissive environment. This is not analysis, not derivation and not supposition on my part Garry its plain fact!.

    But if you ain’t with us then your agin us… isn’t that how it goes?

    Nope. CNN sees to that.

    But the difference is that CIWS currently can’t stop supersonic AShMs… they can stop subsonic ones.. that is what they are designed for.

    ‘Cant stop supersonic AShMs’ is a bit of a definitive isnt it Garry?. Goalkeeper was tested by NAVSEA against supersonics and it certainly proved capable of engaging such targets, even Phalanx is said to be capable of making the intercept, but, at a range that might make the fact academic. Its a dishonest comparison really though, as you well know, because the NATO answer to heavy supersonics was the Point Defence Missile System i.e Sea Sparrow, Sea Wolf, Crotale Naval and NOT any CIWS system.

    They have a range of weapons for a range of targets and threat situations… something everyone else lacks… isn’t that a reason to suggest they are the best equipped regarding AShMs? The fact that the Flanker might be individually better than an individual fighter aircraft used by an American armed force doesn’t mean that American armed force isn’t the best available… armed forces are more than just individual aircraft or weapon specs.

    Go on and list the range of antiship weapons they have actually in service Garry. Navally its Bazalt, Granit, Moskit and Uran that I can think of off the top of my head and how much does it cost to keep the former two operational in weapons and platform terms (and for how much benefit), Moskit is past its heydey and is distinctly interceptable and Uran is little improvement over AGM-84. Thats a ‘superior’ capability is it?. Compare that to NSM and, apart from a CVN, there is no target that those weapons can tackle that NSM cannot and in one missile type. That one missile being swingrole on the pylon for antiship and precision land-attack.

    And how many potential firing sites were there in the iraqi desert?

    Its a desert – quite a lot.

    Will this US attack likely be a seaborne invasion with huge support or will it be a coordinated air attack on nuclear facilities? In the case of the latter will they be trying to blow up every coastal instalation or just plan flight routes around them to reach their targets?

    Relevance?. What does it matter if the USN choses to engage some targets or not?.

    How about 5 School buses, 25 fuel tankers, 10 container trucks. There is no reason why they couldn’t be stored at the launch area inside a prefabricated building designed to be used as a school or hospital. The building with the missile could be the big boiler room that no kids or staff ever went into.

    Yeah Garry and it’d be really cool if you could get the on site swimming pool to slide over and reveal launching silos like in Thunderbirds….!. Garry you’re making stuff up to support a made up premise!. The FACT is the Iranians aren’t trying to acquire a very long range antiship missile capability despite the fact they’ve had years to try and do it. Why – because they know that, in their environment, targetting out into blue water, reliably, is beyond their means.

    Taken together as systems they are. One missile design alone is not adequate against lots of targets.

    How do you arrive at that conclusion?. NSM is perfectly capable of engaging lots of different targets at sea and onshore – this is one of the main points I’ve been making. The Russians dont have such a weapon, yet, which is the other main point I’ve been making!.

    Yet it can’t reach down and pull back a tarp to see what is underneath let alone search a container truck.

    Granted, but, why would it need to?. Are you suggesting that a P-700 TEL could be made to look like a container truck?. Even if you are, for whatever point that may serve, you still have the point that shore-based Granit DOES…..NOT……EXIST!!!.

    Which would be relevant if the US needed Turkeys help to attack Iran. The fact that the Turkish government listens more to its own people than its allies says more about its allies and the Turkish government than anything relevant to this subject. Suffice to say the US has a long history of ignoring anyones opinion… even their own.

    What fantastically pointless drivel!. The point very, very clearly was that public opinion had a significant effect on the prosecution of a military campaign in one very notable, recent, instance. That is also a distinct FACT Garry not vapid supposition.

    Ignoring my point and jumping back on this idea that anti ship missiles must be indiscriminate. Funny how Mine technology has moved on to allow it to recognise the sound signature of a target yet Radars in the nose of Missiles the size of a small fighter cannot do the same with an active sensor…

    Not really. Mines have the luxury of letting their targets come to them. They dont have to do any tracking or hunting. Besides there is a galaxy of difference between identifying a target from accoustic and magnetic profile passively than it is to do it actively with a radar seeker.

