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GoldenDragon

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Viewing 15 posts - 1,831 through 1,845 (of 2,918 total)
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  • in reply to: Aircraft and SAM Prices #2667856
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    Srbin, the Y8F600 will be a lot more expensive than a base Y8. It’s still in development and it will have PW engines and western composite six-blade propellers and western avionics and a new load delivery system that will reduce the flight crew to only two people. It will be in excess of $20mn at the very least.

    Here is a good selling one that you forgot 🙂

    J-7P/PG – $2-4mn (reports from Pakistani F-7 deals)

    in reply to: Pictures, news and speculation thread #2667873
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    Sooo…… the FD-60 should have 50+ km range ….wouldn’t it?

    Well, this is a Sparrow-like weapon and is specifically targeted at fighters capable of using AIM-7s (PAF F-16s and IRIAF F-4s.)

    So we should look at Aspide (which China received and has almost certainly incorporated technology from) and Sparrow.

    The ground-to-air Sea Sparrow (not the ESSM) has range listings from 15 (1) to 30 km (depending on source and version.) This coincides with the LY-60.

    In the air, the Aspide and comptemporary Sparrows are listed around 75 km.

    So I’d say 60km + is a good conservative figure for the FD-60.

    ———————————————————————–

    Notes
    (1) http://acam.ednet.ns.ca/weapons/sparrow.htm

    in reply to: Pictures, news and speculation thread #2667904
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    There is a long list of assumptions that is similar to the SD-10’s AGAT seekerhead BS.

    Watch out for the 093 is based on Victor III crap 😀

    There is nothing anywhere that points to the Victor III as a program that the Chinese was ever interested in, especially for 093.

    Also the FD-60 has a 25km range. This figure was never stated by the Chinese release but instead was extrapolated by Janes from assuming an arbitary figure for the PL-11 by using the LY-60’s slant range.

    in reply to: Su-35 Flanker won FAB new FX contest #2668391
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    Hm…ok . Im not a specialist on space program but do you think our good lauch position would be a strong push for us? ( but looking at the map the french are no that far from our equatorial position . )

    Alcantara is perhaps the best positioned launch site in the world equator-wise. This is why so many countries are interested in launching from there.

    But launch and rocketry is only one part of the space program. Fabrication and assembly of satellites, sensors and other spaceloads are some of the other parts of the process. Brazil assembled and integrated CBERS 02 which is a pretty large and complicated satellite with three separate sensors.

    To tell the truth Ive never seen anyone oficially from the russian or brazilian side confirming this proposed russian support on brazilian spatial /nuclear submarine program . It gives me the impression its a hoax .

    First I’ve heard of the Su-35 being offered with space program perks. The only one who’ve mentioned this was Flogger.

    in reply to: J-8II Info #2641980
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    Golden Dragon 🙂 hello

    But i think the Aspide armament statement does not take in consideradtion the Tianamen Square event and the following Arms embargo that did not allow the Europeans to sell weapons to the Chinese so it is wrong the statement that the J-8II has been armed with Aspides since the early 1990s
    The EU arms embargo does not add up with the J-8II armed with Aspides operationally.

    The Aspide was a technology transfer deal where the missile was supposed to be built in China (unlike the R-77 deal for the MKKs.) The reason was the PL-4 that the PLAAF had worked on to arm the J-9 was also based on the Sparrow and the Aspide was a good followon.

    The embargo did not affect the Aspide program except for stopping further cooperation. Read Janes from that period, there was never anything about a dead end to the Aspide program. In fact, we knew even back in the early 1990s then MR AAMs were carried by J-8IIs.

    What was uncertain was what the Aspide was called – whether the PL-7 (this was before the Chinese sources declared the PL-7 as an IRAAM based on the Magic – many publication entries even today has the PL-7 listed as the J-8II’s bvr weapon), PL-10 or PL-11.

    The PL-11 and PL-10 were basicly the attempts to fix what the arms embargo created, a lack of Aspides and by the way to build a home derivative of the AIM-7/Aspide for the PLAAF.

    The Chinese SARH program predated Aspide. The PL-4 which was designed for the J-9. The J-8 is no more than a high speed interceptor. It was envisioned to be armed with a BVR. The J-9 was canceled when the J8II was developed in the 1980s and could accept a large radar.

    The PL-11 is operational no doubt about it but still not in large numbers
    due to the fact the PL-11 is quit new since only in 2002 the P-11 development finished and the PL-11 you are seeing since the mid 1990s were experimental missiles and according to the Chinese the PL-11 is a Missile that is aimed to the export market and that the PL-12 will be the main armament of J-8II and J-10 as a BVR weapon because the PL-11 has a range of 25km

    The Janes report actually cites a Chinese news release that said the FD-60, not PL-11, was completed in 2000, not 2002. We are only assuming that it is the PL-11 because the Chinese export public release said the FD-60 arms the J8II in Chinese service.

