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Jonesy

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  • in reply to: what is the "best" high endurance SSK #2066512
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Hallo,

    Yes I’d like you to find something that is unrelated to a boat thats spent 10 years laid up alongside without reserve maintenance. The majority of the faults listed were found on sea trials. That is the whole reason why ships undergo sea trials!. The article is obviously written by someone with zero knowledge of ships.

    The four subs was supposidly 700 million cdn but price rose exceedingly to 900 mill cdn and was three years overdue… thats what i call a lemon.

    Are you aware of the finance deal that the Canadian Forces got though?. The bartering agreement that was set up to allow UK forces use of Canadian training facilities as part payment for the lease ring any bells?. The actual cash outlay for the subs was ridiculously small.

    A single ‘dent’ in one ship!?. :confused:

    Corrosion???. What ship that isnt undergoing routine maintenance doesnt suffer from rusting?! Plus, seeings as the problem with Chicoutami was a bit worse than the others (hardly suprising seeings as she was first-of-class), the MoD agreed to a price reduction. How much fairer can you get?.

    From the moment Lieutenant Chris Saunders died on Oct. 6 of the delayed effects of a major electrical fire, the navy has steadfastly insisted the submarine was seaworthy, despite a refit the Canadian military has described as a nightmare.

    I repeat….the Navy (Canadian) has steadfastly insisted the submarine was seaworthy. OF COURSE the refit was a nightmare – the submarine was not in reserve status so it was not receiving reserve maintenance while it was laid up for 10 years. How many different ways does this need to be said?.

    problems? read this… it seem the Brits are too eagre to point fingers somewhere else and never admit to the possibility that its a sour deal to start with.

    Hallo perhaps you need to read a little deeper into a subject than just the first few media articles that sensationally hit the front pages. If you’ll notice the Canadian Forces are the ones who’ve signed off on every boat before its gone across the Atlantic. Faults have arisen as they invariably do at sea there is nothig strange about it.

    in reply to: Russian attack capabilities #2053029
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Nitin,

    India is not merely undertaking documented research in netcentric warfare.

    The only informtion I had was that the capability was developmental so thats all I felt confident in posting!. Contrary to some belief I only post definitives when I’m sure of myself!. I read the news article that you posted up for us on the ‘IN News thread’ with interest.

    The critical sensor netting sounds very much like an NTDS equivalent which is a hell of a capability for a fleet to deploy. There are two levels involved here though which get blurred under the general ‘net-centric’ heading. First is the intra-fleet tactical datalinking capability that allows ships and aircraft to link their sensor pictures within local ‘tactical’ comms range. The second level is the enabler for theatre targetting capability though – this is the ability to disseminate a tactical picture to platforms in the wider battlespace. This means major realtime satcomms capacity and platforms that have the capability to tie-in to a wide area ISTAR system. I have no doubt that India posses the technology and skills to deploy the former capability. Its the second level that, from what I can see, still raises more questions than there are, open source, answers for.

    The IAF and IA have already submitted a proposal for a common sat to handle joint data handling etc, its up for approval…So the sensor network is getting knocked into place. With Phalcons and Indian AWACs, 300km acquisition and targetting is not such a big deal. They are talking of 1500 km now!

    That certainly addresses one question on the availability of dedicated satellite bandwidth!. Whats interservice rivalry like in the Indian forces? Will the IN get a look in at the IA/IAF’s new satellite when it happens or will the other two close ranks?. 300km full coverage ISTAR is a VERY big deal and is a capability very, very few nations posses – UK might barely be able to achieve it!. 1500km is dreamland for the anyone but the US at the moment and the US is only at the start of that kind of capability now with Global Hawk, OTH-B, TARS, 30-odd E-3’s, all manner of satellite recon and comms capability, SOSUS, SURTASS, a few E-2 carrying carrier task groups and various high-capacity, established, C3 centres. Anyone else is barely playing the same game let alone being in the same league!