    The P-700 is an anti carrier weapon… only those that threaten with carriers need fear that… and who cares if they do fear that? Where has doing as you have been told gotten Serbia?

    Changing your tune now a bit arent you?. You were the one noting how little damage a western subsonic would do to 100,000tons of supertanker and how much relative damage a Shipwreck would inflict!. Dont understand your point about Serbia?.

    And if one fails or malfunctions? And exactly how many would you need to cover the Persian gulf out to the maximum range of any strike aircraft a Nimitz class carrier might deploy? That is a LOT of mines and they are for the most part in international waters and therefore stealable… not to mention liable to move with currents.

    They would not attempt to mine that far out. It would take every asset in their navy to try and maintain such a field. They could set individual fields to try and draw in US SSNs and the like, but, in Irans case the main fields would be laid around Hormuz, probably in the shallower waters to the northern end of the straits. It still means a LOT of mines but theyre hardly expensive compared to a P-700 type weapon and its delivery platform.

    So develop the expensive detection assets first and then buy the weapon to go with it? Why not buy the weapon first and rely for the time on the deterrent effect of it to protect you till you have sorted out your other problems.

    LOL how many opposing professionals would be deterred by a weapon they plainly couldnt use in their theatre of operations. The thing with the detection assets is that they are a force-multiplier for legacy systems as well as targetting assets for a heavy supersonic missile system. It makes staggeringly little sense to buy the missiles before the sighting system!.

    There is no such thing as a perfect defence… remember that Russian aircraft that overflew a US carrier when the US carrier was refuelling with no aircraft in the air? Sure it is not during a time of tensions, but no one is alert 24/7, and coming from surprise directions or times can work wonders.

    By that token though you might as well say Navies are useless. That an opponent could put a 5Mt device on the ocean floor off Norfolk and wipe out the US Atlantic Fleet in one fell swoop. Alternatively you could say that the Russians developing the Su30-whatever was pointless as some muppet could stand at the end of a runway with a Stinger and shoot them down on training flights. The reason what you’ve written is wrong is that all military installations use a gradiated system of alert levels. Had there been the slightest chance those Russian aircraft could launch or drop anything unpleasant that USN group wouldnt have been at such a low alert state.

    If no export orders are forthcoming then it is very unlikely that any further work would be done on them, but then the work done on newer models could be retrofitted to older systems to improve their performance. The Yakhont-M will get a multi sensor (ie radar and optics) guidance package that should allow land attack capability… such a seeker could be used on larger older missiles too, not to mention improved propulsions like scramjet technology…

    The point is ‘could be retrofitted’ and ‘will get a multisensor…’ and ‘could be used on’. How many, if any, of these systems have been fielded and proven under anything near operational trials conditions?.

    They are maintaining the satellite guidance system it requires to operate in service… even though up until recently they had been neglecting their Glonass system. Doesn’t that tell you they are maintaining their anti carrier capability?

    To what purpose though?. SIOP tasked CVBG’s disappeared a decade ago, the ‘vaunted’ space targetting system has atrophied to the point that it provides little more than basic surveillance functions and the heavy ‘anticarrier’ missiles are countered by naval AAW systems that were first fielded two DECADES ago.

    That is not what this thread is about.

    I am disputing Srbins comment that Russia makes the worlds best antiship missiles. Nothing in this thread has persuaded me that his point is valid.

    No one anti ship missiles with achieve all goals. A range of different weapons with different capabilities is what you need and the Russians certainly have that.

    Eh?. Most European navies have standardised on a single weapon be that Harpoon, Exocet, Otomat, RBS15 or whatever. If they dont have a dedicated anticarrier weapon it means either they intended to use other weapons (HWT’s for one!) for the engagement of such targets or they dont count, amongst their requirements the need to target CVN’s. One AShM type IS more than adequate for most services.