    But according to some in the Chinese boards, the manufacturer never explicitly declared the FD-60 as the PL-11.

    Also, the background given on the missile by China (not speculated by Janes) is that it began in 1987 which actually predates the Aspide by a year.

    The FD-60 could be the PL-11. It could also be a PL-4 derivative or the PL-10.

    I do not think that the J-8 was not influence a bit by the Ye-152 anf Sukhoi T-5 in fact they did not have maidens flights very separated from each other and the Ye-152 and J-8 are basicly the same airframe, so it is possible that the Chinese were very influenced by the Ye-152 and i beleive that perhaps they adquiered some Ye-152 o T-5 blueprints

    The closer in time of first flight, the less chance they were related. If it was so easy to find blueprints of the Ye-152 and quickly build a working copy then the Ye-152 was a simple plane indeed.

    The truth is you don’t need any blueprints for the J8. It is nothing more than an enlarged twin-engined J-7 for sustained high speed, high altitude interception. The groundbreaking project at the time was the canard-delta J9.

    After successful flight of the J8I and the J9 had hit a roadblock with the engine (it was supposed to be a turbofan,) the J8II was redesigned to allow for a BVR capable radar and to be able to fire the PL-4.

    So the SARH progam in China was old even before Aspide.

    What’s more, China had moved from SARH to ARH with the AMR-1 seekerhead by 1996.

    I find it entirely doubtful that China would be selling both the FD-60 and SD-10 as brand new systems.

    They wouldn’t even acknowledge the existence of the J-10 and they are releasing their entire arsenal for export?

    Radar AAMs are dangerously susceptible to ECM. All countries, the US included, keeps that stuff close its breast, never mind China.

    in reply to: Pictures, news and speculation thread #2642293
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    Indeed Arthur, but the IDEA is the same…
    ahh… never mind…

    Erez, you see that front wheel on the J-10? The IDEA came from a caveman 100,000 years ago.

    in reply to: Pictures, news and speculation thread #2642322
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    AGAT denies any knowledge of China utilizing their seeker. From tomorrow’s edition of Jane’s Missiles and Rockets.

    “Recent press reports on China’s new SD-10 radar-guided air-to-air missile have commented on the similarity between the front section of the Chinese missile and that of the Vympel R-77/RVV-AE (AA-12 ‘Adder’). This has led to suspicions that the seeker of the Chinese missile is based on the Russian weapon’s AGAT 9B-1348 active-radar seeker, or is a customised 9B-1348 variant developed for China by AGAT.

    Export contracts have conditions of confidentiality and information can only be released by the agreement of both sides, commented Akopyan. However, the Institute is not working with the Chinese, he said, dismissing the concept that the SD-10 has an AGAT seeker as “hot air” and “a fantasy of reporters”.

    ————————————————————————–

    Thanks for the Janes news, Google.

    Richard Fisher reported from the 2002 Zhuhai airshow that a representative of Louyang, the SD-10’s developer, said explicitly that there was no AGAT seekerhead.

    The “similarity between the front section of the Chinese missile and that of the Vympel R-77” is a silly statement. The pointy fronts of most Sparrow-sized radar AAMs are pretty similar and the SD-10’s front (and the rest of its body) looks more like the Sparrow or AMRAAM than anything else.

    The whole AGAT story came from people speculating about Russian involvement. I’ve never came across any news article that goes beyond “it is believed” to have an AGAT seekerhead or “it is believed” by experts to incorporate Russian blah blah and a Chinese motor blah blah.

    The SD-10 is sold as an export and is paired with the FC-1, if it had Russian components they would have used the fact as a marketing tool. It’s basically out in the open as opposed to other Chinese MR AAMs so if had an AGAT seekerhead, there would have been an outright releaseon it.

    in reply to: Pictures, news and speculation thread #2642331
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    GD. Just looking at the surface structure of the missile I can tell it is a dummy.

    It is rather obvious. But like I said it is a major, major piece of info even if it were a mockup.

    in reply to: Su-35 Flanker won FAB new FX contest #2642508
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    The question is not if Brazil can develope or not fighters or Airplanes but how can Brazil achieve the fastest way of adquiring technology to compete commercially with the stablish superpowers.

    Again, Brazil can compete better “commercially” than Russia already.

    Embraer has a large and growing share of the market. Russia has nothing like the ERJ-145 with 800 sold and no end in sight for new orders (and not only the civilian market but with the multi-billion dollar US Army/Navy buy of the ERJ-145’s for the Aerial Common Sensor program this platform in moving into the military sphere.)

    Fighter planes are hit or miss sellers. Commercial jets are sold at a much more constant pace year after year as long as the model remains current.