    Garry,

    You are thinking in western terms. The west goes to war because it wants to… to ensure commercial or political goals. If used for self defence… Say by Iran to fend off a potential attack from any western force what would they care about collatoral damage.

    In return you are thinking in Russian terms. The Iranians aren’t the Russians and aren’t daft. As the map below shows even a 500km missile will not challenge a US CVSG far out into the Arabian Sea. It also forces the deployment of the weapons into a very limited and predictable geographic area – as the map shows somewhere in he Chah Bahar region. Where do you think the US ISTAR, TLAM and Hornet squadrons would be focussed prior to entering that zone?. 40 or so TEL’s of sufficient size to launch a 30ft long weapon, in a geographically limited area, all held in a near-ready to fire condition to allow for salvo fire is a much less difficult target than the Iraqi Scuds popping up in threes or fours.

    If your proposing that Iran wouldnt need to care about targetting I think you’ve missed a trick on the value of world and, more importantly, regional opinion. If the US decides to move on Iran after finishing with Iraq world condemnation will be stronger even than Iraq engendered. There was a large, if quiet, amount of support for the Iraq campaign globally as many believed Saddam had it coming. Iran though have not ‘got it coming’ and are engaging in meaningful dialogue (I for one would oppose military action against them and you’ll recall my views before the Iraq operation). If they started spraying heavy antishipping missiles into the Arabian Gulf they become not only loose cannons, but, loose cannons aiming at the worlds economic heart. That would cost them dearly in terms of support and could even open up bases in Oman, Pakistan and other local states to the Americans. Major own goal for what advantage – an attack that stands only a marginal chance of breaking through US defensive fire IF the missiles find the target in the first place!. They are not that daft. Look at the weapons systems they are actually acquiring. These are largely weapons to deal with FAC’s and Corvettes in the non-permissive environment found in the Gulf – those guys know what they are doing.

    Sevvy,

    Jonesy, warships are easy to find. When we entered the Gulf, I could pick them out from 50 radarcontacts.

    What range are we talking about though?. 20 miles maybe 30?. Radar resolution is a function of range. What you could make out at that range cannot be duplicated from 3 or 4 times further off. Some of stories of miss-identifications of surface contacts from US and RN are legendary!. Remind me to tell you the story a E-2 radar op told me about their TASM trials sometime!.

    in reply to: Swearing parrot returns to sea #2066563
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Thats the end of me claiming any professionalism for the RN as a service then! 😀

    Some traditions should be upheld though and RN ships have carried mascots for generations!.

    Thanks for posting that Google, gave me quite a chuckle!.

    in reply to: what is the "best" high endurance SSK #2066615
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Hallo,

    Which unit leaks below 160ft depth?.

    The incident on HMCS Chicoutami was discovered as being down to a cable run using insulation that was found to age poorly in the decking under the CO’s cabin. The Royal Navy had already found this insulation problem and advised the Canadian Forces that it needed changing out. The same insulation had already been replaced on the three earlier units.

    No-one seems to have an answer why this wasnt replaced on Chicoutami, but, that wiring problem and the water ingress caused by the crew leaving the hatches open the day before the fire seem to have been the factors involved with the fire. Nothing to do with any design flaw.

    All of the problems with these vessels have their root cause in the fact that the ships were left in storage for nearly a decade and not maintained. Get them sailing regularly and undergoing routine maintenance and these problems will all be found and resolved. All ships have problems that only show up after repeated use or, as with Chicoutami, under a certain set of operational conditions.

    Like you said they were cheap boats…after the lease period is up, in 2006, the story goes that the Canadian Forces have the option of buying each boat for the staggering sum of £1.

    Give them the time to get into full operational readiness and your forces get to rewrite the dictionary definition of ‘bargain’.

    Burger,

    The Victoria’s are listed as ‘fitted for but not with’ AIP. The Canadians are looking at AIP for under-ice ops with the boats and are on record as saying that the boats are compatible with the technology.

    in reply to: Russian attack capabilities #2053120
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Sevvy,

    I think you are forgetting something. I suppose that if you fire a Granit in a certain direction, it might find its target by itself if it’s not too far off.