    If passive subsonic was all that wonderful then the Russians have had the AS-18 in service since the 80s… TV command guided missile with a 115km range. A minor change to give it a combined TV/IIR seeker for optimum target discrimination and taadaa!!!

    Agree. Given such a ‘minor’ change the AS-18 could become a very dangerous system. Like the earlier comment though its not been done has it?. Same for Uran, same for Yakhont etc. Fair weapons systems, but, they stop short of being the ‘best’.

    Hang on are you saying the USN is crap because no other country on the globe could afford to operate it for a day using their whole years budget?

    How the hell did you get that interpretation from the quote?!. The USN is the size it is due to the nature of tasks it performs. The Russian anticarrier weapons are the way they are due to the target set they were required to service, BUT, that target set is no longer something the Russians can, or have a need to, engage. No-one else on the planet, China excepted perhaps, has a need for such systems. I ask again what value is there in a weapon that no-one can use?.

    Make up your mind… first you are looking for the best all round AShM, then deciding if the Russians have the best AShMs in the world, and then you start blabbing about affordability. That is three very different things in my book… perhaps that is why our discussions last so long.

    I’m used to things like weapon availability rates, servicing schedules and the suchlike. Its my opinion that a weapon that requires a service to add or maintain extra support personnel and infrastructure in return for marginal capabilities is a poor weapon. Granit, Kh-22 and the like fall into that category for me.

    This NSM seems nice but how all weather is it? How useful is it really? I personally think the Club with the supersonic warhead section should be first, simply because it is actually difficult to intercept by CIWS yet offers all the other benefits of low and slow turbojet missiles. It is fully all weather.

    You’ve hit on the only major drawback the NSM weapons system has that I can see. The weather conditions would have to be very adverse to impact the system though. I dont think heavy rain would be sufficient to degrade the seeker as I’ve used a Radamec IIR sensor in such conditions and been able to see a merchant vessel at horizon range. A fog bank would probably be quite effective at knocking out the targetting solution, but, seeings as its almost invulnerable to chaff and jamming I think, if there is only a fog-limitation against the weapon, its a quantum leap further on than an ARH.

    Regarding AShMs the Russians certainly have the supersonic end cornered and are the only navy to have ever seriously looked like threatening the USN Carrier Groups.

    That was yesterday Garry. What do those missiles do for the Russians today?. Give them a sabre to rattle nice and hard at the Americanski’s. Who cares?. I think they have far more important things to spend their money on myself!.

    And finally if cost is so important then as I mentioned above the AS-18 Kazoo has been in service for some time and you can distract smaller boats with weapons like Uran and AS-17, or that interesting 200km range variant of the AS-11 (Kh-58) with MMW radar guidance for anti ship use.

    This is also my point though!. Thats 4 missile systems with all their spares infrastructures, maintenance personnel training requirements and operational trainig requirements that NSM could replace with a single weapon AND could be used in more roles besides. Efficiency is an important factor.

    Except the small point that if your anti ship missiles can’t help you defend your country they aren’t much use to you really. A Malaysian Su-30 with a single Moskit or three Yakhonts backed up by surface launched missiles like Exocet would be treated with more respect by an opposing fleet commander. Rather more is known about Exocets and they are easier to intercept with missiles or CIWS.

    I’ve said before that I dont rate Western active-radar homing weapons any higher than their Russian counterparts. Its the ARH seeker I think is obsolescent more than any particular weapon. If I’m an anti-air warfare officer sat aboard a warship intruding into Malaysian waters I’m going to be scared if I know that they have antiship missiles I am unlikely detect via any of my onboard, organic, systems until they cross my sensor horizon. If I know they have Yakhonts, Exocets and any of the other ARH weapons I’ve got my best guys on ESM watch, all chaff and decoy launchers loaded and cocked, and I’m feeling more confident that there is actually defensive action I can take to defeat the inbound.

    AS-18, and various passive radiation homing versions of their existing supersonic weapons.

