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Jonesy

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  • in reply to: General UCAV/UAV discussion – A New Hope #2273640
    Jonesy
    Participant

    these are missile decoys, I’m talking about aircraft decoys no enemy stealth aircraft is going to expose itself to target enemy missiles. the launch aircarft on the other hand is an interesting target

    MALD-J a missile decoy?. These systems can simulate any air target. TALD/ITALD was used in DESERT STORM to simulate aircraft….ATALD is described as being able to undertake tactical aircraft manoevring and was meant to be being marketed as a realistic training target for AD operators.

    lol, no amount of aircraft carriers will give China even a fighting chance against US carriers, which are much bigger and better equiped. it’s a weight class difference, and you’d have to be a fool to get sucked into such an arms race (other than to bankrupt the other guy. a fight which the US is losing as we speak btw)

    Just not the case. A carrier brings a controlled area of seaspace within its radius of action and, anything, in that region exists at the sufferance of the carriers airwing and attached group systems. A defending carrier group in existence is an intolerable threat to anyone seeking to use their own force in an expeditionary manner. To even think of using expeditionary power then the responsibility is on the attacker to find, fix and neutralise the defending group. The virtual attrition element there is huge. Strategically even a few Chinese carriers are a game changer without having to fire a shot.

    and I would imagine that China does have some way of finding US carriers, if only via tracking electrical transmissions. this isn’t the 1940’s, a big carrier fleet is much easier to find, and once you find it its 30+ knots mean you’ll never lose it again.

    Tracking ‘electrical transmissions’ is not the sharpest tool in the box. Its inherently low resolution at range (cueing system only) and, if you are dependent on the opposition telling you where they are, you are vulnerable to them telling you lies. Your imagination does not equal an observed capability unfortunately.

    but as you pointed out earlier, no single element works alone, they’re part of a system

    Irrelevent. The comment made was that the objective ‘best’ weapon to kill a tank was another tank. It is capable under more circumstance of finding and engaging the target with killing fire.

    that’s my whole point, the US is investing all its money on elephant guns that don’t even work well

    No they arent. They are buying elephant guns as they expect to have to shoot elephants. They have plenty of other systems to deal with the vermin…thats my point. Your contention is that concentrating on peer capability means they have lost the ability to deal with asymmetry and its simply wrong. The asymmetric threat is just dealt with at source rather than in the tactical space.

    and exactly, the best way to kill drones is to target their operators, which unfortunally will be hidden somewhere in a bunker, using a reduant communication system that takes a lot of effort to take apart

    You mean big toughened targets equivalent, in the animal hunting world, would be….erm…..an elephant perhaps?. Havent we just been talking about elephant guns?. See the point?.

    and you’re still ineffective if the drone operator flies manned (stealth) control aircraft near the drones, using short focused beams of radio or IR to give commands, which are pretty much impossible to detect or jam for any enemy

    Very true but, now, you are developing a stealthy penetrating UAV-command-aircraft to be able to use the really ‘cheap’ UAV swarm with any kind of confidence of success. Your cheap solution is starting to look rather expensive Sanem!.

    my case is that they’re not doing it enough, instead wasting hundreds of billions on aircraft that are completely unproven (F-35) and unreliable (F-22) at an absurd cost

    …but you’ve just said that your UAV’s will need something like an F-22 to act as shepherd to the sheep?. So, your way, there is still the hundreds of billions spent on the unproven and unreliable tech, but, thats ok if its going to drive forward cheap UAV tech?.

    you’re mistaken, you don’t need a radar, from Wikipedia…feel free to provide information that states that the information has to come from a radar, or even the launch aircraft itself (it doesn’t, as both the F-35 and Typhoon show)

    Not contending you cant fire without a radar. You just cant practically exploit the missiles BVR range without one. Why on earth would you shackle a 5th gen LO fighter down with a gaggle of slow-mover UAV’s just so it can play lighthouse?.

    latency can be a worry, but a) you don’t have to use satellites, any nearby sensor carrier (AWACS, manned jet…) can both spot the target and pass this data directly to the launch UAV, and b) the launch UAV can provide the data relay

    You listed ‘other sources’ of fire-direction. I’m trying to show you that offboard fire control is a really bad idea and gave you a very quick illustration based on one of the elements you listed. As with all these surrogate shooter platform concepts you have to realise that you are building a vehicle that is, by itself, nearly valueless. Your building a platform designed from the outset with a huge achilles heel. No TDL = no shoot = enemy gets to do something unpleasant to you. Bad equation.