    Granits’ an active radar seeker, its rumoured to have ISAR capability in the seeker, but, for an anticarrier weapon, what resolution would the seeker really need?. We cant even take a guess that it would be able to distinguish between a cruiser sized target and an equivalent-sized merchant?. Without that ability, unless you are completely sure that there are no non-combattants around (or just dont care!) firing the weapon would be dodgy on RoE grounds. Remember what I said about an unuseable weapon….!.

    If a Kirov would launch its helicopter and that helo stays within the S300F cover, it can still guide the missiles and be relatively safe. For Kuznetsov, the helo even has the cover of the Su-33.

    IF were talking, like you still seem to be, about a Red Banner Fleet engagement with a SIOP-tasked USN carrier strike fleet just off the North Cape, in otherwise empty waters, then yes the Ka-31 or Ka-25 would be able to do what you suggest. Neither of those helicopters can provide identification of the surface contacts that they detect beyond simple size though. That one fact means that in an environment where non-combattants could be inadvertently hit those missiles cannot be employed. As I said ages ago for one its very bad PR to sink cruise liners and point two its a real waste of missiles.

    I have only mentioned the GPS mistakes, what I didn’t mention and what I cannot even STRESS enough, is the fact that GPS is controlled by US!!!

    NSM is able to use GPS to set a string of waypoints to fly deceptive courses to target. It is capable of complex navigation without GPS though by using terrain matching through the seeker. Even if the flight is completely overwater, with no reference points, the missile can still fly a direct path course to target. Not as clever, but still an operational weapons system.

    Thanks for those Klub images BTW. Very interesting to see the scale comparison (and obvious design heritage) between Klub and the earlier Granat!.

    Cat,

    http://www.kongsberg.com/eng/kda/products/Missiles/mainframe.asp?Id=8050

    Its a skimmer all-the-way and has terrain following capability. Its course can actually take it on a sea-skimming profile then up and over an island terrain-following and then back down to sea-skimming! Further it can cross-reference such landmarks for navigation en route to target reducing its dependence on GPS.

    The ‘new’ Exocet uses a turbojet sustainer replacing the solid propellant rocket of earlier weapons. I’ve read that there may well be a crossover between NSM and Exocet blk3 in the area of propulsion. Regardless of this MBDA claim that the flight profile of the block 3 weapon is also sea-skimming all-the-way.

    BTW i think ur convinently ignoring some factors and banking upon the Helo based OHT for ur whole theory

    Sure. Apart from some absolutely sterling work from SeaHawk and some solid comments from bubulle I’ve been quite outnumbered on this one and have had to explain quite a bit!. If I’ve missed something, or not explained something properly by all means let me know.

    I’m expressely NOT banking on chopper OTH targetting for anything I’m saying here. In fact I’ve even drawn a diagram to illustrate how a single hull on its own could passively detect an opponent without any offboard support whatsoever. What I did state was very impressive was that NSM could be launched from a shipboard chopper, of suitable size of course, and therefore give a fairly low-end vessel a stand-off precision land-attack capability.

    Klub can also be fired w/o that Helo support if the ship can find it, I think thats the same case with NSM. But the OTH gives the Klub and PJ-10/Yakhont to utilize its full potential is its range.

    Precisely my point Cat. Klub/Yakhont CAN be fired from a shipboard radar contact IF that ship can identify its target and at a very much reduced range from the 300km or so they are credited with – this questioning the value of the 300km range in the first place. Given that the missiles active seeker is not guaranteed to tell the difference between a 70,000ton merchant and a 90,000ton CVN, let alone a 9000 ton DDG and an 8000ton ferry, very great care will have to be taken firing any such weapon without great certainty of where the weapon will go and what its likely to hit.