    Not yet it doesnt. If the funding to develop on IIR seeker and the onboard computer/TRA software doest materialise it may never do. NSM’s in the final stages of its trials by comparison.

    in reply to: Indian Navy – News and Discussion #2064864
    Jonesy
    Participant

    This meant for me Harry?. If so thanks – it reinforces what I’ve always thought most impressive about the design – its very, very compact!. Best things come in small packages and all that!.

    There wouldnt be a ‘hidden message’ in an authoratative Indian contributor posting an image of Rafale M would there?!

    Jonesy
    Participant

    The SSM launcher is definitely a quintuple mount not a quad. The mounting is made up of individual missile cannisters and, allegedly, the top row of three has been replaced, at various times, with a multiple launch rocket system. You might be doing well to find an image of the launcher in this configuration!.

    in reply to: R.A.F Lyneham Shut Down!! #2633563
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Had a chat to a mate at Cottesmore earlier tonight and they’re standing down on 3 weeks Christmas leave too. They weren’t told that this was down to costcutting or anything like that just that it came down from CinC Strike Command and applied to virtually everyone “not dicked for duty” over the Christmas period.

    So there should be many more bases than just Lyneham and Cottesmore that will be ‘shutting down’ the same way.

    in reply to: General Discussion #395106
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Where’s that police chopper….I want a race!.

    in reply to: Boilers for INS Gorshkov #2065074
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Mazut, like Sevvy says, is just the name for a heavy grade of HFO. F76 Dieso is the standard fuel for most European warships I know of and is good for diesel and turbine propelled vessels.

    The black smoke mentioned is usually, from my experience, the product of either poor quality fuel, poorly serviced engines (clogged injectors mainly) or a combination of both. There is certainly denser efflux when the engines are at high revs, but, that shouldn’t necessarily mean huge plumes of thick black smoke!.

    Jonesy
    Participant

    The Japanese Kamikaze attack was effectively a method to place a large amount of high explosive onto a ship target with maximum efficiency.

    Today guided missiles replicate that function. Seeker technology replaces the man at the stick. Modern warships are well equipped to deal with antiship missile attack and an antiship missile is a much harder target to engage than an aircraft. Airborne suicide attacks against warships therefore offers little prospect of success.

    The USS Cole was hit, in many respects, by a kamikaze attack performed by hostiles in a light boat. That was a one shot deal though and force protection is now a primary consideration for warships transitting choke point areas. As an antiship tactic Kamikaze, therefore, offers little potential for success.

    Ironically Kamikaze tactics have been proven viable, today, in asymmetric warfare against undefended targets. Think World Trade Centre for any verification on that one. There will always be more vulnerable, non-combattant, targets than defensive sysytems to protect them so, on face value, the Kamikaze technique would appear to a long way from irrelevent in todays world.

    in reply to: "The Mightiest" (P.Velikiy) #2065464
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Could be there to avoid interference with Tombstone? They have a lot of electronic stuff on that funnel…

    Yep never could quite get tarps to work properly in a high RF environment!!! :diablo:

    Seriously, if they are just tarps, they might be trying out the old ‘microwave drying’ technique!. This is the act of trying to dry out wet kit by sticking it in close proximity to a high power/high frequency RF source – like a radar!. There was a legendary story, unverified of course, about a WEM(O) who tried to dry out a pair of trainers inside the dome of a Type909 tracker with unfortunate results i.e two neat piles of slightly melted plastic and fabric!. A couple of heavy duty tarps would probably stand the treatment a bit better!.

    in reply to: "The Mightiest" (P.Velikiy) #2065471
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Doesnt look like anything ‘official’. In fact it looks a lot like a couple of folded tarps lashed to the guardrail!.

    Could be an improvised antenna for a commercial ‘after market’ comms fit. I heard a while back that some Russian vessels were using commercial VHF sets to communicate with NATO and other vessels at sea for some reason. I guessed at the time that Soviet warships may not set the standard channel 16 watch prescribed by International Maritime Law but never looked into it much.

    Sailors have a habit of improvising systems as and when the idea strikes!. I remember that the crew of HMS Euryalus rigged up a TV aerial in the Ikara tracker so that they could pick up local stations whenever they were sailing close to shore. This guardrail mounted object could be something very similar!.

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