    on the offence, the defender has to stop this swarm of UAVs. shooting missiles at them would be ineffective, because these would hit decoy aircraft or get shot down. and anything that gets close enough to take aimed shots will instantly be destroyed by return fire

    Again you have the slow mover element though. A defending Gripen firing AIM-120 at 600knts will outrange an MQ-9 firing a LINK MCG’d AIM-120 at 250kts. There is nothing to stop the Gripen plinking away with absolute impunity?. Unless of course you are going to escort the UAV swarm with 5th gen LO’s (of the type you are so bitterly critical of) which would beg the question as to what you need the UAV’s for in the first place?.

    in reply to: General UCAV/UAV discussion – A New Hope #2273765
    Jonesy
    Participant

    absolutely, yet the US military today has no active decoy programs, they’d rather bet the bank on stealth. the IAF for one does use decoys

    MALD and MALD-J are in production and in the inventory and, last I heard, there were healthy stocks of ITALD in USN service?

    I’m a bit confused here, isn’t the best way to kill a carrier with a submarine? for example I’m pretty sure the Dutch Royal Air Force would never even get close to a carrier, yet in exercises outdated Dutch subs have had great succes “sinking” US carriers. and I’m not even talking about Chinese IBMs

    Right some misconceptions to clear. If you want to sink a carrier a spread of heavyweight torpedoes is arguably the best tool to do it. Sinking a carrier is different to going through the whole kill-chain of searching, localising, identifying, tracking and then shooting and the latter is something a submarine on its own is not well suited for. Even a fairly advanced SSN with a towed array has a tactical sensor footprint….an average SSK’s is usually more modest and constrained by the platforms limited discrete mobility. Lots of peoples SSK’s have done well against US carriers on exercise. The exercise is usually scripted to make sure of that. Chinese IBM’s need cueing to fire and currently China has no publically recognised survivable search/track/identify asset to provide weapon cueing. To provide a defense against a carrier the optimum platform to undertake it is another carrier.

    the same goes for tanks, in the 70’s Israeli and Egyptian/Syrian tanks got butchered by enemy infantry equiped with anti-tank missiles, while the tanks had serious trouble countering these units

    In certain conditions infantry can perform well for a given period within a limited range. The tank though is the best inherent tank destroyer in terms of weapon effects, targeting, mobility and survivability.

    it’s the rock-paper-scissors discussion: my point is that while an F-22 or even an F-35 has a large advantage over 4th generation aircraft, they’d be no match for swarms of cheap UAVs or decoys, because they lack the ability to effeciently destroy them. it’s like using an elephant gun to hunt vermin: not effective, very costly and you’re more likely to hit yourself than a rat

    No its not. If you only have an elephant gun you dont hunt rats that way….you place traps or find their nest. Back to square one…you dont hit the swarm…you hit the control node local or central as necessary…you hit the logistics supporting the dozen upon dozen of UAVs etc.

    and I’m argumenting that the F-35 is not a reliable and dependable investment, but rather a huge waste of money that would have been better used on UAVs (or budget cuts )

    In which case you are wrong. The best option is both and, seeing the US is currently trialling a UCAV prototype on a CVN and deploying the most comprehensive BAMS ocean recce capability on the planet etc, I think its hard to make the case that they arent doing that.

    1. you don’t need an onboard radar to launch for example the AMRAAM. the F-35 for example will be able to launch it using data information from another F-35 (an ability the Typhoon has as well), or even backwards using data from rear-facing optical sensors. all an AMRAAM needs is target data, and it does everything else. if that data comes from the launch platform, another aircraft, a ground station or a satellite is irrelevant

    You need a radar and you need a datalink with a very short latency. Satellite transmission adds latency…to any datalink…the signal has to transit to orbit and back and several good laws of physics dictate the maximum speed that can happen at. If you have a missile and inbound contact at a couple of thousand knots closure just a second off on a course update can give you a 50ft miss.

    2. AMRAAMs are used for SAM missions, so I doubt launch vehicle velocity is very relevant. the SL AMRAAM has a range of 40 km, opposed to the 55–75 km range on the air launched version. so velocity adds 35 km at best, hardly a factor against 70’s Soviet jets equiped with only short ranged missiles

    AMRAAMs are used in a ground role for point defence not interception. You dont develop an unmanned air capability for point defence…use the ground based AMRAAM!. Better yet spread FLAADS trucks on ingress/egress routes tied to the local surveillance net with ADADs local backup…cheap, passive, lethal and easy to resupply. Save you a lot of effort trying to squirt target course updates to the cloud of cheap drones orbitting around hoping something flies into their shortened missile NEZ. A vain hope when the simple expedient of a 60 degree angle off on ingress, 50km baseleg, then turn back onto target bearing probably takes them past your airborne minefields lethal envelope!. They certainly arent going to do much on a tailchase or an intercept vector if theyre topping out at 250knts!!!.