    NSM has been designed with precisely this problem in mind and its seeker will actually reject any target that appears in its wide-angle seeker that doesnt meet its threat parameters. It will even seek to reattack a valid target if it realises its missed. This is a MAJOR advantage over anything with an active seeker in the nose as it means that the targetting solution, prior to launch, can be very vague indeed and the missile will prevent any unpleasantness with civvy-packed ferries.

    in reply to: what is the "best" high endurance SSK #2066647
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Because, Pak, there is a difference between ‘high submerged endurance’ and ‘high endurance’ as friend Burger is talking about.

    High endurance, as discussed here is a function of patrol endurance and range. Again though differences exist between different geographical patrol areas. HDW list a patrol endurance of 12 weeks and a 12,000 mile surface transit range for U214 which is staggering considering its 1800 ton displacement. That is in the northern hemisphere though.

    Head down to more temperate southerly waters though and air conditioning has to be used more heavily, for both human and systems happiness, putting a significantly increased drain on the battery and requiring larger fuel stowage, and correspondingly a larger hull, to accomplish the same performance.

    Were I selecting an SSK for open ocean patrol tasking I’d be talking to the Japanese about their Oyashio design myself. This is mainly based on the price they’re paying for the units (over half a billion $US per unit) and the rumours of the sophistication of the sensor fit. If they are what the rumours have said then these hulls may be the closest thing to an SSN level of sensor capability to sail without a reactor!. Yes please!.

    Similar things were said about the Upholder/Victoria class boats and, now the Chicoutami problem has been identified as a singular known fault and nothing design related, if the Oyashio price tag was deemed a bit excessive these look like a pretty decent package in terms of range/endurance and weapons/sensor capabilities.

    in reply to: Russian attack capabilities #2053127
    Jonesy
    Participant

    the problems that still, you aren’t capable to understund the psicological value to face or to have a powerful system is different to have a very powerful system. After all, teh range of teh SSN 22 isn’t bigger than the harpoon, not? So, how to explain the fear about it?

    This is a common misunderstanding that I hope we can get rid of right now Nuke. Professional warfare officers are only truly afraid of weapons that they know they have a less-than-convincing defence against. Any weapon who’s characteristics are known and that you posses countering systems for become a matter of training and system uptime to defeat. Harpoon, Exocet, Moskit, Kh-22, P-700 and a raft of other ARH’s have all had countering systems developed and operationally matured for a long time. Knowing you have decoys and weapons systems aboard that can defeat a specific weapon goes a very long way to reducing your fear of it.

    The targetting problems of the SSM land based batteries are present both for exocet and shipwreck. But the exocet is also with the addicitonal problem of the surviving before the launch or after that. You say that the SSN 19 are costly vs other missiles, but how many medioum missiles are needed to defence, let’s say, a Iran shores? And how near to the shores?

    The targetting problems are the same for Exocet and P-700 thats for sure. As I’ve described though they are not the same for NSM. Also the effect of the targetting problem is much more severe on the P700 than the Exocet system as the whole point behind P700 is to be able to strike at range. Remove that range ability and the extra money spent on developing the system is wasted.

    More, with a exocet or NSMISM if the enemy is oveer 100+ Km he is avble to bomb you with fighters bombers when you cannot do nothing versus even if you lock him.

    If the opponents airpower is strong enough to be contesting your airspace you are not going to be using airborne radar to target his carriers. Without that how do you propose to fire your Shipwrecks?.

    Plus, you have to remember that Russian anticarrier tactics called for the salvo fire of two or three SSGN’s worth of these missiles to overwhelm USN defences. Squirrelling away a handful of major-sized launch vehicles (as would be necessary for a 30ft long P700) may be possible, but, concealing 40 or 50 in such a fashion that they could ALL be brought to readiness at short notice would be an entirely different matter.

    The RBS-15, a much larger weapon than NSM, is truck mounted on a fairly standard Volvo cab/trailer rig so, presumably, you would be looking at a multiple NSM launcher mounted on a fairly mundane sized truck so you’re looking at a sytem that would be far easier to conceal and deploy in numbers.

    So, JS, you don’t se the needing for a supersonic cruise missile? Ok, the ballistic are also good for targetting surface targtes. But with this, i think that many could be happy to have a system that can be used in SSM roles on heart and on the sea.