    The Su-35 in fact are not so important but the technology transfer and that is what matters, France has in South America the Arianne laucher space pad so Alcanta in Brazil is the closest competitor to it for such a reason the French bid does not includes technical help to the Brazilian space program, also Avibras is 100% Brazilian and it`s main products are Missiles therefore the Russian offer is better for the Brazilians but since Brazil still is a peaceful country and France has a big stake in EMBRAER the Brazilian Government still is undecided if go nationalistic or simply wait a little bit longer delaying the space program a little further but keeping the French Happy and therefore Embraer`s future but i feel the Brazil will find a way into the space faring nations.

    Maybe the Brazilians here could tell us better. But my impression is that Embraer is considered a Brazilian company whether it has minority French partners or not. In fact, it is probably the most well-known Brazilian firm in the world (next to Pele who is a major Brazilian corporation all by himself :D)

    Despite the tragic setback from the explosion, the space program hasn’t stopped even as they work to rebuild the launchg site. Brazil and China are working on their third and fourth CBERS satellites.

    And they are already planning for the fourth one to be launched from Alcantara.

    The space program is important but it is progressing so Brazil has no need to jeopardize Embraer’s share in the civilian market by funding Sukhoi for fighters that are good but not critical to Brazil’s security.

    in reply to: Pictures, news and speculation thread #2642521
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    PL-10C!?!?

    Now here’s an interesting one. This looks like another angle of the photo I had at the beginning of this thread. I was interested in the LDII navigation pod then, totally ignoring the MRAAM which I had assumed was the PL-11.

    But now we seen from this angle, we see the PL-10C lettering!

    If this is not PSed, then it would be a major, major piece of info even if it were a mockup. People are not even sure the PL-10 ever existed!

    This would be the first picture of a PL-10 from Chinese sources that I could think of (not western publications labelling the Aspide as the PL-10.)

    To find it here as a “C” version, indicating continuous development of the type, is even more amazing!

    in reply to: Pictures, news and speculation thread #2642548
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    I know.
    As we did with the Kfir TC (larger nose containing avionics that were located in place of the second seat).
    But at least we all agree about the new spine. Earlier you didn’t even pay attention to what I said.

    I didn’t pay attention to your original statement said because it is silly to claim relations to the F16B because of the spine. You could have said it had taken the idea from the EF or even the JJ7 for having a pronounced spin after the second seat.

    in reply to: J-8II Info #2642563
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    What surprise me is the lack of clarity about the J-8 and J-8II program, while many consider prototypes as operational standard fighters, even the missiles sometimes are quoted with completly contradictory data.

    My personal opinion is that the J-8II program owes a lot to the MiG-23 and basicly is a Chinese Su-15 Flagon.

    It owes far more to the MiG-21/J-7.

    China never had a Flagon example and the Su-15 was a strategic interceptor for USSR, which would have been a major coup if China had gotten blueprints for one.

    The Ye152 is simply speculation because they “look” alike. The development of the J-8I began at a time when China was completely isolated from the USSR and was actually in a hot border war with it.

    The J8I is simply a scaled up J-7 with two engines instead of one.

    The J8II incorporated new ideas and there might be things from MiG-23s from Egypt. But the philosophy of a tailed delta is far different from a swing-wing.

    As far as the BVR is concerned, both J-8 and J-9 programs started at the same time in 1960s and the PL-4 intended for the J-9 was to be carried by the J8 after the J-9 was cancelled.

    Now the PL-4 was fired from a J8II in the early 1980s and the Aspide which China acquired from Italy in 1988 couldn’t have been fired by any other fighters in the PLAAF inventory.

    The J8II has been carrying at the very least the Aspide since the 1990s.

    And we have pictures of it carrying the PL-11. We saw PL-11 on the J-10 which indicates it is a standard AAM of the PLAAF. Otherwise, it would have been mockups of the SD-10 like those on FC-1 models.

    in reply to: Pictures, news and speculation thread #2642609
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    I really think the J-10B has a new avionics spine that the J-10A doesn’t have. Looks like the Chinese got the idea from the F-16.
    Also note a new antena on that spine.

    Almost all two versions have larger spines to account for the fairing of the second seat.

    The twin-seat Eurofighter and A4 have even more pronounced spines. When you need to put in extra space, you fill it with avionics.

    in reply to: Pictures, news and speculation thread #2642623
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    Sorry to disagree !!! But I don’t think this is a refueling probe …. the position is much to forward and not behind the front canpoy … I think this is the “standard” instumentation boom !

    Deino

    Yeah, you’re right, Deino. The fuzziness of the picture makes the needle antenna look much thicker than it actually is. The angle gave the illusion it was near the canopy. I jumped the gun 😀

    in reply to: Dassault Super Mirage ACF – prototype picture !!! #2643282
    GoldenDragon
    Participant

    Great stuff once again, Deino!

    That’s a very interesting point – for my opinion – no other manufactor of aircraft makes this like Dassault

    Atlas 😀

    Well, they would have if they went ahead and built the Cava :p

    But obviously, they were influenced by their Mirages.

Viewing 15 posts - 1,831 through 1,845 (of 2,918 total)