    The US looked at this and came up with MALI, which was supersonic, based on the MALD airframe and it hasnt been heard of in a decade after allegedly completing its development. That was a very much superior system to a slow-mover UAV with a couple of BVRAAMs.

    in reply to: QEC Construction #2008100
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Difficult to place too much credibility on numbers like those quoted as it all depends on what is installed and when at the time the adaptation decision was taken.

    If it was for EMALS and GA just happened to have production slots open then it may be a different cost base entirely than if EMALS was to be proven unworkable at sea and we had to go back to steam and work up an entire logistics and training infrastructure for high pressure steam in the surface fleet. Is the £2.5bn mentioned just the build cost…is it ‘up to’ £2.5bn or is that figure whole-life???.

    CVF was to be designed with an allowance for an extra genset to be fitted to provide additional power to drive EMALS or for a ‘donkey boiler’ to provide steam pressure for a legacy system. The demands for the two differing systems would be quite different in detail with the high pressure steam especially being very disruptive on any spaces between the boiler and piston assemblies.

    in reply to: QEC Construction #2008112
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Fed

    The adaptable design sounded like a great idea at the time but the execution was not good

    I dont know if thats the case Fed. To me it looks more a case that the ‘adaptable design’, as Graeme demonstrates, somehow became perceived as a quick change capability. I guess I’ve been guilty of saying that the only things required would be physical siting of the hardware and supporting infrastructure…which is still the case…but that action is still many months of work and further months of testing.

    Speaking for myself the term ‘only’ was used because it doesnt mean chopping the hull and inserting a plug to stretch the ships length and provide bunkerage/stores/hangar spaces etc. It doesnt mean losing x, y and z spaces to add an additional genset that was never allowed for in the design to drive the cats etc. In that context CVF really IS an adaptable design….its just a serious job making the adaptation as it always wouldve been.

    in reply to: QEC Construction #2008130
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Graeme,

    This was not a ‘fitted for but not with design’.

    Absolutely right….but it never WAS a fitted for not with catapults design though.

    in reply to: General UCAV/UAV discussion – A New Hope #2273942
    Jonesy
    Participant

    that’s what everyone tells me, but that’s my whole point: that’s a traditionalist’s argument. what if an opponent doesn’t think like that…for example who says those UAVs need satellite guidance? you can simply put them on auto-route, and take control using nearby manned or relay aircraft/ship/ground stations as the situation requires

    You see the issue there is that, regardless of the abstract and ‘innovative’ thought your comms relay still needs to relay into somewhere and that somewhere is a critical fail point in the system. Any relay system that isnt a satellite is cheaper but, necessarily, is required to be more numerous for reasons of redundancy, surviveability and reachability. You then need a core C3 node to oversee the distributed C3 nodes and so on and so forth. There’s only so far you can collapse the core and spread the C3 before you complicate the picture and start introducing multiple, weaker, points of local vulnerability.

    by making what are basically target decoys, you really can make such UAVs in huge numbers at a cost as low as $100,000 each. the problem for an opposing force, like say a squadron of F-22’s, is that they won’t know what they’re shooting at until they get a visual, and even if they try to target the more advanced/manned controller aircarft in the wave, their missiles will probably be intercepted by the drone wave or counter-missiles

    So why not build MALD/MALD-J and missile soak really cheap if thats the intent?. Better yet use a net of persistent high-end drones, LO where possible, as the cueing/bus platform for the MALDs. Anyone will tell you use of decoys in this fashion is anything but revolutionary though…Israelis started developing the concept in 71, used it in 73, and the USAF used it equally as successfully over Iraq two decades later. In your terminology its a ‘traditional’ tactic.

    yes, but it was probably because they lost the war that they completely rethought the way they fought, while the victors clinged to their old ways. resulting in a technological and material inferior German army that in 1940 achieved the fastest and greatest victory in human history