    I’d imagine many more would be happy with a weapon that they could actually deploy with their existing assets!.

    Names? I’d say India, Pakistan, NK, China, Iran etc.

    MTCR muddies the waters, but, even ignoring that none of those nations has the capability to target hostile shipping at 400km.

    India is heading in the right direction with MALE-type UAV’s and documented research into netcentric capability but has a long road ahead, IMO, before it can reliably employ its 300km weapons in a non-permissive environment. Pakistan would, IMO, be one of the nations that would most benefit from buying NSM not P700!. North Korea needs Kilo’s and mine warfare vessels before it needs Shipwrecks. Iran is, apparently, investing in MMW guided helicopter-launched light AShMs to address its antishipping requirement in the cluttered Persian Gulf environment – that is a professional service using its budget in order to address an operational requirement in an extremely sensible fashion IMO. None of them have expressed the slightest interest in a P700-sized weapon.

    I could say also, that the countries that are ordered the the modified scuds or the new russian missiles could be very happy, inshtaed, if they can have SS 12 or 22 or 23 if only they could be avilable, or i should think that a scud is better than a SS-23 only because this latter was phased out for political reasons?

    If, by this, you are stating that P-700 could be modified to give it a land-attack capability, perhaps a GLONASS precision-guidance capability, I would say that this was the absolute first thing that the Russians should have done with the system post cold war. OK it would only give the ability to hit pinpoint pre-designated ground targets, but, it could provide some usefulness for the system and it would pack a hell of a punch against a hardened target. As for acquiring the system solely for surface-surface strike I’d imagine that there are TBM’s that could do the same job far more cheaply.

    in reply to: General Discussion #412162
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Well the other terrorist in the room seemed to catch on to the idea that showing his hands and being very visibly non-threatening was a good way of avoiding being shot!. Paid off for him didnt it?.

    Shame that the guy who got shot wasn’t quite so switched on. Even bigger shame, for him, that his fellow fighters perform suicide attacks and booby trap bodies. Otherwise that Marine may have given him the benefit of the doubt.

    in reply to: General Discussion #412382
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Just watched the footage on BBC, Flood. What makes you think these two chaps were ‘prisoners’?.

    They were a pair of insurgents who’d been wounded in fighting the day previously and had been unable to leave the building. The US Marines went in and saw one chap with his hands very clearly waving about and being decidely unarmed – he lived. The other chap was all huddled up and could very easily have been doing something unpleasant with a hand grenade or a pistol – he got shot in the head. Tough break, but, he’s paid a price for the tactics his fellow fighters have been using.

    Don’t see why thats so hard to understand given the footage that was shown?.

    in reply to: Russian attack capabilities #2053309
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Hang on Sev YOU introduced the 3 carrier groups mate!. Me and Seahawk have been the ones that have been making the point that no-one, apart from China in the very long term perhaps, is looking at anticarrier weapons anymore.

    You cannot introduce a new item to the dicussion then claim that it costs so much more than the Granit solution that it supports your claim that Granit is a worthwhile system!. Using your 3 CVSG’s costing though I wonder how many NSMs could be bought for the same money?.

    NSM is not an anticarrier weapon that has to be agreed. A P-700 weapon, as has been stated repeatedly, will only ever be applicable to the strategic situation facing one or two navies. IF even those services would ever be interested (something I doubt). Most navies, as you know, are tasked with local sea control, SLOC defence and low-intensity force projection. This they have to achieve this within what is usually a modest budget at best. It is hard to see how, within those parameters, any professional would arrive weapon like Shipwreck or Yakhont as the optimal system to fit their tasking requirements.

    This fact, on its own, automatically prevents P-700 being a superior weapons system TODAY. Simply put no-one wants or needs it!. NSM, by comparison, is obviously being bought by Norway and has already been linked with a Malaysian order – very sensible given their maritime environment. IMO these are just the first two to express an interest. I can imagine Turkey or Greece, a couple of the Gulf states, more SE Asian states than just Malaysia and another European state or two being attracted by the capabilities on offer in view of their maritime environments and the helicopter deployment option!.

    Hypersonic attack on airfields? Are we going to make our battleground bigger? Basically, you are supposing Russia will not see anything coming… We are not playing Red Storm Rising here…

    The US has been involved in research into time critical strike ashore since 1994. Money has been, apparently, put into the FY2005 appropriation for further technology demonstration under the RATTLR and Hypersonic Strike Missile projects. A weapons capability isnt going to be deployed resulting from this work tomorrow, but, its value as a transformational weapon system is well appreciated. The DARPA and ONR funded HyFly research project, from which RATTLR and HySM is leveraging, saw Aerojet successfully test a full-spec engine for a Mach6.5 air vehicle in Feb 2003. Science fiction this is not!.

    Yet I do still stand a chance, considering I have the long-range missiles and still quite a good AD. While your J-7s in that same situation. Well, they wouldn’t even be capable of launching a single NSM.

    Roel, without targetting you do not stand a chance of doing any meaningful damage to a US carrier group in blue water. As was proven by the Serbians in Allied Force though its very hard to totally nail down every tactical aircraft and every mobile missile system ashore. Sooner or later the US fleet would have to move inshore with their amphibs if the mean to effect a forced entry. This is the point that a volume strike with shore-based, helicopter-launched and, perhaps, even aircraft launched 140km ranged missiles could be effective. NSM being easier to employ in this situation owing to its lack of reliance on targetting assistance and greater countermeasure resistance than an ARH weapon.

    The US Navy appreciated this threat in 1998 when its R&D report listed the development of passive IIR antiship weapons and lack of development of IIR countermeasures as a primary challenge to operations in littoral environments. As yet I’ve not seen any evidence that that report has generated any mature, deployable, countermeasure to the kind of threat NSM presents.

    in reply to: Russian attack capabilities #2053351
    Jonesy
    Participant

    hmm, and how far are your J-7s going to fly? If that carrier is smart, it waits for another two carriers to arrive, then with their combined force, they can stay well out of the range of your J-7s and send their Air Group to slaughter the planes first. Like you said, pave the way for the carrier to get close enough for land-attack ops.

    Hang on Sev you are shifting the goalposts here in a big way!.

    First off NSM was no good countering an aircraft carrier – now it wont stand a prayer against the combined airgroups of three!.

    What would?. What targetting asset would be able to get close enough to provide launching coordinates for P-700?. How long would a Bear or May survive. How close would a huge twin-screw, twin reactor, submarine like Oscar get to a group that would have 4 or more SSN’s, 3 squadrons of Vikings and a brace of towed-array ships in its screen and, most likely, a SURTASS a ship in support.

    A Kirov might pack a mighty arsenal of SAMs but how many can it guide simultaneoulsy if two full attack squadrons launch Harpoon attacks from multiple axis whilst another two ride shotgun on them keeping any landbased air cover busy?

    How many Backfire’s will get airborne if their bases are subject to hypersonic land attack strikes from 600nm out?.

    Lastly who, apart from Russia, would have Oscars, Kirovs, Backfires and P700’s in the first place!. Russia is NOT likely to be fighting USN carrier strike groups anytime in the forseeable future so what value are any of those systems even if they were likely to be successful?

    in reply to: Russian attack capabilities #2053397
    Jonesy
    Participant

    They developed Papa, built one unit, developed Alfa, built 5 units, designed Sierra, built two units, developped Sierra II, built two units. This isn’ t the right way, but it does give you some very good information. (and of course many many economical factors too) But that’s not the discussion here is it?

    Interesting viewpoint Roel. They built a Papa then found out it was too expensive to develop into a class so they went with the cheaper, less capable, Charlie design. They built half a dozen Alfa’s then realised that the operational concept was flawed, that the reactor technology was less than reliable and then had to dispense with them. THEN they repeated the Papa mistake with the Sierra’s – they designed a highly capable SSN but, after a couple of units, realised that they couldnt afford a whole class and switched to the cheaper Akula hull.