    ….and before that suffered through more than a decade of incredible privation then a decade of political rule that suited some a great deal more than others!. Losing the First World War was catastrophic for Germany and the development of Blitzkreig in no way balances that. Military force is diplomacy ‘by other means’. In any analysis Germany would have been better off winning WW1 than losing it to get to WW2!.

    in the same way, the US military, having been the world’s dominant air and sea power for the last 60 years or so, has pretty much stalled in the way it thinks and fights, while the Chinese underdog/dragon is adopting new technologies at unseen speeds, anything from UAVs to cyberwarfer to stealth and laser technology

    Yes the ‘plucky underdog’ is a very romantic concept. To fight a carrier though you need a carrier as the Chinese are well aware!. To fight a tank you need a tank. To fight a submarine its best to send one of your own. Its an irony, but also a truism, to say that in combat you most frequently train to kill the enemy most like yourself!. WW1 spiky-hatted chap blazing away with his Maxim would surely have liked to see some friendly tanks passing through his own lines into no-mans as he saw his bullets bouncing off the ponderously advancing British Mk5!.

    the first machine guns and tanks were useless, the next generations was still cumbersome and had serious flaws, but these examples show that clinging to the old ways can lead to a huge cost in both lives and military power. in order to go forward, one has to let go of the past

    Not in peer terms they weren’t useless…very much the reverse in fact as the illustration above notes. For the rest you are talking revolution over evolution which will never find much of a home in military services anywhere. The stakes, that those who plan for military actions work with, are simply too high to stray far from the known and quantifiable. Innovation has its place, but, so does reliable and dependable.

    another point is air-to-air combat. the military keeps stressing that this is not possible, even though a stripped down Predator fired a Stinger in combat back in 2003, and putting more advanced missiles on a UAV would be technically very feasible

    They stress this because its true. What happened to that drone that fired the Stinger….and did the Stinger score on the MiG in question?. Hardly testimony for the concept is it?. If you want to build a big, fast, platform with a hugely powerful onboard radar and multiple BVRAAM carry surely you could have some kind of airborne missile battery, but, it would be costing pretty much what a manned combat aircraft would and be less flexible than the manned platform. Putting BVRAAM’s on slow mover UAV’s is insane unless its a point-defence platform. Intercept geometry always favours the fast platform and BVRAAM range is dramatically impacted by the launch impetus provided by the firing platform. Once you build in fast, practical range/endurance, adequate sensor package and multiple BVRAAM carry into an airframe you are leaving ‘cheap’ far behind.

    in reply to: QEC Construction #2008155
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Not sure where the confusion has crept in that ‘adaptable’ meant ‘cheaply adaptable’ in regard the Thales CVF design?.

    The CVF is an adaptable design. Compare and contrast with a carrier that is not offering so much potential like Cavour and you see that CVF has the hull size, weight margins, appropriate spaces designed in and deck/hangar space to operate and maintain a very effective sized CATOBAR airgroup. It was never a case that switching between the two systems would’ve been a two week job?!!!.

    My view is still that STOBAR and Sea Gripen would represent our most likely solution should F-35B be inexplicably binned at this stage….it being noteworthy that while 35C has yet to grace a carrier deck the same is not true of its STOVL brother!

    in reply to: General UCAV/UAV discussion – A New Hope #2274184
    Jonesy
    Participant

    how does one stop wave after wave of UAVs, each costing as little as $100,000, when the missiles used to shoot them down cost at least $500,000, and the aircraft used to do it cost at least $50 million?

    By knocking down the billion dollar satellite linking the UAV’s to the backend C3 system. Or by suppressing the airfields that your cheap lo-end UAV’s are stacked up on. Or, in a maritime context, by deceptive manouevre sending your UAV swarm to the wrong place.

    Your machine-gun analogy was actually a very good one Sanem. This is as it shows what happens when there is a reliance on one weapon system. The allies had no answer for German MG’s in the trenches….then tanks came about. Ultimately then the Germans lost that war.

    I’m a devotee of UAV tech, but, a ‘swarm’ of lo-end UAV’s doesnt present any real revolutionary threat as, to be used at range, must be used as part of a system of systems which is distinctly NOT cheap…and contains critical fail points. What UAV’s do offer though is legacy distribution potential and endurance. The UAV doesnt have to do every job to bring revolutionary capability to the battlespace…just the ones its attributes make it suitable for.

    in reply to: Why do the Russkies paint the deck of their ships orange? #2008372
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Its camouflage…so they can blend in to orange groves in Florida and California and y’all will never spot them. Sneaky them Russkies!

    in reply to: QEC Construction #2008431
    Jonesy
    Participant

    Dude, seriously, y’all need to ditch the ski-jump and that forward bridge, convert that thing to nuclear, add EMALS or EMCAT and buy the F-35C.