    You think this is a positive naval development strategy?. Its hugely wasteful in resources, ties up R&D funding and obstructs yards building dead-end designs. Who would wish to emulate that?.

    You could take “Luxembourg” as an example, a terrorist attack in the Gulf against this VLCC. The thing got completely wrecked.

    Luxembourg was holed at and, more importantly, below the waterline. The effect of that blast more closely resembles that of a shallow-running torpedo than a large antiship missile. I’ve already said that the best way to sink a large vessel like this is to put a spread of heavyweight torpedoes into the hull.

    And yes I’ve heard the “It’s compartmentized to death” argument a lot. But how fast do you think you can close all your compartments?

    Standard procedure, in every Navy I’ve got any knowledge of, is to close up the ship when setting defence watches or general quarters or action stations or whatever that particular service calls its maximum readiness condition. This is why operating in Defence Watches for any length of time is such a real pain in the stern end. It means that every time you want to go from your duty station to your bunk, or the galley, or the heads, or for a smoko etc you have to undog every hatch and redog it after you – an annoying and time consuming ritual!

    Sure I do Sir! Because they were developed to destroy even more valuable targets.

    Repeating my previous point those ‘valuable targets’ are not still targets are they?.

    Being cheap doesn’t make your missile more superior.

    Being cheap doesnt make an individual missile technologically superior. Being able to field more of them as a whole weapons system does. A limited inventory of inflexible weapons does not make for an effective weapons system however miraculous the individual missile may be. Again as I’ve said – just how superior can an unuseable missile system be?

    It’s probably the same as saying a Sovremenny is more advanced than a Burke, since it costs several $100mllns less. Poor countries could also buy more Sovremennies than Burkes then. But I don’t think that makes a Sovremenny more advanced than a Burke… (as I’m sure you will agree).

    False analogy Roel. How many nations have Soveremenny’s GP capability (antiship missiles, SAMs, medium calibre gun, chopper and decent sensor fit) on a frigate or low-end destroyer sized hull. Arleigh Burke is closer, in capability terms, to a Slava just without the big AShMs. There are more nations operating Burkes – or lightened versions than there are nations wanting Slava’s – as I’m sure you’ll agree!

    Jonesy
    Participant

    Congratulations Edisonmascot.

    You do seem to have managed to drag the attention of the readers of this thread off the uncomfortable, for you, news that the Han was caught fingers-in-the-cookie-jar and on to something completely unrelated.

    How lucky you are that the chip on Mr BlackCats shoulder is as deep and reliable as it is!.

    in reply to: Russian attack capabilities #2053433
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Sevvy,

    But then, your ship has to be capable of taking an ESM bearing at 160km, is that possible? Don’t have a clue about that, we don’t use that in Merchie. We use a different system, for positioning, also receiving signals from a shore-based sender, yet we’ve thrown it overboard in the Indian Ocean, we never came close enough to shore to receive any of that, so I doubt the ranges of such things…

    There are several surface search sets that claim to be capable of utilising ‘atmospheric propagation’, presumably they mean ducting, to bend lower-frequency radar energy over-the-horizon at get detections at ranges on the order of 150km. If they can get a detection at 150km then a halfway capable ESM system will start to get twitches at detection threshold plus 20km!

    Yes the plane could do such things, yet that plane will probably get detected.

    Like I said earlier we detected the Argentine Neptune that directed their Etendards against the Sheffield, but, it was so far away it wasn’t considered a threat. Had that been a Bear-D with an emitting Big Bulge radar instead the threat would have been instantly detected and the SHAR CAP vectored in with all deliberate speed. See the difference?.

    Not many navies can afford P-700, but the ones that do, will have to build ships with a depth of about 10m, meaning you’ll have a huge freeboard, or some draft, with such draft you’ll have to build a big ship… Big ship with lots of SAM possibilities.

    So you accept that the costs of the weapons, the costs of the surveillance and targetting assets and the costs of the acquisition, operation and maintenance of some very significant hulls all come into the system cost-to-deploy equation.