    A 20% increase in size wouldn’t be a bad idea either.

    Dude, like, y’all are talking about building a USN supercarrier and, like, y’know the RN arent the USN!.

    Did you know, dude, like the RN are only standing up 2 fastjet squadrons, man and thats at most. The rest of the fighters, dude, are coming from the RAF and, like, those pilots wont be deck qualified routinely.

    We dont all, man, get to run budget deficits like y’all do so we need a carrier that can do the job of one of your LPH’s or (most of) one of your CVN’s or a blend of both in one ship…and we need it cheaper than one of your CVNs with a fraction of the crew needs.

    We build our ships to our needs…not to be like y’all y’hear?!

    in reply to: General UCAV/UAV discussion – A New Hope #2276051
    Jonesy
    Participant

    On data transmission…compression and optimization technology’s are there to be brought into the mix. Adding bandwidth is only one way to skin the cat. Pushing in optimization kit also buys the older Kbps speed platforms back into the game.

    The actual sensor output is either mostly staring raster-scan imagery or MTI/surveillance radar feeds. The former lends itself to tag substitution optimization common on commercial WAN links and the latter is hardly heavy datarate. I work with commercial optimization technology and commonly see 2Mbps E1 speed links with stabilized optimization peers passing Gb’s of data in seconds.

    in reply to: General Discussion #273511
    Jonesy
    Participant

    On the DJ’s issue itself I’m content that, had they been able to see the future and the tragic events surrounding this nurse, they’d never have made the phone call.

    My view is that there is no work-related issue that should have been significant enough to propel this woman to devastate her children in the way she has…at the end of the day it was her decision to end her life and no-one elses. If she was of such a fragile mental state she should have been under professional care regardless…especially if responsible for children.

    All that said it is my strong hope that this death might just make the next ‘entertainer’, aiming for a cheap laugh at someone elses expense, pause for thought for a minute to consider the potential ramifications of their actions.

    ….and I too would have no objection to Williams first born girl being called Jacintha…a pretty name even if it wasn’t a show of basic human empathy!.

    in reply to: Prank-called Nurse Found Dead #1872009
    Jonesy
    Participant

    On the DJ’s issue itself I’m content that, had they been able to see the future and the tragic events surrounding this nurse, they’d never have made the phone call.

    My view is that there is no work-related issue that should have been significant enough to propel this woman to devastate her children in the way she has…at the end of the day it was her decision to end her life and no-one elses. If she was of such a fragile mental state she should have been under professional care regardless…especially if responsible for children.

    All that said it is my strong hope that this death might just make the next ‘entertainer’, aiming for a cheap laugh at someone elses expense, pause for thought for a minute to consider the potential ramifications of their actions.

    ….and I too would have no objection to Williams first born girl being called Jacintha…a pretty name even if it wasn’t a show of basic human empathy!.

    in reply to: General Discussion #273515
    Jonesy
    Participant

    How far back do you want to go in history CD?. Go back to the Magna Carta and beyond there is a chain of crown ownership stretching back centuries. I think its frankly ludicrous to try and make out this is some gross larceny forced on the public!.

    Since the 18th century the revenues from those estates has been going into the public purse anyway…seems a bit of a redundancy to pry them off the ‘evil’ monarchy to do…er….just the same thing with them!. Save for the fact it would give the republicans more grounds to whine about the civil list….though at a roughly 20 to 1 annual ratio of money going in to the Treasury as opposed to coming out they’ll be a while waiting for the ‘scroungers’ label to fit!.

    in reply to: Prank-called Nurse Found Dead #1872014
    Jonesy
    Participant

    How far back do you want to go in history CD?. Go back to the Magna Carta and beyond there is a chain of crown ownership stretching back centuries. I think its frankly ludicrous to try and make out this is some gross larceny forced on the public!.

    Since the 18th century the revenues from those estates has been going into the public purse anyway…seems a bit of a redundancy to pry them off the ‘evil’ monarchy to do…er….just the same thing with them!. Save for the fact it would give the republicans more grounds to whine about the civil list….though at a roughly 20 to 1 annual ratio of money going in to the Treasury as opposed to coming out they’ll be a while waiting for the ‘scroungers’ label to fit!.

Viewing 15 posts - 991 through 1,005 (of 4,319 total)