    Against this NSM could be deployed by any airforce operating a handful of F-5E’s, A-4’s, Mig-27’s or virtually any tactical fighter you care to name that can carry 700kgs of underwing ordnance or more and has a databus that can be modified to input target coordinates or bearing data to the missile.

    It can be deployed with any Navy possessing a few Combattante sized vessels or more. It can give a coastal precision land attack capability to any Navy possessing a few frigates, especially ones with a helicopter capability and it is already being developed in a coastal defence version.

    Basically the equation is simple – NSM is an enabling technology that allows a nations armed services to get more functionality out of the existing platforms it already has. P-700 or any of these other big supersonic weapons require new platforms and new capabilities to be developed, acquired and supported to deploy them. Which one is the most cost-effective and, therefore, the most employable?.

    For me the most advanced SSM is the missile that can do the job, be it a frigate, corvette or carrier. A Harpoon or NSM can’t simply sink a carrier, P-700 might. Of course in my definition, the price and difficulty of the system isn’t taken in account.

    Roel we’ve already covered the fact that P-700 cant sink a supercarrier for the same reason it cant sink a supertanker. Those big ships have too much mass for any conventional warhead weapon to put them on the bottom and doing enough damage to stop a carriers flying programme doesnt need a 1000kg supersonic warhead.

    For me price and employability factors of a weapons system are critical to its value.

    As an illustration, its a decade from now, you are the CinC DPRK Navy and have a recently acquired a pair of Oscars as insurance against the nasty Yankee carriers. Ones in refit and the others on patrol halfway across the Pacific. The US 7th fleet chooses this time to launch Fasthawk-derived hypersonic land-attack missiles at your nuclear facilities from the middle of the Sea of Japan. What good are P-700’s then?.

    Nuke

    let’s make it clear: If let’s say N.K. or Iran let’s say buy SSN 19 ( that you so much dislike forgetting that they were already 20 years ago while this s..t of NSM is only coming now and this for me IT’S a difference)

    Do I have to say this again mate?. Myself and Seahawk have been saying all along that the problem with P-700 is that its a 20 year old missile designed to meet a threat that existed 20 years ago. Is it the missiles fault that its usefulness disappeared with the Cold War – no of course it isnt. The fact remains that without a US carrier strike group to engage the weapon is not worth the cost of the upkeep of the platforms required to fire it.

    this NOT MEAN that they must buy a Kirov or Oscar. In this case you should be right 100%, but not forget how a single vessel in the history has made a strong deterrent ( the Yavuz, the Tirpiz).

    Why, inshtead, they simply cannot buy a (ipothetical) version of the Shipwreck?

    A shore based P-700 is exactly what you described though – hypothetical. It does not exist. You can’t claim superiority for a weapon that isnt even a design on a drawing board somewhere.

    As I said above as well the threat reduction exercise against a large low unit number threat is very much easier to complete than that against a distributed threat that can engage you with little or no warning.

    Have you present that the SSN 19 could be used as nuclear attack supersonic long range missile in a manner that NO norwegian s….y missiles can eventually do?

    Who has a requirement for a 400km nuclear cruise missile today?. Who is there that could afford to pay the Russians to develop the Granit system into a land attack weapon and make it ground deployable?. Who would offer so much money as to make the Russians violate the non-proliferation treaty?.

    Without any of these answers its just another paper tiger – a hypothetical capability with no grounding in reality. Not something that you can make a claim for superiority of Russian antishipping weapons with.

    For many, if the soviet made cheap harware, they were in wrong because they made too cheap systems, if they made sophistied system they were wrong because they made too sophistied systems and the western types were simpler. Whetetver they done ,they were wrong.

    I agree that is a terrible irony. For a ‘fan’ of Soviet hardware I can see how infuriating that would be. Doesnt alter the fact that it is the truth though!.

    Jonesy
    Participant

    Hmmm Edison and BlackCat. What do you gentlemen think the group noun for persecution complex sufferers might be?. :rolleyes:

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